CBS12 Weather Center Blog
Weather news, facts and more from CBS12's meteorologists!
NEAR NORMAL WEEK... WATCHING TROPICS... SUMMER STARTS FRIDAY
06/17/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here...
NEAR NORMAL WEATHER THIS WEEK... WATCHING TROPICS TOO!
Normal rainfall pattern with morning coastal showers and then a few inland afternoon Tstorms. Rain chance is near 30% each day. Highs near normal 88 coast and beaches to near 92 well inland west of I-95.. around the lake near 95! Overnight lows near normal around 74 coast to near 72 well inland.
Tropical wave in western Caribbean has 40% chance of developing. Forecast computer models show any movement would be west to west-northwest across the Yucatan Peninsula and into the SW Gulf of Mexico.
Later in the week towards Friday some drier air and possible Saharan dust may move into our skies bringing hazy conditions and above normal heat for the First Day of Summer... Friday June 21 at 1:04 EDT!
The Week Ahead
06/16/13
Thanks for reading our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
After a sunny and hot Father's Day Weekend it looks like the dry weather pattern will linger for another day or two. Rain chances stay at 20% as upper level high pressure continues to suppress our atmosphere. Later in the week we trend back to the normal scattered shower and thunderstorm regime as that high pressure area weakens.
Meanwhile, in the tropics I've got a close eye on a tropical disturbance in the lower Caribbean. Wind Shear remains high and it is interacting with land. This means it will likely not strengthen much. However, there is a moderate chance of it becoming a depression if it can get over water during the next day or two. Computer Models keep this system far to our South. Nothing to worry about as far as we are concerned!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
HOT..... "FLAG DAY" FRIDAY... GREAT FATHERS DAY WEEKEND!
06/14/13
CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... FLAG DAY... AND FINALLY FRIDAY!
HOT today with light SW winds. The West and SW winds are the hottest for us. The 90+ heat builds in the inland areas every afternoon... but normally the E and SE winds blow onshore from the cooler ocean and keep that heat inland. BUT... any West or Southwest wind and ... that heat blows towards the coast! That's the set up for today and Saturday. The rain chance Friday is 30%.
Saturday still hot with 92 and only a 20% chance of an afternoon Tstorm. Fathers Day Sunday... the wind will turn more NE to E and it won't be as hot with highs near 88 coast and 92 inland and the rain chance only 20%. GOOD BOATING WEEKEND! Boaters will find winds light west and flat seas Friday and Saturday.. then a little more NE to East wind on Sunday with seas 2-3 feet.
HAVE A GREAT FATHERS DAY WEEKEND!
FINALLY NEAR NORMAL WEATHER WEEK....
06/10/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... the sun has returned with near normal hot and humid weather ahead this week.
Near normal ESE winds at 10-15 mph will allow for 20-30% chance for a few isolated coastal showers and inland afternoon Thunderstorms the early part of the week. Then a Tropical Wave passing to our south will increase the chance for scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms mid to late week. Highs back to near 87 coast to 92 inland! Boaters light SE winds and seas are ahead this week.
FLAG DAY is Friday!
Break in the Rain
06/09/13
We've gotten more than our share of rain recently. Since the beginning of June, Rainfall is almost 4" above the average at PBIA. Since the year began we've been drowned by 10" more than the average. (Drought...What's That?)
The beginning of the week features a brief break in the rain with chances only 20% each day of a quick shower or thunderstorm. Our wind flow from the surface up to 10,000 feet will be from the E-SE around High Pressure to our North. This is a drier pattern and also tends to blow the rain well West of the area during the afternoon and evening.
Later in the week the high will break down with rain chances going back to the normal daily scattered showers and thunderstorms.
More sun means more heat with highs 90+ for mid to late week.
Check the graphics below.
Thanks for reading the weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
RAIN CHANCE THROUGH SATURDAY... SUNDAY BETTER
06/07/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farell here.. chance of showers and tstorms through Saturday.
NO WATCHES... NO WARNINGS... NO ADVISORIES... BUT THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS.
Track thunderstorms.. get the latest weather advisories... get tropical updates and for FREE with our weather app at cbs12.com/inside!
Tropical Storm Andrea moving well north of Florida and away from the area... but SW winds will keep scattered showers and Tstorms moving through our area Friday and Saturday afternoons. The rain chance is 50% Friday and 60% for Saturday. Drier air moving in Sunday with the rain chance only 30%!
Boaters Small Craft Caution flags continue for gusty SW winds 20+ Friday... winds and seas decreasing Saturday and Sunday.
3 Confirmed Tornadoes
06/06/13
The National Weather Service sent a survey team to inspect the damage from early morning storms associated with Tropical Storm Andrea.
3 tornadoes were confirmed:
The first one occurred at 3:20 AM near Belle Glade.
This was a confirmed EF0 tornado with winds between 65-85 mph.
There was minor damage to trees and power lines.
The second twister occurred at 6:45 AM in the Acreage.
This was a confirmed EF1 tornado with winds up to 100 mph (See Graphic Below)
One person was reported injured. Trees and Power Poles were snapped and downed. The path length was 2 miles and the path width 50-100 yards.
The third tornado occurred at 8:10 AM near the Broward Line.
This was an EF0 tornado that occurred in a remote part of SW Palm Beach County.
Watching a Tropical Low
06/04/13
We're continuing to monitor a weak area of low pressure stretched out across the Gulf of Mexico. Upper level winds are blowing most of the rain well to the East of the center of circulation which is North of the Yucatan. Environmental conditions will become a little more favorable to allow the system to develop. There is a medium chance it becomes the season's first depression or storm. Computer Models take this system into the Florida Panhandle. The heaviest of the rain should ride along with the storm and pass to our West and North through Friday.
We can still see 1 to as much as 4 inches of additional rainfall in that time period with occasional downpours and isolated thunderstorms.
Download our CBS12 Weather App for updates on our weather anywhere/anytime.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
WATCHING FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.....
06/03/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here.... LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THIS WEEK!
Check the latest computer models and 7 day forecast below.
Also get the FREE CBS12 weather app to Track The Tropics and rain at cbs12.com/inside.
An area of clouds over the SE Gulf of Mexico has a 20% chance of Tropical Development in the next 2 days. Even if the area does not develop... all the clouds and rain will still move north to northeast towards South Florida the next 3 days! That means locally heavy rain developing over South Florida Monday afternoon... and lasting through Friday!
Locally a total of 4-8 inches of rain is possible between Monday afternoon and Friday. Flood Watches and advisories might be needed this week too.
GET OUR FREE WEATHER APP AT cbs12.com/inside AND TRACK THE TROPICS!
Wet Week Ahead
06/02/13
Thanks for reading our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michaell Ehrenberg.
Deep Tropical Moisture will continue to feed in from the Caribbean this week. This, courtesy of an elongated area of disturbed weather to our Southwest. There is a small chance that this system organizes into a tropical depression the next few days as it slowly drifts into the Gulf of Mexico. Look for rain chances at 60% for Monday. Most of this occurs during the afternoon and evening. (Check the RPM Model below). Frequent Lightning, downpours and gusty winds can occur with some thunderstorms.
Total rainfall through Friday Night will range from 3 to 6" with locally higher amounts possible. This would depend on the possible organization of the Gulf System.
We'll keep watching it for you!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
WEEKEND WIND DECREASING... WEEKEND RAIN CHANCE STAYS HIGH
05/31/13
CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... The weekend will finally have a break in the wind... but clouds and showers will stay around! Weekend rain chances will remain at 50%... with deep tropical moisture streaming out of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean. The rain chance at 50% for Saturday and Sunday.
Boaters... Small Craft Caution flags again for Friday with gusty East winds 20-25 knots and 3-6 foot seas. Finally a break in the wind this weekend! Gusty winds from the East will decrease to 10-15 Saturday and Sunday and seas will decrease too.
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND
Wet Pattern Persists
05/29/13
More wet days ahead for us!
Moisture will continue to stream in at the upper levels of the atmosphere from the South and West. Meanwhile, the flow around persistent high pressure located to our North will bring in low-level moisture. This means above average rain chances into Friday. A flood watch is in effect for Palm Beach County where an additional 2-4" of rain can fall on already saturated ground.
We're within 1 1/4" of breaking a rainfall record for the month of May!
Weekend rain chances will fall back to average (40%). Hopefully, there will be a little more sunshine then too.
In the meantime, try to stay dry!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
FLOOD WARNING PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 11 AM
05/29/13
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
815 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...
* UNTIL 1100 AM EDT
* AT 811 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS WITH VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY. RADAR ESTIMATES
AND RAIN GAGES INDICATED BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
FROM BOYNTON BEACH TO THE ACREAGE. BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED
FLOODING IN HOMES IN THE ACREAGE...AND OTHER REPORTS OF FLOODING
HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM BOYNTON BEACH.
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BOYNTON BEACH...DELRAY BEACH...LAKE WORTH...WEST PALM BEACH...
GOLDEN LAKES...GREENACRES CITY...HAVERHILL...LION COUNTRY SAFARI...
OCEAN RIDGE...PALM BEACH...ROYAL PALM BEACH...VILLAGE OF GOLF AND
WELLINGTON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.
WINDY WEEK AHEAD... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING TOO!
05/27/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here....
IT'S MEMORIAL DAY... PARADES AND CEREMONIES WILL BE BREEZY!
Strong high pressure will continue to produce breezy east winds 15-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph! That means Rough Surf... Rip Currents and Small Craft Caution for boaters probably the entire week ahead!
The rain chance will be increasing Tuesday to 40 percent and then up to 40 to 50 percent Wednesday through Thursday too. Winds will remain strong and gusty through the week too... and could increase even more Thursday and Friday!
Holiday Week Weather
05/26/13
Great Weather Timing.
You must admit, the timing for this drier and slightly cooler weather was ideal...just in time for the Memorial Day Holiday Weekend. We'll have one more day of this with mixed sun and clouds on Monday. Expect a high in the low 80s at the coast to the upper 80s inland.
The only "issue" are those pesky rip currents. Whenever you have onshore winds greater than 10 mph there is always that risk and that will continue until at least mid-week. With seas 3-5 feet Small Craft are also cautioned. Be safe if you'll be out on the water!
Moisture will begin to stream into our area at a deeper and deeper level beginning Tuesday. Notice the RPM Model below. It shows green (scattered showers and storms) returning on Tuesday.
Thereafter the normal daily scattered showers and storms will be with us for the rest of the week.
Thanks for checking our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
NEAR RECORD HEAT... THEN..... NICE BREEZY WEEKEND!
05/24/13
I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell... NICE ... BREEZY ... MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND AHEAD... FULL MOON TOO!
Expect a hot Friday with highs near 90 and near the record high 94 in Vero Beach! Only an isolated afternoon thunderstorm with rain chance at 30%.
A late Spring cool front will pass through Saturday and bring breezy and gusty NE/E winds at 20-25 mph! Weekend skies will be mostly sunny too with temps below normal high of 86... instead a little milder around 83. Saturday night will be the Full "Flower" moon!
Rough weekend surf with Rip Currents and Small Craft Caution flags for boaters. Stay near lifeguards and beware of dangerous rip currents. The NE/E wind will stay strong through early next week too!
HAVE A SAFE HOLIDAY WEEKEND!
Long weekend..big changes
05/23/13
Chief Meteorologist John Matthews with the weekend update. Get ready for a 90 degree day to start the weekend....then windy on Saturday. The winds will moderate our heat but raise the waves on the Atlantic, still looking for sunshine through the period and a nice dry trend too. Full update on CBS12 at 11.
Changeable Weather Ahead
05/22/13
Our Rainy Season is now officially underway. I'm sure you've noticed this the last few days with our showers, thunderstorms and flooded streets in many areas.
We will temporarily dry out on Thursday and Friday. The sun returns with only a scattered passing shower or thunderstorm. The rain chances however are much lower.
On the Memorial Day Weekend, believe it or not a weak "cool" front is forecast to pass through. This front will drop our temperatures by at least 5 degrees with noticeably lower levels of humidity, especially Sunday and Monday.
Don't expect it to last long, Tue and Wed of next week you'll notice the humidity creeping higher along with the chance for showers and storms. (The normal Rainy Season Stuff!)
Thanks for Reading!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
WEEK STARTS WET.... ENDS DRIER...
05/20/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a wet start to this last week of May.
A stationary upper level low over the SE states will draw deep tropical moisture across Florida for the next 3 days Monday through Wednesday. Rain chances will remain quite high near 50-60% for locally heavy showers and afternoon tstorms. Rainfall totals will be near 3-5 inches over the next 3 days too!
Towards the end of the week... Thursday through Sunday the rain chance will decrease to 20-30% through the long Memorial Day weekend.
Wetter Days Ahead
05/19/13
The average start of our rainy season is around May 20th. We will likely start it this week with higher rain chances and daily scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Colder temperatures at cloud level means a more unstable atmosphere on Monday and Tuesday. This means there is a chance for locally strong storms with frequent lightning, downpours and strong wind gusts.
One of our Computer Models predicts between 1 and 3 inches between now and Wednesday.
Keep those umbrellas handy!
Thanks for reading!
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Isolated showers in your weekend
05/17/13
Hotter days and higher rain chances ahead. Chief Meteorologist John Matthews posting the clouds that stuck to our coast today. The rest of the entire state was in super sunshine today. This higher moisture still around Friday night in some areas, Delray to Boca. Look for morning coastal clouds, isolated showers, a mixed sky for Saturday and afternoon showers likely. We'll get sunshine...but better chances of some showers as well. @jmatthewscbs12
Quiet Weather Ahead
05/15/13
We've got a very nice stretch of weather ahead for Mid May. Have you noticed how comfortable it's been? That's due to lower levels of moisture in our air. By the weekend as High Pressure shifts offshore, our winds will turn more out of the SE. This will creep both our temperatures and humidity higher. Look for us to get back to average May levels by the weekend. The higher moisture means that you can see a scattered shower or two.
BTW, if you're looking for something fun to do, why not come to the Treasure Coast Square Mall Hurricane Fair? The complete weather team will be there to answer all of your questions regarding the upcoming hurricane season.
Come out and meet us!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Great days...but heating up soon
05/14/13
Meteorologist John Matthews posting the temperature trend ahead. We were in the upper 70s most of the day today and ended up hitting 80. Wednesday nearly the same but warmer and warmer into the weekend. Enjoy some unusually milder days this week before the heat returns.
GETTING A BREAK FROM THE HEAT
05/13/13
Better weather ahead. Chief Meteorologist John Matthews forecast keeps you dry and in the sunshine. A cool front, very rare this time of the year, passed through our area. Clouds out and sunshine is back. However, gusty winds to follow as we go through the day. Sea waves increasing with the winds from the NE 15-20. Enjoy the change in temps and drier days too.
COOL FRONT COMING LATE MONDAY.... NICE WEEK AHEAD!
05/13/13
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell.... another Spring cool front moving through this Monday afternoon!
Highs once again quite warm and humid near 85! Only a few isolated late morning showers and afternoon Tstorms with the rain chance 30%. The cool front will bring sunny skies and cooler... drier... less humid air and breezy NE winds 15-20 mph Tuesday through Thursday.
BELOW NORMAL COOLER LOWS! Normal low is 70 and excpect lows near 60 inland to 65 coast this Monday night and into the rest of the week too. Highs will be a little below the normal 85 and closer to 80-82.
Boaters... rougher seas Tuesday through Thursday with the NE/E winds increasing 10-15 and gusty to near 20 at times.
Drier Pattern Ahead
05/12/13
An unusual May Cool Front will sweep through Florida Monday. Ahead of this front there is the chance for some scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm. The front will sweep off the coast Monday Night as High Pressure builds to our North. This high brings us N-NE Winds for Monday Night and Tuesday. Expect lows by Tuesday Morning in the low 60s on the Treasure Coast to the mid to upper 60s in Eastern Palm Beach County.
Highs will be a little below average for the following 4 days. With lower humidity it will feel quite nice out of doors.
Enjoy!
Regards
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
RAIN CHANGES...AND HOT TOO
05/09/13
Lots of sunshine today...followed by clouds inland, pushed by the seabreeze. A few storms formed on the cloud line and continue late into our evening. Look for a nice sunny Friday but more isolated storms likely to form in the hot temps ahead. Meteorologist John Matthews says temps up near 90 inland areas, mid 80s coastal.
More Nice May Weather
05/08/13
What a week of weather so far! I hope you've been able to enjoy some of it outdoors.
Unseasonably dry air will continue to filter our way around a large upper level low lifting through the Northeast U.S. However, starting Thursday afternoon, high pressure will move off the East Coast of Florida. The return SE-S flow will gradually creep up our moisture levels. With slightly higher temperatures it will start to feel quite warm during the afternoons as we head into the weekend.
Rain chances likely stay low into at least Saturday with plenty of sunshine and only an isolated shower chance.
Beginning Sunday (Mom's Day) the next front will approach. This will increase the chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms both Sunday and Monday. Behind this front we'll likely be in for another period of drier and slightly cooler air for the middle of next week!
Thanks for reading our weather blog.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
MONDAY COOL FRONT... MORE COOL NIGHTS-WARM DAYS AHEAD
05/06/13
CBS12 AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell here... more cool fronts ahead!
Look at the water vapor image and you'll see more "dry air" moving towards the state! Also, a few cool fronts moving in this week too!
This Monday afternoon a cool front moving through will bring us partly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of an isolated afternoon shower. Highs near 83...BUT COOL LOWS TONIGHT near 55 inland to 60 coast!
Another cool front moving through on Wednesday with little if any rain. That will keep the nights cool near 55 inland to 60 coast and the days stay warm near 80!
Comfortable Weather
05/05/13
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
A comfortably warm and dry stretch of weather is ahead this week. A large upper level low pressure (seen on the water vapor below) will move slowly through the SE US. The counterclockwise flow around this low will mean a W-NW flow of mainly dry air. A couple of weak surface troughs (reinforcements) will rotate through. One of these troughs can touch off a brief shower on Monday. The RPM hints at this.
Low Humidity will make it feel pleasant out of doors, particularly in the evening and early morning. In fact, low temperatures will run several degrees below average through Friday.
Enjoy it while it lasts!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Weekend weather better
05/03/13
Chief Meteorologist John Matthews tracking the system that brought our cloudy rainy week. It's forecast to pull away through early Saturday, bringing improved conditions this weekend.We still have rain chances but very scattered compared to recent days.Catch my TWITTER storm updates @jmatthewscbs12
RAINY DAYS
05/01/13
Chief Meteorologist John Matthews checking out our rain ahead for May. We're already off to a wet start. Nearly an inch of rain for our first day....we look for much more in the next two days. Today Okeechobee picked up more than 7 inches...the video from there looks like it too.In the month ahead, look for at least 5 1/2 inches of rain. It's back for Thursday and Friday.
STORMY... WET WEATHER DAYS AHEAD THIS WEEK
04/29/13
I'm CBS12 AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... get ready for some rainy days!
A cold front will be moving slowly into North Florida this week and that will help to draw clouds and deep tropical moisture into our SE Florida skies. Scattered to numerous showers and Tstorms will be developing EACH AFTERNOON .... THROUGH THURSDAY!
Rainfall totals could be quite heavy the next 2-3 days with amounts of 1-3 inches in some local areas... and up to 2-4 inches total for the next 3 days! Rough surf continues with RIP CURRENTS LIKELY! STAY OUT OF THE WATER OR... NEAR LIFEGUARDS if you do enter the water!
SUNFEST could start a little wet... and the chance for showers could remain for the rest of the week and into the SUNFEST weekend too!
FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER @chrisfarrellcbs
Wetter Days Ahead
04/28/13
Hasn't the weather been great lately?
April Sunshine, low humidity and a refreshing ocean breeze has made it very pleasant to be out of doors.
It's time for a change though. Winds will turn into the SE-S the next few days. This will increase our moisture. In addition upper level energy will aid to lift the air. This will increase our rain chances to 40% Monday and 60% Tuesday.
Our RPM Model forecasts between 1 and 2 inches of rain during the next 3 days. (72 hours ending Wednesday Evening).
Very unstable air will move across. This means we'll need to watch for locally severe thunderstorms each afternoon. We'll keep you posted on this!
Our wetter pattern can affect the first few days of Sunfest.
The better Sunfest weather occurs at the end of the week with drier air working in.
(Check the graphics below).
Keep those umbrellas handy!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Increasing rain chances
04/27/13
Chief Meterologist John Matthews looking ahead into next week. Forecast models increasing our rain possibilities by Tuesday....and extending through Thursday. No real organized system affecting us...but look for those afternoon storms to pick up the rain chances...about 40 to 60%. Enjoy the sunny nice weekend we're having.
NICE FRIDAY .... AND WEEKEND TOO!
04/26/13
CBS12 AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell here... GREAT WEEKEND WEATHER... except for one thing!
Nice weekend weather with mostly sunny skies and near normal highs 82 and lows near 68.
The rain chance is low this weekend only near 20 percent. A weak cool front over central Florida will move south and increase our weekend winds. Boaters will find seas a little rougher at 3-6 feet with ENE winds 15-20 and there could be Caution Flags for boaters this weekend!
Next week the rain chance begins to increase 30 to 50 percent by Tuesday... Wednesday and Thursday!
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!
Full moon night...super viewing
04/24/13
Meteorologist John Matthews says.....Great full moon viewing night tonight. Mild temps in the 70s, light breeze. It looks nearly full for Friday night too, and the weather also super to enjoy it. It rises about 9PM on Friday evening.
The greatest Radar
04/23/13
Chief Meteorologist John Matthews back from Melbourne after meeting with the Meteorologists the the National Weather Service today. Cool meeting, lots to discuss for the upcoming storm season. Here's a photo of their new radar which went operational earlier this year. Actually you just see the dome, radar inside. It takes an hour and a half to drive there by Corvette, red one in the parking lot. Yet that radar sees every storm we have here, instantly.Cool huh?
WET MONDAY MORNING THEN ...STORMY AFTERNOON
04/22/13
CBS12 AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell here... GET OUR NEW FREE WEATHER APP TO TRACK THE STORMS AT www.cbs12/search "WPEC WX"
A stalled cool front will bring morning showers this Monday... then HEAVY STRONG AFTERNOON TSTORMS! Storms this afternoon will be locally heavy with hail, gusty winds frequent lightning! The rain chance is 80%!
The front finally moves through late tonight wth cooler to milder lows near 62 inland to 68 at the coast! So slightly cooler. BREEZY and sunny Tuesday through Wednesday with NE winds 15-20 mph... then partly cloudy Thursday through Friday!
Boaters watch for increasing NE winds 15-20 and rougher seas Tuesday and Wednesday!
Weather Pattern Change
04/21/13
Thanks for checking our weather blog.
Our active weather pattern has one more day left in it. A stalled front will interact with high moisture and unstable air to produce more scattered showers and thunderstorms on Monday. Rain chances is at 50%. Storms can be locally strong with downpours, frequent lightning, gusty winds and even small hail.
So, make sure you have the umbrella handy and hold off on those beach or pool plans.
Drier air will work back in beginning Tuesday. This will return us to a drier April pattern with more sunshine and very low rain chances for the rest of the week.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Rain Coming
04/19/13
Check out our rainfall this year. In both Palm Beach County and the Treasure Coast the rainfall is 5-6" short of average so far this year.
If you haven't already heard, there's a good chance we'll make up some of that deficit on the weekend. Increasing moisture over our area will combine with a stalled front and instability to produce scattered showers and t/storms.
There can be locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds and strong winds in some of the storms.
Rainfall totals can vary widely with some parts of the area receiving over 1" and perhaps more.
Thanks for reading our weather blog.
I'm CBS12 Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg
Why on the weekend?!
04/19/13
Sorry to be the bearer of bad news (please dont shoot the messenger :/ ) but we're looking at the prospect for showers and storms spiking over the weekend.
A cold front (relax.... it won't be getting cold- it's just bringing moisture & clouds) swings in from the north and "stalls" over us. Now I'm not saying both Saturday and Sunday will be wet ALL day, but with afternoon heating... it's a pretty good bet storms will fire up.
As is usually the case with this setup, your best chance to get outdoor activities in will be late morning/early afternoon.
Highs will reach the middle to upper 80s with overnight lows around 70.
Drier weather will return by Tuesday. Have a nice weekend and stay dry!
Craig Gold
CBS12 StormTrac Meteorologist
Dry Then Wet
04/16/13
Our weather this week will feature a few dry days as a high pressure ridge located to our north and an upper level high to our West keep the shower chances low. (Sinking Air)
Wed-Fri will feature a mix of sun and clouds with only an isolated shower or thunderstorm.
By the weekend an upper level trough and cold front will enter the state. This will help to destabilize the atmosphere. With increasing moisture returning on Southerly Flow this will lead to an increase in our rain chances for both Saturday and Sunday.
UGH! TAX DAY.... MORNING SHOWERS....AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO...
04/15/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... it's tax day... but weather is still free!
A good chance of morning showers and then afternoon tstorms developing on this Monday. The rain chance at 60%. Highs still near 85-88 inspite of the clouds and afternnoon storms! Tuesday through Thursday nicer and drier weather with highs near 85 coast to near 90 inland. OH NO... OH YES...The next best chance of rain comes Friday and the weekend with another front coming close... but all the way through we could get rain chances near 50% Friday through Sunday......
Boaters... you are good to go with light SE winds 10-15 and seas 2-3 feet through Wednesday...on Thursday and Friday SE/S winds increasing 15-20 and rough seas.
Warm Week Ahead
04/14/13
Thanks for reading our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Our Monday Forecast features a warm muggy day with the 30% chance for spotty showers and PM Thunderstorms. It's been feeling a bit like summer these days and Monday will be no exception. Expect highs in the mid to upper 80s with partly sunny skies.
As drier air works in we see rain chances down to 10% for Tue-Thu. Towards next weekend there are some indications of increasing rain chances as an upper level trough heads toward Florida.
Highs each day will continue above the April Average (in the mid 80s).
HIGH RAIN CHANCE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
04/12/13
SLOW MOVING FRONT BRINGS GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS-TSTORMS
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... If you need something to do this weekend.. join me on Saturday in Belle Glade on Main Street at 10 am... for the 34th Annual Black Gold Jubilee Parade and then the cookout at Torry Island Rec Center!
A slow moving cold front will only get to about central Florida and Orlando before stalling! This will increase our SW winds and the steering currents will move showers and Tstorms NE towards our coast today and Saturday! The chance of rain is 50% for showers and Tstorms this Friday and 60% for Saturday. Sunday's rain chance will be only 30% with lighter SE winds. Highs will still be near 85 and very warm lows near 75.
Boaters... rough winds and seas on Friday... but deceasing SE winds and seas for the weekend
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND... AND SEE YOU AT THE PARADE!
2013 Hurricane Season Outlook
04/10/13
The Colorado State Team of Klotzbach and Grey issued their outlook for the 2013 hurricane season. They are calling for a busy year with 18 named storms, 9 of which are expected to become hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. There's a 48% chance that somewhere along the East Coast of the US (including Florida) a major hurricane will hit.
Why so busy? El Nino is forecast to be a no-show. This means vertical wind shear won't be inhibiting Tropical Development. In addition favorable wind patterns and lower pressures across the Atlantic are forecast by various computer models. Ocean Temperatures have been warming this year and are above average. This will likely continue into the peak of hurricane season. The warm ocean's latent heat of condensation which turns moisture into wind energy is a main driver for hurricane development.
Here's the bottom line for us. We can't tell whether a storm is going to hit us this year (more than a week ahead of time). However, the more storms that do form, the higher the chance that any one location will get hit.
So, it's always best to be prepared. Remember, it only takes the one storm that blows over your house to make you think it was a bad year.
Thanks for checking our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
WEEK STARTS NICE... LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCE GOING UP!
04/08/13
WEEK STARTS NICE AND DRY - THEN INCREASING RAIN CHANCE LATE WEEK!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lighter winds and sunny skies the next several days with near normal highs of 80 and lows near 65. Boaters finally lighter seas and winds through Tuesday ... but increasing SE winds and seas on Wednesday.
A slow moving cold front will approach on Friday increasing the chance of rain Friday. The front may not push all the way through and that could mean higher rain chances again on Saturday and Sunday!
Weather this Week
04/07/13
There's little change for the first part of our week. High Pressure won't move much and remain situated to our North. The clockwise flow will deliver us an Easterly Breeze. With stable air in place expect it to stay mostly dry with some sun each day and only an isolated shower.
By Wednesday our wind turns SE which will bump our temperatures up a few degrees.
By late week a cold front will approach Florida. This will increase our rain chances a little with scattered showers in the plan. Computer Models differ in the exact position of the front on the weekend. Right now we don't expect a whole lot of cooling with the front. We'll keep you posted.
Thanks for checking our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
RAINY FRIDAY.... NICE WEEKEND!
04/05/13
I'm AMS CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell..
MORE RAIN AHEAD FOR FRIDAY... BUT A MILDER AND SUNNY WEEKEND!
Expect periods of locally heavy rain and showers this morning and isolated tstorms into the afternoon too. The rain chance remains at 70% througout the day. A cold front will finally move through late this afternoon and early this evening.... clear and cooler tonight with lows near 60! Weekend weather is nice and sunny.. a bit breezy with NE winds 15-20. Highs near 77 and lows near 65 coast to a cooler 60 inland
Boaters... rougher NE winds 15-20 and rougher seas 3-6 feet through the weekend with Caution Flags and Rip Currents!
The Weather Ahead
04/03/13
Thanks for reading our weather blog today. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Our Wednesday weather looks decent for anything you might have planned outside. We'll see sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs in the lower to mid 80s. Expect SE Winds to average 10-15 mph.
A developing low pressure system and it's associated cold front will move East across the Gulf of Mexico on Thu/Fri. Upper level energy will be robust. This means a good likelihood of much needed rain for Thu Night into Friday. In fact there is the chance for isolated strong storms. We'll keep you posted on that!
Behind the front skies clear and temperatures get nice again...just in time for your weekend.
Check out the graphics below.
Enjoy the weather!
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Weather this Week
04/01/13
An upper level disturbance and trough will move across Florida today. You can see the added moisture in the water vapor loop below. What this means is some scattered showers and PM thunderstorms in the forecast for today (Rain Chance 40%).
Behind this feature some drier air will move in for Tuesday and Wednesday. This means lots of sunshine for both days with highs near 80 or in the lower 80s.
Towards week's end a low pressure system will develop and drag a weak cold front into Florida on Friday. This will once again increase our rain chances on Friday.
Right now next weekend looks decent with sunshine and pleasantly mild temperatures.
Thanks for checking our weather blog today!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Easter Weekend Warm-Up
03/29/13
Warming Trend Upcoming
Our chilly weather this week will gradually become a thing of the past. High Pressure gradually slips offshore. The counter-clockwise flow around this High means more of a NE flow on Friday afternoon. This blows in some patchy clouds but, all in all we're looking at a nice day with plenty of sunshine..highs in the low to mid 70s.
On the weekend our winds turn toward a southerly direction by Sunday. This means gradually warming temperatures with highs by Easter Sunday close to 80. That wind direction will increase our moisture. As a result there is a 20% shower chance on Easter.
Early next week we're back to 80s for daily afternoon highs.
Other than a random shower, it looks like we'll stay mostly dry with sunshine each day.
Enjoy your Easter Weekend!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Another cold night and big moon
03/27/13
Meteorologist John Matthews with a big wow for our night tonight! Great moon again tonight. It was officially the full moon last night, but looks full again tonight. Our clear sky tonight gives us the benefit of super clarity. We're chilly for Lunar adventures with the temps back down into the 40s overnight. Thursday should see a nice warming...but only the low 70s. Enjoy it before we get to next weeks mid 80 high temps.
Warm Up in our Future
03/27/13
Our unseasaonably cold temperatures are brought to us courtesy of a big dip in the Jetstream. This dip allows cold air from Canada to sink far to the South. High Pressure at the surface is delivering the chill on a Northwest to North wind.
If you're not a fan of the cold, just be patient, warmer air is coming. As the surface high moves to our North and East for Thursday and Friday the wind direction will change around. The cold Northwest flow veers to Northeast by Friday. This will warm us back into the 70s. By the weekend our winds turn East and then Southeast. This will warm those temperatures back to the average this time of year which is around 80.
In the meantime, enjoy those lower A/C bills and keep that extra blanket handy at night!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Big Cool Down Ahead
03/22/13
Thanks for reading our weather blog today!
A Spring Cold Front passed through and behind it Northwest winds will drive increasingly cooler air our way. You'll notice a big change in our temperastures today (Monday). Instead of highs near 90 that we experienced on Sunday, we'll only reach the mid 70s.
With plenty of sunshine it looks like a great day for outdoor plans. (Check the graphic below)
Temperatures for the rest of this week will be well below the long term average for late March. Average Lows are in the low 60s with highs near 80. Check out our 7-day forecast below. We'll be some 10-20 degrees below these averages!
In fact, we'll likely challenge if not break the record lows at some locations Wed and Thu Morning. Expect lows on those mornings 38-43 on the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee County to 44-49 from Jupiter south to Boca Raton.
I hope you still have that extra blanket handy!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Warmer Days Ahead
03/22/13
It looks like our chilly temperatures will rapidly become a thing of the past! Wiinds will rapidly veer into the Southeast to South on Friday and into your weekend. This change in the wind will bring in much warmer air and increasing moisture.
It looks decent for the Palm Beach Boat Show on Flagler Drive in West Palm Beach. (Check the graphic below). We'll see partly sunny skies with highs back into the 80s. There is the chance for a passing shower or two with gusty Southerly Winds.
Our next cold front approaches late in the weekend. This could trigger some showers Sunday and Sunday Night. It gets much cooler again behind this front for much of next week.
Enjoy the Weather!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Cold Front Coming
03/20/13
Hi and thanks for reading our weather blog today!
Your Wednesday weather will feature some warm sunshine with afternoon highs reaching the lower to mid 80s.
Check out our Rapid Precision Model below. It shows showers and thunderstorms for many areas. They'll occur this afternoon and evening. Some storms could be locally strong with gusty winds, downpours and lightning. The rain is courtesy of a cold front which will pass through overnight tonight. Behind the front our winds will shift into the North delivering drier and cooler air for Thursday and Friday.
It won't last long. By the weekend we're back in to the 80s.
Follow the rain on our interactive radar: www.cbs12.com/radar
Thanks again for reading!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
First day of Spring
03/19/13
Meteorologist John Matthews with your first day of spring update. A sunny start,,,but increasing clouds and a high chance of rain after lunch...and into the evening. Our normal high for this time of the year is 79...but we'll feel like summer in the low 80s. So our Vernal Equinox day will be quite changable, with temps cooler after tomorrow feeling more springlike for the rest of the workweek.
Rainy night, rainy days ahead
03/18/13
Meteorologist John Matthews looking at rain totals from today. About a 1/2 inch most coastal zones...but big downpours central and western sections of Palm Beach County. 2 1/2 inches south of the lake. Lots of rain still in the Gulf and tracking east...most should dry up before hitting the coast overnight. Tuesday looking good, but another chance for some scattered showers tomorrow and also Wednesday.
WINTER ENDING SOON... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING SOON
03/18/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... two days left in Winter! Spring begins officially at 7:10 am Wednesday!
A weak cool front approaching the state will be increasing the chance of rain Monday 40%, Tuesday 30% and Wednesday 50%! High temps will stay in the 80s this week and overnight lows in the 60s.
The front becoming stationary near the area COULD MEAN HEAVIER RAIN ON WEDNESDAY... we will have to watch for that possibility! Meanwhile boaters... no problems winds and seas will remain below any advisory level!
Warmer Days Ahead
03/16/13
Hello and thanks for reading our weather blog this weekend!
After some chilly days it looks like we have a warming trend to look forward to!
High Pressure slides off to our East. The return "clockwise" flow means winds from the South or SE the next few days. This is a warmer and moister wind direction.
Your St. Patty's Day features the luck of the Irish with abundant sunshine and warm dry conditions.
Looking ahead we'll have temperatures mostly above average (highs in the 80s). There is the chance for some scattered showers Tue or Wed. as a fizzling front moves across.
Enjoy the weather!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
LAST WINTER WEEKEND IS WARMER... NICE BEACH & BOATING TOO
03/15/13
I'm CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell...
It's the last Winter Weekend! Spring starts next week on Wednesday March 20th!
A warmer weekend with highs near 77 on Saturday and 80 on Sunday! Overnight lows will be near 55 inland to 60 coast! Lighter SE winds 10-15 mph. Skies sunny to partly cloudy.
Boaters... FINALLY... GOOD NEWS... light SE winds 10-15 and lighter seas at 2-3 feet so you are good to go on the water!
Have a great weekend and I will see you first thing Monday morning at 4:30 am.........
Rough Boating...but not for long
03/14/13
Meteorologist John Matthews with better news about the beach and boating. Winds will stay relaxed for Friday and light into the weekend. That means the waves will settle, the temps warmer and the weekend great for boaters and beach visitors. There is still an advisory for tonight and early Friday as the Atlantic calms down. Enjoy a great weekend!
Brief Chill Down
03/13/13
Thanks for reading our weather blog today!
It looks like some unseasonably cool air for this time of year will be pushing in on Northerly Winds tonight. Check out the lows expected on Thursday Morning. They'll range from the 40s on the Treasure Coast and West of the turnpike in Palm Beach County to the low 50s right along the coast.
High Pressure controls our weather with those Northerly winds bringing in fresh dry air. By the weekend our winds turn into the East. This will warm it up to near average and above by early next week. Expect plenty of sunshine each day.
Throughout it all there is little chance for rain.
Enjoy those weather changes!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Atlantic still rough these days
03/12/13
Meteorolgist John Matthews checking conditions for boaters tonight. No favorable, for Wednesday as the waves are still very high. The wind on Wednesday will also aide to the problem for boaters. Look for a strong north wind with gusts greater than 20 knots.For the rest of us on land, nice day, mostly sunny with temps in the mid 70s
RAIN THIS AFTERNOON.... COLD FRONT TONIGHT
03/12/13
CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here.... AFTERNOON RAIN AND COLDER TONIGHT!
CBS12 StormTrac radar shows showers moving west at 20 mph. The satellite photograph shows the front and clouds moving through Tampa. The rain chance is 50% this afternoon for mostly showers... only an isolated tstorm is possible.....and then COLDER tonight! Forecast model lows put the Treasure Coast in the upper 40s tonight and Palm Beach county in the 50s.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ... and rough surf 5-7 feet continue through Tuesday and into Friday! Rougher NE winds 15-20 Wednesday and Thursday will keep advisories and rip currents up at local beaches! Waves finally decreasing Saturday!
Colorado Ski Adventure
03/09/13
Weather has always been a passion for me. Anyone that knows me knows that I have a need for a little cold and snow each winter season. After all this is what fueled the passion for weather at an early age!
Skiing is one of my favorite sports from childhood.
This year I was fortunate enough to take a ski trip to Vail, CO. Vail is the nation's largest ski resort with over 5000 acres of slopes and back-bowls. The scenery and skiing are great! Lucky me the first day out on the slopes we received 6" of the white stuff!
It sure made for an enjoyable trip.
After skiing hard all day it's imperative that you stretch out your muscles, soak in the hot tub and relax. A stay at the Antlers in Lionshead Village certainly helped matters. (Check out the last picture below)
I don't know when the next ski trip will be. However, it's always nice to come back to the West Palm Beach area to thaw out and appreciate our sunshine.
Thanks for reading!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
CBS12 Meteorologist
Colder tonight than last night
03/06/13
Meteorologist John Matthews forecasting our temps to drop at least 10 degrees colder tonight.We're also very dry these days, the drought index reflecting the lack of rain, missing more than 3 inches in the past 2 months. The ocean looked great today, but sea swells expected to roll in later this week from the big snowstorm over the mid-Atlantic tonight.
Cold front on track for Wednesday
03/05/13
Chief Meteorologist John Matthews tracking out next cold front, coming through town for our Wednesday morning. Expect clouds and some random isolated morning showers. Then it moves out to get us back to a sunny day. The wind will be strong behind it,NW 15-20 mph... beware boaters.Temps will be mild for the day, but we're back to the 40s at night tomorrow.
COLDEST MORNING OF THE WINTER!
03/04/13
IT WAS THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE WINTER AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL TODAY! The official low at Palm Beach International airport was 38. The record low is 37! VERO BEACH was down to 31 and the record low is 28!
It's the first time Palm Beach International has been in the 30s this winter! Vero Beach has been in the 30s six times including 31 this Monday morning!
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... a sunny and chilly day with highs near 65. Tonight not as cold with lows near 50 coast to 40 inland. Warmer S/SW winds on Tuesday and Wednesday will bring highs to 75-78!
Our next cold front moves in Wednesday night with one cold day on Thursday... then warmer highs Friday through the coming weekend!
Another 24 Hours of "Not So Florida-Like" Weather....
03/03/13
A mixture of sun and clouds with a stray sprinkle south... highs remaining on the cool side only reaching the lower to middle 60s.
About as cold as we get during this stretch of prolonged unseasonably chilly weather comes Monday morning. Treasure coast will dip down into the middle 30s with patchy frost. Upper 30s for West Palm and Lower 40s for south county.
Slightly warmer on your Monday.... back to the upper 60s.
FINALLY back to the 70s for Tuesday and close to 80 for Wednesday!
Have a great Sunday!
Craig Gold-StormTrac Meteorologist
March begins chilly ..weekend outlook
03/01/13
Meteorologist John Matthews checking the weekend ahead. A series of cool front continues for the weekend, bringing in colder air for nights. Saturday and Sunday night get way down on the thermometer....low 40s, upper 30s inland. We're stuck with a lot of cloudiness too, but some sunshine periods. Daytime highs in the cool 60s, way below the normal upper 70s for this time of the year. I captured a satellite today to show the cloud potential ahead. Happy weekend.
COLD... CLOUDY WEEKEND DAYS AND NIGHTS AHEAD!
03/01/13
MARCH... IN LIKE A LION ... OUT LIKE A LAMB!
CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here AND A VERY COLD WEEKEND AHEAD! Skies will stay mostly cloudy this Friday through Saturday and Sunday. Normal high temps is 76 and the weekend highs will be about 10 colder than normal high.... near 64-66!
Overnight lows will be colder too! Near the coast and beaches expect about 40-45... inland areas especially north of lake Okeechobee and western Treasure coast counties expect some lows in the mid 30s! Some "pockets of colder freezing temperatures" are possible Sunday morning in extreme northwestern areas.
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND AND I'LL SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT... 4:30 AM! :)
Boaters... expect Caution Flags through the weekend with gusty NW/N winds 15-20 and seas 3-5 feet.
Chilly Trend Begins
02/27/13
We're off to our new colder weather trend, beginning tonight. Chief Meterologist John Matthews checking the temps ahead. 50s by morning and each night cooler and cooler as a series of cold fronts influences our temperatures. Daytime highs beginning this weekend will only be in the 60s, and cloudy cold for Saturday. No more 80s in sight for the immediate days ahead as we end February and begin March. I hope you like the cooler air, it's with us awhile.
Cooler Weather Coming
02/27/13
Thanks for checking our weather blog!
Did you feel the change in temperatures today? Instead of 80s we had highs only in the mid 70s during Wednesday Afternoon. That's because the first of 3 cold fronts passed through last night. In it's wake were cooler temperatures.
Thursday looks like a drier, more pleasant day overall. We get rid of the rain showers and increase the sunshine. Expect afternoon highs in the 70s. (Check out the Zone Forecast below).
Two more fronts will pass through later in the week. It gets progressively colder each time.
The big chill is on this weekend with morning lows in the 40s (some 30s North and West).
You'll have to break out the jackets/sweaters and extra blankets once again!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
LOTS OF CHANGES THIS WEEK... RECORD HEAT.. RAIN... COLDER AIR TOO!
02/25/13
CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... FULL MOON THIS MONDAY NIGHT... AND .....LOTS OF WEATHER CHANGES AHEAD THIS WEEK!
Near record heat this Monday afternoon with the record high in Vero Beach 85 and the record high in West Palm Beach 90! Normal highs are 75-77!
A slow moving cool front will bring a good chance of rain and thunderstorms on Tuesday with the rain chance at 50%! Wednesday a cool front brings cooler highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s for Thursday through Friday!
A stronger cold front Friday wil bring a sunny and windy and much colder weekend with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s!
Temperature Roller Coaster
02/24/13
Noticeable weather changes will occur this week.
If you liked our tied record high Sunday (88 in West Palm Beach!) you'll love the next couple days. Monday and Tuesday will feature more Southerly Flow bringing very warm air our way from the Caribbean. Expect highs in the mid to upper 80s both days.
A cold front approaches Tuesday. Ahead of it scattered showers and thunderstorms will affect some of us (mostly Tuesday Night and Wednesday).
Once the front swings through our temperatures begin a steady tumble. Another stronger front will bring a noticeable chill our way for the first few days of March. (Check out the graph below)
Thanks for reading our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Friday great...checking the weekend too.
02/21/13
Meteorolgist John Matthews forecasting a sunny Friday with temps climbing into the low 80s. Expect the breeze to increase with the afternoon and an isolated shower, but only limited rain possibilities. The weekend temps even warmer into the mid 80s or hotter in the treasure coast. Rain chances increasing by late Sunday or Monday. Three sunny days should ease the cloud situation we expect by early next week.
More weather at http://cbs12.com/blogs/weather?wap=0
Hurricane Cone to Change
02/20/13
The Hurricane Center is updating it's forecast cone for the season ahead. They've been working on improvements and requested input recently from some of us Broadcast Meteorologists. They're planning to tighten up the cone of error track. That's due to their improved forecast skills. You can read more in the Thursday edition of the Sun-Sentinel, where you can also find my daily forecast in their weather section.
Warmer Pattern
02/20/13
It looks like another warming trend is on the way. Surface High Pressure will gradually move to our East and Northeast. The clockwise flow around this high will change our wind direction from East to Southeast to Southwest the next few days. This will blow some warmer air our way. Check out those 80s in the graph below.
Meanwhile, there are plenty of things to do this weekend. The weather will likely cooperate with only a 10% rain chance both Saturday and Sunday.
At the Daytona 500 there's a 20% chance for a shower. Up there highs will only reach the 70s on Sunday.
Thanks for reading our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
A cool front without the cool
02/19/13
A few showers around tonight to smudge up our evening sky and viewing the big 70% moon. A weak cool front heading to town. No cool with it, but look for some cloudiness and possibly a few showers. Then we begin our warming trend for 80s.
COOL-BREEZY-MONDAY... Warmer Winds-Days Ahead
02/18/13
The cold snap is almost over! I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... those cool gusty NE winds 15-20+ mph are blowing lots of clouds onshore this Monday afternoon. Highs will stay pretty cool near 68-73. Lows tonight will be cool near 60 coast to near 50 well inland!
The wind will turn more SE on Tuesday and the rest of the week and those will blow warmer air into the area! Highs will return to near 77 coast to 80 inland... overnight lows will warm up too. Near 60 coast to 50 well inland.
Boaters... rough surf and Small Craft Caution flags will stay up unitl Wednesday when winds and seas decrease. NO MORE COLD FRONTS THIS WEEK.... WARMER HIGHS NEAR 80 Thursday through Sunday!
Weather this Week
02/16/13
After one more cold night with lows in the 30s and 40s, a warming trend comes our way.
Monday will feature winds veering form the NE to E. What this will do is warm our temperatures but also bring some ocean clouds our way. With partly cloudy skies our highs on Monday reach into the upper 60s.
By Tuesday our flow veers to the SE-S. Under partly cloudy skies expect highs reaching well into the 70s.
The next front will push through on Wednesday. Unlike the last cold front, there's little cold air behind it for South Florida. As a result we'll be back over 80 by the end of the week.
Thanks for reading our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
WET FRIDAY... COLD WEEKEND!
02/15/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... another wet day.. then a colder weekend!
A stationary front continues to produce clouds and showers for the entire area this Friday! The rain chance is 50% and highs will only be near 73! Rainfall totals will be near 1-2 inches in the next 24 hours! Expect the rain to last through this Friday night too.
Cold air begins to move in Saturday with partly cloudy skies and gusty colder north winds 15-20 mph...and highs near 73. COLDER SATURDAY NIGHT with lows near 35 inland areas to near 40 at the coast! Wind chills will be near freezing Sunday morning too! Sundays highs will be near 65 and lows will be near 45! Warming up on Monday to near 75 and near 80 on Tuesday!
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND AND I'LL SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING!
Weather Variety
02/13/13
Big Weather Changes Coming!
Are you ready for some rapid weather changes? It looks like a "cool" front will pass through our area on Thursday and then stall to our South. With the stalled front nearby, warm air gliding over cooler surface air will produce rain. The rain will be most likely from Thursday Afternoon into Friday. If you check out our total rainfall graphic below, you'll see that some areas could receive in excess of 2 inches!
Another stronger "cold" front blasts through on Saturday. Behind this front our temperatures will plummet to lows on Sun and Mon in the 40s. You on the Treasure Coast could see lows in the upper 30s or low 40s. Get that jacket ready!
The sun will return on the weekend. Highs Saturday will reach the 70s but won't get past the 60s on Sunday.
Thanks for reading!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
CBS12 Meteorologist
Hot and Cold in the next 5 days
02/12/13
John Matthews watching the rise of temps for tomorrow with a cold front moving towards south Fla. Big heat and strong southern winds will take us into the mid-80s. Clouds and showers likely for Thursday and Friday. Another cold front heading to our weekend with cooler temps, especially by night, into the 40s.
More on CBS12.com/weather?wap=0
Warming then cooling way down
02/11/13
John Matthews watching the weather trend this week. Enjoy your sunny warm Tuesday and Wednesday. Next chance of rain Thursday with a fresh cool front. Temps behind that much more seasonal. Chilly nights...in the 40s by the weeekend.
LOTS OF WEATHER CHANGES AHEAD... WARM... WET... COLD
02/11/13
Lots of weather changes ahead this week...from warmer than normal... to cooler and rainy.. to colder than normal!
I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell... mostly sunny and warmer than normal 80s through Wednesday. The the first cool front moves in with clouds and showers for Thursday and Friday with highs near 75 and lows near 60. The rain chance 40-50 percent for Thursday and Friday.
The second cold front moves in Saturday and Sunday with even colder air blowing in! Weekend highs near 68-70 and lows near 40 inland to 50 at the coast!
BOATERS ... Small Craft Caution now... but winds and seas decreasing Tuesday through Thursday!
Weather Changes This Week
02/10/13
Thanks for reading out weather blog!
For the first part of our week our temperatures will be getting on the warm and more humid side. High Pressure slides to our East. It's return SE-S wind flow will draw in warmer and slightly more humid air. Expect highs in the low to mid 80s under a mix of sunshine and clouds.
By Wednesday Night a cold front moves through and then proceeds to stall to our South later Thursday and Friday. The temperatures behind this front gradually cool down. With the front nearby, expect more clouds and the chance for some scattered showers both Thursday Night and Friday.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
WARM FRIDAY... NICE BREEZY WEEKEND!
02/08/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... hey check me out catching a fish below! Boaters rougher waves and NE winds this weekend mean you might have to fish from shore... like me!
Above normal highs this Friday! The normal is 74 in Vero Beach and in West Palm Beach 76... today closer to 82-84! Breezy southwest winds will peak at 15-20 mph... occasional gusts to 25.
A weak cold front pushes through tonight and brings us gusty Northeast winds this weekend near 15-20... with gusts higher to 20+ on Sunday. Temperatures stay warm this weekend with highs near 77 and lows near 60.
HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND... SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM....
Subtle Changes Ahead
02/06/13
Thanks for reading our weather blog.
It looks like we have a couple more days of warmer temperatures. SE-S Winds will increase a bit and this will transport warmer air our way. Expect highs on Thu and Fri to be in the lower 80s. With this warmer flow will come a bit more moisture. As a Cold Front approaches Friday we have our best chance for scattered showers then. Our seas will go from almost flat to 2-4 feet the next few days. The weak cool front will fizzle out as it moves through Friday Night. Behind this front our winds quickly shift from NW-NE on the weekend.
Don't expect much cool air behind the front. Our temperatures will drop only 3-5 and continue to stay above average.
Regards!
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Rain chances increasing
02/05/13
Meteorologist John Matthews looking at our rain chances ahead and where we've been. We missed a lot of rain since November 1st, only getting 23% of the average. While we all love our sunny cool days, it's good to water the grass and trees...and then get back to the sunny stuff. We have a chance toward the end of the week as I check the futurecast models. They will adjust each day but for now it looks like some showers in the plan before the weekend. Let's track it together and see if the models verify.
Early February days, warming
02/04/13
Meteorologist John Matthews looking ahead for you this week...and it should be a great one! High pressure in charge of keeping our sky very clear and our temps near normal...then above normal. Average high these days should be in the mid 70s...but the trend takes us warmer and warmer. We're staying very dry too. Enjoy the days.
COOL START THIS WEEK... WARMER 80s SOON
02/04/13
Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... sunny skies and cooler than normal highs Monday through Tuesday! Highs near 73-75 and lows near 45 inland to 55 coast. Cool N/NE winds 10-15 mph.
BUT... warmer SE/S winds Wednesday through Saturday mean warmer highs near 77 coast to 80 inland ... and lows near 55 inland to 65 coast!
No major weather systems head our way until our next cold front late Saturday! So light winds and seas for boaters and perfect sunny warm days and cool nights ahead!
Pleasant Week Ahead
02/03/13
Thanks for reading our weather blog!
It looks like a chilly night ahead for us. A re-inforcing "cool" front moved through today. In its wake an area of high pressure slides across the Gulf and across Florida. The clockwise flow around the high will funnel in some chilly air overnight. We'll all wake up to 40s by early Monday Morning.
Keep that extra blanket nearby and a jacket or sweater might be a good idea as you head out the door on Monday.
The High Pressure gradually slips off to our Northeast this week. This will shift our winds into a E-SE direction. This means a quick warm-up. Expect highs to once again head above average from Tuesday onwards.
There's little chance for rain with our dry pattern persisting.
Enjoy!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist
Cold Front Coming
01/30/13
A cold front will cross the area on Thursday Morning. This means some quick weather changes for us. Scattered showers are possible with the front during the morning hours. As drier air works in we could see some sunshine returning during the afternoon hours. Temperatures won't budge much with the cooler air filtering in. Expect highs to stay in the 60s on most of the Treasure Coast to the lower and mid 70s for Palm Beach County.
The "chilliest" morning occurs Friday. Expect lows to range from the upper 30s in Okeechobee County, to the lower 40s on the Treasure Coast, to the low 50s from Jupiter South to Boca Raton.
The high pressure behind the front quickly scoots off the Southeast Coast by Saturday. The clockwise flow around the high brings us Northeast Winds. This will pick up some ocean clouds and make our weekend partly cloudy with the chance for a random shower.
More seasonable temperatures will linger for many days.
Thanks for reading!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Next Cold Front
01/29/13
We have one more warm day ahead of us before a cool front jolts us back to normal. Wednesday will feature partly to mostly sunny skies with a low rain chance. S-SE winds 12-24 mph will boost our temperatures into the low to mid 80s!
The "cool" front will approach Thursday Morning with clouds and a 30% chance for scattered showers. Behind the front NW-N winds will drop our lows into the 50s by Friday Morning. Subtle re-inforcing fronts will keep our temperatures in the "normal" range for early February through the beginning of next week.
Thanks for checking our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist
Temperature Swings Ahead
01/27/13
WEATHER CHANGES THIS WEEK
Our beautiful weather continues this week with a slow warm-up. We have high pressure to thank for our nice weather. This high will gradually move off the Carolina Coast and scoot to our Northeast through mid-week. As it does so it will keep our skies at least partly sunny. As winds turn into the SE-S by Tuesday and Wednesday our temperatures warm back into the 80s!
Our next cold front approaches and moves through early Thursday. Ahead of the front scattered showers...behind it we cool down a bit for later in the week!
Check out the graphics below for more!
Thanks for reading our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist
PERFECT SUNDAY FOR BEACH... GOLF... TENNIS... ANYTHING!
01/27/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here....
PERFECT SUNDAY WEATHER... FOR EVERYONE... EVERYWHERE!
Vierwer photos from me (Chris Farrell) and Barbara from Highland Beach. I was hitting balls at the driving range in Boca Raton Saturday afternoon. Hit balls with a bunch of other nice people. Barbara's picture is of her little doggie "Sushi" taking a walk on Highland Beach. Perfect sunny skies, low the normal 72-74 and near 80 and lows near 60! Our next cold front comes in Thursday with a few showers and highs near 72 and lows near 52!
SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM!
Spectacular Weather!
01/26/13
Thanks for checking our weather blog this weekend. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
We have a great stretch of weather ahead! Skies on your weekend will be mostly sunny with afternoon high temperatures topping out in the uppers 70 to near 80. Nights will be mainly clear with patchy late night and morning fog. Lows in the 50s most areas.
The next cold front to our north will "fizzle out" before it reaches here. This means a gradual warm-up. Back to 80s for much of the upcoming week!
For you mariners and beach goers, conditions look good on the water as well. Expect North winds 6-11 knots on Saturday and NE 9-14 knots on Sunday. Seas will generally roll in at 2-4 feet.
I hope you can get outside and enjoy it !
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
PERFECT WEATHER DAYS AHEAD....FULL MOON TOO
01/25/13
CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here...
PERFECT FRIDAY AND WEEKEND TOO... FULL MOON SATURDAY!
Light winds and sunny skies for Friday and the weekend! No major weather systems coming our way. So sunny days and nice cool nights! Highs near 75 to 78 and lows near 53 to 58.
The full January moon rises at 5:47 on Saturday evening. It's called 'THE WOLF MOON", because in the early days the indians and settlers would hear wolf packs growling around outside their tents and cabins looking for food in the cold winter snow!
Boaters .. expect light winds and seas through Saturday, then a slight increase in NE winds and seas on Sunday!
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!
Cycling Adventure
01/23/13
We've got a great stretch of weather ahead! As a result, I couldn't resist and decided to take another ride on the ole' bicycle. I'm trying to find some new routes. Today I parked the car just south of Okeechobee Blvd on Flagler Drive in West Palm Beach. I put some air in the tires and was on my way!
This tour took me south on Flagler Drive along the gorgeous Intracoastal Waterway (check out the pics below). I rode down to Lake Ave in Lake Worth, hung a left and proceeded over the bridge to Lake Worth Beach. Plenty of people were out on the beach. I then rode North past Sloan's Curve to the main beach in Palm Beach. From there the ride took me over the Okeechobee Blvd Bridge and back to the car.
This was a 17 1/2 mile ride and with some stops along the way, it took about 2 hours.
On my ride I saw plenty of cyclists out enjoying the nice weather.
Thanks for reading!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
This Week's Weather
01/20/13
Thanks for checking our weather blog! Michael Ehrenberg here.
It looks like our temperatures this week will trend a lot closer to normal than the first few weeks of January. If you have plans to head to the South Florida Fair on the MLK Holiday you should be okay. Expect a partly cloudy day with a 20% shower chance. You can always duck inside the Expo Center if the sky gets dark!
On Tuesday the next cool front swings through. Behind this front the wind once again shifts to the NW-N which will cool us down. Highs Tuesday will struggle to reach the lower 70s.
There are some indications by our Computer Models of a much stronger front blasting through here by next weekend. Be sure to check back for further updates on this one.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist
COLDER FRIDAY... WEEKEND CLOUDY-MILDER-SHWRS TOO
01/18/13
FINALLY FRIDAY... FINALLY THE WEEKEND... FINALLY SOME WINTER WEAHTER TOO!
...Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... IT'S COLDER! Morning lows were in the 40s and 50s across the area! West Palm Beach morning low was below the normal 57 dropping to 51! Vero Beach also below normal 52 droping to 46! Cool and cloudy on this Friday with highs near 70... normal high is 74! Friday night lows will be cool near 60 coast to 55 inland.
WEEKEND WEATHER... mostly cloudy with a few showers the rain chance at 30%. Highs near 75 and lows near 60. Ne winds this weekend 20+ mph.
BOATERS... ROUGH WINDS AND SEAS! SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WINTH NE/E WINDS 20 AND SEAS 3-5 FEET!
Changes Headed Our Way
01/16/13
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
It looks like the long overdue change to "colder" weather will be occurring later this week. A strong cold front will enter the state on Thursday. Ahead of this front you can expect a warm and breezy Thursday with partly sunny skies. Scattered showers will likely form for some of us as the front gets closer Thursday afternoon. The Cold Front sweeps off the coast in the evening hours. Behind it NW Winds will drive much cooler air our way. Lows on Friday Morning will range from the mid 40s on the Treasure Coast to the lower 50s for Jupiter south to Boca Raton.
Gusty NW winds will veer around to the NE for Friday late into the weekend. This will be a wind off the water which typically means lots of low level ocean clouds along with the chance for a few showers on both Saturday and Sunday.
Expect very rough seas (5-9') with rip currents and beach erosion.
A Eastern US upper level trough will assert itself for next week. This means repeated shots of colder air which will likely last through the end of the month.
Thanks for reading!
Michael Ehrenberg
Appreciating our Weather
01/15/13
I'm always a big proponent of getting outside to enjoy our weather in South Florida and appreciating some of the beautiful scenery.
I'm sure you've noticed how warm and dry it's been this month. Well, one of my favorite things to do this time of year is cycling.
Last week I wrote about one of my expeditions.
This week I hauled the bike up to North County to Juno Beach Park. From there I headed North along the ocean to the Jupiter Lighthouse. (Check out the pics I took below).
Enjoying the ride I decided to get ambitious and set a goal of 25 miles for that day. This took me North into Jupiter Island. I figured I'd go halfway and then turn around. There were plenty of cyclists on this day enjoying the large homes and beach scenes (blowing rocks preserve) along the route!
By the time I got back to the car, my legs were rubber. However there was a certain satisfaction in what I had accomplished that day!
Enjoy the weather!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
April in January
01/14/13
Hi, I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg. We appreciate you reading our weather blog and welcome your feedback!
Our unseasonably warm January continues. So far this month the temperature at PBIA has been running 8.5 degrees above the 30 year average! With an upper level ridge anchored in the SE US this will continue to block cold fronts from getting near us. Surface high pressure stays to our Northeast. It's clockwise flow continues to feed in a warm SE wind flow. Highs for the rest of the week will run 80 or better each day.
There's always the chance for an isolated shower with those chances increasing to 20% later in the week.
That onshore flow will mean the chance for rip currents each day with seas running 2-4 feet.
(See graphics below).
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
NICE WEEKEND AHEAD... NEAR RECORD HIGHS!
01/11/13
RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND and HERE ARE THE RECORDS FOR: FRIDAY SATURDAY SUNDAY
WEST PALM BEACH 83 84 83
VERO BEACH 84 85 84
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... on this Friday sunny to partly cloudy skies with breezy SE winds 15-20. Lighter winds through Saturday and Sunday. The rain chance only 20% Friday through Sunday. BOATERS CAUTION FLAGS FRIDAY... then lighter winds-seas Saturday through Sunday. More above normal heat next week too!
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND ... SEE YOU TUESDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM
Enjoying the Weather
01/09/13
Thanks for checking our weather blog, I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Today, I decided to write about one of my favorite things to do in South Florida..cycling.
A few years ago I got a bike, and let me tell you, it's been quite enjoyable! Today, I took a 23 mile ride into the Grassy Waters Preserve. This area includes Apoxee Park in the Western outreaches of West Palm Beach, West of Jog Road and further North to Northlake Blvd in Palm Beach Gardens (near IBIS). Take a look at the pictures below. (A helmet of course is important for safety..do I look safe or what!)
Out in this wilderness area, you never know what you'll run into. Today I came upon a yellow rat snake. It seemed innocent enough so I got real close to take a picture! Fortunately, the slim fella slithered away and was never much of a threat. (phew!)
There are some stunning landscape views to be had out here. This only adds to the enjoyment of our sunny and unseasonably warm weather of late. Of course, there's more where this came from.
Thanks for reading!
Regards,
Michael E.
Above Normal Temperatures
01/08/13
If you like warm temperatures then the next week is for you!
An Upper Level High Pressure Ridge will build toward the West into South Florida from the Bahamas. Underneath this weather system the air will sink, warm and dry. What this does for us is keep our high temperatures much above normal in the lower 80s. (Normal highs are in the mid 70s). Rain chances will be almost non-existent.
If you're looking for something to do this weekend, you may want to check out the Stuart Boat Show. The weather looks good for this fun outdoor event (See graphic below).
Thanks for checking my weather blog!
Best Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
CLOUDY DAY....RAIN CHANCES... ABOVE NORMAL WEEK TOO!
01/07/13
Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... ABOVE NORMAL HEAT THIS WEEK!
A weak stationary front will keep skies cloudy this Monday with a 50% chance of showers and Tuesday a 40% chance of showers. Highs will stay above normal... near 80 too with overnight lows near 65 inland to 70 at the coast!
Above normal highs near 80 Wednesday through Sunday with no cold fronts coming! Lows will be above normal too near 70 at the coast to 65 inland.
Boaters... light NE/E winds and seas through Tuesday... Increasing NE/E wind and seas Wednesday through Friday.
Warm Days Ahead
01/06/13
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
If you like warm temperatures, this is the week for you!
A Cool Front will move into our area on Monday. This front will produce some scattered showers with a 30% chance for rain where you live.
However, the front never really makes it through here with the cooler air staying in North and Central Florida.
Later in the week an upper level high pressure ridge will build westward from the Bahamas. This ridge will effectively block any weather systems (i.e. cold fronts) from getting near us. With the Jetstream displaced far away we'll stay mainly dry with temperatures well above average.
Time for the Beach or Pool!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
WEAK COOL FRONT BRINGS WEEKEND CLOUDS... FEW SHOWERS TOO
01/03/13
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... THE WEEKEND IS FINALLY HERE!
A weak cool front will drift into SE Florida bringing cloudy skies Friday afternoon. Through the weekend skies will be partly cloudy Saturday, then mostly cloudy on Sunday. There is little cool air, but the winds will shift from SW to N/NE through Saturday and shift SE on Sunday.
Weekend Highs will be a few degrees above normal near 77-80.... and lows near 65 inland to 70 coast. The rain chance will increase to 30% on Friday and Saturday.. and 50% on Sunday!
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND AND I'LL SEE YOU AT 4:30 MONDAY MORNING!
Boaters... light E/SE winds and seas this weekend... you are good to go on the water!
COOL AND CLOUDY... THEN WARMER HAPPY NEW YEAR!
12/31/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... cool and cloudy for this last Monday of 2012... then a warmer 2013!
NEW YEARS EVE FORECAST TONIGHT :CLEAR TO P.CLOUDY- COOL 60 COAST 50 INLAND... Midnight near 60!
Our week ahead starts cloudy and breezy on this Monday with highs near 73 and cool SE winds 15-20. Then warmer SE to SW winds for Tuesday through Friday with highs near 77-80 and lows near 60 to 65. The chance of rain increases on Friday to 40 percent with our next cold front approaching!
Boaters... rough seas agin this Monday with SE winds 15-20 and seas 3-5 feet. Lighter winds and seas ahead Tuesday through Friday!
ABOVE NORMAL NOW... NEXT COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT
12/25/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies for Christmas Day and above normal highs near 80 too! Christmas night lows will be near normal around 55 at the lake to 60 at the coast.
A cold front approaching Wednesday with breezy SW winds 15-20 mph... highs near 82 and a 40 percent chance of afternoon showers. Colder Wednesday night with lows near 45 inland to 50 at the coast!
A couple of cool days Thursday through Friday with highs near 70 and lows near 50. Then another cold front coming through on Saturday with a 40 percent chance for showers. Overall pretty nice weather and near normal days and nights through the weekend! Boaters the winds and seas will increase slightly Wednesday night and Thursday.
Warm Up Ahead
12/23/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
The warm-up has begun. As high pressure moves off the Florida Coast our winds will veer around to the SE-S through mid-week. This warmer wind direction will boost our highs to above average for Christmas Day and the day after.
Our next cold front will approach on Wednesday. Ahead of it we'll warm back to the spring-like mid 80s. Scattered showers are possible with the front. Behind the cold front the temperatures will drop, but not nearly as much as the last cold front.
Enjoy the weather....and BTW Have a Very Merry Christmas!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
Cold for a few days
12/21/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Get ready for some cold temperatures overnight into Saturday Morning. Overnight lows will range from the 30s on the Treasure Coast and Inland Palm Beach County to the lower 40s from West Palm Beach South to Boca. A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect. NW winds 10-15 mph will make it feel like the mid 20s to lower 30s.
Our cold weather is only temporary. By Sunday winds turn around to the East followed by SE on Monday. This will warm the temperatures up fast. By Christmas we'll be back over 80!
Skies will stay partly to mostly sunny for the next several days.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
A STRONG COLD FRONT TODAY... FREEZING WIND CHILLS TONIGHT!!
12/21/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... Winter begins officially today.. AND IT WILL FEEL LIKE IT!! Highs for today...UNDER SUNNY SKIES this Friday... ONLY NEAR 62-67... and gusty NW winds 20-25 mph... with peak gusts to 30 MPH!
WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT! NW/N winds 10-15 mph... and wind chills near freezing from 11pm until 9 am Satuday morning! Weekend skies will be sunny, but cool highs near 63-68 and lows near 35 inland around the lake to 38 near the Treasure coast. Palm Beach County lows near 45 at the coast to 38 inland
ROUGH SURF FOR BOATERS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND TOO!
Strong Cold Front Coming
12/19/12
The last of the warm days will occur on Thursday. Expect partly sunny skies with afternoon highs in the balmy lower 80s. This occurs as SE-S winds transport warm air our way on the backside of high pressure.
A strong cold front will sweep through Florida late Thursday night and Friday. It's arrival here will bring some scattered showers for the first part of Friday. Behind this front gusty NW winds will usher in the chilly temperatures. Check out the 7-Day forecast below.
The core of the cool air will be here Saturday Morning. Lows will range from 35-40 near the Lake to 40-45 in Eastern Palm Beach County.
Expect lots of sunshine with the drier air behind the front.
Get those jackets ready!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist
Temperature Roller Coaster
12/18/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog!
Well, cold front number 1 passed through tonight. You may notice it a bit cooler as you head out the door on Wednesday morning. Overnight lows will range from the 50s on the Treasure Coast and near Lake Okeechobee to the lower and mid 60s in Eastern Palm Beach County.
By Thursday high temperatures will go back over 80 again with a brisk S-SW Wind.
Cold front number 2 is slated for Friday. Ahead of this front there will be some scattered showers.
Behind the front the wind picks up out of the Northwest. This will usher in cooler air. Weekend high temperatures will barely reach over 70s.
Overnight lows will range from the 40s on the Treasure Coast to the lower and mid 50s near the coast.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
WEAK COOL FRONT TUESDAY... STRONG COLD FRONT FRIDAY
12/18/12
MUCH COLDER AIR COMING THIS WEEKEND!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... a weak cool front passing through Tuesday afternoon and evening will drop temps about 5 degrees and turn warm sw winds to the nw and north 10-15 mph. Tuesday night lows near 55 inland to 60 coast. Wednesday and Thursday will be sunny to p.cloudy and warm with highs near 80 and lows near 60.
MUCH COLDER AIR MOVING IN FRIDAY! Expect a stronger cold front on Friday with clouds and a few showers the rain chance 40%. Friday night lows near 53 coast and 48 inland. Weekend weather will be breezy and quite cool with highs near 70 caost and 73 inland... much colder lows near 53 coast but 43 inland!
BOATERS expect rougher weekend seas with stronger nw/n winds 15-20 knots and small craft advisories and caution flags likely.
Temperature Changes This Week
12/16/12
Thanks for checking out the weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
In case you haven't noticed, December has been warm. Did you know that every single day this month our temperatures have been warmer than average? In fact at PBIA we are running 5.7 degrees on the plus side of normal.
Expect more of the same for the next several days. S-SW winds will continue to transport those balmy temperatures our way. The next "cool" front will pass through on Tuesday. However, all of the cool air with this front passes north of us. That front may touch off a shower or two as it passes, but nothing major. High Pressure quickly moves to our North which will mean a nice day behind the front on Wednesday with slightly drier air working in.
Later in the week a stronger cool front passes through. This will likely drop our temperatures and make it noticeably cooler for the weekend before Christmas.
(Check out the graphics below)
Enjoy!
Michael Ehrenberg
Weekend Looking Good
12/15/12
Other than a few passing coastal showers, above normal temperatures and just a few clouds will be the name of the game here. Expect highs once again near 80 for both days. Shower chances, while slim, are most likely overnight/early morning. Patchy fog may pose an issue during the overnights as well, especially inland/treasure coast.
No "major" changes in the long term.....Slightly warmer with a south wind on Monday. That'll get us into the lower 80s. We'll see our next cold front push through on Tuesday. That will bring us scattered showers and drop us back into the middle 70s for highs by Wednesday. Overnight lows by then will return to the 50s. So.... slightly cooler, but nothing too drastic.
Have a great weekend!
Craig Gold- CBS12 Storm Trac Meteorologist, AMS
FRIDAY CLOUDS & SHOWERS... WEEKEND WARMER... SEAS ROUGHER
12/14/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!
On this Friday a slow moving cool front has left us with clouds and scattered showers and breezy NE winds 15-20+. We will have a 30% chance of showers with highs near 77 and cool lows near 67 coast to 57 well inland.
Weekend weather will be warmer with highs near 80 and lows near 65 with only a 20% chance of an isolated shower. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES for Boaters... rougher NE winds 15-20 knots and seas 4-7 feet through the weekend too.
NEXT WEEK... MUCH COLDER AIR BLOWING IN ON TUESDAY WITH LOWS IN THE 40s and 50s TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY!
ABOVE NORMAL HEAT... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING
12/10/12
I'm AMS CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell.... The normal high is 77 and we will be closer to 85 the next few days through Wednesday! Normal lows are near 60 and we will be closer to 70 at night!
The skies will become mostly cloudy Tuesday -Wednesday and the rain chance will be increasing to 50-60% for Tuesday and Wednesday as a weak cool front approaches south Florida. Scattered showers and tstorms possible with some heavy rain too.
The front moves through Wednesday night ... Temperatures stay in the 80s through Wednesday, the slightly cooler highs in the mid 70s Thursday through Sunday with breezy and cooler N/NE winds 15-20+ mph.
Warm and a little Wetter
12/09/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
After a fairly decent weekend it looks like some changes are heading our way. Check out the forecast map below. It shows a weak surface trough (dashed yellow line) moving into North and Central Florida. Combine this with moisture continuing to get pumped into South Florida. The two will help to enhance our rain chances Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday the Cool Front gets closer.
The bottom line is a higher chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms from Monday into Wednesday.
That "Cool Front" passes through South Florida after Wednesday. However, just like with the last front, most of the cool air associated with it stays away from us.
Enjoy your week ahead!
Warm Pattern
12/07/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog.
Unseasonably warm temperatures will be sticking around for quite some time.
A weakening weather system to our East (Surface Trough) may kick off some scattered
showers today and Saturday. Most of the time we'll have partly sunny skies with afternoon high temperatures in the lower 80s. Rain chances head lower for Sunday with scattered showers returning early next week.
For you beach-goers and boaters, our seas will run 2-4 feet today and gradually weaken further on the weekend.
Enjoy the nice weather!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
Meteorologist
Weather Changes Coming
12/05/12
Our rain chances will be going up a little the next few days. Check out the water vapor below. It shows a vigorous spin in the atmosphere over the NW Gulf Coast. This represents atmospheric energy which will head into North Florida later Thursday. In combination with this a weak area of low pressure and cool front swing into the state as well. Both features will enhance rising air leading to higher rain chances (40% on Thursday). This means scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm for Thursday.
After that the front will sweep through bringing drier air and only isolated showers on your weekend. No cold air behind this front. In fact our temperatures will likely run a little higher than average for the next several days. (Check the graph below).
Thanks for checking our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
Dry December Days
12/03/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog...Michael Ehrenberg here..
We have a pretty nice stretch of weather coming up this week. Water Vapor shows deep layer dry air in place throughout the sunshine state. This will limit our rainfall potential. High Pressure will meander to our north. It's clockwise wind flow means a continuation of those easterly winds. This can always blow in a random shower here or there. However, there's only a 10 or 20% chance for rain this week at any given location.
Speaking of those winds, as the high to our North weakens and moves a little closer, the winds will relax a little each day. Today they'll blow East 10-20 mph but weaken to 10-15 mph from Tuesday onwards. This means 3-6 foot seas with the possibility of rip currents at the beach today. Expect slightly lower seas later in the week.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
Stormtrac Meteorologist
BREEZY WEEKEND AHEAD....MARATHON WEATHER!
11/30/12
GUSTY WINDS... ROUGH SURF... PALM BEACH MARATHON TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...gusty strong east winds through the weekend will mean rough surf and Small Craft Caution/Advisories too! Seas 4-7 feet and Rip Currents so stay near Lifeguards if you go in the water at all!
The 9th Annual Palm Beach Marathon will be starting officially this Sunday morning at 6:30 am... temps will be near 70 and gusty east winds 15-20 mph will blow throughout the race. There is a 20% chance of an isolated shower.
Above to near normal temperatures will continue through much of next week too with seasonable highs near 77-80 and lows near 60-65.
HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!
Winds to Return
11/27/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
The next cool front will pass through on Wednesday. Most of the cool air will bypass us to the North. However, the front will stall across the Florida Keys. High Pressure will build across the Carolinas. The Pressure Gradient between the two systems will force the wind to pick up. Winds on Thu-Sunday will be NE-E 15-25 mph with higher gusts. This means our seas will pick up to 5-7 feet and higher as we head toward the weekend.
Otherwise we'll have partly cloudy skies with the chance for a few spotty showers. Expect highs in the upper 70s with lows in the 60s.
Best Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
Nice November Weather
11/25/12
Hey There!
Michael Ehrenberg here with your weather blog today..
Our weather this week will likely continue the dry and mild pattern that we had last week.
High Pressure will scoot off to our East. The return "Clockwise" flow around this high means Easterly Winds and milder temperatures. Expect Highs in the upper 70s Monday and 80 or better on Tuesday. The next "cool" front moves through on Wednesday. Don't get too excited. Most of the upper level support for this next front lifts out to the Northeast. This means the front will lose a lot of it's cool punch by the time it gets to South Florida.
Bottom Line: Our temperatures stay near the average this week with only an isolated shower possible. Each day will feature some sunshine too!
Enjoy the Weather!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist
HAPPY THANKSGIVING WEEKEND! Cooler Than Normal Temps!
11/23/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell...
MUCH COOLER THAN NORMAL HIGHS & LOWS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
Several cold fronts moving through will keep highs well below the normal 78.. instead near 70-74! Overnight lows will also be well below the normal 64.. instead near 48 inland around the lake to near 53 at the coast! Cool gusty NW winds 10-15 will make it feel cooler too! Skies will be mostly sunny through the weekend too! Finally warmer next week with highs near 77 Monday through Tuesday and near 80 by Wednesday!
ROUGH SURF HIGHER TIDES AND MINOR BEACH EROSION! Small Craft Advisories and High Surf Advisories in effect. Also minor coastal flooding can be expected at high tide 4-7 pm through Saturday and Sunday!
Thanksgiving Week Weather
11/18/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog, I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
It looks like a comfortable and mainly dry week ahead for us. It should be easy if you have any travel plans across most of the sunshine state. Other then a random shower, rain chances remain low. Afternoon highs will be near or slightly below the later November average. (Check the graphics below).
Low Pressure offshore and its associated winds will continue to churn up our seas. Look for 4-6 foot seas Monday with seas increasing to 6-8 feet behind the next cool front later Wednesday into Thursday.
I hope you have a very enjoyable Thanksgiving Week!
WEAK FRONT BRINGS CLOUDS... FEW SHOWERS TOO
11/16/12
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY CLOUDS... WITH SOME SHOWERS TOO!
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... a weak cool front drifting slowly through the arae is bringing clouds and scattered showers this Friday. The front will be moving slowly through on Saturday too... meaning more clouds and scattered showers Saturday. The rain chance Friday is 40% and the rain chance saturday is 30%. Highs will be near 77-80 and lows will be near 60-65. Boaters.. Small Craft Caution through Sunday!
Next week for Thanksgiving expect mild highs near 80 on Monday through Tuesday... then another cool front passing through Wednesday and cooler highs near 75 for Thanksgiving Day!
Minor Weather Changes Ahead
11/15/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog today. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Well, it looks like some rather "boring' November weather will continue into the weekend! Now, I'm certainly not complaining about this. Here's the set-up. If you check the graphics below you'll notice the water vapor. This shows a fair amount of high level moisture streaming across us. This is the reason we've had periodic cloud cover the last few days.
Later in the week a very "wimpy" cold front will "limp" south through the state and shift our winds into the Northeast and North. This will drop our temperatures and humidity just a bit..making it more comfortable for your outdoor plans! Until this front passes we still run the chance of some spotty showers.
So, temperatures will trend a little below average on the weekend and early next week.
Enjoy the Weather!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist
MORE WIND... ROUGH SEAS AND WARMER WEEK AHEAD TOO!
11/12/12
WARMER WEEK AHEAD WITH NO MAJOR FRONTS!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lots of rough winds with gusts 20-25+ and that means rough seas 6-8 with Small Craft Advisories in effect through Tuesday. Dangerous Rip Currents are likely too! Gradually winds will decrease a little Wednesday through Friday. Seas remain rough through Thursday.
High temperatures finally back to near normal too with highs near 80... BUT lows will be a little above the normal 63... and closer to 70 with the warm winds off the Atlantic water.
A weak cold front will approach on Wednesday but will have little effect on our temperatures and rain chances.
No Big Weather Changes
11/11/12
Hi. Thanks for checking out our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
After almost 2 weeks of below average temperatures we've returned to a normal November weather pattern. Daytime highs this week will be within a few degrees of the average (81-80).
High Pressure centered off the Carolina Coast will weaken somewhat. What this will do is slightly reduce our winds. (It will still be rather breezy especially at the coast)
The next cold front moves into Florida during the middle of the week. The upper level trough associated with this front lifts away from us. This means the front will weaken and not be a big player in our weather later this week.
Enjoy the weather!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
Its Snowing!!..... (out west)
11/10/12
The picture below shows one of the 1st "dumps" of snow out west across the rockies and this excites me... As I mentioned last weekend, for those of us here in South Florida that enjoy the rush of hurling our bodies down a mountain in powdery snow... things are looking promising this year. In fact, another burst of snow is possible by next thursday as well. This is SO important early on in the season because it builds up a good "base." Last year was SO dry out there that seedlings and rock were exposed.... no bueno for skiers and snowboarders.
Meanwhile for those who prefer the only ice they encounter to be in their drinks, it's a mild and windy Vets Day weekend. Look for a breezy mix of sun and clouds and highs in the upper 70s Saturday. Closer to 80 on Vets day and quite windy with an onshore wind kicking the seas up to around 6 feet at times.
Have a good one & happy Veterans day!
Craig Gold, CBS12 Stormtrac Meteorologist, AMS
NICE WEEKEND WEATHER.... BREEZY AND WARMER
11/08/12
NICE BREEZY AND WARMER WEEKEND!
STUART AIR SHOW THIS WEEKEND!
INDIAN RIVER FIREFIGHTERS CHILI COOK OFF SATURDAY 5-9 PM RIVERSIDE PARK... I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell.... JOIN ME THERE!
Nice ... mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies this weekend with highs near 75-78 and lows near 55-65. Gusty NE weekend winds mean rough surf for boaters! Small Craft Advisory flags up this weekend and choppy inland waters too!
Warmer temps next wek too with highs near 80 through Wednesday and lows near 65. Our next cold front moves through on Wednesday night!
Chilly Temperatures Ahead
11/07/12
Thanks for checking out our weather blog, I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg. Are you ready for some more chilly temperatures? Well, we'll be getting them tonight. Check out the maps below. Much of our area will be sinking down into the 40s by early Thursday morning. The record low in West Palm Beach is 44. This will likely go unchallenged.
Still...keep those jackets and sweaters handy. You'll need them!
The winds will gradually veer around to the Northeast Friday and then ENE on the weekend. This always warms it up for us. It should stay dry and we'll get back to near normal by early next week.
Enjoy!
COOLER THAN NORMAL DAYS AND NIGHTS AHEAD!
11/07/12
MUCH COOLER THAN NORMAL HIGHS AND LOWS!
I'm Meteorologist Chris Farrell a few cold front passing through bringing much cooler than normal highs and lows! Normal high is 82 and we will be 10 degrees below normal around 72! Overnight normal low is 67 and we will 10 degrees below normal around 57!
Veternas Day weekend.... warmer and breezy with highs near 80 and lows near 65. NE winds 20+ mean rougher seas and caution and advisory flags are likely for boaters!
Delightful week ahead
11/06/12
John Matthews looking over the rest of the week. We have a cool front to thank for the milder temps we expect. Daytime highs in the 70s and night lows into the cool 50s. Also, we're forecasting sunny days all the way into the weekend. Early November, no major storms expected, but on the breezy side starting Wednesday. Enjoy the good weather.
CLOUDY MONDAY... ELECTION DAY RAIN!
11/05/12
A COLD FRONT APPROACHING WITH RAIN ELECTION DAY!!
I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell... cloudy skies this Monday but there is little chance of any rain... highs today near 77-80 and lows near 63-68. Tuesday a cold front approaching with cloudy skies and a 50% chance of rain!
Starting Tuesday night ... COLDER air blowing in for the rest of the week! Highs will be near 73 and lows near 53 Tuesday through Friday!
VETERANS DAY WEEKENDS... partly cloudy and breezy with warmer with highs near 80 and lows near 65.
The Week Ahead
11/04/12
Thanks for checking out our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Wow, what a nice weekend huh? It doesn't get much better than this. Sunny warm days and clear cool nights made it ideal. You can expect one more day somewhat similar to that on Monday.
After that, get ready for some quick weather changes. Low Pressure will dive down into North Florida on Tuesday. It's attached cold front will lift the air and lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday PM. Behind this front we get cool again. Temperatures will drop down to normal levels for January on both Wed and Thu.
Increasing winds behind this front will once again whip up our seas. Check out the forecast below for seas up to 6 feet on Wednesday.
I hope you have an enjoyable week!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
These chilly nights can only mean one thing.....
11/03/12
Ski Season's just around the corner!!
Yes, I'm well aware of the fact that we live in South Florida, and the only thing that resembles a mountain around these parts are landfills... But I'm jonesing for a trip out to Colorado, or maybe Utah ... ESPECIALLY since I skipped my yearly ski trip last year.
The good news is , my fellow skiers, an EPIC (see, I even have the ski lingo down) winter is expected for both New England AND the Colorado Rockies with above average snowfall expected. Now for those that don't ski, our winter outlook here in South Florida looks to be a bit cooler/wetter than the average (not that we need anymore rain, eh?).
So... what are YOUR favorite ski resorts, and why? I personally LOVE Breckenridge, CO and the Park City, Utah area. Would love to hear about yours on facebook. It may even influence where I hit the slopes this winter ... Just "like" my facebook fanpage and tell me: www.facebook.com/CraigGoldWeather
Have a great weekend and enjoy the beautiful weather- Highs around 80, plenty of sunshine and clear/cool nights with lows in the 50s (north/inland) and 60s (metro Palm Beach Co).
Craig Gold- CBS12 StormTrac Meteorologist, AMS
Perfect Weekend
11/02/12
John Matthews forecasting a perfect weekend for you this weekend. Temps cool and the wind light by night. Both Saturday and Sunday full of sunshine and temps near 80. That's great stuff following a windy weekend last weekend and wild weather up north. We're looking for a new cool front early next week, unfortunately attached to a big storm that will evolve into a Nor'Easter with another impact over the mid Atlantic and the Northeast. Stay tuned for updates and keep your concern for our Northeast people who are facing the post hurricane problems and very cold nights ahead. God bless them.
NICE FRIDAY AND ... PERFECT WEEKEND!
11/02/12
PERFECT FRIDAY AND WEEKEND TOO
TURN THE CLOCKS BACK ONE HOUR THIS SATUDAY NIGHT TOO!
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell...nice Friday and weekend too! Mainly sunny skies with highs near 77-80 and overnight lows near 55 inland to 60 at the coast. Expect light weekend winds NW Saturday at 10-15 to NE Sunday at 10-15 mph.
Boaters nice weekend water with seas 2-3 feet Saturday and 2-4 feet on Sunday. No advisories and really nice weekend weather all the way around! Our Next cold front moves through on Tuesday with a 30% chance of rain.
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!
NO RECORD COLD... BUT WELL BELOW NORMAL
11/01/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...
LOWS THIS MORNING 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL!
Normal low in West Palm is 68 and this morning down to 57! Vero Beach the normal low is 65 and this morning down to 54!
Warmer highs ahead near 77-80 today and near 80 on Friday! Perfect weekend weather with temperatures a little warmer with highs near 80 and lows near 60! The Normal high is 83!
Great water this weekend for the boaters with NE winds 10-15 Saturday and seas 2-4 feet.... Sunday winds SE 10-15 and seas 2-4 feet.
TURN CLOCKS BACK ONE HOUR THIS SATURDAY NIGHT!
RECORD BREAKING COLD THIS MORNING... More Below Normal Temps Ahead!
10/31/12
RECORD BREAKING COLD WEDNESDAY MORNING!
West Palm Beach broke the record low of 54 dropping to a new record 53 this morning! Vero Beach broke the record low of 48... dropping to 46! Both records were set in 1973.
I'm AMS meteorologist Chjris Farrell... Sunny skies and very cool highs again today near 72-74... The normal high is 83! We will stay cool with highs in the mid to upper 70s through Friday... then finally reach 80 this weekend. Lows will stay in the mid 50s inland to near 60 at the coast through the coming weekend too!
TURN THE CLOCKS BACK ONE HOUR THIS SATURDAY NIGHT!
Seas Settling Down
10/30/12
After days and days of a very rough ocean battering our beaches, we've begun to see some improvment. By later Wednesday the seas are expected to come down to 3-5 feet. There will still exist the chance for rip currents at the beaches so, swim with care and stay at a guarded beach.
By Thursday our seas should come down to 1-3 feet.
The lowering trend is due to Sandy's swell and wind no longer being a factor as the storm continues to weaken and move into Canada.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
NEAR RECORD COLD AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT!
10/30/12
VERO BEACH BREAKS RECORD LOW OF 46.... DROPS TO 45... . more near record cold air this Tuesday night too! I'm meteorologist Chris Farrell.
West Palm Beach low temperature this morning was 51... that 18 degrees below normal! The record for West Palm Beach Wednesday morning is 52 and that could be broken! Vero Beach has a record low Wednesday morning is 48 and could also break or tie that record!
The rest of the week will be sunny and cooler than normal with highs near 78 and lows near 60. Weekend weather looks nice with highs near 77 and lows near 60.
TURN CLOCKS BACK ONE HOUR THIS WEEKEND!
We finally get some cold air
10/29/12
The days we've been waiting for have arrived, and it gets cooler overnight. Early Tuesday morning we should see our first 40's of the Fall season. The record low for both West Palm and Vero is 46 degrees. There's a good chance we'll get close to that. This cool air is being delivered by winds from Superstorm Hurricane Sandy now impacting the NE. More later. John Matthews in the CBS12 weather center.
CHILLY DAY AND NEAR RECORD COLD NIGHT!
10/29/12
I'm meteorologist Chris Farrell and we are in the 50s!!! What a chilly morning! It's the first cold front of the season! Sunny and windy and quite cool today with highs near 70!
COLDER TONIGHT WITH NEAR RECORD LOWS! The record low for West Palm Beach is 46 and the record low for Vero Beach is also 46! Both of those records were set in 2008! Lows tonight near 45 inland to 55 at the coast!
ROUGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS! Higher than normal tides at 9 am and 9 pm can bring some coastal flooding to A1A with water and sand and beach debris spilling into the areas of A1A from Sebasitan all the way south to Boca Raton!
A chilly week ahead with highs near 75-79 and lows near 55-60 through Friday!
October Chill on the Way
10/28/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Are you ready to turn off your A/C? It looks like you'll have the opportunity during the next few days. The coolest air since last spring will be moving our way. In the wake of Sandy, gusty NW winds will continue to bring much cooler and drier air into South Florida. Overnight lows this week will dip well below normal (see graphic below). Record lows are possible both Tuesday and Wednesday morning.
Swells from Sandy will continue to impact our beaches. Seas will run 6-10 feet on Monday and won't return to manageable levels until the latter part of the week!
So, grab those jackets out of your closet and watch (but don't swim) in those waves this week!
Sandy Skips Town, Big Time Problems For Northeast/Mid-Atlantic
10/27/12
As Sandy continues to pull away from South Florida, our weather gradually improves.... The sun makes a return this weekend. One thing we'll still have to deal with however, the wind & rough surf. Surfers, you've GOT to be loving this- Offshore winds and nearshore waves up to 10 feet. But let me caution this: If you're not a VERY EXPERIENCED surfer, these next few days are a no-go for you.
Okay, now where were we.... Ah, yes... that's right- Sandy! MAJOR problems headed for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Not only will Sandy have a larger windfield than Irene (remember that one?), but the duration of those winds (on the order or 60+ mph with gusts to 80) will last 18-30 hours! Coastal flooding and beach erosion are one of many issues this storm will bring Late Monday through Tuesday. Flooding rains will help to soften the soil up. That... combined with high winds will undoubtedly lead to downed trees. Downed trees=downed power lines=power outages.
Did I mention this system could also bring 1 foot plus of snow to the mountains of West Virginia, Western Pa?! With cold air in place, a stalled out front ... and moisture from Sandy feeding well inland, it's a perfect setup for an early season monster snowstorm.
Btw, I still refuse to call Sandy "Frankenstorm." Just saying........
Craig Gold
CBS12 StormTrac Meteorologist
TROPICAL STORM WARNING TODAY... NICER WEEKEND...COLDER NEXT WEEK!
10/26/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell.....A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ENTIRE COASTAL AREA from Sebastian Inlet south to Boca Raton.
Winds 40 to gusts at 60 mph at the coast to inland areas where winds ar 25-35 mph.
HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 210 MILES EAST OF WEST PALM BEACH. The tropical storm winds of 40 mph extend 275 miles from the center.
AT THE BEACHES...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT, THE MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE MAJOR BEACH EROSION ALONG WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AT HIGH TIDE 7AM AND 7PM.
THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON WILL MOVE IN NEXT WEEK WITH LOWS NEAR 50 AT THE COST AND BEACHES TO 40s WELL INLAND... NEAR RECOR DLOWS ARE POSSIBLE!
Watching Hurricane Sandy
10/24/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg
Tropical Storm Warning in effect
We continue to keep a close eye on Hurricane Sandy. Sandy is expected to lift to the North and pass roughly 200 miles to our East during the day Friday. What this means for us is strong winds Thu Night through Fri Night. Winds will be from the NE-N at 30-40 mph with some gusts past 50 at times. These kinds of winds can blow small trees and large branches down. Scattered power outages are also likely.
Since we'll be on the "weaker" or "drier" side of the storm we expect occasional squally rainbands to drop mostly 1-2" of rain with locally higher amounts. Most of this will occur near the coast.
After that get ready for a rapid improvement on the weekend. Saturday still looks quite windy with only isolated showers. Much cooler air arrives for the end of the month next week!
COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT ... WINDY DAYS AHEAD!
10/24/12
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...COASTAL PALM BEACH.....A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS.
ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH......POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.
SITUATION OVERVIEW...TROPICAL STORM SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE BAHAMAS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. AS THE WIND FIELD EXPANDS, TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS
BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY
FRIDAY.
THE MAIN CONCERN WITH SANDY IS HIGH WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE
WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AS WELL AS STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS,
BEACH EROSION, MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST. ALSO, RAINBANDS COULD AFFECT SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL A POSSIBILITY.
.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.
STRONGER WINDS & ROUGHER SURF AHEAD... NEW 5 DAY TRACK
10/23/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... Tropical Storm Sandy will track through the SE and East Bahamas Thursday through Saturday. This will be hundreds of miles to our east. BUT winds will increase here 20-25 mph this Tuesday and Wednesday... then increase Thursday through Saturday 30-35 with gusts to 40! The rain chance will remain about 30% through that time with variably cloudy skies.
ROUGH DAMAGING SURF, BEACH EROSION AND POSSIBLE COASTAL FLOODING possible during high tide Thursday through Sunday!
COOLER AIR MOVING IN Sunday night and into next week!
Tropical Storm Sandy
10/22/12
T.D. #18 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Sandy as of 5 PM Monday Evening.
Tropical Storm Sandy is forecast to strengthen and move to the NNE across
Jamaica and Eastern Cuba. On it's current forecast track it will increase our winds
as it interacts with high pressure over the Southeast U.S. Winds from Thu-Sat will
increase to 25-35 mph with higher gusts. This will cause seas in excess of 10 feet,
rough surf, beach erosion and rip currents. If the storm tracks more to the left then we'll
have an increased chance for rain.
Check back, as you know that forecast track will change!
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT... WINDY... ROUGH SURF WEEK AHEAD TOO!
10/22/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... possible tropical development in the Carribean "may affect us later this week"... rough gusty winds at 20-25 mph today through Wednesday... then rougher winds 30-35+ possible Friday through Sunday! Beach Erosion... Rough Surf all inncreasing into the week ahead! Mostly Sunny skies and quite breezy Monday through Wednesday... highs near 85 and lows near 75 coast to 65 well inland!
Area 1...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF JAMAICA IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT... DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WELL TO THE SOUTH OF JAMAICA. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.
Area 2...SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ATLANTIC ABOUT 750 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE CARIBBEAN SOME DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
Watching the Tropics
10/21/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
The tropics are heating up once again!
I've got a close eye on developing low pressure in the central Caribbean Sea. The hurricane center gives this "blob" a good chance of developing into a depression or perhaps Tropical Storm Sandy during the next 2 days. Computer Models want to track this Low into the Central or Western Bahamas by late week. It's effects here will be most noticeable offshore. Strong gusty winds will cause seas by Thursday to be 8-12 feet.
If the low gets closer we could get some rain from it.
We'll keep you posted!
Weekend Cool Front
10/19/12
Thanks so much for checking out our weather blog.
A weak cool front will move through Saturday. Behind this front the winds will kick into the NW-N. This will filter drier into South Florida. You'll surely notice it getting more and more comfortable as we head through the weekend. Drier air means rain chances going down dramatically. So, no more of those scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Early in the week the winds pick up from the Northeast. This means rough surf, rip currents and beach erosion for those heading to the beach.
Enjoy your weekend!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
WARM FRIDAY... NICE WEEKEND... A LITTLE COOLER SATURDAY NIGHT!
10/19/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... NICE WEEKEND WEATHER AHEAD! Starting this Friday sunny to partly cloudy and warmer than normal with highs near 87 and a 40% chance of afternoon shower-tstorm. Saturday a weak cool front will move through with highs Saturday near 87 ... A LITTLE COOLER SATURDAY NIGHT... NEAR 63 INLAND AROUND THE LAKE TO 68 COAST... Sunday back to partly cloudy with highs near 84 and lows near 70!
BOATERS... NICE WEEKEND WATER.. Light NW/N winds 10-15 and seas 2-3 feet... slightly stronger NE/E winds and seas Sunday night then... BREEZY WINDS AND ROUGHER SEAS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY!
NO RAIN YET... MORE AFTERNOON SHOWERS-TSTORMS
10/18/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... starting sunny to partly cloudy then afternoon showers and storms possible the rain chance at 40% today. Friday and Saturday will be mostly sunny and warmer with highs near 87. Only isolated showers Friday and Saturday with the rain chance 30%.
Stronger winds begin to blow in Sunday and boaters can expect Small Craft Caution Flags by Sunday afternoon. Gusty strong east winds 15-25 mph will probablY last through Wednesday next week!
STILL NO COOL AIR!
CLOUDY SKIES.... AND AFTERNOON RAIN... STILL QUITE WARM
10/17/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... look for cloudy skies today as another weak cool front heads our way. The rain chance today is at 60% for "afternoon" showers and thunderstorms ... decreasing to 30% for Thursday and Friday. Still too warm with highs near 85 and lows near 75.... and still no cool air in our forecast through the coming weekend!
Boaters... swells from distant hurricane Rafael will begin arriving along our coast so expect wave heights to increase 3-6 feet. The waves will remain higher through Friday.
Changes Coming
10/14/12
Thanks for checking on our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
That gusty wind we had all weekend is rapidly diminishing. Winds on Monday will blow from the NE at only 10-15 mph. Spotty downpours will blow into a few locales from tonight into Monday.
On Tuesday another one of those wind shifts/dry fronts will pass through similar to what we had last week. This will lower our dewpoint temperatures into the 60s. The dewpoint is a good measure of moisture in the air. Whenever it gets below 70 we usually feel a bit more comfortable.Rain chances will go down to only 10 or 20% for the rest of the week. Overnight lows may fall into the 60s along the Treasure Coast and away from the coast in Palm Beach County.
Enjoy your week!
Busy in the Tropics
10/12/12
Thanks so much for checking our weather blog today. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Tropical Storm Patty continues to meander a little less than 500 miles to our East. Strong wind shear over Patty will likely tear her apart..turning into a remnant low at anytime.
That wind you've been experiencing is due to the interaction of Patty with a strong High to our North. The difference in pressure between the two will force the winds to blow during the next few days. This will cause rough surf and beach erosion with seas as high as 10 feet offshore. Be careful if you plan to spend some time on the ocean this weekend!
Dry air will continue to move our way with low rain chances for quite awhile.
Enjoy your weekend!
What's Up with our Weather?
10/10/12
Thanks so much for checking out our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
That drier weather pattern we've been talking about will gradually filter our way the next few days. High Pressure located to our North will continue to give us a N-NE flow. This air is coming from drier locations. The bottom line is low rain chances the next few days. The best chance for scattered showers will be Wednesday.
Meanwhile, I've got my eye on a tropical wave located well to our East. This system is getting sheared right now. It does have a 30% chance for slow development the next few days. Computer Models curve it away from the U.S.
We'll keep you posted!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
Waterspouts....
10/07/12
Over the last few days.... we've seen waterspouts develop just offshore of our beaches (specifically Palm Beach County).
I want to take a second to discuss the differences between these fairly benign, yet spectacular to look at "spin ups and their much more violent sibling.... tornadoes. While both look similar in appearance... Waterspouts usually form at the base of developing "cumuloform" clouds and last up to 20 minutes. Their winds are typically clocked at 60mph or less. These... keep in mind are the "benign" waterspouts. There are also "Tornadic" waterspouts. Those are the type we'll see here in South Florida with any landfalling tropical storm or hurricane because of the twisting of the winds in the atmosphere. These form due to the same conditions present as say a supercell thunderstorm in the great plains (tornadoes), and if they come onshore can be dangerous. 9 times out of 10, a waterspout offers a wonderful opportunity to snap a memorable picture without anyone getting harmed in the process, but.... mariners should always keep an eye out since their gusty winds can capsize smaller boats.
So there you have it.... waterspouts!
Craig Gold, CBS12 StormTrac Meteorologist
Today's Topic: "Stay-cations"
10/06/12
So here's the thing. It's about that time for a little "me" time.
I've got a solid 2 weeks of Vacation stocked up, but.... want to do something close... AND, on a budget. PLUS, come on, we live in South Florida where there's TONS to do. Many people have made suggestions like taking a trip west to Sanibel Island, or South to Miami. Apparently, you'll find good deals on Groupons/Living Social. So, now... I turn to you! All suggestions welcome on my fanpage: www.facebook.com/CraigGoldWeather
Be sure to "like" my fanpage while you're at it. Thanks everyone and enjoy your weekend!
Craig Gold- StormTrac Meteorologist
Saturday....Fun day
10/05/12
Here comes the weekend...you know it is soooo welcome..and lookin' good. Sure, we'll have the chance of a "few" storms popping up here and there (especially inland, you know who you are), but it should be a splendid day at the beach and coastal areas. There are some "minor" changes in the days ahead. As our winds change direction around to the Northeast on Monday, "slightly" drier air will work in so our rain chances will be pretty slim!
Enjoy your weekend and thanks for watching CBS12 News and blogs. John Matthews
Persistent Summer Pattern
10/05/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog today!
It looks like a persistent Easterly Flow will push most showers and thunderstorms well West of the Turnpike today and likely the weekend as well.
A weak "frontal trough" (yellow dashed line on graphic below) pushes through Monday. What this will due is shift our winds to a more NE direction. This will filter dry air into South Florida and drop our rain chances to 20%.
There's little cool air behind this "trough". We'll drop a few degrees back to normal and with the drier air, you'll likely feel a bit more comfortable out of doors!
Enjoy your weekend!
Gloomy days are done for now
10/03/12
John Matthews with an update on this day. We took the transition well, got blazing sunshine for a change and only a light shower chance for awhile. High pressure does the trick! West coast Florida has our cloudy rainy conditions for the rest of the week. Lookin' good sunshine.
Drier Pattern and New Depression Forming?
10/03/12
Thanks for reading our weather blog! I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
High Pressure will build West from the Atlantic and begin to dry us out today.
This means rain chances heading down to 30% for the rest of the week.
Meanwhile, it looks like a tropical depression is forming in the Eastern Atlantic.
It could become our next named storm (Oscar). No worries though. Computer Models
are in good agreement keeping this system far from us!
RAINY DAYS
10/02/12
John Matthews with an update on our rainy days. We're still in a soggy sandwich of rain over Florida and dry air to our east. High Pressure still struggling to get control over Florida. Once is does, we smooth out this rainy pattern. Models say better days ahead...but still respectable rain chances. Look for better days in the second half of the work week.
Wetter Pattern Returns
10/01/12
Thanks for checking or weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Weather ingredients will come together to increase our rain chances for the next
few days. Deep Tropical Moisture will stream in from the Caribbean on a Southerly
Wind Flow. Meanwhile, a weak cool front will press eastward across the Gulf of Mexico.
This front fizzles out and stalls in Florida on Tue and Wed. This will "squeeze" out the
moisture and bring our rain chances to 70% today and 60% on Tuesday.
Keep your umbrella handy!
TROPICAL WEATHER in your backyard
10/01/12
FROM CBS12.com senior web producer Scott T. Smith: We've had a nice respite from record rainy summer weather, but today through Wednesday we're looking at a lot of tropical moisture feeding us with thunderstorms. (WATCH THE VIDEO FORECAST)
A radar snapshot is below, (LATEST INTERACTIVE RADAR) showing storms already forming to our south mid-morning on Monday. Today, if the sky to your south darkens, you're likely to see some potentially heavy rains and gusty winds from a thunderstorm.
The pattern continues at least through Wednesday with a 60-70 percent chance of thunderstorms daily.
Also, we've got a new tropical wave in the Atlantic to keep an eye on. Good news is it looks like it will steer into the eastern Atlantic in a few days, FAR FAR away from Florida.
MORNING SHOWERS... WEEKEND WEATHER "SUNNIER & HOTTER"!
09/28/12
I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell. MORNING SHOWERS... THEN SUNNIER SKIES! The weak stationary front that gave us all the clouds this week is moving slowly away! That means sunnier skies and less chance of rain later today and into the weekend.
Expect some morning showers each day, but then sunny to partly cloudy skies Friday through the weekend with rain chance at 30% Friday and Saturday and 40% on Sunday! Highs will be above the normal of 87... near 90! Overnight lows above normal 75... near 77!
Boaters... light E/SE winds 10 and seas 2-3 feet through the weekend too... so good to go on the water! HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!
MORE CLOUDS...A FEW SHOWERS... HOT AND HUMID TOO!
09/27/12
I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell... The stationary weather front remains in place so.. another cloudy day with a 30% chance of scattered showers! Highs are still quite warm and humid near 88... the heat index "feels like" temp will be near 100! STILL NO FALL AIR! The weekend weather pattern will be a "little drier" with partly cloudy skies and highs near 90 and a 30% chance of rain each day...
MORE CLOUDY SKIES... AND SHOWERS AHEAD THROUGH FRIDAY!
09/26/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... a stationary front continues to bring clouds and showers the next several days! This little "fall front" will remain near our area through Friday... so the clouds and showers remain too! The rain chance will be near 40-50% through Friday too with the best chance for rain in the afternoon hours. Highs will be near 88 and lows near 78.
The weekend will be slightly better as the front finally moves north and we return to partly cloudy skies with the rain chance at 30% for the weekend.
CLOUDY SKIES... FEW SHOWERS... WARM AND HUMID!
09/25/12
LOTS OF CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS... STILL QUITE WARM AND HUMID!I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell
Today: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Lows in the mid 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent. Lows 73 to 77.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Lows in the mid 70s.
Friday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid 70s.
Saturday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid 70s.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid 70s.
Monday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s
NICE... SUNNIER... DRIER... WEATHER WEEK AHEAD!
09/24/12
A NICE FALL WEATHER WEEK AHEAD.... SUNNIER AND DRIER... I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell! A weak Fall front has passed through bringing drier air, sunnier skies and near normal highs and lows for the week ahead with little chance of any rain expect the normal isolated coastal shower!
Today: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers in the morning...then isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. North winds 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Friday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Autumn Begins
09/21/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog today!
Well, Autumn starts on Saturday and for South Floridians it means something different than the rest of the U.S.
We don't get a break from the heat until the latter part of October usually. At about that time our daily showers and thunderstorms "shut off" heralding the start of the Dry Season and more comfortable weather.
At PBIA the first time the low temperature falls below 60 averages November 3rd.
We still need to watch the tropics. Half of our Hurricane Hits have occurred from around this date forward into October.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
Soggy Pattern Continues
09/19/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm StormTrac Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Our weather pattern favors high rain chances the next few days. A slow moving upper level trough in the Gulf of Mexico will transport lots of moisture our way on SW winds ahead of it. Meanwhile, a cool front will sag into Central Florida and gradually fizzle out. This will act to "pool" the surface moisture and keep our low-level flow from the S-SW. Bottom line, scattered showers and storms in the plan each afternoon and evening.
Weather Check
09/17/12
Thanks for checking our weather blog, I'm Stormtrac Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
Our rain chances remain on the high side intoWednesday with scattered showers and
thunderstorms possible at any time. Deep tropical moisture is in place and will continue to feed in from the SW at upper levels and S-SE at low levels of the atmosphere.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Nadine will continue to move further away and slowly weaken this week. A weak disturbance crossing the Windward/Leeward Islands shows no immediate signs of development. However, we'll keep a close eye on it for you.
Regards!
LIGHTER WEEKEND WINDS... SUNNIER SKIES TOO!
09/14/12
LIGHTER WINDS AND SUNNIER SKIES FOR THE WEEKEND....DECREASING SEAS TOO!
Today: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Saturday: Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Sunday: Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 89. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
MORE WIND... MORE SHOWERS... MORE WAVES TOO!
09/13/12
MORE GUSTY ENE WINDS 20-25 MPH... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TOO! ....WINDS AND SEAS DECREASING SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
Today: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Friday: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast around 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SURF... FEW SHOWERS TOO!
09/12/12
ROUGH SURF... SMALL CRAFT CAUTION FLAGS THROUGH FRIDAY!
Today: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers in the morning...then partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Friday: Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Sunday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 30 percent.
FALL FRONT TUESDAY... BRINGS 'GUSTY MILDER WINDS"... ROUGHER SURF TOO
09/10/12
WEAK FALL FRONT BLOWING IN TUESDAY WITH STRONGER NE WINDS AND MILDER HIGHS.. ROUGHER SURF TOO!
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds around 5 mph becoming around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning... Then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Wednesday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Breezy. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
Wednesday Night Through Saturday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Weather Changes
09/08/12
Hi. This is Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg with a quick weather blog for you!
High Pressure will help us to squeeze out a mostly rain free but hot Sunday. High
temperatures, with SW Flow will reach the lower 90s in most locations. Expect a 20% chance
for a PM/Eve shower or thunderstorm in a few locales.
Thereafter an early season cool front and upper level trough will move into Florida. This will help to pool moisture and unstabilize our atmosphere. Bottom line..higher rain chances for Monday & Tuesday. Increasing NE flow for the middle of the week should dry us out a bit.
We all know that Leslie and Michael will stay far from us. A new tropical disturbance off the coast of Africa will likely become our next depression or storm sometime during the week. Computer models hint at a recurvature into the open Atlantic. However this is far from certain and bears close watching.
I hope you enjoy the rest of your weekend!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
FEW AFTERNOON STORMS... DEVELOPING ROUGH SURF THROUGH WEEKEND!
09/06/12
FLOOD WARNING STILL IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 10:30 AM THURSDAY...(areas in and around Loxahatchee Groves and Lion Country Safari still have standing water in some roads).
LARGER OCEAN SWELLS... ROUGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS LIKELY THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.. (hurricane Leslie 1000 miles to our east will produce rough surf through the weekend with wave heights near 3-6 feet).
Today: Partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. South winds around 5 mph.
Friday: Partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Light winds.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
FORECAST WAVE HEIGHTS BELOW
Rain Totals and Weather Ahead
09/05/12
Hi, Michael Ehrenberg here with your weather blog..
Some of you got tropical downpours today. Check out the rain totals of up to 3" in a
few spots. Winds gusted past 35 mph in parts of our area too!
Look for scattered PM Storms the next few days with even higher rain chances on the
weekend.
Meanwhile, a distant ocean swell from Hurricane Leslie will impact our waters on the weekend.
Seas will be 3-6 feet both Saturday and Sunday.
FLOOD WARNING PBC.... ROUGH SURF DEVELOPING... WEEKEND RAIN?
09/05/12
FLOOD WARNING CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 10:30 WEDNESDAY MORNING! RIP CURRENTS AND ROUGH SURF DEVELOPING THROUGH THE WEEKEND! I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell...
Today: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs 86 to 90. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Thursday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Friday: Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. South winds around 5 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s.
Sunday: Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s.
FLOOD WARNING CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY...SWELLS INCREASING TOO
09/04/12
* FLOOD WARNING FOR... CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...* UNTIL 1030 AM EDT WEDNESDAY ROADWAYS IN LOXAHATCHEE GROVES AND LION COUNTY SAFARI AREAS WHERE STILL FLOODED EARLY THIS MORNING...AND EVEN PORTIONS OF DEER RUN BLVD WERE STILL IMPASSABLE.
Today: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. South winds 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. South winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Thursday: Partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
Friday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Tropics Busy
09/03/12
The peak of the Hurricane Season comes up in one week (September 10th). This is historically the point where tropical storm genesis reaches its peak. Thereafter, activity gradually declines.
We have a brand new tropical depression..number 13. This small cyclone is over 2300 miles from us. It may briefly become the next tropical storm (Michael) before weakening due to wind shear in its path. It poses no threat to any land areas.
Meanwhile, Leslie is forecast to become a hurricane and possibly head toward Bermuda by week's end. A 1-2 foot ocean swell could impact the Treasure Coast Tue and Wed.
Locally, moisture will gradually be on the increase this week. What this means is a gradual increase in our daily scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Thanks for checking out our blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
Subtle Weather Changes This Week
09/02/12
We've been fortunate. Our Labor Day Weekend so far has featured plenty of sunshine and slightly lower moisture and temperature levels. As a result, you may have notice it was just slightly more comfortable? Expect this to be the case on Labor Day. We'll have mixed sun and clouds with only an isolated shower or storm in a few locations. Rain Chances only go up to 30% and remain there through the week.
Meanwhile, in the tropics Kirk has become a cold core low and no more concern. Tropical Storm Leslie will continue to slowly move NW-N the next 5 days and stay well to our East. It may throw a 2 to 3 foot ocean swell our way both Tue and Wed. (Surfs Up!)
A small low pressure area in the Eastern Atlantic shows little promise to cause any trouble any time soon.
Thanks for checking out our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
NICE LABOR DAY WEEKEND!
08/31/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell...*** FLOOD WARNING FOR... CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...UNTIL 830 PM EDT FRIDAY...A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.***Today: Partly sunny. A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday: Partly sunny. A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Labor Day: Partly sunny with a 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90.
FLOOD WARNING CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY... NICE LABOR DAY WEEKEND!
08/30/12
* FLOOD WARNING FOR... CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...* UNTIL 830 PM EDT THURSDAY... EXTENSIVE FLOODING ACROSS EAST CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY. THE NATURE AND EXTENT OF THE FLOODING IS SUCH THAT IT WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY EVENING AS IT WILL NOT RECEDE QUICKLY.
Today: Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 91. Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Friday: Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday: Partly sunny. A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. Highs in the upper 80s.
Labor Day And Monday Night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid 70s.
Local Weather and the Tropics
08/29/12
Michael Ehrenberg here with some good news! We started to dry out today. During the next several days we'll have only a 20-30% chance for scattered showers or t'storms. This likely lasts into the Labor Day Holiday Weekend.
The tropics continue active. As Isaac continues to cause major flooding on the Gulf Coast, we look to the East in the Atlantic. Tropical Storm Kirk...2000 miles away could become a hurricane. The track forecast keeps it well East of the U.S.
Invest 98-L will likely become a depression/storm. This storm needs to be watched. Currently, Models re-curve this system as well.
We'll keep you posted!!
FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES PALM BEACH COUNTY... DRIER DAYS AHEAD
08/29/12
...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR EASTERN PALM BEACH ...REPORTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY CONTINUE TO INDICATE EXTENSIVE FLOODING ACROSS EASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY. IT WILL CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING ...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
Today: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Southeast winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Thursday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Friday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Saturday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Labor Day: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 30 percent.
FLOOD WATCH PALM BEACH COUNTY... LESS WIND... RAIN CHANCE STILL HIGH
08/28/12
PALM BEACH COUNTY ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...FOR COASTAL PALM BEACH....INLAND PALM BEACH... AND METRO PALM BEACH. WITH POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY OVER PALM BEACH ..A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.
Today: Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Southeast winds near 5 mph in the evening becoming light and variable. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds near 5 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Light winds.
Thursday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent.
HIGH WIND ADVISORY... FLOOD WATCH...TORNADO WATCH TREASURE COAST ONLY
08/27/12
TORNADO WATCH TREASURE COAST ONLY UNTIL 11AM
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6PM FOR WINDS 25-35 MPH
FLOOD WARNING UNTIL MONDAY EVENING ALL AREAS
Today: Cloudy with rain likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Windy. Rain may be heavy at times. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusts in excess of 40 mph in rain bands. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Breezy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
Tropical Storm Isaac Update
08/27/12
Here is the 11 PM Forecast track for Tropical Storm Isaac.
Even as Isaac pulls away it will continue to affect our weather.
A Tropical Storm Warning and Flood Watch remains in effect for Palm Beach County.
A Wind Advisory is effective for the Treasure Coast.
A Tornado Watch is in effect for the entire area until 9 AM Monday.
Bands of Heavy Rain will continue to impact our area. These will cause local street and
highway flooding. Over 8" has been recorded in parts of Western Boynton Beach.
The stronger rain bands can spin up quick tornadoes.
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
Tropical Storm Isaac 5PM Update
08/26/12
Michael Ehrenberg here with the latest on Isaac.
The 5 PM advisory puts Isaac over 200 miles SW of West Palm Beach.
The track should take Isaac over the Gulf and into either the Panhandle of Fla, MS, or AL
during the midweek period. It will arrive there as a category 2 likely.
We'll continue to get gusty E-SE winds 25-30 mph with gusts past 40 overnight.
Bands of Heavy Rain will cause local street and highway flooding.
Monday features plenty of clouds. Frequent showers and storms will likely continue.
Winds: SE 20-30 with gusts to 40 still likely.
TORNADO WATCH....TROPICAL STORM WARNING... WINDS 40-60 TODAY... FLOOD WATCHES
08/26/12
TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT ALL AREAS UNTIL 5PM... ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS.....
TROPICAL STORM WINDS WILL BE FELT TODAY 39 MPH... WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH! LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL 4-8 INCHES... HIGHER TIDE 1-2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
Today: Tropical storm conditions expected. Mostly cloudy in the morning with rain likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Rain and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Rain may be heavy at times. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph becoming east 35 to 40 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 60 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.
Tonight: Tropical storm conditions expected. Cloudy. Rain and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening...then rain likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain may be heavy at times. Lows in the lower 80s. Southeast winds 35 to 40 mph decreasing to 25 to 30 mph. Gusts up to 60 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Monday: Cloudy with rain likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning...then mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Windy. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall in the afternoon. Rain may be heavy at times in the morning. Highs around 90. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
LATEST UPDATE ON ISAAC
08/25/12
StormTrac Meteorologist Craig Gold checking in with your latest Isaac Update.....
a TROPICAL STORM WARNING remains in effect for the entire area through Monday AM
Here's the thinking right now....
-Palm Beach County will begin to see "Tropical Storm conditions" by Sunday late morning. Sustained winds of 30-40 mph and gusts to 60 in some of the stronger bands of rain will be possible. This will spread to the TREASURE COAST by mid afternoon.
Here are the Threats:
Wind: Minor wind damage possible.
Rain: 4-8 inches areawide with localized flooding possible.
Isolated Tornadoes: Most likely Sunday afternoon-night. Quick to form and difficult to see (rain-wrapped) so pay attention to warnings that are issued.
Marine: Seas building 11-13 feet with locally higher seas reaching 17 feet. Beach erosion is possible especially in the afternoon as high tide occurs.
Stay with CBS12 for the latest updates at and track the storm using our "hurricane tracker" here on the website!
Further updates to follow......
Craig
TROPCIAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE VIEWING AREA!
08/25/12
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ALL AREAS! Tropical storm winds 39-60 mph are likely on Sunday with locally heavy rainfall of 5-10 inches POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY!
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Windy. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Lows in the lower 80s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph becoming 20 to 25 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Sunday: Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts to around 60 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.
Sunday Night: Tropical storm conditions expected. Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms in the evening...then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Lows in the lower 80s. East winds 35 to 40 mph
ISAAC STAYS WEST... BUT EFFECTS STILL TO BE FELT HERE!
08/24/12
.......... TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ... expected to continue for the next couple of days WNW.. on the forecast track...the storm should move into the SE gulf on Monday...and be west of Tampa on Tuesday... ...we will still have fringe effects from the storm with gusty winds on sunday 20-30 mph.. and monday 25-35 mph... with showers likely both days. Rough surf too! SUNDAY... WINDY! SE winds 20-30 mph and cloudy with a 70% chance of showers Highs near 85. MONDAY... Cloudy and windy! Rain likely! MARINE FORECAST.... NO ADVISORIES.... Winds S/SE 10-15 ....Seas...1-2 feet... ROUGH WEEKEND SURF WITH WIND INCREASING SE 20-30 KNOTS AND SEAS 5-10 FEET! ..... I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT ISAAC IS A LITTLE
STRONGER...SUMMARY OF ...INFORMATION-----
LOCATION...16.0N 70.3W
ABOUT 175 MI...SSW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 220 MI...SE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH......DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
----------------------THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.3 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH.... A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC
WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA TODAY...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN CUBA ON SATURDAY.... AND MOVING INTO THE SE GULF ON MONDAY.
ISAAC FORECAST TO BE NEAR SOUTH FLORIDA MONDAY!
08/23/12
Isaac is forecast to be near Key West as a possible category 1 hurricane monday morning... this would give SE Florida strong gusty winds and heavy rain all day Monday... possible flooding too with rainfall totals of 4-8 inches... stay tuned for updates. Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings are possible for our SE Florida area late this weekend. Strong gusty winds and heavy rain may be possible as early as Sunday... and any preparations should be completed by Sunday at the latest.
800 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012
...ISSAC MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
SUMMARY OF INFORMATION---------------
LOCATION...15.4N 64.8W
ABOUT 225 MI...SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST AT 13 MPH ......DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC HAS
REFORMED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH... SOME ERRATIC MOTION
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST COULD OCCUR THIS MORNING...BUT A STEADY MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD PASS TO THE SOUTH OF
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND APPROACH THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH......WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS....AND
ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY BEFORE IT REACHES
HISPANIOLA.
NEW TRACK FOR ISAAC... COULD APPROACH SOUTH FLORIDA AS HURRICANE MONDAY!
08/22/12
ISAAC COULD APPROACH SOUTH FLORDIA AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE MONDAY MORNING!
...ISAAC GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...SUMMARY OF ...INFORMATION
LOCATION...15.5N 57.3W ABOUT 280 MILES EAST OF CARIBBEAN ...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST AT 18 MPH...
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK--------------
AT 500 AM AST......THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.3 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH....AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS EVENING...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ON THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH.....WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...FROM THE CENTER.
NEW DEPRESSION FORMS... 5 DAY TRACK HERE!
08/21/12
...NINTH DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED...
SUMMARY ...15.2N 51.2W
ABOUT 715 MI...E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST AT 20 MPH..DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CYCLONE SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...AND EMERGE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY THURSDAY
MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
Tropics Getting Busy
08/20/12
Michael Ehrenberg here in the StormTrac Center.
The Tropics are certainly looking interesting!
We've got our eye on a developing Low Pressure area approximately 900 miles East of the Windward Islands. This system has a very good chance of becoming a Tropical Depression or Storm at any time. Computer Models take this system across Haiti and Cuba. There are possibilities for some impacts in our area by the beginning of next week. Still too early to tell what exactly.
Meanwhile, we continue with a normal August weather pattern. Steamy Sunshine will dominate most of the days. Afternoon and evening thunderstorms will be a daily threat. Rain chances may be higher early next week if the tropical system threatens.
Stay tuned!
HOT 90s... LATE AFTERNOON TSTORMS... WATCH FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT
08/20/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny and hot the next few days with highs near 92-95 and scattered afternoon tstorms... the rain chance 50% for Monday and Tuesday afternoon. Wednesday through Friday only a 30% chance of isolated coastal showers and inland afternoon tstorms with highs near 90.
TROPICAL WEATHER NOTE! AREA OF CLOUDS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF THE CARIBBEAN... CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY FOR ANY DEVELOPMENT AND FUTURE MOVEMENT...
Active August Weather
08/18/12
Michael Ehrenberg checking in from the StormTrac Center.
It looks like a normal August Weather Pattern for us.
Each day starts with Hot Sunshine and ends with scattered showers and thunderstorms for some of us (40% chance each day).
Storms can contain gusty winds, downpours and frequent lightning.
The tropics are heating up. Hurricane Gordon, now a Category 2 threatens the Azores with Hurricane Conditions.
SW of the Cape Verde Islands a tropical wave will likely become tropical storm Isaac over the next few days. This system needs to be watched. Many Computer Models move it into the Caribbean by late week.
NORMAL SHOWERS & STORMS.... NEW STORM GORDON NO THREAT
08/16/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... expect sunny to partly cloudy skies with the normal scattered late morning showers and isolated afternoon Tstorms with the rain chance at 40% for the day. Weekend weather will be a little bit drier with the rain chance decreasing to 30% for Saturday and Sunday.
TROPICAL STORM GORDON... well out in the Atlantic and no threat to Florida. It is moving northeast away from the United States and in a few days will be in the north Atlantic and possibly a Hurricane... NO THREAT TO FLORIDA OR THE UNITED STATES.
Rain Totals and Tropics Check
08/14/12
Rainfall has been quite variable across the CBS12 Viewing area this month. We've gotten soaked in Eastern Palm Beach County with rainfall almost 6" above average so far. Meanwhile those of you on the Northern Treasure Coast have had little rain (Vero Beach).
We'll have the normal scattered showers and storms each day. (30-40% chance on average)
Two areas in the tropics pose no threat to us.
An Eastern Atlantic Low may turn into a depression during the next few days.
The remains of T.D. 7 will push into Central America causing those folks lots of rain and some wind.
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
MORE SUN AND LESS RAIN AHEAD...
08/14/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will be partly cloudy then mostly cloudy on this Tuesday with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and tstorms. Highs will be near 90. The rian chance will be decreasing to 20% at the coast and 30% inland starting Wednesday through Sunday with highs near 90. Light Se winds at only 5-10 knots and seas near 1-2 feet through Sunday.
The tropical weather map continues quiet... with a few disturbances with small chances of developing the next few days.
Drier Days and Tepid in the Tropics
08/12/12
Michael Ehrenberg is keeping an eye on the weather for you tonight in the CBS12 StormTrac Center.
Well, we've had a pretty soggy weekend across parts of our area! Parts of West Palm Beach have received over 5 inches of rain!.
Afternoon Soakers will again affect many parts of the area on Monday.
As High Pressure and drier air builds back in from the East and SE...this will lead to fewer showers and more sunshine as we progress through our work week.
Meanwhile, the tropics are looking rather anemic. Both the remains of Tropical 7 and an Eastern Atlantic Low show little promise to develop. The track on the Caribbean System will likely be similar to what happened to Ernesto...bringing it into the Yucatan by late week.
The Eastern Atlantic Low is likely to recurve out to sea well East of Bermuda.
Enjoy the weather!
WEEKEND RAIN CHANCE ... NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND TRACK
08/10/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... a tropical wave moving into SE Florida will bring increased clouds and showers Friday and through the weekend too. The rain chance increasing Friday to 60% and 50% for Saturday and Sunday.
NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION NO.7... 2,500 miles away from Florida in the Atlantic... forecast to become Tropical Storm Gordon. The 5 day forecast track keeps the tropical weather system well to our south and in the Central Caribbean through Monday... Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. Follow the track closely to be sure it remains well to our south next week!
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!
RAIN CHANCE INCREASING... NEW TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT?
08/09/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... A Tropical Wave will move into the area on Friday increasing the rain chance Friday and into the weekend! Rain chance Friday is 50% and the weekend rain chance could be higher... near 50-60% too! Expect mainly cloudy skies this weekend with highs near 88 and scattered to numerous showers and tstorms possible.
TROPICAL WEATHER... a disturbance 1700 miles east of the Caribbean could become a new Tropical Depression or storm (Gordon) in the next few days. The area has a 70% chance of developing.
Tropics Check and Our Local Weather
08/08/12
We're still keeping a close eye on a slowly organizing Tropical Wave/Low out over the Eastern Atlantic. This system now has a 50/50 chance in the next 2 days to organize into a Depression or Named Storm (Gordon). Computer Models track it across the open Atlantic. It's still way to early to tell where this storm will ultimately end up.
Meanwhile, we've got one more mainly dry day ahead for us. After that Moisture will increase. This will bring back our normal daily scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Enjoy the Weather!
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
DRY DAYS AHEAD... WEEKEND RAIN CHANCE HIGHER
08/08/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... Nice and dry weather ahead for the next several days. Only a 20-30% chance of an isolated shower or inland tstorm. Highs will be near 90 coast to 95 inland. The weekend weather will be a little more cloudy with a higher chance for scattered showers and isooolated tstorms. TROPICAL WEATHER... Ernesto made landfall in Central America and is no threat to Florida. Another disturbance 3000 miles in the East Atlantic has a 30% chance to develop and become Tropical Storm Gordon.
DRIER SKIES NEXT FEW DAYS... WATCHING TROPICAL WEATHER
08/07/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will be mainly sunny the next few days with the rain chance for a coastal shower at only 20% near the coast and 30% for an inland afternoon thunderstorm. Highs near 90 coast to 95 well inland. Light Se winds for boaters 10-15 and seas 2-3 feet.
TROPCIAL WEATHER... a tropical wave continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles southwest of the cape verde islands. the circulation associated with the wave remains elongated...and upper-level winds are only currently marginally conducive for development. this system has a low chance...20 percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at about 10 mph.
2. shower activity has increased this morning near the post-tropical remnant low of florence...located about 1000 miles east of the northern leeward islands. however...environmental conditions are not conducive for redevelopment...and this system has a low chance...10 percent...of again becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at about 20 mph.
Checking the Tropics
08/06/12
Michael Ehrenberg with you in the StormTrac Center...
Things are changing in the Tropics. Ernesto continues to gain strength and will likely become a hurricane at any time. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula. The forecast track takes Ernesto through these areas and then briefly back out over the Southern Gulf of Mexico before moving back inland over Mexico.
Florence has disappeared! All deep convection is gone. The remaining swirl of clouds will track to the WNW out over the open waters of the Central Atlantic.
Closer to home, our rain chances are going down. The rest of the week features mixed sun and clouds with the normal scattered shower or thunderstorm.
Enjoy the Weather!!
WET MONDAY... TROPICAL SYSTEMS NO THREAT
08/06/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... LOTS OF HEAVY RAIN ON THIS MONDAY! The rain chance for this Monday is 70% for all areas! Locally heavy rainfall totals of 1-2 inches possible. Cloudy skies will keep highs to only near 85. Tropical Sorm Ernesto is no threat as it moves towards Central America. Tropical Depression Florence is 3000 miles out in the Atlantic and also no threat. In fact Florence may fade altogether and completely dissipate in the next 24 hours!
Locally... heavy rain for this Monday, then Sunny to partly cloudy skies with rain chances decreasing Tuesday through Friday to only 30% with highs near 90.
Tropics Get Busy!
08/04/12
Michael Ehrenberg is watching your weather in the StormTrac Center....
I'm keeping a close eye on 3 Tropical Systems. A Weak Tropical Wave/Low Pressure System is moving through Florida. Because of land interaction no development is expected. However, it will add moisture to our atmosphere and keep our rain chances high the next few days (50-60%).
Tropical Storm Ernesto will likely gain strength as he moves across the Caribbean. Light Wind Shear and Hot water will aid in its future intensification. Ernesto stays safely South of us.
Finally, Tropical Storm Florence. Only 2 other times in Hurricane History has the 6th named storm formed so early in the season!
As Florence gains latitude she'll encounter a hostile environment of Saharan Dust, Dry Air and increasing vertical wind shear. She'll likely weaken as she moves WNW-NW over the open waters of the Eastern and Central Atlantic.
WEEKEND SHOWERS...WATCH TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO TRACK
08/03/12
TROPICAL WAVE... near Bahamas has 10% chance of Tropical Development. The wave will move into SE Florida with clouds and showers this weekend. The rain chance will increase to 50% for Saturday and Sunday with variably cloudy skies and highs near 88. Weekend Boating will have a slightly rougher seas at 2-3 feet as winds increase SE 10-15 with higher gusts through Sunday.
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO...The Official National Hurricane Center 5 day forecast track keeps Ernesto to our south through the weekend and into Wednesday. HOWEVER... watch the track closely through the weekend for any changes that might bring the track further north... we always follow the track closely for any changes!
LATEST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5
08/02/12
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ...LOCATED 2000 MILES ESE OF WEST PALM BEACH. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH... A
WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BE NEAR THE CARIBBEAN ON FRIDAY. SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION IS POORLY
ORGANIZED... AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.
Tropical Depression 5
08/01/12
Tropical Depression 5 was born late this afternoon. This system will likely strengthen into Tropical Storm Ernesto shortly. The official forecast track moves this system into the Caribbean over the weekend. It's possible that it will turn into a hurricane by early next week. It's too early too tell where this system will ultimately move.
For the very latest on this storm and future storms check out our Hurricane Tracker link:
http://www.cbs12.com/weather/features/hurricane-tracker/
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
WATCH FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT....
08/01/12
Area of clouds 1100 miles east of the Caribbean has become better organized and could become a Tropical Depression in the next few days. The chance of develpment now is 60%. Computer models move the possible Tropical system west into the Caribbean early next week. MONITOR THE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS TROPICAL WEATHER SYSTEM....
Hot Week and Tropics Getting Active
07/30/12
Michael Ehrenberg blogging with you this evening in the StormTrac Center.
We're in for some fairly normal Late July/Early August Weather. Each day starts with steamy hot sunshine. Scattered Storms will fire along the sea-breeze...mainly away from the coast during the afternoon and early evening. Rain chances do go up a little into the weekend.
Meanwhile, in the tropics we've got our eye on a tropical wave halfway across the Atlantic.
Light Wind Shear in its path and warm ocean temperatures will favor slow development of
this system. Some of the Computer Models take it into the Caribbean by Saturday.
Check back for further developments as the week progresses!
Regards!
MORE HOT 90s... TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...TWO FULL MOON IN AUGUST
07/30/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... More heat ahead this week with highs near 92 coast and 95 well inland. The rain cahnce at 20% for coastal showers and 40% for an inland tstorm through Friday. TROPICAL WEATHER... area of clouds about 1000 miles off the coast of Africa has a 20% chance of development next 48 hours... but a better chance of development mid to late week towards Thursday and Friday. No threat to any land area.
The month of August begins Wednesday with a full moon Wednesday night! That full moon is the "Sturgeon Moon" after the Great Lakes fish caught during the month... the next full moon is August 31st... and the second full moon of any month is always called the "Blue Moon"!
Dry Pattern Continues
07/28/12
Michael Ehrenberg checking in from the StormTrac Center.
It looks like our dry weather pattern should linger for another few days. African dust and dry air will keep our rain chances between 10-20% into Tuesday.
Thereafter, we'll get back into our normal routine of scattered mainly PM showers and thunderstorms.
The nearby tropics are virtually cloud-free with very little activity.
Enjoy the weather!
Drier Days and a Tropics Check
07/25/12
July and 2012 have been very wet in many parts of our area. We deserve a break and we're getting one. A High Pressure Ridge will remain anchored near and to our South during the next several days. This will give us a Southerly Flow of very warm and humid air. In the upper levels African dust will continue to suppress convection. The bottom line...very low rain chances with only isolated showers and thunderstorms through the weekend.
In the tropics we see a cluster of thunderstorms in the Northeast Gulf of Mexico. In addition a Non-Tropical Low North of Bermuda continues to head further away from the U.S. Neither system shows much promise of development.
Thanks for checking our weather blog!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist.
The Week Ahead
07/23/12
Michael Ehrenberg in the StormTrac Center...
We'll have another wet day today. Morning Rains will yield to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This is due to a slow moving trough of Low Pressure (formerly a tropical wave) moving through. This feature will move away as high pressure builds in for Tuesday and the rest of the week. Lower Rain chances can be expected then as our atmosphere dries out!
Enjoy the Weather!
Drying Out
07/18/12
Michael Ehrenberg here in the StormTrac Center.
Looks like our weather pattern will be undergoing a transition. The Upper Level Low that made it so unstable around here is lifting away from South Florida and weakening. Drier air air will advect in from the E and SE. This dry air has some African Dust in it. As high pressure builds in from that direction, the sinking air and African Dust will help to suppress convection and increase our heat.
Afternoon highs will hike back into the low 90s with the Heat Index reaching 105+ in a few areas away from the coast.
CLOUDY TUESDAY... RAIN CHANCE HIGH... DECREASING WEDNESDAY
07/17/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... mostly cloudy skies and a good chance of rain again! The rain chance Tuesday is 50% for Palm Beach County and 60% for the Treasure Coast area.
High temperatures will be in the mid 80s. Southwest steering currents will move storms towards the copast in the afternoon!
Wednesday expect some more sun and less rain and drier air moves in... the rain chance at 30%. Saharan African dust will move into our skies... making the sky appear hazy Thursday through Friday... with less rain and mainly sunny skies and only a 20% chance of showers or isolated thunderstorms. Highs will be in the low 90s!
Unusual Weather Moving our Way
07/16/12
Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the StormTrac Center tonight.
An unusual weather phenomenon is heading our way. It's called the SAL (Saharan Air Layer).
What's that you ask?! It's a large area of suspended dust and sand coming all the way from the African deserts. You'll notice the water vapor picking it up and being shown as the black and reddish colors. An upper level high will build west and continue to push this dusty air in our direction.
Fortunately it poses little health risk to us because most of the dust is well above the ground by a mile or more. You will notice though a hazy/brownish look to the sky from Wednesday into Friday. Along with this, the upper level high will generate strong subsidence (sinking air). This will dry out the air and heat us up. Expect highs well into the 90s with Heat Indexes getting into the very uncomfortable range (over 105 in some interior areas)
WEEK STARTS WET... ENDS DRIER.. HOTTER TOO!
07/16/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... the chance of rain at 70% for this Monday with deep SW winds and tropical moisture moving through... highs near 87! Tuesday still deep SW winds and the rain chance at 50% and highs near 90. Wednesday through Friday dry air and Saharan Desert Dust moving through the atmosphere will give us sunnier skies skies, hotter highs near 92... and only a 20% chance of rain! The coming weekend will see a return to partly cloudy skies with an increasing rain chance to 50% for Saturday and Sunday. Tropical Weather outlook... no tropical storm development expected through Wednesday!
Any Rain Ahead?
07/14/12
Hi Michael Ehrenberg in the StormTrac Center!
July has been very dry in parts. At PBIA there's been less than an inch of rain. However, were still running above the average for 2012 so far.
Can we expect some rain? The Water Vapor loop shows two upper level lows. They are helping to push dry air away and draw in higher moisture values to South Florida.
The bottom line is more frequent showers and thunderstorms during the next few days. Thereafter rain chances go back down from Tuesday on.
NORMAL WEATHER PATTERN... WEEKEND WEATHER OK
07/13/12
OUR NORMAL WEAHTER PATTERN HAS RETURNED... MORNING COASTAL SHOWERS... INLAND AFTERNOON TSTORMS... TROPICAL WEATHER QUIET!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... TODAY and SATURDAY...a 30% chance of morning coastal showers then a 50% chance of isolated inland afternoon thunderstorms for ... then SUNDAY... a 50% chance of rain for all areas. BOATERS... a slight increase in E/SE winds 15 knots will bring seas up to 2-4 feet Friday and Saturday... but no advisories expected. TROPICAL WEATHER.... no tropical weather development is expected next 2 days!
RAIN CHANCE AT 50% AGAIN... DRIER WEEKEND WEATHER
07/12/12
THE RAIN CHANCE REMAINS NEAR 50% UNTILTHE WEEKEND... TROPCIAL WEATHER MAP QUIET TOO! I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will become mostly cloudy this Thursday with a 50% chance of scattered late morning showers and afternoon Tstorms. Friday will be similar with a 50% chance of scattered showers and Tstorms. Weekend weather will be drier with only a 30% chance of coastal showers and a 40% chance of inland Tstorms. TROPICAL WEATHER MAP... quiet no disturbances.. no development expected!
RAINFALL CHANCE GRAPHICS BELOW
Rainy Days
07/11/12
Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the StormTrac Center. It was quite a rainy morning for much of Palm Beach County. Rains were heaviest in South County with Boca Raton reporting more than 1". This caused some local street and highway flooding. (Check out the totals below). Thursday not likely as wet with rain totals forecast to be mostly under 1/4". The moist E/SE flow is expected to continue with near average chances for rain each day (30-40%)
Enjoy the Weather!
VERY WET DAY... RAIN CHANCE HIGH
07/11/12
TROPICAL WAVE BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND TSTORMS... I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lots of showers and storms moving through the area on this Wednesday! The rain chance at 50% for the coast and 60% inland. Locally heavy rain possible with 1-3 inches in some areas. Highs only near 87. The rain chance remains high for Thursday with another 50% chance for showers and storms... then decreasing rain chances to 30% for Friday and into the weekend!
Normal July Pattern
07/10/12
Our weather pattern looks very normal the next several days. A deep High Pressure Ridge will remain anchored to our North. With plenty of moisture in place (as noted on the Water Vapor) daily showers and storms can be expected. Coastal areas have the best chance during the late night and morning hours. The E/SE flow around the High will push storms into the Inland areas during the afternoon and evening.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
RAIN CHANCE INCREASING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
07/10/12
RAIN CHANCE INCREASING TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... TROPICAL; WEATHER MAP QUIET!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... the chance for rain increasing the next few days as a Tropical Wave moves through the area. Skies partly to mostly cloudy with rain chances increasing to 50% for scattered showers and Tstorms Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs near 88 coast to 93 inland. Boaters... light E/SE winds and seas through the week ahead with no major increase in winds or seas through Friday. Tropical Weather map is quiet with no disturbances or development expected.
Increasing Rain Chances
07/08/12
We'll squeeze out another dry day on Monday as High Pressure and an Easterly Flow pushes what few coastal showers develop into the inland areas during the afternoon.
Water Vapor shows copious amounts of moisture to our South. This will lift into our area beginning on Tuesday. As a result our rain chances head back to near normal (40-50%) for the rest of the week.
Keep those umbrellas handy!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologiost
Typical July Weather
07/07/12
Michael Ehrenberg with you this weekend in the CBS12 StormTrac Center.
A weak tropical wave is passing to our South this weekend. It's influence here will be little.
We'll continue to be under the effect of a High Pressure Ridge across Central Florida and
stretching out into the Atlantic. This means an E/SE wind flow. The sea-breeze will ignite some
scattered Showers and T'Storms. The E/SE flow will tend to push any activity out West during the afternoon and evening hours.
Moisture may increase some by Tuesday which will bring our rain chances back to normal.
I hope you enjoy the rest of your weekend!
Regards,
Michael E.
FINALLY FRIDAY... WEEKEND WEATHER OK ...
07/06/12
NORMAL WEATHER PATTERN NEXT FEW DAYS... FEW COASTAL SHOWERS AND INLAND STORMS... NORMAL HEAT TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... only a 20% chance of a coastal shower and 40% chance of an inland afternoon tstorm. Otherwsie skies mostly sunny to partly cloudy with highs near normal 90 at the coast and 95 well inland. Boaters, light SE winds 10-15 and seas 2-3 feet throught the weekend too!
Watching a tropical wave near Hispanola and eastern Cuba with little chance of development... moving west 20 mph... it could bring an increasing chance of rain Monday and Tuesday next week! HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!
RAIN CHANCE SMALL... JULY HEAT LARGE... TROPICS QUIET!
07/05/12
QUIET WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND
LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS... TROPICS QUIET TOO
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... The rain chance remains small at 20% for a few coastal showers each day... then a 40% chance for a few inland afternoon Thunderstorms. More July heat with highs near 90 coast to 95 inland... but heat index "feels like" temps will be near 100-105... STAY HYDRATED... HEAT EXHAUSTION... HEAT CRAMPS ALL POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON HEAT! Weekend weather will change little with light winds and seas for boaters too through Sunday.
Subtle Weather Changes
07/04/12
Michael Ehrenberg is in the CBS12 StormTrac Center on this Fourth of July.
I hope you've enjoyed a sunny hot Holiday!
Over the next few days we'll have a slight increase in moisture due to a couple of tropical
waves passing near or just to our South.
The wave currently over the NE Caribbean will track rapidly westward and move south of us
on the weekend.
With deep Easterly Flow, however, the best chance for scattered showers will be near the coast in the late night or morning. This shifts well inland during the afternoon or early evening;.
4TH OF JULY... FEW SHOWERS... LOTS OF HEAT!
07/04/12
FEW SHOWERS FOR THE FOURTH ... TROPICAL WAVE PASSING BY...TROPICS STILL QUIET!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... The 4th of July will have a 20% chance of a few isolated coastal showers and a 30% chance of an isolated inland afternoon thunderstorm. Highs will be near 90 at the coast and 95 inland with heat index "feels like" temps near 100! Expect little change in the weather through the next 5 days and into the weekend!
WEATHER GRAPHICS BELOW
MORE HEAT... RAIN CHANCE ON 4TH... TROPICAL WEATHER
07/03/12
MOSTLY SUNNY HOT DRY WEATHER.... 4TH OF JULY FORECAST... LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS...TROPICAL WEATHER MAP QUIET.
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... mainly sunny and hot.... only a 20% chance of an isolated inland afternoon shower or tstorm. Highs near 90 coast to 95 inland... HEAT INDEX "feels like" temperatures near 100-105... slow down... find some shade... drink plenty of water! 4TH OF JULY... sunny to partly cloudy with a 30% chance of isolated coastal showers or inland afternoon tstorms with highs near 90-95.
WEATHER GRAPHICS BELOW
Improved Water Situation
07/02/12
Our Water Situation here in South Florida has improved a whole lot during the last several months.
Taking a look at rainfall at PBI you can see we've been well above average for the last 3 months. (See graphic below)
The Kissimmee River Valley has also benefited from plentiful rain. The result is that Lake Okeechobee is only 0.27 feet below the average for this time of year. It had been much lower earlier in the year.
The upcoming week will feature a small increase in our daily rain chances with scattered mainly PM Showers and Storms slowly returning.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
Dry Pattern Sticks Around
06/30/12
Michael Ehrenberg here in the CBS12 StormTracCenter...
It look like our mainly rain-free weather continues the next few days. A strong upper level high pressure ridge is in control of our weather. Under these weather systems there is strong "subsidence" or sinking air. Sinking Air squelches the normal upward motion needed to produce clouds and t'storms. The bottom line is low rain chances for us into the early part of the week.
Thereafter, that High Pressure Ridge will weaken. As a result you'll see a few more storms popping up each day.
Of course, the normal July heat will be sticking around.
Enjoy the Weather!
FINALLY ... NICE WEEKEND WEATHER!
06/29/12
SUNNY SKIES WITH LITTLE CHANCE OF ANY RAIN THIS WEEKEND... GREAT WATER FOR BOATERS... AND WATCHING ONE AREA OF TROPICAL CLOUDS!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies and dry for the weekend! Finally a nice weather weekend! Nice light east winds this weekend 10-15 mph... with seas only 2-3 feet for boaters. The rain chance only 20% for the weekend... and highs near 90 at the coast... to 93 well inland! Nice dry weather pattern into next week!
TTOPICAL WEATHER... AN AREA OF CLOUDS ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH ONLY A 10% CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND DEVELOPMENT SLOW TO OCCUR!
GRAPHICS... RAIN CHANCE...TROPICAL WEATHER BELOW
MORE WIND... MORE CLOUDS... MORE SHOWERS... NO DEBBY!
06/27/12
ROUGH GUSTY WIND AGAIN TODAY SOUTHWEST 25-35+ MPH. LOTS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS... AND DEBBY IS ABOUT GONE!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... winds are rough and gusty from the SW at 25-30+ mph. Expect cloudy skies and we have scattered showers too with the rain chance at 70% and highs near 90. The winds will graduallty decrease on Thursday. The rain chance will drase on Thursday through Sunday with sunnier skies and highs near 92!
RAIN CHANCE-WIND FORECAST-DEBBY TRACK BELOW
MORE CLOUDS... WIND... SHOWERS... TSTORMS
06/26/12
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY IS WEAKER AND NO THREAT TO SOUTH FLORIDA. MORE GUSTY WINDS 20-30+ AND A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN TOO.
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... another windy day with S/SW winds 20-25 mph... gusts to 30 mph! Bands of showers will occasionally move through too with heavy rain and isolated tstorms. Rain Chances through Thursday 50-70%! Highs near 87. This pattern will continue through Thursday.. and finally winds and the rain chance will decrease Friday through Sunday. Expect Small Craft Caution flags to remain up for the next few days through Thursday.
GRAPHICS BELOW....RAINFALL CHANCE-WIND FORECAST-DEBBY TRACK
TORNADO WATCH... DEBBY STATIONARY... GUSTY WINDS...
06/26/12
TORNADO WATCH FOR ENTIRE VIEWING AREA UNTIL 11PM
TROPICAL STORM DEBBY NO THREAT TO SE FLORIDA!
WINDY DAYS AHEAD... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell ... cloudy skies and gusty SE/S winds 25-30+ mph this Monday with a rain chance at 60% for scattered showers and tstorms. The rain chance will remain high near 50% each day this week with gusty S/SW winds 15-25 mph too. Highs near 87 and lows near 78.
TORNADO WATCH... WIND FORECAST....DEBBY TRACK... BELOW
HIGH WEEKEND RAIN CHANCES... WATCHING TROPICS TOO!
06/22/12
HIGH WEEKEND RAIN CHANCES AT 60-70% ... BREEZY WEEKEND WINDS... ALSO WATCHING CLOUDS IN THE GULF FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT!
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... The rain chance for the weekend remains high at 70% for Saturday and 60% for Sunday. Gusty winds will be developing Saturday and Sunday S/SE 15-20 and gusty with rougher seas for boaters too.
Tropical weather.. a 70% chance clouds in the couthern Gulf of Mexico will develop into either a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm (Debby) over the weekend. Right now computer models show whatever develops moving slowly north through the weekend.
GRAPHICS BELOW
CLOUDY THURSDAY... MORE RAIN AHEAD... TROPCIAL DEVELOPMENT IN GULF?
06/21/12
THE CHANCE OF RAIN REMAINS HIGH 50-60% THROUGH WEEKEND... TROPICAL CLOUDS IN GULF OF MEXICO COULD DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell ... cloudy skies for our Thursday with the rain chance at 50%... Friday and Saturday the rain chance at 60% each day! Boaters will find lighter winds and seas 2-4 feet with no advisories... Rip Currents alaways possible so stay near lifeguards.
TROPICAL WEATHER... A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDS OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ...AND SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
GRAPHICS/RAIN CHANCE/TROPICS BELOW
FLOOD WATCH... WET AND WINDY WEDNESDAY! ROUGH SURF TOO!
06/20/12
FLOOD WATCH PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 10 PM... 2-4 INCHES OF RAIN LOCAL FLOODING SOME STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS! GUSTY WINDS... PERIODS OF RAIN... TROPICAL WEATHER AND MORE RAINY DAYS AHEAD TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... Lots of rain today witht he rain chance at 80%. Gusty E/SE winds at 25-35 mph too! Rough surf with waves 4-6 feet and Small Craft Advisories in effect too!
The wet weather pattern will continue with rain chance at 50-60% through Thursday and Friday too. The weekend weather will also continue the chance of rain at 40-50% through Saturday and Sunday!
TROPICAL WEATHER: Tropical Storm Chris 800 miles NNE of Bermuda no threat to land. Area of clouds in the Caribbean, Bahamas and Keys will move into the Gulf of Mexico Friday and Saturday with a slightly better chance 20% chance of tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend.
SUNNY BREEZY TUESDAY... RAIN WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY.. WATCHING TROPICS
06/19/12
NICE NOW WITH GUSTY WINDS 20-25+ MPH.... SUNNY SKIES AND ROUGH SURF... BUT CLOUDS AND RAIN MOVING IN WEDNESDAY... WATCHING TROPICAL CLOUDS TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies on this Tuesday with gusty East winds 20-25 mph...gusts to 30 possible. Little chance of any rain. Seas increasing 4-6 feet with Caution Flags... Rip Currents too... stay near Lifeguards!
Tropcial clouds to the south over Cuba will be moving north on Wednesday and Thursday bringing a good 60% chance of heavy rain . This cloud area has little chance of Tropical development now... only 10%. But as the area moves into the Gulf of Mexico Friday and Saturday the chance of development could be higher... we will see!
GRAPHICS FOR RAIN CHANCE...WAVES...TROPICAL WEATHER BELOW
This Week's Weather
06/18/12
Michael Ehrenberg here in the StormTrac Center today.
It looks like another couple of dry days ahead for us. We'll have Sunny to Partly Cloudy Skies with only isolated showers. Expect a high in the mid to upper 80s. With East Winds 10-15+ kts we can expect seas of 3-5 feet. Tuesday Winds will be more like 15-20 kts.
Midweek..moisture across the Caribbean will gradually lift North...aided by the development of a Low Pressure area in the Western Caribbean or South Gulf of Mexico. This will increase our rain chances back to Normal for the latter part of the week. Check out the grapics below.
I hope you have a great weather week!
Gradual Weather Changes This Week
06/17/12
Michael Ehrenberg in the StormTrac Center Tonight.
Happy Father's Day to all you Dads!
What a nice weekend! NE-E winds continue to pump in dry air with only an isolated
sprinkle here or there. The high won't move much into Wednesday. This means more of the
same. The breeze will continue to generate 3 to 5' seas into at least mid-week.
Thereafter moisture down South of us in the Caribbean will gradually creep northwards. Computer Models generate some form of Low Pressure in either the West Caribbean or the Bay of Campeche later this week. The circulation around this will also aid in bringing the moisture North.
Bottom Line...Scattered Showers and storms return for later in the week.
Enjoy the Weather!
Community Visit and our Weather
06/16/12
One of the favorite parts of my job is to make weather presentations in the community. Today I had the pleasure of speaking to the folks of ROLOH (Residents of Lake Osbourne Heights).
We talked about the upcoming hurricane season, the predictions and the risk to South Florida.
I then shared some pictures of one of the Hurricane Hunter Planes that flies into hurricanes.
The residents enjoyed it when I showed "behind the scenes" pictures of CBS12. These included the infamous "green screen" amongst other things.
As far as our weather is concerned, we'll be getting another break from our daily afternoon thunderstorms. Drier air will filter in on NE-E winds the next few days. This keeps our rain chances at only 20% through Tuesday. Moisture will increase beginning Wednesday. You know what that means..scattered storms once again enter the picture!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
CBS12/AMS Meteorologist
NICE FATHERS DAY WEEKEND... BREEZY
06/15/12
FATHERS DAY WEEKEND WEATHER NICE... A LITTLE BREEZY... ONLY A FEW SHOWERS... SOME ROUGHER SURF... TROPICS QUIET!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... mainly sunny skies through the weekend with only a 30% chance of a scattered coastal shower or inland afternoon Tstorm Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be near 87 coast to 92 inland. Winds will be a little stronger from the NE/E 15-20 mph... that means rougher surf for boaters... and Small Craft Caution flags may be needed Saturday and Sunday.
RAIN CHANCE AND WAVE HEIGHT GRAPHICS BELOW
HOT DAY... AFTERNOON STORMS... Fathers Day Weekend!
06/14/12
ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS IN THE 90s ...AFTERNOON STORMS LIKELY... FATHERS DAY WEEKEND A LITTLE BREEZY WITH INCREASING SEAS... TROPICS QUIET FOR NOW.
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell.... sunny through the morning, then becoming cloudy with a 40% chance of scattered afternoon tstorms. The rain chance 40% on Friday too. Fathers Day weekend will be a little breezy with NE/E winds 15-20 and a little rougher surf too... the weekend rain chance only 30% .
FORECAST WAVES AND TROPICS BELOW:
Weather Changes Ahead
06/12/12
After a few rare June Days with little cloudiness and no rainfall our weather will undergo slow
changes for the rest of this week.
A deep High Pressure Ridge over Florida will gradually break down and weaken. This will allow sea breezes to develop. In addition a frontal trough and weak cool front will slide into the Sunshine State. It all means a more unstable atmosphere which will gradually increase our shower and storm chances to normal for this time of year.
Check out the graphics below.
Enjoy the Weather!
Michael Ehrenberg
NICE...SUNNY... WARM AND DRY... LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCE!
06/12/12
LIMITED CHANCES FOR RAIN THE NEXT FEW DAYS... TROPICAL WEATHER MAP IS QUIET... LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will remain mostly sunny the next few days with very little chance for rain through Wednesday. Light east to southeast winds at 10-15 and highs will be near normal 87 coast to near 90 inland. The tropical weather map is quiet with no chance for any tropical development expected through Thursday.
The rain chance will begin to increase Friday through the weekend with warmer southwest winds and steering currents moving thunderstorms towards the coast this weekend.
TROPICAL WEATHER MAP AND WIND AND WAVE GRAHPICS BELOW
Drier Pattern Changes by Week's End
06/11/12
Hi Everybody. This is Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg in the CBS12 StormTrac Center.
Well, I've certainly enjoyed our weather the last few days! No T'Storms to deal with and some slightly drier air enabled us Meteorologists to take a few breaths and relax for a change. With Deep High Pressure parked over Florida through Tuesday we'll have another dry day. Our in-house Microcast Hour-by-Hour Forecast Model shows no rain for us again!
The High will gradually weaken and move into the Gulf. As a front sags into North Florida our rain chances gradually increase through the week. Look for our normal June T'Storms to be popping up on the weekend.
Enjoy the Weather!
NEAR NORMAL RAIN AND TEMPS THIS WEEK...
06/11/12
NO TOO MUCH RAIN THIS WEEK... NEAR NORMAL HIGH AND TROPICAL WEATHER IS QUIET TOO!
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... mainly sunny skies and near normal highs of 88 coast to 92 inland... expect only a 20-30% chance of a coastal shower through Wednesday. Thursday and Friday the rain chance goes up to about 30-40% for an afternoon shower or Tstorm. Boaters expect light winds se 10-15 and seas 2-3 feet through most of the week ahead too! Tropical weather is quiet no disturbances and nothing develolping through Wednesday!
GRAPHICS BELOW...
Drying Out a Bit
06/09/12
Hi. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg in the CBS12 StormTrac Center.
After daily rains it looks like we're due for a bit of a break.
High Pressure will build across the state of Florida. This will tend to suppress
the atmosphere and lead to lowering rain chances.
Monday and Tuesday most of us will escape rain altogether.
By mid to late week look for just scattered PM and Evening showers or storms.
Check out the graphics/explainers below.
Regards!
Michael E.
HIGH RAIN CHANCE THORUGH SATURDAY... DRIER SUNDAY!
06/08/12
CHANCE OF RAIN REMAINS QUITE HIGH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS OF 2-3 INCHES POSSIBLE..... SUNDAY DRIER!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... cloudy skies again with a 70% chaance of rain this Friday and Saturday a 50% chance of showers! Cloudy skies will help keep high temperatures to near 85-88. Boaters... very light winds and seas the next several days with ony 1-3 foot seas through Sunday and smooth intracoastal waters too!
RAIN CHANCE GRAPHICS BELOW
MORE RAIN THORUGH FRIDAY... DRIER WEEKEND!
06/07/12
MORE RAIN COMING OUR WAY THIS THURSDAY... AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.. THEN A DRIER WEEKEND COMING!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... CBS12 Stormtrac radar showing a large area of rain moving in from the west for another rainy day! The rain chance at nearly 70% everywhere! Between Thursday and Friday a total of 2-3 inches possible in some areas!
Saturday expect a 40% chance of rain and Sunday the rain chance down to 30%. Boaters will find winds and seas remaining light through the coming weekend too!
NO TROPICAL WEATHER DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED EITHER!
GRAPHICS AND RAINFALL CHANCE BELOW!
WET DRIVE WITH HEAVY RAIN... MORE WET DAYS AHEAD TOO!
06/06/12
CLICK FOR CBS12.com INTERACTIVE RADAR
A VERY WET WEDNESDAY.... AND A DISTURBANCE MOVING OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO IS BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND STORMS ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... very high rain chances the next three days... with morning showers... then afternoon thunderstorms likely and locally heavy rain with gusty winds too! Locally heavy rainfall totals of 1-3 inches are possible each day. BUT... the final 3 day total could be 3-5 inches in some areas!
Weekend weather will be a little drier, but generally cloudy skies will continue and northeast winds and scattered showers too with the rain chance Saturday and Sunday at 40%!
GRAPHICS AND RAINFALL TOTALS BELOW
CLOUDY-WARM DAYS... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING LATE WEEK
06/05/12
ABOVE NORMAL HEAT... CLOUDY DAYS... DISTURBANCE IN THE GULF MOVING IN LATE WEEK WITH CLOUDS AND RAIN!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... mostly cloudy skies but the chance of rain still low for a few days through Wednesday! Expect highs near 90 and lows near 75. The chance for rain increasing Thursday through Saturday.
Light SW winds will keep seas nearly flat for a few days through Friday, with little change for the coming weeekend too. Tropical weather map remains quiet too with NO TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT FORECAST THE NEXT 2 DAYS!
CLICK: Watch the latest CBS12.com video weather forecast
GRAPHICS BELOW SHOW RAIN CHANCE AND TOTALS NEXT 5 DAYS
HOT 90s AHEAD... LATE WEEK AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO!
06/04/12
THE NORMAL HIGH IS 88 AND WE WILL BE CLOSER TO 92 THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS THROUGH FRIDAY! THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON TSTORMS WILL INCREASE LATE WEEK... AND THE TORPICAL MAP IS QUITE!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies and above normal highs near 90-92 through Friday. The chance of afternoon thunderstorms will increase from 40% on Tuesday and Wednesday to near 50-60% for Thursday and Friday!
The Tropical Weather outlook is quite!
RAIN CHANCE AND TROPICAL GRAPHICS BELOW!
Drier Pattern Takes Hold
06/02/12
The persistent upper level trough which made for a very wet May will shift to our East for
the next few days. This means mostly sunny skies are on tap for Sunday with highs close to 90.
Monday and Tuesday will be mainly dry too.
Moisture increases and the rain chances head higher for the mid-late week period.
Enjoy the Weather!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
Meteorologist
FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY PALM BEACH COUNTY... NICER-DRIER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY!
06/01/12
FLOOD WATCH FOR PALM BEACH COUNTY THIS FRIDAY FOR 1-3 INCHES OF RAIN CAUSING SOME MINOR LOW LYING AREAS TO FLOOD. HEAVY RAIN THROUGHOUT THE DAY.... NICE AND DRIER FOR THE WEEKEND!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... the rain chance this Friday is near 100%! Locally heavy rain periods could produce 1-3 inches in the next 24 hours! Highs only near 80 in the clouds and rain!
Watch my video forecast by clicking here ...
Track the rain on our interactive radar ...
Saturday and Sunday will be nicer! Saturday partly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain and highs near 87. Sunday mostly sunny with a 20% chance of rain and highs near 90!
FLOOD WATCH AREA AND RAIN CHANCES BELOW!
HEAVY TROPICAL RAINS MOVING INTO SOUTH FLORIDA
05/31/12
A large area of tropical moisture is moving north into South Florida from the Caribbean, bringing with it heavy rains that will stick with us possibly through Saturday morning.
Rains should begin to arrive late Thursday morning and early afternoon. Embedded thunderstorms are possible, particularly around Lake Okeechobee and in Palm Beach County where daytime heating is most likely. Widespread cloud cover will keep a lid on most thunderstorm development, however.
Track the rainfall on CBS12.com's interactive radar!
The area of unsettled weather has no tropical characteristics and is not being watched currently for possible development into a tropical cyclone. We'll keep our eye on it though!
Look for a bit of drying out Saturday and Sunday.
Watch our latest video forecast by clicking here.
Images below, from left to right, show the probability of precipitation Thursday, Friday and Saturday in our region.
AFTERNOON STORMS AGAIN... AND MORE RAIN FRIDAY-SATURDAY!
05/30/12
WET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES WITH MORE AFTERNOON STORMS THROUGH THURSDAY... THEN RAIN LIKELY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies start sunny Wednesday and Thursday with a 40% chance of tstorms each afternoon. Highs will be near 90 before the rain. Light SW winds will keep the afternoon storms moving east towards the coast each day. So far this May ... Palm Beach International airport has recorded 9.22 inches of rain and that is 5.22 above normal!
Looking into Friday and Saturday a disturbance coming out of the Caribbean will bring even more clouds... moisture and increase the chance of rain to 60-70% for Friday and Saturday!
RAIN CHANCES AND GRAPHICS BELOW:
Active Pattern
05/29/12
Our active weather pattern likely persists for the rest of the week.
Check out the charts below. The first one shows tomorrow's "steering winds"
out of the Southwest across Florida. The third one is a forecast for Friday.
Similar set-up here.
Southwest winds typically bring storms to the Coast along with hot temperatures.
So, the rain chances each day where you are, are 40% for Wed and Thu and
increasing to 50% for Fri and Sat.
Keep that umbrella handy!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
MORE STRONG AFTERNOON STORMS AHEAD
05/29/12
A WEATHER PATTERN WITH STRONG AFTERNOON STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK! TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL STILL RAINING ON NORTH FLORIDA TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will start sunny each day through Friday with highs near 90 before locally strong and heavy afternoon lightning storms each afternoon. The rain chance each afternoon through Friday will be 50%!!
Rainfall totals for Palm Beach International Airport for May so far... 8.23 inches of rain and that is 4.30 above normal! Vero Beach rainfall total is 4.17 inches and that is 1.30 inches above normal too! And more rain ahead each afternoon too!
Rain chance grahphics below:
Tornado Strikes the Treasure Coast
05/28/12
Wow! Check out the picture sent in from one of our viewers this afternoon.
While I was on the air broadcasting a Tornado Warning...for a change...the warning confirmed!
Sheriff Officers, Citizens, and Emergency Managers all saw the tornado touch down. It carved a 200 yard long path near Port St. Lucie about mid-afternoon.
Most tornadoes in South Florida are weak. This one registered an EF0 on the Enhanced Fujita Scale.
Luckily, no injuries reported.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
AMS CBM StormTrac Meteorologist
MEMORIAL DAY... SUNNY MORNING SKIES THEN AFTERNOON STORMS!
05/28/12
MEMORIAL DAY STARTS SUNNY, THEN MORE AFTERNOON STORMS LIKELY... TROPICAL STORM BERYL MAKE LAND IN JACKSONVILLE!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies through the morning hours... then a 50-60% chance of afternoon storms! Light winds and seas this morning will gradually increase this afternoon. SMALL CRAFT CAUTION from Jupiter Inlet north where seas will increase 5-7 feet. Palm Beach County coastal waters have waves the2-4 feet. RIP CURRENTS likely in water near shore.. so... STAY NEAR LIFE GUARDS!
RAIN CHANCES BELOW
Beryl's Indirect Effects in South Florida
05/27/12
Michael Ehrenberg writing from the StormTrac Center..
Beryl will be pushing ashore Sunday Night with near Hurricane Force Winds (65 mph).
The counter-clockwise Flow means a West to East Wind down here. Some added moisture has produced some locally heavy downpours. Check out some of the WeatherBug totals in the graphic below.
Meanwhile, we can expect typical rainy season weather this week with daily scattered mainly PM showers and storms. It will be hot and muggy each day.
The 3 foot sea swell from Beryl will gradually die down overnight.
Regards,
Michael E.
Tropical Storm Beryl
05/26/12
Hi! Michael Ehrenberg in the StormTrac Center Tonight...
It looks like Sub-Tropical Storm Beryl will move into extreme NE Florida or South Georgia later Sunday. It's effects here include 4-7 foot seas with a chunk of that a NE Swell. This will cause rough surf and rip currents at area beaches into early Monday.
Added moisture will indirectly increase our rain chances. Scattered mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will make it wet for a lot of us for a portion of our Holiday Weekend.
Enjoy the Weather!
NICER WEEKEND WEATHER... NEW TROPICAL STORM POSSIBLE TOO
05/25/12
AREA OF CLOUDS NE OF THE BAHAMAS HAS A 70% CHANCE OF DEVELOPING THE NEXT 2 DAYS... NICER AND DRIER SKIES FOR US HERE!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunnier skies and drier skies he next few days with only a 30% chance of showers Friday, Saturday and Sunday... the chance of rain for Memorial Day Monday is 40%! Highs will be near normal at 86 and lows near normal around 70. Boaters.. generally light winds NW/NE 10-15 and seas 2-4 feet through Sunday, but stronger SE winds and seas may develop by Memorial Day Monday.
Tropical weather... area of clouds NE of the Bahamas moving NE-15 mph has a 70% chance of developing into Tropical Depression no.2 or... Tropical Storm Beryl during the next 2-3 days. Initial movement would be towards the northeast away from Florida, but it could move west back towards the Carolinas Sunday into Monday.
TROPICAL MAPS AND RAIN CHANCES BELOW
MORE CLOUDS & SHOWERS.... MEMORIAL WEEKEND DRIER... TROPICS TOO
05/24/12
CLICK FOR THE CURRENT CBS12 INTERACTIVE RADAR
THE RAIN CHANCE CONTINUES HIGH AGAIN... MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND SHOULD BE DRIER... AND THE TROPICAL MAP HAS 20% CHANCE FOR CLOUDS TO OUR SOUTH DEVELOPING!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... the rain chance for Thursday is 40-50% with clouds and showers likely... SOME RAIN LOCALLY HEAVY TOO! Drier air moving in Friday and this weekend should give us rain chances of 20-30%.
The clouds to our south continue to show little sign of development now... the latest National Hurricane Center summary says a 20% chance of development for this system Sunday or Monday as it moves northeast into and near the Bahamas the next 2-3 days!
TROPICAL MAP... RAINFALL CHANCES BELOW
RAINY DAYS AHEAD.... WATCHING TROPICAL CLOUD AREA
05/23/12
THE RAIN CHANCE WILL REMAIN QUITE HIGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH A 50-60% CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN.... ALSO WATCHING AN AREA OF CLOUDS IN THE TROPICS!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lots of rain ahead the next two days. The rain chance at 50-60% and some locally heavy totals of 2-3 inches can be expected the next 2 days. The rain is being caused by a non-tropical low pressure area to our south over Cuba. This system will be moving slowly north to northeast the next several days with no development right now. Memorial Day weekend weather will be only slightly drier with rain chances Saturday through Monday at 40% with highs near 87.
RAIN CHANCE AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER "OFFICIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK" BELOW
RAIN CHANCE INCREASING AGAIN!
05/22/12
TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR RAIN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will become cloudy this Tuesday with the rain chance increasing to 50% for Palm Beach County and 30% for the Treasure Coast. Deep tropical moisture and clouds moving up from the south will kep the rain chance quite high near 50% for the next several days too!
RAIN CHANCES AND TOTAL RAINFALL NEXT 5 DAYS BELOW
NICE MONDAY... MORE STORMS TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY
05/21/12
SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY ON OUR MONDAY, BUT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THE RAIN CHANCE INCREASES AGAIN... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO NO THREAT!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... mostly sunny skies with only an isolated shower or afternoon thunderstorm this Monday witht he rain chance 30%. Tuesday increasing moisture will bring clouds and showers back... increasing the rain chance Tuesday to 50% and Wednesday to 40%.
Tropical Storm Alberto no threat to Florida... located 260 north of West Palm Beach. The new forecast track below show it moving well into the Atlantic and away from the Unites States in 3 days.
NEW TRACK HERE
Alberto and our weather week ahead
05/19/12
Tropical Storm Alberto has weakend a bit. Top winds are now 40 mph.
No need to worry about the first storm of the season. Alberto will eventually make
a U-Turn and move out into the open Atlantic...well off the East Coast of the U.S.
Meanwhile, we have low rain chances on Monday with a few storms here or there.
Thereafter, our typical scattered afternoon and evening storms will be around each day.
Enjoy your Week
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
First named Storm of the Season
05/19/12
Michael Ehrenberg with you in the StormTrac Center.
The first Tropical Storm of the Season has been named in the Atlantic. His name is Alberto.
Fortunately, for us, Alberto will track away from Florida and stay weak. Residents of the Carolinas may feel some gusty winds and rain from him as he heads away. Check out the graphic below.
Our local weather should dry out a little. There is still a chance for daily afternoon scattered showers and storms. However, the rain chance goes down to 30% each day where you live.
Enjoy the Weather!
Sunny Start, Storms By Afternoon
05/19/12
After a sunny morning, clouds will build in the afternoon and storms will fire up during the early portion of the afternoon. Look for storms to first develop Inland and gradually push their way to the coast later in the day. Highs in the upper 80s. Light winds out of the southeast for the boaters, so unless you're caught under a storm .... waters will be smooth all weekend long.
Overnight will bring an end to any shower/storm activity with partly cloudy skies, light winds and lows around 70 at the coast, 60s north and inland.
Sunday looking very similar to today- Scattered storms firing by the afternoon and highs in the upper 80s.
Not much change over the next 7 days. Each afternoon giving us a crack at storms- otherwise partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 80s at the coast , around 90 inland. Overnight lows around 70.
Have a great weekend!
Meteorologist Craig Gold, AMS
DRIER AND SUNNIER SKIES INTO THE WEEKEND!
05/18/12
THE RAIN CHANCE WILL BE DECREASING FIRDAY AND FOR THE COMING WEEKEND... LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... drier air moving in will help decrease the chance of rain and increase our sunshine! The rain chance going down to 30-40% for Friday and Saturday and Sunday! More sun means more heat too with highs near 87 coast to 90 inland!
Boaters... expect light SW winds and seas through Saturday then a SE breeze 10-15 developing on Sunday. Seas will remain low at only 1-3 feet.
WEEKEND RAIN CHANCES BELOW!
HEAVY MORNING RAIN... AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO
05/17/12
VERY WET ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THIS THURSDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ON THE CBS12 STORMTRAC RADAR! LOCALLY HEAVY STORMS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lots of rain again on this Thursday! Lots of morning showers and then expect heavy afternoon tstorms too! The rain chance today at 70% for the entire area! Locally heavy storms can produce lightning strikes, gusty winds and small hail too.
The wet weather pattern will remain in place through Friday with a 50% chance of rain. The rain chance throught the weekend will be at 40% for Saturday and Sunday too!
FOR THE RAIN CHANCE FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS CLICK BELOW
MORE CLOUDS & RAIN AHEAD... UNITL FRIDAY!
05/15/12
EXPECT LOTS OF CLOUDS A HIGH RAIN CHANCE OF 50-60% THROUGH THURSDAY! THE WEEKEND WILL BE BREEZY AND BETTER!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lots of clouds this Tuesday with a 60% chance of showers and hevy afternoon thunderstorms. The rain chance remains high all the way through Thursday with a 50-60% chance of rain each day! Some rain will be locally heavy each afternoon too!
Boaters... light SE/SW winds 10 with seas only 1-3 feet though Friday. Starting Saturday the winds will be increasing through the weekend with Small Craft Caution flags possible for the upcoming weekend!
Here is the forecast rain chance below for the next several days!
High Rain Chances Continue
05/14/12
Rain chances will remain high the next few days. A stalled front over Central Florida will combine with an upper level trough to give us a moist and unstable atmosphere. Scattered showers and storms will be around primarily during the afternoons and evenings. Any storm can have strong gusty winds, locally heavy downpours and frequent lightning. (Check out the graphics below).
The 7-Day forecast shows our rain chances heading lower by week's end.
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
WET WEEK AHEAD... RAIN CHANCE HIGH EACH DAY!
05/14/12
THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE 50% EACH DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... expect cloudy skies and a good chance of scattered showers and afternoon tstorms every day through Thursday! A weak Spring cool front is going to be moving slowly down state most of the week. That will be the reason for the increased chance of rain each day!
Boaters... light S/SW winds 10 knots and seas only about 2-3 feet each day through Friday. Only isolated afternoon tstorms will be moving offshore form the inland areas to the coast and beaches each afternoon!
Here is the chance of rain each day below:
Wetter This Week
05/13/12
Michael Ehrenberg with you in the StormTrac Center...
We still expect our rain chances to head higher for the first part of this week. An upper level trough will dig down into the Gulf of Mexico. The flow ahead of the trough will increase the moisture and instability over the Sunshine State. With lighter surface winds, the sea breeze will stay closer to the coast. Bottom line...showers and storms will be scattered around our area. The best chance will occur on Monday.
Have the umbrella handy!
High Rain Chances
05/13/12
Rain chances will remain high the next few days. A stalled front over Central Florida will combine with an upper level trough to give us a moist and unstable atmosphere. Scattered showers and storms will be around primarily during the afternoons and evenings. Any storm can have strong gusty winds, locally heavy downpours and frequent lightning. (Check out the graphics below).
The 7-Day forecast shows our rain chances heading lower by week's end.
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
A day to appreciate the weather ... and Mom!
05/13/12
First & foremost .... Happy Mothers Day to all of you wonderful Mothers out there!
Moms... here's the deal - Your brunch plans should be just fine as the morning showers are wrapping up and giving way to a partly cloudy, breezy day. Same deal as yesterday, just a "touch" less wind. Highs in the middle 80s... maybe a few showers or storms popping up with the heating of the day interior/near lake Okeechobee.
As a front pushes in and stalls out over the area, this upcoming week turns a bit stormy ......much like what we had last week. Warm & humid with scattered storms developing each afternoon (especially Monday and Tuesday).
Oh, and get this - A "non tropical" area of low pressure has developed out in the Eastern Atlantic and while it's nothing substantial at the moment, the National Hurricane Center will be watching it from a distance. Right now, they give it a 40 percent chance to develop into either a non-tropical or tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours. Even if that were to happen, its in unfavorable waters for development...and heading in the opposite direction of the U.S. Nevertheless, a great reminder that hurricane season is only 2 weeks away!!!
Have a great Sunday!
Meteorologist Craig Gold, AMS
Rain Chances Increasing
05/12/12
Michael Ehrenberg with you this weekend in the StormTrac Center.
We'll squeeze out a decent day on Sunday. Expect a mix of clouds and sunshine with a 20% rain chance. Highs in the mid 80s at the coast to the upper 80s inland.
An upper level trough will dig into the Gulf of Mexico and Florida by Monday. With WSW upper level flow and increasing moisture our rain chances will go up to 50% on Monday and 40% on Tuesday.
Check out the Futurecast Graphic below.
Enjoy our weather!
NICE FRIDAY AND MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND TOO!
05/11/12
MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND! MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRIER AND BREEZY DAYS AHEAD!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... finally a nicer weather patter for Friday and the weekend too! A stronger area of high pressure moving in means stronger and drier NE/E winds 15-20+ blowing in Friday and through the weekend too! Expect highs near 83 coast and 90 inland.
Mothers Day weekend will be nice with oly a 20% chance of rain and breezy NE/E winds 15-20 .. there will be rougher surf waves near 3-5 feet. Otherwise perfect and drier for mothers Day weekend ... wtih only a 20% chance of rain! Have a nice weekend!
Below is the current map... forecast winds and seas for Saturday!
LAST STORMY DAY... BREEZY MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND!
05/10/12
ON MORE STORMY AFTERNOON AHEAD WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS, HEAVY RAIN, LIGHTNING, DAMAGING STORM WINDS AND POSSIBLE HAIL.
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... our last stormy afternoon with a 50% chance of thunderstorms for Palm Beach county and only a 30% chance for the Treasure Coast counties.
A weak cool front will pass through Thursday night and bring drier air and gusty stronger NE/E winds for Friday and Mothers Day weekend! Highs Friday and this weekend will be near 83 and lows near 70. BOATERS... rougher NE/E winds 15-20 will mean rougher seas this weekend too!
See forecast weekend winds and waves below!
Weather Changes Ahead
05/09/12
Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the StromTrac Center Tonight.
It looks like we'll have one more active day of weather (Thursday) before things quiet down.
A weak cool front will approach on Thursday. This will combine with the persistent low-level trough overhead to produce scattered to numerous afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs will reach into the mid to upper 80s. Storms can contain downpours, strong gusty winds and frequent dangerous lightning.
The front passes Thursday Night. Behind it we'll have slightly drier and ever so slightly cooler air work in on an increasing Northeast to East Flow. Rain chances drop to 20% for Friday into the weekend. Winds will pick up out of the East on Friday into the weeekend. This will increase our seas to 3-6 Feet with Rip Currents likely.
Enjoy the Weather!
MORE STORMS AGAIN... WEEKEND BREEZY MILDER!
05/09/12
ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY LIGHTNING STORMS THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... BE PREPARED FOR GUSTY DAMAGING WINDS, HEAVY RAIN, HAIL AND POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUDS!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... starting sunny and ending stormy this Wednesday! Highs will be near 90 before the afternoon storms. Thursday we will expect more afternoon storms, but by Friday a weak cool fornt will pass through with a shifting NE wind! Friday and the weekend will be nicer and breezy with NE/E winds 15-20 mph and highs near normal at 85... and only isolated showers.
BOATERS TAKE NOTE... INCREASING NE WINDS AND SEAS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND!
FORECAST MAPS BELOW SHOW THE WEAK FRONT MOVING THROUGH FRIDAY AND STRONGER WEEKEND WINDS!
Stormy Pattern
05/08/12
Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the StormTrac Center...
It's been a busy weather day.
Those of you in Northeast Palm Beach County were put under a Tornado Warning during the mid-afternoon hours. Fortunately, no reported tornadoes. However, a Microburst Wind caused some damage to trees and other structures in the Jupiter area. Check the graphic below.
A Microburst or Downburst is an area of rain cooled air at cloud level which rushes to the surface due to a higher density than surrounding air. This air slams against the ground and is forced along the ground at a high rate of speed (strong winds). This caused the damage today.
With a weak low-level trough in place the flow will continue out of the West for both Wednesday and Thursday. The trough means cooler temperatures aloft and lots of instability to trigger more afternoon and evening thunderstorms.
Thereafter, a weak frontal trough (weaker than a cool front) will pass through sometime Thursday. Behind this trough the winds swing into the Northeast and East. This will bring in some drier air and drop our temperature a few degrees. This will be a nice change!
Enjoy the Weather!
AFTERNOON TSTORMS ARE BACK... NEXT FEW DAYS!
05/08/12
EXPECT AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS EVERY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS THROUGH THURSDAY!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... above normal highs near 90 with a 50% chance for storms each afternoon through Thursday! Hot west winds will bring locally heavy storms with frequent lightning strikes, gusty winds, hail and possible small funnel clouds too!
This stormy pattern will last through Thursday... then for Friday and into the weekend a return to east winds and partly cloudy skies with near normal highs and only a few showers with the rain chance decreasing Friday into the weekend to 20%.
The images below show the probability of rain for today through Thursday.
Wetter Weather Pattern
05/07/12
Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the Storm Trac Center...
Showers and thunderstorms rolled through parts of our area today. Check out what the radar
looked like during the evening hours (below). During the later afternoon Vero Beach experienced a 52 mph wind gust along with 0.93" of rain. (A new record for the date)
With weak "troughing" in place and winds in the low levels of the atmosphere from West to East we have a good chance for scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms for the next few days.
Rain chances on the Treasure Coast are 50% and a little lower in Palm Beach County.
TEMPS GOING UP... AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCE TOO!
05/07/12
TEMPERATURES GOING UP AND THE CHANCE OF AFTEROON THUNDERSTORMS TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will statrt mainly sunny on this Monday with highs near 90 and then... a 30% chance of afternoon Tstorms for Palm Beach county and a 40% chance of the Treasure Coast counties. Over the next few days a weak cool front will move into central Florida on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday. That will bring a higher 40-50% chance for scattered afternoon showers and Tstorms.
Boaters... nice light SW winds and seas only 1-3 feet through much of the week ... late in the week towards Friday and Saturday... winds will increase from the NE/E at 15-20 and seas will increase too!
Gorgeous Weekend!
05/05/12
Michael Ehrenberg with your weather blog tonight...
It looks like our beautiful weekend weather will continue! High Pressure, surface and aloft will continue to exert its influence. This means sinking air and very little chance for rain (10% on Sunday.) If you're heading to Sunfest check out the graphic below.
During the week, an weak upper level disturbance will break down the High a bit. Add in some moisture and what it means is a slightly higher chance for scattered afternoon showers or storms. (20% Palm Beach County and 30% on the Treasure Coast.)
Otherwise, our daily highs will continue above the average for early May!
Thanks for checking our our Blog!
WEEKEND HEAT... FULL "SUPER" MOON TOO!
05/04/12
WEEKEND HIGHS ABOVE NORMAL HIGH NEAR 90 AND THE FULL "SUPER MOON" RISING SATURDAY NIGHT AT 7:43! THE MOON WILL 40% BRIGHTER AND 17% BIGGER AS IT IS CLOSER TO THE EARTH THAN ANY TIME THIS YEAR!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... a nice Friday with partly cloudy skies and highs near normal 85.
Saturday and Sunday lighter and hotter southwest winds mean above normal highs near 87-90 with sunny to partly cloudy skies! The weekend rain chance only 20%.
Boaters weekend winds will be lighter from the south-southwest and that means lighter seas too with light to smooth inland waters too!
LESS RAIN... MORE SUN.... FULL WEEKEND MOON!
05/03/12
THE CHANCE FOR RAIN IS DECREASING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND HOTTER TEMPS INTO THE WEEKEND! FULL WEEKEND MOON TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... the skies will be sunnier and drier from this Thursday into the weekend. The rain chance is decreasing to 20% for the next several days too. Hotter southwest winds will blow Saturday and Sunday bringing highs to near 90 !
THE MOON WILL BE FULL SATURDAY NIGHT AND RISE AT 7:43 PM!
Boaters the winds and seas are still a little high... but gradually decreasing too... a Small Craft Caution flag is up for Thursday morning, but Friday and the weekend will have much lighter winds and flatter seas too!
SOME SHOWERS... BUT IMPROVING WEATHER THROUGH WEEKEND!
05/02/12
STILL A FEW SHOWERS ON THIS WEDNESDAY... BUT DECREASING WINDS AND SEAS WITH INCREASING SUN INTO SUNFEST WEEKEND TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... for this Wednesday still a few showers with a 20% chance for rain. The winds will decrease east at 15 with gusts to 20 mph. Starting Thursday mainly sunny skies with less wind east at 10-15 mph and highs near normal.
SUNFEST Thursday through the weekend will be mainly sunny and much warmer than normal with highs near 85 coast to near 90 inland! The rain chance will be only 20% for isolated showers!
BOATERS... Small Craft Caution Flags for Wednesday and then expect lighter winds and seas heading into Thursday and the coming weekend.
Improving Weather
05/01/12
Michael and John blogging with you tonight in the StormTrac Center...
Our last rainy day occurred on Tuesday. Hereafter, the moisture gets shunted to our West into the Gulf of Mexico. High Pressure will build down the East Coast. The combination means a drying trend with more sun each day and rain chances down to 20% Wed and 10% the rest of the week.
This occurs just in time for Sunfest. The graphic below shows that when the gates open it will be dry with a gusty breeze from the East.
With more sunshine and High Pressure over head, we're heating up. Highs will reach the upper 80s on the weekend.
Regards!
APRIL RAINFALL ABOVE NORMAL! CLOUDS... WIND... SHOWERS CONTINUE!
05/01/12
RAINFALL TOTALS ABOVE NORMAL FOR APRIL ... ANOTHER CLOUDY AND WINDY DAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... The total rainfall for West Palm Beach for April was 5.32 inches and that was 1.66 above normal! Vero Beach rainfall was 4.14 and that was 1.42 inches above normal!
Expect more clouds again, winds gusting east at 20-25 mph with gusts near 30 and scattered showers too! The rain chance today is 50% for Palm Beach county and only 30% for the Treasure Coast. The surf remains rough with seas 5-8 feet and Small Craft Advisories! Winds and seas will finally begin to decrease on Wednesday!
The weather pattern will finally begin to dry out with lighter winds, sunnier skies and less rain starting Wednesday through Sunfest weekend!
Soggy Weather will Dry Out
04/30/12
Michael Ehrenberg & John Matthews in the StormTrac Center tonight:
It's been a soggy few days...for a few of us..especially in South Palm Beach County.
Check out the graphic below.
The good news is that the upper level low and surface trough that have been giving us the gray skies the last few days will both slowly weaken and move away.
Tuesday features a 20-40% chance of rain (20% Treasure Coast; 40% Palm Beach County) with the possiblity of limited sunshine, especially on the Treasure Coast.
As the week goes on our rain chances drop to 20 and eventually 10% along with increasing sunshine and warmer temperatures. See the 7-day below.
Enjoy the Weather!
FLOOD WATCH Eastern Palm Beach County... RAINY & WINDY DAY
04/30/12
FLOOD WATCH FOR EASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 8PM THIS MONDAY EVENING!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... LOTS OF WIND AND RAIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS! The chance of rain today is 70% for eastern Palm Beach County and 20% for the Treasure Coast. Winds will be strong and gusty from the east at 25 with to 30+ mph!
The weather system producing the calouds and wind and rain will not move away until late Tuesday and the weather will begin to improve Wednesday.
Rough seas can be expected the next 3 days through Wednesday with Small Craft Advisories and rough surf decreasing starting Thursday!
Flood Watch into Monday
04/29/12
A Flood Watch continues through Monday for Eastern Palm Beach County. (East of 441).
Occasional Rain and some heavier downpours will deposit anywhere from 1 to as much as 4" (mainly in South Palm Beach County). This can cause localized flooding of streets and highways.
This means large portions of our area (West of 441 to the Lake and all of the Treasure Coast) can just expect scattered showers with rainfall totals mainly under 1".
The winds will be gusting out of the East at 15-25 mph. This causes seas of 6-8 feet.
Not exactly great beach or boating weather!
Note the 7-day forecast keeps scattered showers in our forecast into Wednesday.
Thereafter, our weather gets drier.
That's just in time for Sunfest!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
Stormtrac Meteorologist
Flood Watch In Effect, Heavy Rains Through Monday
04/29/12
**FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY**
Plenty of moisture in place as a trough of low pressure slowly approaches from the Bahamas bringing with it heavy downpours. High pressure to the north is JUST strong enough to prevent this heavy rain from creeping into the Treasure Coast, so look for more of a scattered shower threat there. For Palm Beach County metro areas, 3-5" of rain with locally higher amounts by Monday evening is not out of the question. Highs will be kept in the upper 70s for rain soaked areas. Lower 80s for the Treasure Coast. Gusty east winds on the order of 17 to 22 knots will rough our seas up on the order of 4 to 6 feet. Rip currents will be an issue with that onshore wind. With highs in the lower 80s through much of next week, we see the threat of wet weather extending all the way through Thursday, although it becomes more "scattered" by Tuesday so we'll see sunshine as well.
Have a great "Sun"day and stay dry!
Craig Gold-CBS12 Stormtrac Meteorologist, AMS
CLOUDS & RAIN CHANCE INCREASE FOR WEEKEND
04/27/12
WEEKEND WEATHER GETTING CLOUDY WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCE TOO....I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell....
This weekend.. an upper level low over the NW Caribbean will move either directly over South Florida ... or move just to the east of South Florida! Regardless, skies will be cloudy Saturday and Sunday with a 50% chance of rain Saturday... and a 40% chance of rain Sunday!
Winds will increase late Saturday and Sunday so boaters can expect increasing seas 2-4 feet on Saturday and then 3-5 feet on Sunday. The winds and clouds may continue into early next week too!
Changes in our Weather
04/26/12
Michael Ehrenberg checking in from the StormTrac Center tonight....
We've got one more beautiful dry day in store. That would be Friday.
We'll have Mostly Sunny Skies, light East Winds (5-15 mph) with highs ranging from
near 80 at the Coast to some mid 80s well inland.
On the weekend there's some uncertainty. A large mass of clouds is lurking just to our South over the Caribbean and Cuba. Computer Models are differing on how far North this moisture moves.
Some of it will reach our area. However, most of it should stay near or just South of us. That's the thinking right now.
So, our rain chances increase to 30-40% on the weekend. Those of you on the Treasure Coast may escape with little or no shower activity.
QPF ranges from 0.10 to 0.50" across our area.
Subject to change! We'll keep you posted.
WARMER DAYS... SOME WEEKEND SHOWERS?
04/26/12
COOLER THAN NORMAL AGAIN THIS MORNING! Normal low for West Palm Beach is 67 this morning it was 59! .... Vero Beach normal low is 63 and this morning it was 56!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... finally warming up to near normal today with highs near 83.
Looking ahead to the weekend... increasing clouds and moisture coming in from the Bahamas will add clouds and increase the chance of rain Saturday to 30% and mostly cloudy skies with the rain chance Sunday at 40%.
Also, increaasing winds Sunday will increase seas so boaters watch for larger waves 2-4 and even 3-5 feet by late Sunday and into Monday.
April Weather Returns
04/25/12
Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the StormTrac Center Tonight...
Well, it looks like our brief trip back to January type temperatures will quickly come to an end.
After dropping into the 50s away from the Coast tonight and the low 60s near the coast...overnight lows will trend upward right into the weekend. Check out the graphic below.
As we head into the weekend our rain chances go up to 20 or 30%. A gradual return of moisture from the Southeast is the reason behind this. All in all, the weather looks pretty nice!
ONE MORE COOL NIGHT... THEN WARMER DAYS AND NIGHTS AHEAD
04/25/12
The low this morning at Palm Beach International airport was 54 and that was well above the record low 50. The low in Vero Beach this morning was 45 and that almost tied the record low 44!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... the highs will be a little warmer today near 80 and into the weekend highs will be near normal 82-84.
The chance of rain will increase a little this weekend ... the 20% on Saturday and 30% on Sunday!
RECORD LOW SET THIS MORNING... MORE COOL AIR AHEAD
04/24/12
RECORD LOW SET THIS MORNING IN WEST PALM BEACH WITH 53 AND VERO BEACH NEARLY TIES RECORD WITH 51 ... ANOTHER COLD NIGHT AHEAD TOO!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... WOW... what an April chill! Sunny skies and lighter winds with highs today well below normal of 83... instead near 75! Lows this Wednesday night will be near 55 coast to 50 well inland again.
Expect the cooler than normal air to last through Wednesday... then slowly warming up to near normal highs of 83 and lows near 65 Thursday through the coming weekend!
NEAR RECORD LOWS... COOLER THAN NORMAL HIGHS
04/23/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell.... QUITE A CHILL IN THE AIR.... WITH NEAR RECORD LOWS TONIGHT!
Highs and lows will be below normal the next several days! Most all areas will be in the 50s tonight! The record low for West Palm Beach is 55 this Monday night and we will PROBABLY BREAK THAT RECORD! The low should be near 50-53! The Vero Beach record low is 50 and we will at least tie that record and could break it too! Some inland areas in Okeechobee county will drop into the upper 40s!
Highs will be about 4-5 below the normal 83 through Wednesday. We will be near 77 and lows will be way below he normal 63... instead near 50 inland to 55 coast through Wednesday.
Late week will warm up with highs near normal by Thursday and through the coming weekend near 83 with lows near 65.
Unseasonably Cool Air Heads Our Way
04/22/12
Michael Ehrenberg is in the StormTrac Center Tonight...
Big changes are heading our way in the temperature department. A cool front passed through during the day Sunday. A reinforcer is due sometime on Monday. High Pressure building down through the Southeast will combine with a deep upper level trough to bring us a flow out of Canada. Temperatures Tuesday and Tuesday night will be normal for January and February rather than the end of April.
We have the chance of breaking some records too!
In West Palm Beach the Tuesday Record Low Maximum is 75. We'll be right around that.
On Wednesday Morning the Record Lows is 50. I'm forecasting 52.
In Vero Beach the Record Low on Wednesday is 44. The Forecast is for 47.
Of course, these forecasts could be ratcheted down further if Computer Model Trends Continue.
In the meantime, we'll keep you posted. You may want to turn off the A/C Too!
Thunderstorm Potential
04/21/12
Michael Ehrenberg in the StormTrac Center says...
Our first chance at severe weather during the day Saturday was...frankly...a bust!
Storms firing in the Florida Keys robbed the energy further North that was needed for storms here. In addition our skies were cloudy all day with temperatures staying in the rather cool 70s. With the lack of daytime heating and lower energy, what little rain that occurred today was just that...little!
As of this writing..a line of storms was firing up in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. This is associated with a mid-level low which will move into and through Central Florida early Sunday. I do expect this line to move through here during the early Sunday Morning hours. There is a slight (or small) chance that these storms bring us severe weather (i.e. isolated tornado/damaging winds). However, the most probable scenario would be some heavy downpours and strong, gusty winds. (The Severe Threat increases as you head into Central and North Floirida, closer to the track of the Low.)
The Flood Watch was dropped with rainfall now expected well under an inch.
The clouds still linger for daytime Sunday with a 40% chance of leftover showers.
Severe Weather Threat Today
04/21/12
**Flood Watch Through Sunday Morning**
**Severe Thunderstorms Possible Today**
Okay, so here's how the severe weather threat breaks down today ..... After one impulse with moderate rains pushed through this morning, the more significant "severe weather trigger" is waiting in the wings. An area of low pressure with an attached cold front is pushing through the central gulf of mexico and should arrive by afternoon. Out ahead of this system, wind fields will increase (a breezy day), and moisture will continue to surge in. The 1st opportunity for severe weather will come with a batch of storms firing ahead of the cold front and pushing in from the west by mid to late afternoon. The main threat with these storms will be damaging winds, hail and isolated tornadoes. That threat could be enhanced if we see more sunshine than expected which would further destabilize the atmosphere. Either way, the threat is there. That "first round" will continue through the evening as we wait on the "2nd round" to come through early on Sunday. That should be a solid "line" of storms that could bring damaging wind gusts on the order of 50+ mph. Sunday looks to be somewhat cloudy and breezy as we dry out, but not before picking up 1-3 inches of rain potentially- hence the flood watch. Stay tuned to CBS12 for the latest watches and warnings!
Meteorologist Craig Gold, AMS
POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS THIS WEEKEND!
04/20/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell.... POTENTIALLY STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THIS WEEKEND!
Computer models show a storm developing with a storng cold front in the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and moving across the state Saturday and Sunday. Winds will increase 20-25 mph from the S/SW on Saturday and Sunday. The rain chance for storms is 70% on Saturday and 60% on Sunday!
GRAPHICS BELOW HAS SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL OUTLOOK AND EXPECTED TOTAL WEEKEND RAINFALL
RAIN CHANCE GOING UP... WEEKEND STORMY AND WINDY!
04/19/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... RAIN CHANCES ARE GOING UP THE NEXT FEW DAYS.... AND A WINDY... STORMY WEEKEND TOO! A front across central Florida will help produce cloudy skies today and a 50% chance of showers and Tstorms this Thursday afternoon and into Friday afternoon too. Highs near 83-85.
BE AWARE THAT POSSIBLE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON... EVENING AND INTO SUNDAY! A cold front moving into south Florida Saturday and Sunday will produce south-southwest winds 20-25 mph... and the rain chance is 60% for Saturday night into Sunday!
CHECK RAIN CHANCE MAP BELOW WHERE FLORIDA HAS 60-80% CHANCE OF RAIN AND TSTORMS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
Rain in the Forecast
04/18/12
Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews monitoring our weather tonight..
It looks like some changes are coming our way the next several days. HPCs 5-Day Rain forecast indicates we have the potential for 1 to 2 inches of much needed rain from now through the weekend. The charts below show either a 40 or 50% chance for rain each day.
Our in-house Microcast Model indicates the best chances for rain during the day Saturday and into early Sunday. (See the graphic below)
There are some early indications that severe weather is possible as a deep upper level trough swings through Florida. This will combine with surface Low Pressure taking a track perhaps over North Florida. We do need the rain. Unfortunately, much of it comes on our weekend.
RAIN CHANCE INCREASING THURSDAY.... WEEKEND WINDY-TSTORMS
04/18/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny to partly cloudy skies and a few showers and highs near 82.
THURSDAY our chance of rain increases to 40-50% as a weak cool fornt moves into central Florida and brings more clouds and showers.
WEEKEND WEATHER WINDY... THUNDERSTORMS TOO!... Saturday and Sunday a developing area of low pressure over the NE Gulf will increase winds 20-25 mph from the S/SW. There is a 50% chance of rain and possible strong thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening and into Sunday morning! Stay alert for possible severe weather this weekend!
LIGHTER BREEZE AND WARMER AHEAD
04/17/12
Meteorologists John Matthews and Michael Ehrenberg with our forecast for the week.
Winds back to normal and nice and light for Wednesday....warmer days especially farther from the coast...and staying mainly dry except random showers thru Friday. Beware of weekend changes with higher rain chances likely. Click on the 7 day forecast we've posted below.
LIGHTER WINDS...RAIN CHANCE INCREASE THURSDAY
04/17/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... on this Tuesday winds are slowly decreasing SE 10-15 with only isolated showers. The rain chance at 20%. Highs will be near normal 82.
A cool front moving into central Florida on Thursday will increase our chance of rain to 30-40% here with partly cloudy skies and high near 83-86. Friday will be a sunny and warmer 85.
WATCHING closely a late season cool front approaching on Saturday with above normal highs and the chance of strong thunderstorms moving in Saturday afternoon... Saturday night or Sunday morning! This front will bring gusty winds Saturday and milder highs on Sunday!
Northeast US Heat
04/16/12
Here's something unsusual. High Temperatures today in theNortheastern US were actually quite a bit higher than they were here in South Florida. (Check out the graphic below).
While we topped out in the low 80s on Monday, residents of New Jersey, New York and New England were well into the 80s with even a 91 recorded in Trenton, NJ.
How can this happen you ask? The same High Pressure System that is delivering us an ESE flow off the water is delivering residents of the Northeast a Hot W-SW Land Breeze. This coupled with a strong upper level High is leading to plenty of sinking air up that way. Sinking air tends to compress and heat up on the way down to the ground. Thus, Hotter up there.
A Cold Front will be passing through the Northeast and dropping the temperatures substantially beginning later Monday Night.
Regards!
Michael and John in the Storm Trac Center.
LAST WINDY DAY!
04/16/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... OUR LAST WINDY DAY! Whew... winds have gusted to nearly 30 mph for three days! The weather sysytem producing the wind will finally weaken and move away giving us lighter winds and seas begining Tuesday! The rest of the week will be warmer than normal near 85 and lows near 70.
BUT... We are watching as computer models are developing a strong late season cold front that may move through here with strong Tstorms on Saturday afternoon or evening!
Central U.S. Tornado Outbreak
04/15/12
A major severe weather outbreak occurred during the weekend across portions of the Plains states and Midwest. Check out the graphics below. There have been well over 100 unofficial reports of tornadoes and over 200 reports of Hail. (Saturday and Sunday Combined)
The Storm Prediction Center is calling for a much lower threat on Monday. There is a slight risk for severe weather across the Ohio Valley intoWestern New York.
The United States averages about 1000 tornadoes per year. So far this year there have been over 500 "unofficial" reports of reported tornadoes.
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
Wind Stays a few days
04/14/12
Michael Ehrenberg on duty in the StormTrac Center.
High Pressure will ease down the Southeast Coast during the next few days. It's clockwise flow will maintain a gusty wind through at least Sunday Night.
Sunday features a mix of clouds and sunshine with only a 10% shower chance. High: 80.
Winds will blow from the East at 15-20 with a few gusts up to 25 mph.
This will cause rough surf/seas of 3-5 feet.
Monday's winds will decline some as the center of the High gets a little closer.
As we go on in time during the week winds will slacken further along with slightly moderating temperatures. Check out the graphics below.
I hope you enjoy the rest of your weekend!
Windy Weekend & Central Plains Tornado Outbreak
04/14/12
Wind wind wind ..... that's the name of the game this weekend across South Florida. More importantly, since we like our beaches & boating in these parts, the DIRECTION of the wind will prove to be important. We have "ocean flow" ..... meaning, those winds will be onshore on the order of 20 to 30 mph. If you don't have "sea legs", best to stay "onshore" with the rest of us. Rip currents will be an issue at the beaches as well with breakers around 5-7 feet. Under a mixture of sun & clouds, we'll see highs around 80 today.
Okay, on to the "big event" this afternoon.......
It's days like today where I find myself split between my passion for weather and my concern for those living in harms way. A very rare "high risk" of severe weather exists today for portions of Kansas, Oklahoma and Nebraska. Define severe weather you ask? Well I'm glad you asked! Baseball to softball sized-hail and the potential for long-tracked "violent" tornadoes. That threat exists starting this afternoon and extends into the overnight. My thoughts- This day could get equally as ugly as April 27th, 2011 (remember.... Tuscaloosa, Al ... etc etc). However, there are 2 differences between a tornado outbreak across the deep south and great plains- Homes across the central plains have far more basements/storm shelters. Both provide the best protection from killer tornadoes and thus cut the death toll. Needless to say, still a dangerous situation for our friends across "tornado alley."
Enjoy your breezy Saturday!
CBS12 Stormtrac Meteorologist Craig Gold
STRONGER WEEKEND WINDS... WAVES TOO!
04/13/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... a breezy Friday the 13th!
The weekend is ok.. but WINDY! Winds will increase from the E/SE today at 15-20 mph... with higher gusts to 25+ at the coast. High temperatures will get back to near normal 80 at the coast and near 84 well inland. Overnight lows near 70 coast to 60 well inland. The rain chance Friday and Saturday is 40%.
Seas will be increasing today and this weekend with stronger E/SE winds increasing Friday through Sunday... winds near 20-25 knots (near 30 mph) can be expected! Wave heights will increase 4-7 feet through the weekend and Small Craft Caution and Advisory flags will be needed for weekend boaters... also Rip Currents will increase too.
Weak Front Brings Changes
04/11/12
After a very warm Wednesday with highs in the mid to upper 80s a weather change is coming!
A very weak cool front will slip through overnight and drop our temperatures about 5 degrees.
With a Northeast flow off the water behind the front we'll see a few more clouds on Thursday.
There is a 20% chance of a brief shower with highs near 80.
High Pressure builds down the coast with increasing winds for Friday into early next week.
Saturday/Sunday winds will blow from the East 15-25 knots with seas 3-6 feet.
Temperatures will stay within a few degrees of normal with mainly dry skies.
Looks nice for the Delray Affair. (Click on the graphics below)
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews
StormTrac Weather Team
HOT WEDNESDAY... THEN COOL FRONT THURSDAY
04/11/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... HOTTER THAN NORMAL HIGHS AHEAD! This Wednesday will have very warm SW winds and that will bring highs to above normal 81 and near 85-87! There is a slight 20% chance of an isolated shower ot thunderstorm this afternoon.
A cool front blows through on Thursday, bringing NE winds 15-20 and near normal highs of 80 and lows near 65. Boaters expect rougher seas to develop starting Thursday and lasting into the weekend too!
Changing Winds This Week
04/10/12
A Weak "Cool" Front heads through South Florida during the day on Wednesday. Ahead of it we'll have partly sunny skies with a 20% chance for a brief shower. With a S-SW wind of 5-10 knots we'll warm into the mid and upper 80s. Boaters and Beach Goers you'll have one more day of tranquil near flat seas. Check out the Wave Heights and Water Temperatures below. Not Bad!
Behind this front, High Pressure will build down the East Coast. With a tightening pressure gradient our winds will gradually pick up.
Thursday and Friday expect winds NE 12-17 knots with seas 3-5 feet.
Winds on the weekend will blow ESE 14-23 knots with higher gusts. Seas increase to 4-7 Feet.
Other than an isolated shower, we'll stay mainly on the dry side.
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews
NICE THROUGH WEDNESDAY... BREEZY THURSDAY INTO WEEKEND
04/10/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... Really nice weather with mainly sunny days and nice cool nights. Highs will be near 80 coast and near 84 inland today and then lows tonight near 55 inland to 65 coast. Wednesday will be a bit warmer near 85 with light SW winds as a cool front approaches... only a few isolated showers possible.
The weak front passes through Wednesday night, then Thursday through Saturday expect breezy winds from the NE/E 15-20 and then E/SE 15-20 through the weekend! Boaters can expect the seas to begin increcsing on Thursday and rougher seas will last through the weekend.
Dry weather these days
04/09/12
John Matthews in the CBS12 weather center. Latest information shows we're staying very dry this week. Best chance of showers likely mid-week, with very shallow cool front Wednesday. Temps that day climb to the mid 80s...then we follow up with breezy milder days thru Friday.
Wildfire Awareness Week
04/09/12
We've been enjoying some pretty nice weather the last few days. Plenty of sun & low humidity make for a perfect day out of doors! I'm all for this South Florida Weather. It makes it an enjoyable place to live.
However, we really do need the rain. Check out the rainfall statistics below. Since November 1st we've had less than 10" of rain at PBIA. This is more than 10" short of the average for this time period. As a result, the drought index continues to creep higher each day. The drought index is a measure of how far down in the soil you'd have to dig to find moisture. For example a drought index of 600 means you'd have to dig 6.00 inches down before finding moisture. This places all of our area in the High Fire Danger Category.
What does this all mean? Well, there are a few things we can all do as we approach the peak wildfire season. One of the obvious things is to never throw a lit cigarette out your car window. If you live in an area with lots of brush and trees, it's a good idea to clear it at least 30 feet from your house. For other tips..check out the graphic below.
The Rainy Season doesn't start until late May on average!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/AMS Meteorologist
WEEK STARTS NICE... THEN GETS BREEZY
04/09/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... Nice weather to start this week! Mainly sunny skies with lighter winds and near normal highs around 80 through Tuesday... then a warmer 85 on Wednesday with light S/SW winds.
A Spring cool front moving through on Wednesday night will bring stronger gusty NW/N winds on Thursday 15-20 mph... then gusty SE winds on Friday 15-25 through the weekend! That will mean rougher seas for boaters and warmer days near 83 and nights near 73 Friday through Sunday.
FRIDAY SHOWERS... WEEKEND WINDY & MILDER!
04/06/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrelll... a few showers this Friday morning... then a few isolated afternoon tstorms this afternoon! In between partly cloudy and HOT with gusty SW winds 15-20 and highs well above normal near 90! The rain chance this Friday is 60%.
A cool front moving through tonight and then a breezy and much milder weekend! Weekend highs near 77 coast and 80 inland and lows near 60 inland and 65 coast with gusty NE/E winds 20-25 mph! Rougher seas this weekend too with Small Craft Caution-Advisories for boaters... Rip Currents too!
STORMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... WEEKEND WINDY-MILDER!
04/05/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... Good Thursday afternoon.... ....FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON, TONIGHT, & FRIDAY... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ...A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG OR EVEN POSSIBLY SEVERE, CONTAINING DAMAGING WINDS, HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. WIND: THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 60 MPH. The time of arrial will be difficult to pinpoint, but near or around midnight to early Friday morning is a time for possible strong storms!
LIVE RADAR
A cool front moves through Friday night and look at the chance of rain and increasing weekend winds too NE at 20-25! ROUGH WEEKEND WINDS AND ROUGH SURF WAVES TOO!
NEAR RECORD HEAT... FRIDAY COOL FRONT!
04/04/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... NEAR RECORD HEAT TODAY!
We will come close to the record highs today with hot SW winds! The record high for West Palm Beach is 92 and the record high for Vero Beach is 90. More near record heat for Thursday... then a cool fornt coming through on Friday with a 50% chance of afternoon showers and Tstorms! Check the forecast maps below for the arrival of the front!
The weekend will be quite breezy and milder with highs near the normal 80. But boaters will find much rougher NE winds 15-20 and seas 4-6 feet this weekend too!
HOT NOW... FRIDAY COOL FRONT!
04/03/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... MORE ABOVE NORMAL HEAT! Mainly sunny skies with highs near 85-87 coast to near 88-90 well inland! The record high for Vero Beach is 88 and that could be tied today! The record for West Palm Beach is 91 and will not happen. Light winds and seas through Friday. Increasing winds and seas for the coming weekend! Small Craft Caution possible for the coming weekend and rougher seas!
Forecast maps below show the next 5 days and you can see the cool front moving through Friday and giving us a breezy and milder weekend ahead!
Very Warm Days Continue
04/02/12
The numbers are in for March in South Florida. For West Palm Beach it was the 12th warmest March on record with temperatures averaging 3 degrees above the average. Rainfall was roughly half of normal. 2.29" fell at PBIA which is 2.30" below the long term average.This makes it the 52nd Driest on Record. Records date all the back to 1888!
As we look forward this week, a deep ridge of High Pressure will continue to control our weather with temperatures well above average for this time of year (See Graphic). Afternoon highs will top out in the mid to upper 80s. Expect a 20% chance of rain Tue-Thu and a 30% chance on Friday.
If you're tired of the heat, Computer Models are hinting at a Cool Frontal Passage sometime over the weekend. This will likely knock our temperatures down to Normal for early next week. In fact, the 6-10 Day Outlook calls for a better than average likelihood of below normal temperatures around here. Check back for further updates on this!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg/AMS Meteorologist
ABOVE NORMAL HEAT THIS WEEK!
04/02/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... GET SET TO SWEAT! Mostly sunny skies and above normal heat this week! Normal high is 80 and we'll be close to 84-86 coast and beaches to 88-90 well inland around the lake!
The maps below show high pressure in the Gulf of Mexico giving us the hot NW winds. The next map shows an approaching cool front on Friday ... right now a 30-40% chance of showers or Tstorms Friday and Saturday as the front moves through!
Warm Week Ahead
04/01/12
Our temperatures will continue running above the average much of this week.
Deep High Pressure will gradually slide from the Gulf of Mexico, into and then to the East of Florida by Wednesday. Air sinks under High Pressure and this tends to warm things up, especially when the sea breeze is delayed.
Our Monday will feature mixed sunshine and patchy clouds with a high of 85-87
If you're heading to the Ocean, seas will be near flat (1-2') with Winds Variable 5-10 kts.
Added moisture and a more pronounced sea breeze will increase our rain chances to 20% by the middle of the week.
Stay cool any way you know how!
Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist
NICE WEEKEND WEATHER!
03/30/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies and above normal highs ahead this Friday and into the weekend! Normal high is 80 and we'll be closer to 85-88 this weekend! Only a 20-30% chance of an afternoon showers or tstorm.
Boating and beach weather is perfect! Light S/SW winds 10 mph and seas only 2-3 feet. Use a good sunscreen!
STORMY WEEKEND AHEAD!
04/20/12
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... WEEKEND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS HIGH BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY....Computer models show a storm system developing in the Gulf of Mexico on Saturday and Sunday and moving across Florida this weekend. There look like a squall line of strong storms will move across the area saturday afternoon... Saturday night and into Sunday! The chance of rain and strong thunderstorms is 70% on Saturday and 60% on Sunday.
There is potential for isolated storms to produce hail, high winds and heavy rain. The graphic below shows the outlook for severe weather.
NICE "HOT" WEEKEND
03/30/12
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies and light winds on this Friday and heading towards 83 coast and 86 inland! Perfect water for the boaters with seas only 2-3 feet and light mainly SW winds at only 10 mph! Use a good sunscreen at the beaches!
Weekend weather is above normal! Mostly sunny with highs near 84 coast and beaches to 88 inland areas. Overnight lows will be a little cool near 65 coast to 60 inland! Only a 20-30% chance of afternoon isolated showers or tstorm.
Have a perfect weekend!
FINALLY... LIGHTER WINDS AND SEAS
unset
I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... MUCH LIGHTER WINDS AND SEAS! Finally after days of gusty winds expect much ligher SE winds only 10 mph through Friday. Highs will be warmer near 83 and lows will be cool near the normal 65 coast to 60 inland.
The weekend weather will be MUCH WARMER than normal! Highs near 84 coast to 88 inland with ligth Se winds and mostly sunny skies! Boaters can expect lighter winds and seas through the weekend too!
LIGHTER WINDS AND SEAS!
03/29/12
I'm AMS CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell.... much lighter winds and seas ahead this Thursday! SE winds only 10 mph and warmer highs near near 82 coast to 85 inland. The highs will be above normal 80 and near normal 65 .
Weekend weather looking very nice.. Not much chance of rain through the weekend... but above normal heat near 85 and nice light winds and seas too!
Staying Dry and Mild
03/27/12
High Pressure will gradually sink down from the Carolinas and control our weather over South Florida. Skies on Wednesday will feature a mix of clouds and sunshine with still a gusty breeze out of the East at 10-20 mph. Expect a high in the low 80s.
For Boaters Small Craft Should Exercise Caution. A NE Swell will combine with the wind waves to produce combined seas of 5-7 feet. Rip Currents are likely
The wind settles down some for the late week period along with a continuation of our dry pattern.
Michael Ehrenberg
CBS12 Meteorologist
TUESDAY WEATHER GETTING BREEZY
03/30/12
CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell ... the wind is picking up again! Gusty East breezes at 15-20 mph... some gusts to 25! This wind blows some showers and clouds onshore anytime this Tuesday morning and through the afternoon too! Highs near normal around 80! Rough surf and Small Craft Caution for Boaters!
Winds and seas decreasing starting Thursday and into the weekend too!
Weather This Week
03/26/12
After Sunday's "Cool" Frontal passage the weather gets real nice to start off the work week. We'll see plenty of sunshine with nice low humidity levels. Expect a high in the low 80s.
By Tuesday the winds pickup out of the East at 15-25 mph. This means some ocean clouds and a 20% chance for spotty showers. The seas increase to 4-6' with Rip Currents and Rough Surf.
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