MENU
component-ddb-728x90-v1-01-desktop

Hurricane Matthew strengthens, Florida at high risk of impact

11 PM Track

WEST PALM BEACH (CBS12) - Updated: 8 a.m.

The new Tuesday morning forecast track for hurricane Matthew is in, and Floridians are at high risk of major impacts, perhaps hurricane conditions.

The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center hows Matthew is a powerful category 4 hurricane with max winds of 145 mph as it is now hitting Haiti. The movement is north at 9 mph. The forecast path will take the hurricane through the Bahamas Wednesday, then come very near Florida's east coast later Thursday and Thursday night. It is likely that a major hurricane (category 3+) will parallel the Florida east coast through Thursday and overnight through early Friday morning. Matthew will then gradually turn north, northeast and likely impact parts of Georgia, and the Carolinas.

Latest conditions of Matthew from the National Hurricane Center as of 8 a.m.:

LOCATION...18.4N 74.2W

ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM E OF TIBURON HAITI

ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM S OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES

Previously:

The latest computer models show that the storm will more much closer to Florida, with the entire east coast in the cone of uncertainty.

Top winds are now at 145 mph.

Direct hurricane impacts are possible in Florida later this week. Tropical storm and/or hurricane watches are likely tomorrow morning for portions of the Florida peninsula and the Florida Keys, say forecasters.

If Matthew were to make landfall near our area, it would be strong category 3, according to forecasters.

South Florida will more likely experience tropical storm force winds come Wednesday, into Thursday. And Hurricane force winds Friday.

The storm remains a powerful Category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds remain near 145 mph with higher gusts.

As of 11 p.m. -- the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 74.6 West.

Matthew is moving toward the north-northeast near 7 mph.

A turn toward the north-northwest is forecast on Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 934 mb .

On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will approach southwestern Haiti tonight, move near eastern Cuba late Tuesday, and move near or over portions of the southeastern and central Bahamas Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Gov. Rick Scott has now declared a State of Emergency for Florida due to the approaching storm.

CBS12 asks that you continue to monitor our forecasts and weather reports because details may change in the coming days.

At this time, it is a good idea to check your hurricane plan and kit to make sure you are prepared should a storm near our region.

Preparedness is always the best measure to protect yourself against pending storms.

You can double check your plan using the CBS12 Hurricane Guide here.

Track Matthew using CBS12 Hurricane tracker here.

11PM ADVISORY

....HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND MATTHEW HAS STRENGTHENED SLIGHTLY...

...LIFE-THREATENING RAIN...WIND...AND STORM SURGE EXPECTED IN

PARTS OF HAITI TONIGHT...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...16.9N 74.6W

ABOUT 100 MI...155 KM S OF TIBURON HAITI

ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB...27.58 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* Haiti

* Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Holguin, Granma,

and Las Tunas

* Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins,

Crooked Island, Long Cay, and Ragged Island

* Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay,

San Salvador, and Cat Island

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

* Cuban province of Camaguey

* Turks and Caicos Islands

* Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island,

Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and

New Providence

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the border with Haiti

* Jamaica

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* Dominican Republic from Puerto Plata westward to the border with

Haiti

Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola, the Bahamas, and in the Florida

Peninsula and the Florida Keys should monitor the progress of

Matthew.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor

products issued by your national meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was

located near latitude 16.9 North, longitude 74.6 West. Matthew is

moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this general motion

is expected to continue tonight through Tuesday. A turn toward

the north-northwest is forecast on Wednesday. On the forecast

track, the center of Matthew will approach southwestern Haiti

tonight and Tuesday morning, move near eastern Cuba late Tuesday,

and move near or over portions of the southeastern and central

Bahamas Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft

indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (230 km/h)

with higher gusts. Matthew is a dangerous category 4 hurricane on

the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in

intensity are possible during the next couple of days, but Matthew

is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through at

least Wednesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the

center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles

(295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 934 mb (27.58 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach Haiti

tonight, eastern Cuba Tuesday, the southeastern Bahamas late

Tuesday, and the central Bahamas on Wednesday. Tropical storm

conditions are expected to continue spreading across Haiti tonight,

eastern Cuba by early Tuesday morning, the southeastern Bahamas

early Tuesday, and the central Bahamas Tuesday night, making outside

preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life

and property should be rushed to completion.

Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of Jamaica and

along the southern coast of the Dominican Republic within the

warning area tonight.

Hurricane conditions are possible in the northwestern Bahamas on

Thursday, with tropical storm conditions possible on Wednesday.

Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas in

Cuba and the Turks and Caicos Islands by Tuesday night with tropical

storm conditions possible on Tuesday.

RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in

the following areas:

Southern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic...15 to 25

inches, isolated 40 inches

Eastern Cuba and northwestern Haiti...8 to 12 inches, isolated

20 inches

Eastern Jamaica...5 to 10 inches, isolated 15 to 20 inches

The Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated 15 inches

Turks and Caicos Islands...2 to 5 inches, isolated 8 inches

Northeastern Haiti and the Northern Dominican Republic...1 to 3

inches, isolated 5 inches

Western Jamaica...1 to 3 inches, isolated 6 inches

Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely from this

rainfall in southern and northwestern Haiti, the southwestern

Dominican Republic, and eastern Cuba.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large

and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the

following amounts above normal tide levels...

Southern Coast of Cuba east of Cabo Cruz...7 to 11 feet

South Coast of Haiti...7 to 10 feet

Northern Coast of Cuba east of Camaguey...4 to 6 feet

Jamaica...2 to 4 feet

Gulf of Gonave in Haiti...3 to 5 feet

Southern coast of the Dominican Republic...1 to 3 feet

The Bahamas...10 to 15 feet

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge

and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur

well in advance of and well away from the track of the center.

SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions

of the coasts of Hispaniola, Jamaica, Aruba, Colombia, eastern Cuba,

and the Caribbean coastline of Central America during the next few

days. Swells from Matthew will begin affecting portions of the

Bahamas on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-

threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult

products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.

Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$

Forecaster Stewart


Trending