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Disturbance now up to 90% chance of tropical development

Tropics

A broad area of disturbed weather currently over the Yucatan got another boost in its chances for development Thursday afternoon. The system became better defined, and forecasters now give it a 90% chance of formation over the next 5 days.

The various computer models now seem to agree that a northerly track toward Louisiana/Florida's Panhandle is more likely. Once the storm pushes into the Gulf, forecasters say conditions will encourage further development. There is now a good chance of this storm becoming this year's first tropical depression or tropical storm, bringing very heavy rains along its track. Even though the storm will be to our west, we stay on the wetter side of the system. This means more rain is in store for South Florida for the weekend and the chance of further flooding will be likely. We could pick up between 3 and 5 inches of rain, with higher amounts possible in localized areas.


Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate the area on Friday

Stay with CBS12 for further tropical updates and visit the CBS12.com Hurricane Center for additional maps and storm information.

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