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Weather news, facts and more from CBS12's meteorologists!


TROPICAL STORM BERTHA... and WEEKEND WEATHER!

08/01/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with the latest on Tropical Storm Bertha and our weekend weather too!

  Tropical Storm Bertha formed late Thursday night! The newest 5 day forecast track shows Bertha remaining well east of Florida and the Bahamas on Monday and Tuesday of next week.

  Bertha should then move northeast and well into the Atlantic and away from the east coast of the United States next week.  At this point no threat to Florida or the east coast of the United States at all!  Follow Bertha to her conclusion!

  Locally... expect southeast winds to bring late night and morning coastal showers for our area on Friday and Saturday.  The only thunderstorms will be well inland around the Lake Okeechobee areas and western parts of our counties during the afternoon. The rain chance on Friday and Saturday will be 40% at the coast and 70% inland.  Sunday the chance of rain will increase for us all... to 70%!

  Have a great weekend and follow us all the time at www.cbs12.com on facebook at www.facebook.com/cbs12news and on twitter at #cbs12

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NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM POSSIBLE THURSDAY MORNING!

07/31/14

1. A well-defined low pressure system located about 650 miles east of
the southern Windward Islands has been producing organized shower
and thunderstorm activity during the past several hours. 

 2.If this activity persists, tropical depression or tropical storm advisories
will be initiated later this morning.  

3.Interests in the Lesser
Antilles should monitor the progress of this disturbance as it moves
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph, and watches or warnings may be
required for some of these islands later today.  A Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this
afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

STAY TUNED at www.cbs12.com  www.facebook.com/cbs12news

on twitter at #cbs12

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Watching the Tropics

07/29/14

We're still keeping a wary eye on a developing tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic. This is a spinning area of showers and thunderstorms moving toward the WNW at 10-15 mph. Currently wind shear and marginal water temperatures are hampering its ability to strengthen. However, in the days ahead that wind shear is forecast to relax and the water temperatures warm enough to allow for strengthening.

The Hurricane Center gives it an 80% chance of developing into a depression or even Tropical Storm Bertha in the next several days.

The forecast computer models track it toward the WNW and near the Bahamas by early next week.

Of course, the big question is what does it mean for South Florida? Typically, this time of year these systems have a way of avoiding us. Some of the longer range models want to steer it around the Bermuda Subtropical Ridge and keep it safely away from Florida. That is the "likely" scenario right now. However, it is by no means a certainty. This can change. We'll need to keep an eye on it.

Meanwhile, a front will sag into Florida and hang around for awhile. This means our rain chances will stay above average..likely right into our weekend!

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WATCH FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT THIS WEEK

07/28/14

                        WATCHING FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with lots of weather to track this week!

  A very active weather week ahead with thunder and lightning storms likely each and every afternoon Monday through Friday!  The rain chance will be 50-60% for afternoon and early evening lightning storms! When you hear it... fear it! Hear thunder... HEAD INSIDE!   High temperatures will be above normal this week reaching 92-95 each day!

  A large tropical wave 3,000 miles across the Atlantic has a 70% chance of developing into a Tropical Depression over the next 5 days. Computer models show if anything develops... it would move generally west to west northwest and be near the northeast Caribbean by this Saturday.

  NOTE... computer models are not reliable at this early point and should be considered just an early estimate. Later in the week... Wednesday and Thursday models will be considered more credible and reliable.

Follow CBS 12 Stormtrac weather at www.cbs12.com/weather on twitter at #chrisfarrell and on facebook at www.facebook.com/CBS12news

 

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LEES RAIN AND MORE SUN INTO THE WEEKEND

07/25/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a look at your Friday and weekend weather!

  Finally a near normal weather pattern developing for this Friday and through the weekend! Light southeast winds thorugh Sunday will blow a few isolated morning showers onshore near the coast each day... then a few mainly inland afternoon thunderstorms each day too!  The rain chance will be 30% for a coastal shower and 50% for an inland afternoon thunderstorm. Highs will remain near normal around 90.

  Boaters light southeast winds 10 -15 mph... and seas 1-3 feet through the weekend. When you head to the beaches always stay near the Lifeguards! Rip Currents are always present and while not always strong, even slight Rip Currents can be a problem for weak swimmers and small children.

  Tropical weather map remains quiet with the remnant area of the former Tropical Depression number 2 passing near Haiti with no redevelopment expected!

HAVE A NICE WEEKEND and follow us at www.cbs12.com on twitter at #chrisfarrellcbs and www.facebook.com/cbs12news

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Busy Weather Week

07/22/14

Tropical Depression #2 continues to move quickly West in the Central Atlantic. This system is over 2000 miles from South Florida. The good news here is that there's a large amount of dry dusty air in its path along with wind shear. This will continue to provide an unfavorable environment for development. As a result, you can see the forecast track only goes out for 2-3 days. It stays weak and likely dissipates.

Beyond this time period, the global models likely form an upper level trough near the East Coast of the U.S. As a result, what is left of T.D. #2 will more than likely get shunted to the east of us.

Meanwhile, after a stormy start to the week drier air will begin to work in from the East. This will gradually lower our rain chances to 30% from Thursday on. This means more sunshine with few showers and storms around.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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EARLY WEEK RAIN... TROPICAL WEATHER

07/21/14

  CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with an increasing chance of rain for the first few days this week! A Tropical Wave is an area of clouds and showers... and a Tropical Wave over the Bahamas is moving across Florida Monday and Tuesday increasing the chance of rain to 60% for the first part of the week.   The 7 day forecast shows Thursday through Sunday less rain as the wave moves away.  Our skies will be drier and sunnier with only isolated showers and thunderstorms Thursday through Sunday.

Tropical Satellite shows an area of clouds thousands of miles out in the Atlantic ocean with a 10% chance of developing in the next 5 days. This area of clouds will have less chance of developing later in the week as wind patterns become unfavorable.

Follow CBS 12 weather at www.cbs12.com  on twitter @chrisfarrellCBS

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Weather Changes Ahead

07/20/14

Our Next Weather Maker this week comes in the form of increasing tropical moisture. This will be drawn in by a weak upper level trough/low which amplifies across the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. The SW-S Flow high above the ground will bring in moisture which increases our shower and thunderstorm chances, especially Tue-Wed.

As usual, thunderstorms that develop can contain torrential downpours, frequent lightning and strong gusty winds. Later in the weak high pressure builds back in. This will lower our rain chances with showers and storms mostly inland again.

Meanwhile, in the tropics..a weak tropical wave combined with Low Pressure is located in the Eastern Atlantic. At this point it poses little threat with development chances low for the next 5 days.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Storm Pattern Ahead

07/15/14

Rainfall was plentiful across our area on Tuesday. Check out some of the rain totals below. Many areas (mainly away from the coast) saw rain totals between 1 and 2 inches. Much lighter totals generally less than 1/2" occurred closer to the coast.

Our weather remains active the next few days for a few reasons. An upper level trough will sag down over the Eastern part of the country and reach down into Florida. This means light winds generally from a southwest or West direction at steering level. As a result storms will pop-up inland and move toward the coast. A cold front will stall in North Florida. This adds moisture and converging air to the mix. Bottom line: high rain chances through Friday.

Afternoon thunderstorms have a high risk of lightning with them. There will also be a moderate risk of gusty winds, local street flooding and even hail.

Keep that umbrella nearby!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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RAIN CHANCE INCREASING THIS WEEK

07/14/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a look at the week ahead...

  We start the week this Monday with normal light southeast winds 10-15 mph that will blow isolated showers through the coast and then a few inland afternoon thunderstorms. The rain chance is 30% for Monday.

  Tuesday an approaching cold front moving into the southeast states will turn our winds more southwest and that means more heat with highs near 92.  Also more afternoon coastal thunderstorms blowing to the coast each afternoon from the inland areas.  The west to southwest winds will last through Thursday. So the rain chance will increase to 50% Tuesday-Wednesday-Thursday.

  Then a return to southeast winds Friday through Sunday with a return to morning coastal showers and inland afternoon thunderstorms.

  The Tropical Weather map is still quiet with no Tropical Storm formation expected through the next 5 days!

  Follow CBS12 Stormtrac weather on Twitter at #cbs12 and facebook at www.facebook.com/cbs12news

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Next Weather Maker

07/13/14

After a mostly dry weekend our weather will likely turn stormy again this week. Our next weather maker will be a high pressure ridge to our North. As it gets pushed to the South by an upper level trough, the clockwise flow around this ridge will shift our winds into a S-SW Direction. This will continue to pump in Tropical Moisture. In addition storms that pop up on the Sea-Breeze will get pushed toward the coast each afternoon and evening. As a result our rain chances head higher this week (up to 60% by Wed-Thu).

By Week's end there's some indication the pattern will reverse itself with the high moving back North of our area. This likely lowers our rain chances into the weekend.

There's good news in the tropics. Computer Models don't forsee any development for at least the next 5 days!

Thanks for reading,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Weather Changes Ahead

07/09/14

Wednesday was another stormy day here in South Florida. Check out the rain totals below. Many areas received between 1-3" of rain. There were reports of local street flooding in parts of Downtown West Palm Beach.

We're looking at one more stormy day (Thursday) with rain chances on the high side once again. Thereafter a high pressure ridge will build to the North of our area. The clockwise flow around this high will give any storms that do develop a push inland..away from the coast. Additionally, drier air works back in meaning sunnier days into the weekend with lower rain chances.

By next week we may be back into the storms again as the high pressure ridge slips to our South. Storms early next week will drift back toward the coast with increasing rain chances again.

We are in the rainy season here in South Florida..so keep that umbrella handy!

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

 

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Active Weather Ahead

07/06/14

Active weather likely persists this week. Our next weather maker will continue to be deep tropical moisture in place across South Florida. Steering winds will remain light from either the South or Southwest. This favors showers and thunderstorms developing and moving near or towards the coast. The biggest hazard in these storms will be lightning and gusty winds. A lower risk exists for flooding and hail.

Look for rain chances to head a bit lower later in the week.

Meanwhile, in the tropics..nothing major is going on.  A weak surface trough off the Southeast Coast of the U.S. shows little signs of developing.

Tropical Cyclone formation seems unlikely in the next 5 days.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NO.1 LOCAL FORECAST INFORMATION

07/01/14

          TROPICAL STORM WATCH INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE COUNTIES

The five day forecast track shows Tropical Depression number 1 moving slowly northwest this Tuesday afternoon and becoming Tropical Storm Arthur. Then moving north Wednesday and quickly northeast away from Florida by Thursday.

  INDIAN RIVER AND ST. LUCIE COUNTIES: TROPICAL STORM WATCH!  wINDS THIS AFTERNOON 20-30 MPH.... Tropical Storm winds of 40 mph could increase near the coastal areas of these counties this Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning.  Additionally rainfall totals of 1-3 inches is possible in the next 36 hours.

  MARTIN AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES: Effects limited to breezy southwest winds 20-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph. Rainfall totals of 1-2 inches in the next 36 hours.

  BOATERS-FISHERMEN-SURFERS: Beach conditions will become rougher with increasing seas 3-6 feet.  Rip currents likely! Stay out of the water or near Lifeguards. Be alert and aware of rougher waves and swells at beaches and near inlets today... Wednesday and Thursday.

                       LIVE UPDATE TODAY AT NOON ON CBS12

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TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE NEAR FLORIDA EAST COAST. HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY

06/30/14

Regardless of whether or not the cloud area east of Florida develops... it will give us clouds and increasing rainfall. The rain chance Monday is 70%. Tuesday and Wednesday expect more rain to develop possibly heavy with a chance for FLOODING. A FLOOD WATCH IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS CLOSER TO SE FLORIDA and the rain chance increases to 80%. The cloud area will move away from Florida Thursday and the weather will improve Thursday through 4th of July weekend!

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity remains minimal in association with a low pressure area located about 140 miles east-northeast of Melbourne, Florida.  Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development during the next few days and a tropical depression is likely to form by mid-week while the system moves slowly southwestward, then north and northeastward near the southeastern United States coast.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

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Developing Tropical Disturbance

06/29/14

We continue to closely monitor a broad area of low pressure off the Northeast Florida Coast. The National Hurricane Center gives this system a 70% chance of becoming the season's first tropical depression or tropical storm.

Computer Models show all kinds of tracks. Some models bring it our way while other models meander the system off-shore and track it away later in the week. The system likely gets close enough that we're at least impacted by its upper level winds. This will tend to direct our normal showers and t'storms from inland areas towards the coast.

Because of this our rain chances remain high at 60% for both Monday and Tuesday.

If the system gets closer or stronger than expected we have the outside chance for higher wind and rain chances.

Check back for further updates!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT NEXT 3-5 DAYS!

06/28/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with the latest Tropical Weather outlook from the National Hurricane center.. follow this area closely the next few days as any movement closer to Florida early next week would increase our chance of rain.

  Follow us at www.cbs12.com  on twitter at #cbs12 also on facebook.com/cbs12news

  A weak low pressure system located just off the coast of South Carolina is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to remain favorable for gradual development of this system while it drifts southward during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.


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POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT... WEEKEND OUTLOOK

06/26/14

  Watching for possible Tropical Development off the southeast coast of the United States near the Carolina coast.  Reliable computer models show possible Tropical Development late this weekend and into early next week near the Carolina coast... the chance of development is 20% next week.  If anything develops it might drifft south to southwest towards the east coast of Florida. 

Right now too early to say with any high degree of confiidence what would move our way, but late this weekend towards Sunday and Monday we will have a better idea reagrding any possible Tropical weather affects here.

  Meantime the weather pattern remains near normal here with mostly sunny skies through the morning and early afternoon with highs near 90. Then isolated afternnoon lightning storms mainly well into the mid to late afternoon. The rain chance will be near 30-40% through the weekend.

  STAY IN TOUCH ALL THE TIME WITH CBS 12 on line at www.cbs12.com throughout the day with TWEETS #chrisfarrellcbs and on facebook at www.facebook.com/cbs12news.  I'm CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell

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HOT DAYS... HEAT INDEX NEAR 100! FEW AFTERNOON STORMS!

06/23/14

Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a near normal weather pattern of sunny mornings... then partly cloudy afternoons with a scattering of afternoon showers and lightning storms! The rain chance will be 30-40% for afternoon showers and lightning storms each afternoon this week through Friday.

Heat will be a big story too with highs near 90 ... but heat index "FEELS LIKE TEMPERATURES" will be near 98-102! Drink plenty of water and slow down inthe summer time heat!

REMEMBER ... direct sunlight can increase the heat index "feels like temperature" by 10-15 degrees! SO A 100 DEGREE "HEAT INDEX"... CAN FEEL LIKE 110 IN DIRECT SUNLIGHT! Heat cramps, heat stroke and heat exhaustion are all possible so slow down! Protect yourself with shade, water and light colored loose fitting clothing!

     The Tropical Satellite shows no development expected the next 5 days!

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FRIDAY STORMS... TROPICAL WEATHER.. WEEKEND WEATHER

06/20/14

  More thunderstorms this Friday afternoon! The chance of storms is 70 percent and locally heavy rain, gusty damaging winds and hail are all possible in the afternoon storms! These storms will be moving in from the west and cross the coast late this afternoon! As dry air moves in on Saturday ... the rain chance will decrease to 50 percent on Saturday. Southeast winds and drier air on Sunday will decrease the rain chance to 30 percent on Sunday for mainly inland afternoon storms.!

An area of clouds about 70 miles just east of Daytona Beach, Florida has a very slight 10 percent chance of developing tropically the next 5 days.  Any development would be slow to occur and any movement would be northeast and away from Florida... so little chance of any effects here.

         LIVE STORMTRAC RADAR TODAY AT NOON ON CBS 12 NEWS AT NOON

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Normal Summer Weather

06/15/14

A typical summer pattern sets up for the early part of the week. Scattered coastal morning showers will turn into primarily inland afternoon scattered thunderstorms.Average rain chances remain at 30% for any given location.

Thunderstorms can always contain torrential downpours, frequent lightning, strong gusty winds and even some small hail. (Mainly well inland late in the day)

Later in the week drier air can work in reducing our rain chances to only 20%.

Meanwhile, the tropics continue to remain very quiet. Increased thunderstorm development in the East Pacific favors sinking air over the nearby Caribbean and Gulf through late June. This is not favorable for tropical development. We'll keep you posted!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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SUNNY MORNINGS... STORMY AFTERNOONS... STORM THREATS BELOW

06/13/14

       CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with Storm Threat Risk Below!

  Expect mostly sunny skies each morning with highs each day near 90! Then clouds will build and light southwest winds the next several days will helping to steer heavy afternoon thunderstorms northeast and over the coastal areas of Palm Peach county and the Treasure Coast each afternoon this weekend!!  Thunderstorms wll be heavy and strong with gusty winds, damaging gusty winds, lightning strikes and possible small hail too!

  Boating and beach conditions will be nice and sunny and smooth with light southwest winds, but afternoon thunderstorms will make it very dangerous with lightning likely and possible hail too!  Keep an eye out and be ready to move indoors or head for the car when thunderstorms start moving over the coast each afternoon!

                             LIVE STORMTRAC RADAR AT NOON

    TROPICAL WEATHER MAP REMAINS QUIET THROUGH THE NEXT 5 DAYS!

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Disruptive Weather Ahead

06/11/14

Rain Chances remain high the next few days. The best chance for showers and thunderstorms will occur each afternoon and evening. There is a high risk for lightning and strong gusty winds. A moderate risk exists for hail with a low tornado risk.

Wednesday's storms caused 3/4 to 1 inch hailstones in parts of Delray Beach and Boynton Beach. Winds gusted to 50 mph in the same locations.

By the weekend, our weather pattern returns to a more normal regime. This means most of the day dry with scattered morning coastal showers and mainly inland afternoon thunderstorms.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NEAR NORMAL HEAT AND RAIN... QUIET TROPICS TOO!

06/09/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a week of near normal heat and afternoon thunderstorms!

  There is a near normal weather pattern for the week ahead... and that means highs near 90º and a good chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms with the rain chance at about 50% each day.  Highs near 90º but Heat Index "feels like temps" will be near 100º! Slow down in the afternoon heat drink plenty of water and find some shade! REMEMBER the "Heat Index or Feels Like" temperature can be increase by 10-15 degrees in "direct sunlight".... so wear a hat and try to stay in the shade as much as possible.

  Headed to the beach or out in the boat there are going to be light winds and seas the next several days. ALWAYS stay near Lifeguards and be aware of Rip Currents! Use a good sunscreen and PAY ATTENTION TO DIVE FLAGS!

  Tropical weather map looks fairly quiet! There is a broad area of clouds in the northwest and north Caribbean with no tropical evelopment expected the next 5 days.

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Summer Like Weather Pattern

06/08/14

We're locked in a summer type weather pattern this week. Light winds will allow the sea breezes to develop and push slowly inland. This combined with tropical moisture in place (pretty normal for this time of the year) will fire up daily scattered shower and thunderstorm activity. Some of the storms can be slow moving dumping a lot of rain.

The normal strong gusty winds, downpours and frequent lightning can occur with any of these storms. They will tend to stay inland in the afternoon (West of I-95).

Rain chances stay at 40-50% right through the week.

The nearby tropics continue to stay very quiet with virtually cloud free skies noted in the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea.

Enjoy your week!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

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TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE... WEEKEND SHOWERS

06/06/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here watching for the possible development of our first Tropical Weather System.

  Area of clouds in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico has a 50% chance of developing into a Tropical Depression in the the next 5 days.   Computer models show anything developing moving very little through the weekend and into early next week.  While there is no threat to Florida at the present time.. if ever... we should remain aware of the cloud area and stay tuned to CBS 12 Stormtrac Weather in the remote chance of any changes late this weekend.

  Meanwhile weekend weather will have an increasing chance of rain! Tropical moisture returning will give us an increasing chance of rain Saturday and Sunday to 50% with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms likely... and into early next week too!

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Weather Changes Coming

06/04/14

The next few days we'll continue to have unusually dry conditions for early June. Clouds will mix with sunshine through Thursday with only a 20% chance for a random passing shower. Later in the week deep tropical moisture will move back into South Florida from the Gulf and Caribbean. This means our rain chances go back to normal. Expect daily scattered showers and thunderstorms to return on the weekend and early next week.

Our rip current risk remains moderate to high for another day or so with seas 3-5 feet.

As far as the tropics go, we're still watching a broad area of lower pressure stretching across the lower Gulf of Mexico. Computer Models for at least the next 5 days don't develop the system at all. Beyond that time, there is some uncertainty regarding what happens to the system with different computer models forecasting different outcomes.

We'll keep you posted!

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This Week's Weather

06/02/14

Rip Currents will continue to be a concern the next few days. A large high pressure ridge centered to our North will continue to supply an East wind at 15-25 mph. This means seas of 5-9 feet.

In the meantime scattered showers and mainly inland afternoon thunderstorms will occasionally pass by. The lowest chance for rain comes Tuesday as somewhat drier air filters in around the High.

Turning our attention to the tropics, there remains a "strung-out" trough of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico. During the next 5 days conditions will remain unfavorable for development (10% chance). If it develops at all it likely wouldn't be until next week sometime.

We'll keep an eye on it for you!

Thanks for reading,

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Needed Rain Ahead

05/27/14

After an extended dry period we'll likely see an increase in rainfall later in the week.

Moisture is expected to gradually increase throughout the week. This will be drawn in from the Caribbean and Bahamas. At the same time the upper level ridge of high pressure which has been keeping a "lid" on our atmosphere will slip off to the East and weaken. An upper level low now located near Texas will drift to the Southeast and be positoned in the Gulf of Mexico. This Low will cool our upper level temperatures making our atmosphere more unstable.

The bottom line: higher rain chances, especially Thu and Fri (40%).

This means the possibility of morning showers near the coast and scattered mainly inland thunderstorms each afternoon and evening.

With the rainy season delayed by more than a week, we are overdue!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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MEMORIAL DAY...Isolated Showers

05/26/14

         MEMORIAL DAY AND A TIME TO HONOR ALL... WHO GAVE ALL... FOR OUR FREEDOM!

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with your Memorial Day forecast. Expect near normal weather ... a few isolated showers near the coast and beaches this morning and then sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs near normal 87 coast to 93 inland. Tonight mostly fair skies with a few isolated coastal showers. Lows will be near normal 73 coast to 68 well inland. The fire danger remains high so be careful with any bar-b-ques... cooking with open flames and burning!

Boaters can expect a few isolated showers and light winds this Monday morning becoming east at 10-15 knots this afternoon. Seas will be 1-3 feet and inland waters mainly smooth. Stay near LIFEGUARDS and be aware of RIP CURRENTS that can be weak, but dangerous for small children and weak swimmers.

                    HAVE A GREAT HOLIDAY

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Weather Changes This Week

05/25/14

Happy Memorial Day Weekend!

Our weather has been ideal for outdoor activities. Plenty of hot sunshine and rain-free skies have lended themselves to great beach and boating weather. Expect the dry weather to continue until at least Tuesday. This means Light East Winds 5-15 mph with a low risk for rip currents at our area beaches.

By Wednesday and Thursday, our total atmospheric moisture will begin to increase. In addition our atmosphere becomes a bit more unstable. The combination of the two will make it easier for scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop. Rain chances go up to 30-40% for Wed through Sat.

We do need the rain and our rainy season is already starting late.

Until, then enjoy the sunshine!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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SUNNY AND HOT HOLIDAY WEEKEND!

05/23/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with perfect Memorial Day holiday weekend weather!

  Mostly sunny skies and very light winds this weekend will mean above normal highs near 90 at the coast and beaches to 92 well inland!  Winds will be light from the west each day and then become light from the east each afternoon only 10 mph! Those west winds will blow all the heat from the center of the state over here to the coast!  Overnight lows will be near 70.

 Beaches and ocean water will be perfect this weekend with light east winds and nearly flat seas and waves only running about 1-3 feet! Use a good sunscreen... stay near lifeguards and have a great time in the water!

  The fire danger is quite high again... so be careful with any outdoor burning... grills... BBQ and outdoor cooking!

                                     HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!

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Rainy Season Outlook

05/20/14

The National Weather Service issued their outlook for our upcoming rainy season. The forecast calls for temperatures to trend above average. Rainfall will likely run near the normal with a slight chance it trends below normal.

The rainy season looks to be delayed this year. Plenty of dry air in place and persistent high pressure will likely keep moisture shoved to our South through at least the middle of next week.

Typically we receive about 70% of our annual rainfall during the rainy season which extends from late May until about Mid-October. Rainfall during this period is highly variable and typically averages between 35-45"

The rainy season is punctuated by almost daily showers and thunderstorms. These storms are strongest during the first part of the rainy season which lasts until early July.

El-Nino will likely ramp up this summer. This is characterized by warmer than normal Eastern Pacific Ocean Temperatures. El-Nino doesn't normally have any significant effects on our daily thunderstorm activity. However, the wind shear it creates over the Atlantic is known to cut down on overall hurricane activity.

NOAA issues their hurricane outlook for the 2014 season on Thursday.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

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BREEZY WINDS END SOON... NICE WEEK.. MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND TOO

05/19/14

    CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a nice week of weather ahead!

  Breezy east-northeast winds will continue to blow through Tuesday! Gusts will occasionally reach 20 to 25 mph at the coast! Rough surf with Small Craft Caution flags and Rip Currents likely at local beaches too! Seas will be near 3-6 Feet! ALWAYS STAY NEAR LIFEGUARDS!

  Mostly sunny and dry skies ahead for the work week! A nice area of dry air centered over Florida and the southeast will remain in place through Friday!   Lighter winds Wednesday will allow for warmer highs near 88-92 Thursday through the weekend! Very little chance of any rain!

  Memorial day weekend looking mostly sunny warm and dry with light winds and only a slight 20-30% chance of an isolated shower.




Dry Days Ahead

05/18/14

Strong High Pressure will be re-inforced this week as it slowly sinks down across the SE States. It's influence means sinking air and little chance for rain the entire week. This means lots of sunshine each day with a gusty East Wind the first part of the week.

That onshore flow means a moderate to high chance for rip currents at our beaches. Seas will run 3-6 feet with ENE Winds 15-20+ mph..at least for the next few days.

Later in the week the high pressure ridge will sink into South Florida and weaken. This will lighten up the wind. However, the winds will have a more southerly component. This raises both the temperature and humidity, making it down right hot by the weekend.

It looks like the traditional start of the Rainy Season will be a bit late this year. The average start is around May 21st. It likely won't start until at least the beginning of next week.

Until then, enjoy the sunshine!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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LATE SEASON COOL FRONT... NICE BREEZY WEEKEND

05/16/14

           CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell tracking a late season cool front!

  Starting with cloudy skies this Friday morning, then becoming sunny to partly cloudy with breezy and gusty Northwest to North winds at 15 to 20 mph!  Highs today will be milder near 82 coast to 85 inland. COOLER lows tonight near 58 inland to 68 coast!

  Weekend weather will be breezy and milder with mostly sunny skies! Highs near 84 this weekend with breezy northeast winds 15-20 mph. Small Craft Caution flags for boaters this weekend with northeast winds 15-20 and rougher seas 3-6 feet!

                                       HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

 

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Rain Returning

05/13/14

Rain is in the plan for the next few days. We're tracking a trough of lower pressure located across the Bahamas. This feature will move into South Florida on Wednesday and linger into Thursday. A front from the West will push into the state on Thursday. The two features will force a rich supply of tropical moisture into the state. This means increasing chances for rain both Wednesday and especially Thursday.

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected through Wednesday. The wetter day looks to be Thursday when locally heavy rains are possible.

The RPM Model forecasts anywhere from 1-2+ inches total rainfall from now until Friday Morning.

We do need the rain and it will be welcome.

The good news is that the "cool front" will move through Friday paving the way for a sunnier, drier weekend.

Track the rain into your neighborhood using our WPEC Weather App or check out our interactive radar here:

cbs12.com/radar

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Next Weather Maker

05/11/14

After more than a week of rain-free weather, I'm looking for some changes this week.

Our next weather maker continues to march across the Atlantic. This inverted trough/tropical wave now resides over Hispaniola. The computer models forecast it to be on our doorstep by Wednesday. This system likely remains weak and will skirt by before getting picked up by an upper level trough later in the week.

The bottom line is our rain chances will go up to at least 40% for both Wed and Thu. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely both days.

In the meantime, both Mon and Tue will continue partly sunny, breezy and warm with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s. Only isolated showers are possible each day.

The East wind 12-22 mph will continue a moderate to high threat for rip currents going on area beaches.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WARM & BREEZY MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND! NEXT RAIN CHANCE IS...

05/09/14

 CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with little change in the hot and dry and breezy weather pattern until... next week!

  Friday through the Mothers Day weekend... expect mostly sunny skies with breezy southeast winds 15-20 mph and higher gusts at the coast. Highs will be above normal high of 85 closer to 87 coast and near 92 inland! Overnight lows will be above normal 70... closer to 78!  Boaters can expect winds to remain southeast at 15-20 knots and seas 3-5 feet through the weekend too! Expect Rip Currents at local beaches so stay near Lifeguards!

 Next week an approaching old frontal weather system from Puerto Rico will hopefully bring and increasing 30-40% chance of rain on Wednesday-Thursday-Friday.  No chance of this weather system developing tropically... right now.

                           HAVE A GREAT MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND

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National Climate Assesment

05/06/14

The National Climate Assesment was released on Tuesday. This is an 800 page report on our climate and the impact faced by global warming.

The report talks about the contribution of man-made induced carbon emissions into the atmosphere and the resulting effect on increasing temperatures worldwide.

According to the report the biggest effects here in South Florida will continue to be an increase in sea-level. Sea Levels have already increased 1-2 feet and are projected to increase another 1-4 feet by 2100. This will likely worsen the current beach erosion in many communities. This can have an economic impact on tourism (Less beach..fewer tourists come to South Florida).

Due to increased wind shear, the amount of hurricanes could actually decrease. However, with warmer ocean temperatures, the storms that do form can become more intense. This means more damage if and when the storms head our way.

The amount of days where temperatures reach 95 or greater can increase dramatically. This can cause hardships several ways. More heat can put a strain on our water supplies. Heat related deaths are likely to increase, especially with our large elderly population.  More intense heat can dry out the vegetation leading to more frequent and prolonged wildfires.

A warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture. This has already resulted in more frequent very heavy rain events. A notable example would be the massive flooding in Pensacola just last week.

Of course, these are projections only. It's difficult to asceratain the precise impact that carbon emissions will have on our future climate here in South Florida.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 MeteorologistTo see the full report follow this link:

nca2014.globalchange.gov

 

 

 

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NICE WEATHER WEEK... MOTHERS DAY TOO

05/05/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farell here with a perfect week of weather ahead!

  Nice dry air in place will keep skies mostly sunny through the week ahead with near normal highs and lows.  Normal high is 84 and normal low is 69. We will stay close to those temperatures through the week.  The rain chance is very slight later in the week only 20%.

  Mothers Day weekend looking nice and warm! Mostly sunny skies for the coming Mothers Day weekend with highs near 87 and lows near 70... and only isolated showers with the rain chance at 20% for Saturday and Sunday.

  Nice beach days ahead too... but winds will be increasing Thursday through Friday with southeast winds at 15-20 late in the week and possible Small Craft Caution flags Thursday through Friday.

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Quiet Weather Ahead

05/04/14

The sunshine state will live up to its name this week.

High Pressure will gradually move from the Gulf of Mexico..across Florida and into the nearby Atlantic. An upper level ridge plays a role in our weather too. These systems will combine to provide lots of sinking stable air over our area. This means plenty of sunshine each day with only a 5-10% chance for rain into Friday.

Temperatures will gradually warm to above average levels, especially at night with a light NE-E wind flow early in the week and E-SE later in the week.

By next weekend shower chances increase somewhat as moisture begins to return.

In the meantime, enjoy the nice weather!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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FRIDAY AFTERNOON RAIN... SATURDAY RAIN... SUNDAY NICER

05/02/14

FRIDAY we are looking at cloudy skies with mainly afternoon showers and locally heavy afternnoon thundestorms likely! Rain chance is 60% through the afternoon.  Highs will be near 87. SUNFEST FRIDAY EVENING will have a good chance of early showers and storms... then the rain chance decreasing by 8 pm through the late evening!

SATURDAY... here it comes! RAIN LIKELY! Locally heavy rain on Saturday with scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms! Rain chance is 70%. Highs only near 85.  SATURDAY NIGHT rain is also likely with the rain chance 40%.  Lows near 70.

SUNDAY... finally nicer and drier! Partly cloudy to sunny skies Sunday with only a 30% chance of isolated showers! Milder highs near 83! SUNDAY NIGHT for fireworks....mostly clear and cooler with lows near 65!

 

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A picture says a thousand words

unset

Notice the bubbly nature of the clouds over downtown West Palm Beach this morning? Well this is what us Meteorologists refer to as "instability." - Lots of cold air is in the upper part of the atmosphere, causing the warm/very moist air where WE live to rise rapidly and form these "cumulonimbus" clouds.Thispattern continuesthrough the weekend, sothunderstorms will continue tobubble up during the heating of the day.Keep it to CBS12 News on air and online just in case any of these showers "get out" of line.---Posted by Craig Gold, CBS 12 Meteorologist

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Weather Update: A picture says a thousand words

unset


Notice the bubbly nature of the clouds over downtown West Palm Beach this morning? 

Well this is what us Meteorologists refer to as "instability." - Lots of cold air is in the upper part of the atmosphere, causing the warm/very moist air where WE live to rise rapidly and form these  "cumulonimbus" clouds.

This pattern continues through the weekend, so thunderstorms will continue to bubble up during the heating of the day.

Keep it to CBS12 News on air and online just incase any of these showers "get out" of line.

Posted by Craig Gold, CBS 12 News

 

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Weather Changes Coming

04/29/14

More hot days area ahead for us!

Average high temperatures this time of year are in the mid 80s. We'll be near the 90 degree mark into Friday. (Check the graphic below). We have a SE-S wind flow and plenty of sunshine to thank for this! This will keep the brush fire threat high.

Later in the week our next weather maker in the form of a weakening front will slowly sag through Florida. This front will gradually increase our chances for showers and thunderstorms, especially Friday and Saturday.  Rain chances are highest on Saturday at 60%.

The front should clear through by Sunday with lowering rain chances. Temperatures will likely return to near normal with highs back into the mid 80s beginning Sunday.

 

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More Sunshine Ahead

04/27/14

More nice weather ahead for us!

A ridge of high pressure will continue to influence our weather until about the middle of the week. High pressure brings with it plenty of subsiding or "sinking" air. This tends to limit shower and thunderstorm activity. Now, there can be a few isolated inland showers and thunderstorms the next 3 days. The sea breeze may provide just enough upward motion as it pushes away from the coast each day.

By later in the week the next weather maker in the form of a weak cool front will slowly push south through the state. Increasing moisture ahead of it, combined with converging air will increase our rain chances. Expect a 30-40% chance for daily scattered showers and thunderstorms from Thu into Sat.

Our temperatures will continue to run hotter than average with highs most days in the mid to upper 80s. Some inland thermometers can easily top the 90 degree mark!

Enjoy the weather!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS... THEN WARMER WEEKEND

04/24/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here...

  Thursday looking nice and sunny and warm with highs near 82 coast to 86 well inland.  Light winds becoming southeast 10-15 mph. No problems on the water with light winds and seas.  Always stay near lifeguards! Use a good sunscreen too!

  Friday a weak cool front will come close and give us a 30% chance of an isolated  shower... but otherwise have little affect on our weather.  Highs will be near 83 and lows will stay mild near 70 coast to 63 well inland.

  Weekend weather loooks good! In fact, much warmer than normal with light south winds highs near 85 coast to near 90 well inland...WOW! Only an isolated shower inland areas in the afternoons. Nice weekend weather on the water too with southeast winds 10-15 and 2-3 foot seas.

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Quiet Weather Ahead

04/22/14

Typical April Weather is ahead for us. High Pressure will gradually build east from the Gulf of Mexico and weaken. This will keep our rain chances low at 10-20% or less right into the weekend. It looks good for outdoor activities. As the high pressure shifts to our East, the clockwise flow will turn our winds eventually into the Southeast and South. This will gradually warm our temperatures into the mid 80s for afternoon highs (a few degrees above average for this time of the year. The next cool front over the SE isn't likely to make it down here..it will fizzle out to our North later in the week.

Meanwhile, at our beaches there has been a high risk of rip currents due to a large ocean storm over 1300 miles away. This storm will continue to throw some sea swells our way into Wednesday. Expect seas of 2-4 feet. However, winds will be fairly light..blowing only 5-10 knots.

Our next weather maker is over a week a way. The next "cool front" will increase our rain chances Tue and especially Wed of next week.

In the meantime..enjoy the weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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MILD MONDAY... METEOR SHOWER... WARMER WEEK AHEAD!

04/21/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a meteor shower and a nice week of weather ahead too!

  Monday sunny to partly cloudy and milder than normal! Normal high is 82 and highs only near 78 with gusty northwest to northeast winds 15-20 mph. The rain chance only 20% for and isolated shower.

  Tuesday through Thursday no major cold fronts headed our way this week. So expect a quick warm up with light winds and sunny skies and warmer than normal highs near 85 to 88! The rain chance only 20% for an isolated shower.  Friday through Sunday sunny to partly cloudy with above normal highs near 88 and lows near 70.  Still very little chance of any significant rain .... nothing more than an isolated shower.

  Meteor showers! That's right... the Lyrid meteor shower occuring Monday night into Tuesday morning! Simply look overhead after midnight with peak viewing 4 through 6 am and you can expect to see meteors with longer tails and bright lights.  Get away from city lights and head to the beaches or western communities for BEST and BRIGHTEST viewing!

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Quiet Weather Ahead

04/19/14

A cold front has passed South Florida aided by low pressure moving off the SE US Coast. The Counterclockwise flow around this Low is ushering in a drier airmass on W-NW Wind Flow. Despite this drier air we'll still experience some clouds from time to time through Easter Sunday. However, no rain is expected with highs most of the day in the 70s. Nice!

High Pressure gradually develops in the Gulf of Mexico. The clockwise flow around it will continue a NW-N flow of dry and mild air for the first part of the week. This means plenty of sunshine each day.

Expect temperatures to gradually warm into the low and then middle 80s as the week goes on.

It should be ideal weather for any outdoor activity you may have planned.

Enjoy!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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TSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT... COOLER EASTER SUNDAY

04/18/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... STRONG TO SEVERE LIGHTINING STORMS  AHEAD.... TRACK THE STORMS WITH THE CBS 12 STORMTRAC WEATHER TEAM OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING ON CBS NEWS ...

  Friday night and into early Saturday morning as a cold front approaches the best chance for strong thunderstorms will be near or after midnight this Friday night and into the early morning hours of Saturday between 3 and 6am!   Locally heavy rain and gusty winds and lightning storms between midnight and 6 am Saturday morning! Saturday morning showers, then partly cloudy with highs near 85.  Much cooler air for Saturday night with lows in the 50s inland to near 60 coast! 

  Easter Sunday will be sunny and breezy and much cooler with highs near 75 and lows near 65!

TRACK THE STORMS WITH THE CBS 12 STORMTRAC WEATHER TEAM OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING ON CBS NEWS BEGINING AT 5 AM...

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Wet Pattern This Week

04/15/14

A cool front passes through our area overnight Tuesday. This front will swing our wind direction into the Northeast bringing some milder air our way for Wednesday. Expect highs to stay below 80. The front will stall across the Floriday Keys. With the front hanging nearby and a moist Northeast Flow.. clouds will linger with a 20% chance of spotty showers.

This same front will head back North and increase our rain chances again on Thursday (see below).

On Friday a low pressure area is expected to develop in the Northeast Gulf of Mexico. This will drag the front back South again through Florida. This means a good chance for showers and thunderstorms on Friday.

As it looks now, the front will clear the coast just in time to dry us out for the weekend.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

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RAIN CHANCE INCREASING THIS WEEK!

04/14/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with potential for wet days ahead this week!

  Monday will have a few showers with sunny to partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. The rain chance is only 30%. Highs near 83 with southeast winds at 10-15 mph and gusts to 20 at the coast.

  Tuesday and Wednesday an approaching cold front will bring increasing rain chances! Tuesday rain chance 60% for showers and possible heavier thunderstorms too Tuesday afternoon! Cloudy skies and highs near 88 on Tuesday. The cold front will probably not push all the way through, so that could mean even more clouds and rain for Wednesday with the rain chance at 50% and highs near 80.  

  Thursday the front could still be nearby giving us cloudy skies and and a rain chance at 40%! Highs Thursday near 85 and lows near 70.

 

 

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Wetter Pattern

04/13/14

Rain chances head higher for the first half of our work week.

They'll range between 30-40% for Mon-Thu.

This means partly cloudy skies with some sunshine for your Monday. Only spotty showers will be around. Expect warm highs in the mid 80s with winds SE 10-20 mph.

As a cool front approaches our area Tuesday scattered showers and thunderstorms will become more likely (40-50% chance). Some of the thunderstorms can contain locally heavy rain, gusty winds & lightning.

Latest computer model guidance wants to weaken and stall the front over South Florida both Wed and Thu. This will keep the chance for scattered showers going.

By weeks end the front should dissipate. This brings back the sunshine with lower rain chances.

Unfortunately, there's little cool air behind this front (Typical for April). Temperatures will likely remain a bit above average through most of the week.

Enjoy the Weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS 12 Meteorologist

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WARM BREEZY WEEKEND... FEW SHOWERS TOO!

04/11/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with all the weather through the weekend!

  Friday... A few showers this Friday but otherwise sunny to partly cloudy and breezy with southeast winds 15 to 20 mph and gusts to 25 at the coast! Highs near 80 coast to 85 inland! Rain chance is only 20%, so a few quick showers will pass by anytime!

  Weekend... not too bad... sunny to partly cloudy with breezy southeast winds 15 to 20 mph and gusts to 25 coast. Highs will be near 80 coast 85 inland with a few showers. The weekend rain chance only 20%.

  Boaters weekend winds will be a little strong with seas 3-5 feet and gusty southeast winds 20 knots. Inland waters a little rough and choppy! Rip currents always present ... stay near lifeguards!

  RAIN CHANCE INCREASING to 50% Tuesday-Wednesday-Thursday with a slow moving cold front!

                                     HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

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Active Weather Ahead

04/08/14

The approach of a cold front will trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms this Tuesday afternoon and evening. We're not expecting the kind of severe weather they had across the Southeast with the same weather system.

With that said, some of the showers and thunderstorms can be disruptive.

Current thinking is a moderate to high risk of frequent cloud to ground lightning and wind gusts between 40-50 mph. The risk for either hail or tornadoes is low. (See the graphic below).

The best chance for showers and thunderstorms occurs between 2 and 8 PM today. This means the evening commute home will be impacted.

The cold front clears the coast overnight tonight with skies beginning to clear.

Behind this front a refreshing change to cooler and drier works in. Expect the sun to return for Wed-Fri with afternoon high temperatures a bit below average.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Next Weather Maker

04/07/14

The next weather maker comes our way in the form of a "cool" front.
This front will enter the weather picture on Tuesday. Ahead of it showers and thunderstorms will develop and move down through South Florida during the afternoon and evening hours. Some of these storms can be locally heavy with downpours, frequent lightning and gusty winds.

Computer Models are disagreeing on the amount of rain to expect. Check out the RPM Model below. Heaviest rain will likely fall on the Treasure Coast.

Behind the front a refreshing change to cooler and drier comes in. Afternoon highs drop into the 70s for a few days with Thursday morning lows in the 50s. That will feel nice!

Thanks for reading!

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NICE FRIDAY ... AND WEEKEND TOO!

04/04/14

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with nice Friday and weekend weather!

  Friday has a few more high to mid level clouds... so officially "partly cloudy"... but still enough sun to make it occasionally "mostly sunny" too...LOL! Breezy southeast winds 10-20 mph will keep highs near the beaches to 80 and inland areas near 83! Friday night lows will be near 70 coast to a cooler 60 inland.

  Saturday and Sunday mostly sunny to partly cloudy with highs near 83 and lows near 68.  Rain chance this weekend is only 20% for isolated showers. Winds will be southeast at 10-15 mph... ocassionally near 15-20 at the coast in the afternoon.

  Tuesday our next cold front coming through with scattered showers and thunderstorms with the rain chance at 50%! Wednesday highs near 73-78 and cooler lows near 55-60!

                                 HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!

 

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Enjoyable April Weather

04/02/14

The month of April typically brings us some of the nicest weather in South Florida. The next several days will be no exception. High Pressure will be situated to our Northeast the next several days. The clockwise flow of air around this high means SE-S Winds which will gradually warm our high temperatures from the low to mid 80s into the weekend. Each day features a healthy dose of sunshine.

This is great beach weather. Seas will average 2-4 feet with always the possibility of rip currents.

Our next weather maker in the form of a cold front moves into North Florida Monday and through our area Tuesday and Tuesday Night. This will increase our chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms..especially Tuesday into Tuesday Night.

Beyond that we cool down and dry out by the middle of next week.

Enjoy the Weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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COOL CLOUDY MONDAY.... BUT NICE WEEK AHEAD!

03/31/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a cloudy Monday, but a nice weather week ahead!

  Monday starts cool in the 50s and stays mild with mostly cloudy skies and highs near 75! Lighter winds from the northwest to northeast at 10-15 mph. Overnight Monday night nice and cool near 50 inland to 60 coast!

  Tuesday through Friday... the rest of the week is nice and quiet! No major cold fronts headed our way! Highs will be near 77-80 through Friday with very little chance of any rain! Nice mild nights too with lows near 65. Saturday and Sunday will be warmer than normal with mid 80s and a 20% chance of isolated showers.

  Our next cold front will come in next week with a 50% chance of rain and thunderstorms likely Monday and Tuesday next week! April showers May flowers....LOL!

CBS 12 NEWS LIVE 4:30AM WEEKDAYS AND AGAIN AT 12:00 NOON

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Pleasant Pattern Ahead

03/30/14

An extended period of dry mild weather is ahead for us as we ease into the month of April. We have high pressure to thank for this. The High slowly moves across North Florida and into the Atlantic the next few days. It's clockside flow of air will turn our flow from NE to E and eventually SE later in the week.

This gradually warms our temperatures back into the low to mid 80s.

With sinking air overhead and no major frontal boundaries in sight, rain chances are nil!

If you're planning a beach or boating outing, heads up. Seas will range from 3-6 feet on Monday and not much lower threafter.

Onshore winds always means the rip current risk will be there. Always swim at a guarded beach.

Enjoy your week!

 

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Rainfall Returning

03/28/14

We've got our eye on a weather system over the Central Gulf Coast States. It's headed our way and likely means a wet start to our weekend. The slow moving frontal boundary will "lift" our air and give us a good chance for showers and thunderstorms. The best chance looks to be Saturday into Saturday Night.

Our "in-house" RPM Model is cranking out widely varying rain totals. (Up to 3" possible in some locally heavy downpours). There can also be lightning and gusty winds with some of the thunderstorms.

The cold front will sweep through early Sunday. Behind this front winds will switch to Northwest. This brings us drier and slightly cooler air for early next week. Expect the sunshine to return beginning on Sunday.

So, if you have any outdoor plans this weekend...the "nicer" weekend day looks to be Sunday.

Be sure to download the WPEC Weather AP to track the rain where you live and check us out at CBS12.com/weather.

Enjoy your weekend!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

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Dropping Temperatures

03/25/14

A brief return to winter-like temperatures heading our way!

The stalled front that dropped from 1/2 - 1.5" of rain across our area Monday into early Tuesday will move through as a cold front today. This front will be propelled by a rapidly deepening storm system off the Southeast U.S. Coast.

Strong W-NW winds will drive a much cooler airmass into South Florida. Check out the forecasted low temperatures on Wednesday Morning (See Below). Much of the area will experience wake-up temperatures in the 40s. You may want to break out that jacket or sweather one more time before you dash out the door to work or school!

Despite strong March Sunshine, we'll be lucky to crack 70 degrees on Wednesday.

Later in the week our temperatures quickly warm back into the 80s for afternoon highs. Rain chances go up again Friday and especially Saturday as another front heads our way.

Thanks for reading our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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RAIN AHEAD MONDAY AND TUESDAY.... AND A COLD FRONT TOO!

03/24/14

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a few wet days and a cold front coming too!

  Monday will be cloudy with a 50% chance of scattered to numerous showers and a few isolated afternoon thunderstorms too. Highs will be near 80. Monday night showers and locally strong tunderstorms possible. Rain could be locally heavy too Monday night with 1-3 inches in some areas and overnight lows near 70.

  Tuesday expect morning showers and thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall! Rain chance 70% for Tuesday morning... then rain ending by Tuesday afternoon!  Much cooler Tuesday night with lows near 55.

  Wednesday and Thursday weather will have a few showers and highs near 80 with lows near 60.  Rain chance increasing again to 50% on Saturday with another cold front moving through the areas!

LIVE STORMTRAC RADAR UPDATE TODAY AT NOON ON CBS 12

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Wet Weather Coming

03/23/14

We're tracking a slow moving frontal boundary which will move into our area later Monday and then stall. Weak impulses will move along this front and increase our rain chances Monday afternoon into Tuesday. The best chance for rain looks to be later Monday Night into Tuesday Morning.

Our RPM Model is predicting anywhere from 1 to 3 inches across Palm Beach County and the Treasure Coast. This can cause local street and highway flooding which will likely have an impact on your Tuesday Morning commute to work or school.

Showers will linger into Tuesday Afternoon before tapering off. The cold front will sweep offshore later Tuesday. In its wake a cooler and drier airmass overspreads our area. Expect highs on Wed only near 70 with lows well down into the 50s. The sun will return then.

Showers likely return later in the week.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WARM WEEKEND... TSTORMS COLD FRONT TUESDAY!

03/21/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here  WITH A NICE WEEKEND...BUT THUNDERSTORMS AND A COLD FRONT.... EARLY NEXT WEEK!

  Friday weather has a partly cloudy to sunny sky with a few isolated showers, highs near 82 and a 30% chance of a few showers!

  Weekend weather looking pretty good with mostly sunny skies and only a few isolated showers. The rain chance 30% Saturday and 20% on Sunday. Above normal highs near 83 and lows near 68.

  Boaters choppy weekend seas 3-5 feet! Southeast winds will increase 15-20 and Rip Currents are likely! STAY NEAR LFEGUARDS! HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS this weekend!

  Approaching cold front will bring increasing chance of thunderstorms Monday afternoon and into Tuesday afternoon! Rain chance now is at 50-60% for storms on Monday night and Tuesday!

  Get the new FREE CBS 12 weather app for weather-traffic-news at your app store it's called "am wpec"

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Quiet Weather Ahead

03/18/14

Several days of quiet weather are in our future. A weak cool front passed through early Tuesday with gusty winds and showers. Behind this front drier air continues to work down the Florida Peninsula on NW-N Winds. (See the Water Vapor Below)

High pressure will move from the Gulf of Mexico into Florida. This ensure a light NE-East wind flow of dry mild air.

Sunny to partly cloudy skies are likely right into the weekend along with slightly above average temperatures and little chance of rain.

Our next chance for "active" weather comes at the beginning of next week with higher rain chances.

In the meantime....Enjoy!

Regards,

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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POSSIBLE STRONG AFTERNOON STORMS... SEVERE OVERNIGHT STORMS

03/17/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell tracking possible severe thunderstorms storms for our area Monday afternoon and Monday night!

    This Monday afternoon and Monday night... potential strong to severe storms... especially this monday night! The rain chance is 70% for possible strong overnight severe storms between 9pm this Monday evening and 3am early Tuesday morning.

   The Tornado threat and Severe thunderstorm threat remains low, but even isolated thunderstorms can produce damaging winds, small hail, and possible isolated weak tornado overnight this Monday night!

 An approaching cold front will bring gusty winds today 35 to 45 mph! There is a high fire danger with the gusty south winds 30 to 40 mph Monday afternoon into Monday night!

  The ocean and lakes can be very dangerous today! Rough seas 4-7 feet, inland area lakes will be rough, Small Craft Advsories, Rip Currents... stay near lifeguards and be careful in near shore waters and the intracoastal too!

                    CBS 12 NEWS LIVE AT NOON WITH STORMTRAC RADAR

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Colorado Ski Adventure

03/15/14

As a Meteorologist I enjoy all kinds of weather. Did you know that my favorite type of weather is snow? That's right...Since I was a kid I've always been fascinated with the "white stuff". Part of this comes from snow skiing with my family at an early age. (7 or so).

So, each year I make it a point to get my "winter fix". I enjoy heading to a cold snowy place, not just to experience the weather but also to get a change of scenery (i.e. tall mountains). This year I chose Steamboat Springs, Colorado. Steamboat is located in the Northern part of Colorado about 150 miles to the Northwest of Denver.

This ski area has over 160 trails with all levels of expertise. The ski area averages over 350" of snow per year with a vertical drop of over 3600 feet.

Skiing over the course of 3 days and 3600 feet, I experienced a wide variety of both terrain and weather! The first few days featured sunny, blue skies (a bluebird day in ski terminology). It hit 50 briefly and with too many layers on I found myself sweating by day's end.

The last day featured a vigorous upper level trough diving down from Wyoming. With the aid of the Rocky Mountains, the additional lift in the atmosphere squeezed out over 6" of white powdery snow. Floating on this snow while on skis is quite a feeling!

On my day of departure I awoke to a morning temperature of 5!

That's too cold for skiing! Fortunately, it was time to head back to the warmer climes of South Florida.

Great Memories...hope to do it again next year!

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS 12 Meteorologist

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NICE WEEKEND... SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY!

03/14/14

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with nice weekend weather... but strong storms possible Monday!

  Friday nice and breezy with sunny to partly cloudy skies. Highs near 73 and gusty northeast winds 20-25 mph.  Nice and cool Friday night with lows near 50 inland to 60 coast!

  Saturday sunny to partly clouudy with breezy southeast winds 15-20 and highs near 77 with lows near 65 coast to 55 inland.

  Sunday getting windy with gusty southeast to south winds 20-25 mph... a few afternoon showers with the rain chance 30 percent. Highs near 80. Sunday night FULL MOON!

  Monday... STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE! A developing storm in the gulf and approaching cold front could bring strong thunderstorms, heavy rain and lightning strikes to our area Monday! Stay tuned to CBS News and CBS 12 Stormtrac weather through the weekend for updates!

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Wednesday: Tracking Showers & Cooler Temps

03/12/14

***Significant Changes On The Way***

 

A Warm & Breezy start to your Wednesday will give way to increasing clouds and scattered showers by afternoon, possibly a few thunderstorms.  Highs will reach the middle 80s areawide.  A "Lake Wind Advisory" is in effect for the Treasure Coast as winds will gust over 30mph at times.  The showers pushing in from Central FL will make their way to the Treasure Coast first (arrival looks like 2pm).  Palm Beach County should see scattered showers most likely from 4pm through this evening.

Any lingering showers will come to an end by tomorrow morning as temperatures fall into the middle 50s Treasure Coast to around 60 Palm Beach County Metro.

Thursday... After AM showers, turning partly cloudy, windy and much cooler.  Highs near 70 Palm Beach Metro, upper 60s for the Treasure Coast!

 

Meteorologist Craig Gold, AMS

CBS12 News

 

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SUNNY WARM START ... WEDNESDAY RAIN ....COLD FRONT!

03/10/14

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell says warm sunny start....then mid-week cold front!

  Monday and Tuesday will be mostly sunny and warm with highs a little above the normal 78.... closer to 80. Lows will be near normal 58 inland to near 63 coast. Very little chance of any rain through Tuesday with sunny to partly cloudy skies. 

  Our next cold front moves through on Wednesday with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be near 85 and gusty southeast to south winds 20-25 mph. Scattered afternnoon thunderstorms could be heavy, but no severe weather expected at this time.

  St.Patricks Day weekend looks mostly sunny and mild for parades! Highs will be near 77 and lows near 60.

  Boaters light and variable winds to southeast at 10 mph through Tuesday. Winds will increase southeast to south 15-20 on Wednesday and rougher seas can be expected Wednesday!

  GET YOUR CBS 12 WEATHER LIVE WEEKDAYS AT 4:30am WITH UPDATES AT NOON TOO!

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Your Weekend Weather

03/08/14

DECENT WEEKEND WEATHER ON THE WAY

Saturday---  Clouds and cool temps in the 50s will give way to sunshine by late morning!  Look for lower 70s along the treasure coast, mid to upper 70s inland, mid 70s Palm Beach Coast.  Winds settle somewhat and so will the seas.  Look for waveheights around 3-4 feet today, 2-3 feet for Sunday.

Sunday---  Another cool start with most locations in the 50s by morning (isolated 40s by Lake O).  Plenty of Sunshine and a bit warmer with highs in the mid to upper 70s.

***By the way, don't forget to set your clocks forward at 2am as we lose an hour of sleep, but gain an extra hour of daylight! 

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FRIDAY BREEZY MILD! FRIDAY NIGHT COOLER! WEEKEND SUNNY NICE!

03/07/14

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farell here with a cold front moving through and a nice weekend too! 

  After a few morning showers, a cold front moves through this Friday mid morning with a few clouds and showers. Then the afternoon is mostly sunny and breezy with gusty milder west northwest winds 20-25 mph.  Milder high near 76.  COOL tonight with lows near 50 Treasure Coast to 55 Palm Beach county!

  Nice weekend weather! Mostly sunny and mild Saturday with highs near 75 and cool lows near 55! Sunday will be mostly sunny and a little warmer with highs near 78 and lows near 60!

  Boaters... looking for lighter winds and seas this weekend too. Winds Saturday and Sunday will be light from the northeast to east at only 5-10 knots and seas 2-3 feet!

                                    HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

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Latest on Severe Weather Potential Today

03/06/14

LATEST UPDATE ON SEVERE WEATHER THREAT

 UPDATE 2:21PM

****TORNADO WARNING UNTIL 245PM for RURAL PALM BEACH COUNTY*****

 

UPDATE, 2:05PM

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3pm for Western Palm Beach County -  This includes Pahokee, Belle Glade.

Main line of storms just pushing into extreme Western Palm Beach County with the main threat to be damaging wind in excess of 60 mph, torrential rain and dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning.

That same line looks to push into metro Palm Beach County (441 and east) by 3pm.

Stay tuned for further updates!

 

UPDATE, 1:45PM

Storms beginning to form in Palm Beach County out ahead of the main line.  They're racing to the North.  Any of the stronger cells could produce dangerous lightning, damaging winds and an isolated tornado.

Look for the main line to enter our area around 3pm or shortly after...

Updates to follow.

 

UPDATE, 11:28AM

Tornado Watch for Broward, Indian River, Martin, Okeechobee, Palm Beach and St. Lucie County in FL until 7:00pm.

 

******A "Watch" to be Issued Within The Next Hour or So******

 

Meteorologist Craig Gold here with you all day.

 UPDATE, 10:56AM

Storm Prediction Center says 80 percent chance of issuing either a "Severe Thunderstorm" or "Tornado" Watch very soon....

Area of Low Pressure continues to intensify in the eastern Gulf of Mexico.  The main batch of rain and thunderstorms just now beginning to come ashore in the Tampa Area.  If we track that out toward our Metro Areas, arrival time would be about 2pm.  HOWEVER....  With any heating that results from breaks in the clouds, storms could and will likely develop out ahead of this main line.  The stronger of these storms will be capable of producing small hail, gusty winds (possibly damaging) and torrential downpours.  There is also the "outside" chance of an isolated tornado given the current weather setup.

Again,  watches or warnings have been posted just yet, but keep it here on CBS12.com as well as CBS12 News and we'll continue to keep you in the know!

 

Craig




Wet Storm Weather Coming

03/05/14

Low Pressure developing in the Gulf of Mexico will move into North Florida by Thursday. It's attendant cold front will sweep across South Florida later in the day and at night. Ahead of this front our airmass will become warm and marginally unstable. As a result the Storm Prediction Center gives our area a slight risk for severe weather during the day Thursday.

Right now it looks like a decent likelihood for lightning, downpours and gusty winds with a low chance for tornadoes or hail.

The worst of the weather will affect our area during the afternoon into the evening hours. Rainfall can be 1 to 2 1/2 inches in Eastern Palm Beach County with slightly lower amounts elsewhere. (see graphic below).

Our weather will improve behind the cold front Friday with a bit cooler and drier air working our way!

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Warm Winter Headlines

03/03/14

What a warm winter it's been!

New numbers in from the National Weather Service rank our winter in West Palm Beach as the 9th warmest on record. Temperatures averaged 3.5 above average. February was even more impressive with temperatures averaging over 4 degrees above the long-term average.

Why has it been so warm, yet so cold and snowy up north? The jetstream frequently dipped far to the south along the East Coast. This left our neighbors to the North with frequent snows and bitter cold air. However, once the jetstream got to Florida, it was frequently blocked by a persistent, stubborn area of upper level high pressure. This put the brakes on many a cold front and frequently left the arctic air North of the Florida Border. You may recall though that we did have some pretty cold air in January. The lowest recorded was 38 in West Palm Beach with some frost and freezing temperatures away from the coast.

The forecast for the next 3 months calls for a good likelihood that temperatures will continue to run warmer than average!

Thanks for reading our blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WEEK STARTS SUNNY WARM... COLD FRONT THURSDAY!

03/03/14

     CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a look at the week ahead...

   Perfect start to the weather week! The early part of the week is sunny and warmer than normal with highs in the low 80s through Wednesday. Lows will be nice and mild near 60-65. Light southeast winds 10-15 mph.... withthe rain chance on 20%.

  Our next cold front coming on Thursday with a 60-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms! There is a chance that some thunderstorms might be strong on Thursday afternoon and evening, so we will be watching for the chance of severe storms with rough gusty winds, heavy rains and possible hail with storms on Thursday!

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Weather This Week

03/02/14

A warming trend is in our immediate future. Winds will turn to a more southerly direction for the first part of our week. This will boost daily highs into the lower to mid 80s. Monday and Tuesday look great for any plans you may have outdoors. Expect sunny to partly cloudy skies both days with only a 10% chance for a stray shower.

Computer models generate a storm system along the Gulf Coast and move it into North Florida by Thursday. Its attendant cold front will head our way then. This will combine with warm moist air to produce showers and thunderstorms. There is some potential for strong storms. It depends on how much energy is involved.

The cold front sweeps to our East by Friday leaving us with a drying trend along with slightly cooler air. Expect the sun to return just in time for your weekend!

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS 12 Meteorologist

 

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GREAT WEEKEND and HONDA CLASSIC WEATHER

02/28/14

  CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a beautiful Friday and weekend weather too!

  Friday skies clearing and becoming partly cloudy to mostly sunny! Nice cool highs near 72 Treasure Coast to 75 in Palm Beach county!  Lows this Friday night will be nice and cool near 48-52 from Vero Beach and Stuart! Palm Beach county will have lows near 50 inland to 60 at the coast!!!

  Weekend weather is nearly perefct! Mostly sunny skies Saturday and Sunday with highs near 77-80 and cool lows near 50 inland to near 60 at the coast! Winds will remain light form the northeast to east at only 10-15 mph through the weekend too!

  Boaters will find really nice weather with light northeast to east winds 10-15 and seas 2-4 feet through the weekend too! 

     HAVE A NICE WEEKEND ... SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:40 AM!

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Weather Changes Coming

02/26/14

It looks like our beautiful sunny warm weather is about to change. On our doorstep in North Florida is a cool front. This front heads slowly South into our area for Thursday. Scattered Showers will likely move through from time to time later Wednesday Night into Thursday. They likely linger into Friday Morning.

So, if you're heading out to the Honda Classic, make sure you have your umbrella handy in case one of those showers heads your way. With Northerly winds and clouds expect highs on Thursday a full 10 degrees lower than Wednesday.

The front clears our area for later Friday into the weekend. This will clear our skies and bring us sunshine and pleasantly mild temperatures.

Enjoy the weather!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WARM EARLY WEEK... MID WEEK COOL FRONT!

02/24/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with weather changes through the week ahead...

  Monday skies becoming mostly cloudy with a 40% chance of mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms as a weak cool front remains to our north. That front will keep our winds in a westerly direction, so showers and storms will move east towards the coast in the late afternoon hours.  Highs near 83 and light southwest winds 10 mph.

  Tuesday the front remains stationary nearby for another day with afternoon showers and thunderstorms with the rain chance 50%. Highs again near 83.

  Wednesday weather changes begin as a cool front approaches with a 50% chance of rain and highs near 80. The front moves through Wednesday night and rain could last into possibly Wednesday night with lows near 55-60!

               CBS 12 NEWS AT NOON LIVE TODAY FOR THE LATEST!

 

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Weather Changes This Week

02/23/14

Hello and thanks for checking our weather blog!

Our unseasonably warm and muggy weather will be continuing into at least Wednesday.

This is courtesy of a Southerly Flow of air straight out of the tropics. Mon-Wed will feature partly sunny skies each day with a 30 or 40% chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms. With highs in the 80s it will feel more like the month of May rather than February!

Our next cold front is progged to push through South Florida around Wednesday Night. Behind this front winds will shift into a Northerly Component. This will usher in air that is a bit drier and cooler. Expect highs back into the 70s for Thu-Fri. Drier air will lower our rain chance but not down to 0. There is some indication that the front stalls not to far to our South.

Nevertheless we'll return to more normal weather for late February by later in the week!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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FRIDAY SHOWERS... SATURDAY SHOWERS... SUNDAY SUN

02/21/14

CBS 12 meteorlogist Chris Farrell here with increasing rain chances next 2 days!

  On this Friday we start with sunny skies then an approaching cold front will bring increasing clouds and scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Rain chance is 50%! Winds will be gusty from the southeast at 15 to 25 mph. Highs near 82-85º!

  On Saturday the front is still drifting slowly in our direction keeping our skies mostly cloudy with scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms with the rain chance 50%. Highs near 83!

  Boaters Small Craft Caution in effect with Rip Currents likely for Friday. Southeast winds 20 and gusty, but winds will decrease Saturday and Sunday this weekend!

           HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING 4:30 AM!

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Quiet Weather Pattern

02/18/14

A quiet weather pattern will be with us for several days!

High Pressure will continue to control our weather. This means sinking air, few clouds and plenty of sunshine into the weekend.

Clockwise winds around the High will gradually veer more to the SE and South later in the week. This will creep up our temperatures a little bit each day. We're back into the low and mid 80s for the rest of the week.

As for rain chances, we'll have to wait until early next week before a front gets closer to the area. This will likely trigger some scattered showers then.

In the meantime, get outside and enjoy all that sunshine!

Regards,

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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PRESIDENTS DAY ... "PERFECT"... AND THE WEEK AHEAD TOO!

02/17/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a week of B-E-A-U-T-I-F-U-L WEATHER!

   Today is Presidents Day and PERFECT! Mostly sunny skies with light east winds and warmer temperatures near normal 78º coast to 82º inland! Nice and cool overnight too with lows near 48º inland to 58º coast!

  The rest of the week looks nice and quiet too with no major cold fronts headed our way!  That means light southeast winds and mainly sunny skies with highs above normal near 80-83º and overnight lows near 60-65º.

  Boaters will find light winds and seas through the week ahead too with light southeast winds 5-10 knots and seas 2-3 feet through the week ahead!

 CBS12 STORMTRAC WEATHER WEEKDAY MORNINGS STARTING AT 4:30 AM!

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Chamber of Commerce Weather

02/16/14

We're expecting some mighty fine weather in South Florida this week!

High pressure will move across and into the Atlantic. It's presence ensures dry weather and plenty of sunshine for the days to come.

If you're going to ArtiGras on its last day (Monday), check out the forecast below.

Later in the week our winds become more SE and pick up a bit. This will warm us into the lower 80s.

Rain chances will stay low with only a stray shower possible later in the week.

The next cold front looks to come our way by early next week sometime.

In the meantime, enjoy the weather!

Best Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

 

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NICE VALENTINES DAY... FULL MOON NIGHT....AND NICE WEEKEND TOO!

02/14/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a perfect Valentines weather forecast!

 Valentines Day Friday...beautiful weather with sunny skies and cool highs near 68 at the coast and beaches to near 72 well inland! Light Northwest winds only 10 mph too.

  Valentines Night....PERFECT! FULL MOON rises at 6:10 tonight! Clear skies and nice and cool too!  Temperatures will fall quickly after sunset into the 50s... and then overnight lows will be near 45 inland to near 55 coast!

  Saturday and Sunday ... will stay mostly sunny and quite mild with highs near 75 and lows near 55.  Winds will stay light through the weekend too for nice boating weather... just a little cool!

  HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND AND SEE YOU FOR A WEATHER UPDATE LIVE AT NOON!

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Cold Front Heads Our Way

02/11/14

It looks like we'll squeeze out one more warm day before a cold front drops our temperatures later in the week.

Wednesday looks partly sunny, breezy and warm with highs expected to reach the lower to mid 80s. As the front approaches Wed Night our chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase. Some of these storms can be strong with gusty winds and torrential downpours.

The wet weather will linger into early Thursday Morning.

Behind this front winds turn into the Northwest. This will drive a cooler and drier airmass into South Florida for later in the week. By Friday Morning low temperatures will drop into the 40s across much of our area.

Expect a pleasant dry pattern with temperatures gradually warming through the weekend. (See graphics below)

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NEXT COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY... VALENTINES DAY FRIDAY

02/10/14

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a Valentines week of weather changes!

  MONDAY and TUESDAY will be perfect! Mostly sunny and warm with highs near 77-80 and cool overnight lows near 55 inland to 65 coast. The rain chance very slight only 20% for an isolated shower. Light east winds and seas too!

  WEDNESDAY our next cold front moving through with cloudy skies and a 50% chance of showers and a slight chance for possible locally strong thunderstorms! Highs near 82.

  THURSDAY a few morning showers then mostly sunny and cooler! Highs only near 72-75 and much cooler lows near 45 inland and Treasure coast to near 50 in West Palm Beach!

  FRIDAY is VALENTINES DAY! Don't forget your sweethearrt! Sunny skies and cool highs near 75 and lows near 55... and a FULL MOON on Friday night... Perfect!

          CBS 12 NEWS WEATHER AND TRAFFIC WEEKDAY MORNINGS 4:30 TO 7:00 AM!

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Weather this Week

02/09/14

A few nice days are ahead for us!

Expect plenty of sunshine Monday and Tuesday with afternoon highs in the upper 70s to near 80. With light winds at night we'll have the possibility of late night and early morning patchy fog (especially away from the coast). Temperatures will continue to run above the long term average for early and mid February.

By Wednesday, a cool front will move into North Florida. Ahead of it expect South Winds and warm temperatures. Highs will reach into the 80s!

As the front approaches and moves through Wed Night into Thursday it can generate some showers.

Behind the front we clear out and cool down just a bit for later in the week. Expect a return of sunshine as well.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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FRIDAY WARM SUNNY... SATURDAY AFTERNOON SHOWERS... SUNDAY COOLER!

02/07/14

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a look into the weekend!

  Friday looking good with mostly sunny skies and only a few isolated showers, but mostly sunny and quite warm with highs above the normal 76... closer to 82! The rain chance only 20% for a few showers light East winds 10 mph.

  Saturday starts a little foggy, then sunny and quite warm! Becoming cloudy  Saturday afternoon with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and isolated thunderstorms.  Highs on Saturday near 84! Winds southwest to south 10 mph.

  Sunday... turning cooler! A cold front moving in early Sunday morning with a few clouds and showers, but breezy northwest winds 15-20 mph... and highs much cooler only near 75! Lows Sunday night cooler too near 50 well inland to 60 coast.

  Boaters... Light Southeast winds 10-15 Friday... Saturday Light southwest winds 10... Sunday... increasing northwest to northeast winds 15-20 with rougher seas too!

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Weather Changes Coming

02/04/14

Changes are coming to our weather!

A weak cool front will slide into Central Florida Wednesday and then stall and fade away on Thursday. Ahead of this front plenty of warm moist air will be in place. As a result, as the front gets closer it will likely trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms..primarily Wed Afternoon and Evening.

With the front nearby on Thursday (albeit weaker) there's still the chance for spotty showers along with plenty of clouds.

Don't expect any cool air with this particular front. Temperatures will continue to average warmer than normal into the weekend.

The next front early next week will have a stronger push behind it. As a result we'll likely experience a noticeable drop in temperatures and humidity to start off our work week. (Check the graphics below)

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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THIS WEEK.... ABOVE NORMAL NEAR RECORD HEAT!

02/03/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with above normal temperatures to start this week and near record highs too!

  Monday mostly sunny and quite warm with highs near the records! West Palm Beach record high 86º and the record high for Vero Beach 83º! Vero Beach has a better chance to tie or break the record than West Palm, but we are all still way above normal high of 75º! The rain chance only 20 percent for isolated showers!

  Tuesday and Wednesday more mostly sunny skies and light warm southeast winds 10-15. Near record heat with highs in the low to mid 80s Tuesday and Wednesday! The rain chance remains very slight at only 20% through Wednesday!

  Thursday and Friday a weak cool front approaching could bring some scattered showers with the rain chance increasing to 30 percent!

  WEATHER EVERY 10 MINUTES WEEKDAY MORNINGS 4:30 TO 7:00 AM! 

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Warm Pattern Staying Put

02/02/14

Our Warm temperatures will likely stay put for much of the week.

High Pressure will sit to our North and East the next several days. The clockwise flow around this High will mean a warm and moist SE wind flow. This will keep our temperatures several degrees above average. By Thu/Fri a cold front will move into Central Florida and then stall nearby. With the front nearby there's always the chance for some scattered showers. A few more clouds will mean slightly lower daytime highs in the upper 70s to near 80.

Currently, I'm not expecting the cool air to make it to our area. Thus, no cool down expected.

Thanks for reading our blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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FRIDAY CLOUDS-SHOWERS... WEEKEND SUNNY & MUCH WARMER!

01/31/14

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with better weather news and above normal weekend temps too!!

This Friday expect morning showers as the front continues to move north and away from the area.  The chance of rain will remain at 40% through the morning with scattered showers and cloudy skies, but the afternoon will be drier! Highs near 77-80º!

 The weekend will be much better with sunnier skies Saturday and Sunday with warmer southeast winds 10-15 mph. The normal high is 75º and the weekend highs will be near 80º and lows near 70º. The rain chance will be 20% through the weekend too!

 Boaters can expect a better weekend on the water too with east to southeast winds at 10-15 mph... seas only 2-3 feet and no advisories!

           HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND... SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM!

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Cold Front Ahead

01/28/14

The next cold front will bring big changes to our weather during the next few days.

This cold front will slice into our area on Wednesday and then stall just to our South shortly thereafter. With the front stalling nearby we can see anywhere from 1 to 2 inches of rain from Wed into Thu.

Behind the front temperatures will drop into the 50s most areas for overnight lows. This will not be as cold as the last few fronts with only a brief drop in temperatures.

By the weekend we'll be expecting temperatures back above average..with afternoon highs pushing near 80!

Thanks for checking our blog!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NEAR RECORD HIGHS... COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY

01/27/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with near record heat... then a cold front Wednesday!

   Monday Get ready for NEAR RECORD HEAT!  Monday warm southwest winds and mostly sunny skies! Record high Monday Vero Beach is 82 and could be tied! Record High for West Palm Monday is 85 and will be harder to reach!

  Tuesday mostly sunny and NEAR RECORD HEAT AGAIN! Light southwest winds and highs near 82-85! Lows near 55-60.

  Wednesday a cold front moving in with cooler northwest winds 20+ mph, clouds and a 40% chance for showers and cooler highs near 70 and lows near 55.

      GET YOUR FIRST LOOK AT WEATHER WEEKDAY MORNINGS AT 4:30 AM!

 

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Weather Changes This Week

01/26/14

A brief warm-up is underway! For only the second time in the last 12 days we enjoyed above average temperatures on Sunday with highs in the upper 70s.

You can expect the trend to continue Monday into Tuesday. SW Winds around high pressure will warm us into the lower 80s on those days.

The next "cold" front looks a little weaker than we earlier thought. It's due to press into our area sometime during the middle of the week. As it pushes through it can bring us some scattered showers especially on Wednesday (Rain chance is 30%).

Behind the front temperatures will likely cool much more on the Treasure Coast than they will in Palm Beach County. Average Highs will drop into the lower 70s with 60s on the Treasure Coast and mid to upper 70s in South Palm Beach County.

The wind will pick-up form the N and NE Wed-Thu. This will rough up our seas again.

You can always get the latest weather on our website: www.cbs12.com/weather

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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COOL FRIDAY... WARMER WEEKEND!

01/24/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with one more cool day then a weekend warm up!

  One more cold front moving through this Friday at noon with gusty northwest winds  15 to 20 mph...and partly cloudy skies. Highs will be near 65 Treasure Coast to 70 in Palm Beach county.  Lows this Friday night near 50 coast and beaches to near 40 well inland!

  Saturday and Sunday winds become lighter and more easterly.. and that means warmer highs near 70 Saturday and 75 on Sunday! Lows will be cool near 50-55 Saturday night and near 55-60 Sunday night!

  Warmer temperatures should stay with us through Monday and Tuesday with highs near 75-78 and lows near 55-60.

  HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND... SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM!

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Next Cold Blast

01/21/14

Another Cold Blast is heading our way. By morning low temperatures will range from the upper 30s along the Treasure Coast to the mid 40s in Coastal Palm Beach County. Wind chilll temperatures will be in the 30s for all of us!

Accompanying the cold frontal passage on will be a few light showers. Skies behind the front on Wednesday will be filled with bright sunshine and very dry air.

Temperatures will continue to run below average right through the weekend. By early next week we'll approach the normal high for late January (in the mid 70s). However, long term projections point to colder than average temperatures for the next 6 to 10 days.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg

CBS12 Meteorologist

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WARMER MONDAY AND TUESDAY... COLDER WEDNESDAY!

01/20/14

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a warmer start to the week!

  A mostly sunny and perfect Dr. Martin Luther King holiday! Finally highs will be near normal... closer to 73-75 this Monday afternoon! Lows tonight will be a little cool again near 48 inland to 58 coast.

  Tuesday a cold front approaches with more clouds and even warmer with highs near 77! Also some scattered afternoon showers as the cold front moves closer. The rain chance is 30% for Tuesday afternoon. Tuesday night colder lows near 40 inland to near 45 coast!

  Wednesday will be windy WITH nw WINDS 25-30 MPH...and much cooler with highs only near 65 and lows near 45! But then warming up a little more on Thursday, Friday, Saturday and Sunday with highs near 75 and lows near 55.

GET YOUR FIRST LOOK AT WEATHER WITH CBS 12 NEWS WEEKDAY MORNINGS STARTING AT 4:30 AM

 

 

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Cold Pattern Persists

01/19/14

After the coldest morning so far this winter season (Sunday) we're in for a temporary warm-up. Temperatures on both Monday and Tuesday return to near normal with highs in the 70s...lows in the 50s.

Our next cold front will sweep into South Florida Tuesday Night. Ahead of there will be some minor scattered showers. Behind the front expect another plunge in temperatures. Highs will only reach the lower 60s Wednesday. Overnight lows will drop back to the 30s inland and 40s at the coast.

We're locked into persistent "troughing" over the Eastern United States which shows no signs of abating. What this means is a steady diet of cold fronts for the next 1 to 2 weeks. As a result our temperatures will average below normal for most of that time period.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WEEKEND SUNNY COOL DAYS ... AND COLD NIGHTS TOO!

01/17/14

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a nice sunny and very cool weekend forecast!

  Cooler than normal temperatures will continue this Friday and through the weekend too! Friday will stay mostly sunny and quite cool with highs near 65º.  Cold Friday night with lows near 50 coast... but a colder 35 well inland with some frost too!

  Saturday another cold front moving through early in the morning! Sunny and breezy and cooler on Saturday with highs near 60º! Northwest winds Saturday 20-25 mph! Lows Saturday night could be near FREEZING... so FREEZE WATCHES POSSIBLE!

  Sunday mostly sunny and quite cool with highs near 70! Lows Sunday night near 40 inland to near 45 coast!

BRING THE DOGS AND CATS IN ON THESE COLD NIGHTS AND....HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!       SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM!

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Temperature Plunge Ahead

01/13/14

 

Get ready for a prolonged cold period!

A big dip in the jetstream will drive 2 cold fronts through Florida. Front number 1 arrives later Tuesday. The stronger cold front arrives on Wednesday. By Thursday morning we'll experience low temperatures in the 40s with some 30s in the colder areas on the Treasure Coast. (Check the maps below)

There are some indications of another reinforcing front moving through on the weekend. This will keep our temperatures below average for at least 5 days in a row.

The best chance for rain this week will be Tuesday and Wednesday with scattered showers possible on both those days.

Find those jackets and sweaters!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Flooding Rain

01/10/14

An unforseen weather event unfolded across our area late Thursday and into Friday Morning. It started in St. Lucie and Martin Counties on Thursday and then reformed in South Palm Beach County later at night and lasted into Friday Morning.

The main driving force was a stalled frontal boundary. To the North of this front the air was blowing into the front from one direction. To the South of this front the air was blowing in from another. This air converges or "meets" at the front and has no where to go but up. As air goes up it cools, condenses and forms clouds and rain. Strong convergence over the same area for an extended duration resulted in huge rainfall totals. (Check the graphics below)

This front will lift north and weaken. As a result, only spotty showers are expected for the rest of today.

Looking ahead, quick weather changes are coming. Ahead of a weak cool front we'll warm into the 80s on Saturday and then cool down just a little for Sunday.

Long range models show the potential for a more significant front sometime next week. (See the 7-Day below)

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Back to Normal

01/08/14

After a few days of unseasonably cold and damp weather we'll gradually return to near or above average temperatures late in the week.

A stationary front resides over South Floirida. Winds near the surface are blowing from the Northeast while winds high above the front are blowing from an opposite direction.

This "overruning" is causing the air to rise and condense into clouds and some light rain.

As this front moves slowly toward the North through Thursday night we'll continue to experience plenty of gray skies with spotty areas of rain/drizzle or showers.

By Friday though, the front will fizzle out with drier air working back in.

We can look forward to the sun making a return along with warming temperatures into the 80s for both Friday and Saturday.

The next "cold" front moves through Saturday Night with only slight cooling behind it for the beginning of next week.

Enjoy the weather!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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TUESDAY COLD WINDS- WEDNESDAY CLOUDS RAIN!

01/06/14

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with the coldest air and winds of the season....BBBBBRRRRRRRR... wind chills in the 40s through the day too!!

  Cold arctic air blowing into southeast Florida! Tuesday morning lows were West Palm Beach 48º... Vero Beach 40º and wind chills were near 28-32º!

  Tuesday cloudy skies and cold northwest winds 20-25 mph will keep highs near 55º! Also scattered showers too with the rain chance at 30%. Tuesday night lows will be near 55º coast to 45º inland... cloudy tonight with showers too, rain chance 40%!

  Wednesday the cold front moves back north with gusty northeast winds 20-25 mph with clouds and rain too! The rain chance Wednesday will be 50% and Thursday will be 50%!  Highs will be near 73-75º and lows near 55º inland to 65º coast.  Boaters rough surf and Small Craft Advisories through Thursday!

  Finally SE winds and sunnier skies will have us warming back to the 80s by Friday and the coming weekend

GET YOUR FIRST LOOK AT WEATHER WEEKDAY MORNINGS AT 4:30 AM!

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COLD FRIDAY! WEEKEND WARMER WITH CLOUDS-SHOWERS

01/03/14

CBS 12 Metorologist Chris Farrell here with lots weather changes ahead Friday through this weekend!

  Friday has colder gusty northwest to north winds 25 to 35 mph with clouds and winds keeping highs to only near 60-65! This Friday night stays windy and cool with low near 50 inland to near 60 coast!

  Saturday the cold front begins to move back north with warmer east to southeast winds at 20-25 mph. Highs on Saturday near 73-77 with a few scattered showers. The rain chance 40%.

  Sunday the front is still moving back north and warmer south winds at 20 mph bring more moisture and clouds with highs near 80 and a 50% chance of rain!

 Boaters.... Small Craft Advisories through the weekend with rough SE/S winds 20 mph and seas 4-8 feet!

      HAVE A NICE WEEKEND... SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING 4:30 AM!

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Very Warm End to the Year

12/31/13

If you think it's been warm these last few months, well let me tell you how warm it's been!

We're currently running over 6 degrees above average for the month of December.

As of this writing West Palm Beach is averaging 74.4 degrees for December. This ranks as either the warmest or 2nd warmest on record. (Records go back more than 120 years!)

Combining November and December will likely rank as the #1 warmest Nov-Dec period on record.

2013 will rank as the 5th warmest year on record at PBIA.

If you're yearning for cooler temperatures, there is some relief on the way.

A cold front will move through on Friday...dropping our temperatures to near or a little below average. However, this lasts for only a day or two!

We're getting warm again on the weekend. (Check the graphics below)

Thanks for reading and I hope you have a Happy and Enjoyable New Year!

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

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New Year's Week Weather

12/29/13

A weak cool front will pass through early Monday. Behind this front winds will kick around to the North and Northeast. Despite this, only slight cooling will be felt. Temperatures will drop only 5-8 degrees or so. Afternoon highs will continue to run above the long-term mid 70s high into mid-week.

With the front stalled to our nearby south, clouds will dominate with the chance for a passing shower or two Mon-Tue. There's some indication of better rain chances (30-40%) Wed-Thu as another front approaches. (See graphic below).

Behind this front by the end of the week we'll likely have a more significant temperature drop.

Partying on New Year's Eve? There will be the chance for scattered showers with mild temperatures in the upper 60s to near 70.

In the meantime, enjoy your week and thanks for reading our blog!

Best Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

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GO DOLPHINS BEAT JETS! WARM WEEKEND 80s... RAIN SUNDAY?

12/27/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here and we need the Dolphins to beat the Jets  Sunday so we can get into the playoffs come on man... lets do this!

               You can watch the game LIVE on CBS 12 Sunday at 1pm

  Friday and Saturday warmer east to southeast winds will keep our highs above the normal 75 and closer to 80. Expect sunny to partly cloudy skies each day with only a 30% chance of isolated showers.

Sunday if you're headed to the Dolphin game, highs near 84, but a cold front will be approaching and the rain chance will increase to 60% for afternoon showers and thunderstorms!

New Years Eve looking cooler with lows near 55-60 and New Years Day highs near 73-75!

HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!I HOPE WE'RE IN THE PLAYOFFS MONDAY MORNING!

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MONDAY 80s.... TUESDAY COLD FRONT RAIN... CHRISTMAS CLOUDY COOLER!

12/23/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with weather changes ahead this week!

  Monday will be the warmest day of the week with mostly sunny skies and much warmer than normal highs! The West Palm Beach normal high is 76º and the Vero Beach normal high is 73º! Today will be near 82º to 85º and Vero Beach could tie the record 84º. The West Palm Beach record is 87º! Breezy SE winds 15-20 mph mean Small Craft Caution flags for boaters!

  Tuesday a cold front will move in with mostly cloudy skies and a 50% chance of rain! Colder north winds will blow in at 15-25 mph! Highs will only be near 75º! Tuesday night lows will be much cooler near 50º inland to 60º at the coast!

 Christmas Day skies will be variably cloudy with cooler highs near 73º and a 30% chance of isolated showers. Northeast winds will blow at 15-20 mph. Small Craft Caution flags for boaters on Wednesday too!

      CBS 12 NEWS AT NOON LIVE FOR THE LATEST NEWS & WEATHER

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Christmas Week Changes

12/22/13

A record high temperature was reached in Vero Beach on Sunday. It hit 84. This ties the old record last set back in 1987. Record High Low temperatures were recorded in West Palm Beach this weekend too.

Well, if you've had enough of this Winter heat..I've got good news! A cold front will enter Florida on Monday and pass through our area Tuesday Morning. Ahead of this front expect one more warm and muggy day for Monday. Under a mix of clouds and sun we'll once again reach the lower to mid 80s. As the front approaches some locations will receive a shower late Monday into Tuesday.

Behind the cold front winds will shift into the North on Tuesday. This will filter down much cooler and less humid air with highs only in the 70s. For Christmas day and beyond the winds will quickly "veer" from a Northeast direction. This trajectory off the Atlantic can bring in some clouds from time to time and quick moving showers. Rain chances later this week will average 30% each day.

We can expect temperatures to gradually trend above average once again for later in the week.

In the meantime, I hope you're looking forward to more "tolerable" December temperatures!

Best Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS 12 Meteorologist

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WARMING TREND AHEAD

12/19/13

Briefly cooler temperatures will soon become a thing of the past.

Our weather continues nice today with lots of sunshine and comfortably mild highs in the upper 70s. 

High pressure will continue to control our weather for the days ahead. This high will move off the Carolina coast. Its clockwise flow means East and eventually SE-S flow on the weekend. This always warms us up. Expect highs to reach back into the 80s into the weekend and beyond.

Moisture will increase as well. This means the chance for a scattered shower here or there. However, no widespread rain is anticipated.

The next cool front is scheduled for around Tuesday. This will drop our temperatures somewhat...just in time for Christmas.

Thanks for reading!

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Temporary Cool Down

12/15/13

A cool front passes off our coast on Sunday Night. Behind this front the winds have shifted out of the North. This will bring somewhat cooler and drier air our way. Monday morning wake up temperatures will range from the mid 50s on the Treasure Coast to the mid 60s from Jupiter South to Boca Raton.

Clouds will linger somewhat on Monday as upper level moisture will be slow to work out of our area.

Surface High Pressure will control our weather for much of the week. This means mainly dry conditions. On the front side of the high North Winds will keep it very comfortable into Mid-Week.

Later in the week this high shifts off-shore. Winds will veer into the NE-E which will gradually warm us up. (See graph below). That wind off the water can blow in a few more clouds Thu-Fri with the chance for some spotty showers.

Other than that...No major surprises ahead for us!

Thanks for reading our blog!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

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Heat Persistence

12/10/13

Our warmer than average December will be continuing!

There is a cool front on the map in North Florida. This front will stall for awhile on Wednesday and then ease into South Florida Thursday. At the same time this front will gradually "fizzle out".

As the front fizzles we'll have the chance for scattered showers for Thu into Sat.

Don't look for much cooling behind this front. Winds will pick up out of the N-NE at 15-25 mph. This combined with a 3-5 degree drop will make it feel slightly cooler.

However, we'll continue to run above our average high temperature this time of year which are in the mid to upper 70s.

Enjoy the weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

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Staying Warm

12/08/13

It looks like no end in sight to our above average temperatures!

A stubborn upper level high pressure ridge is centered to our East. This weather system is acting like a block...preventing all the cold air covering much of the country from entering Florida.

During much of this week the surface boundary separting the warm air over us from the cold air to our North stays away from us. This means at least some sunshine each day with temperatures averaging 5 to 10 degrees above the December average. This means highs in the 80s and lows in the mid 60s inland to the 70s near the coast.

Later in the week, computer models shift the "block" to the East and weaken it. This will allow the front to shift into South Florida. However, the "block" will be just strong enough to keep most of the cool air from getting down here.

With the weakening front nearby, we can expect a few showers here or there, especially towards the middle to late part of the week.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WARMER THAN NORMAL WEEKEND AHEAD!

12/06/13

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a warm December weekend!

  A MAJOR WINTER CHILL for the rest of the country with Arctic air and ice and sleet and snow through early next week! BUT... we stay warmer than normal into next week!

  No major weather changes ahead... more above normal heat! Normal high is 76-78 and we will be closer to 83-85 through the weekend! Normal lows are near 58-62 and we will be near 70-75!

  Sunny to partly cloudy skies through the weekend with only a 20% chance of isolated showers. Boaters winds will continue Se at 10-15 with seas 2-4 feet through the weekend too!

                                      HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

 

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MONDAY FOG-CLOUDS-COOL FRONT... THEN NICE REST OF THE WEEK

12/02/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... The Fog Advisory is in effect for Treasure Coast until 8am Monday morning! A weak cool front will bring clouds and isolated showers today too with highs near 75-77! A little cooler this Monday night with lows near 55 inland to 60 coast.

  No major cold fronts coming this week, so we expect little day-to-day change in the weather. Skies will start partly cloudy each morning then become sunny to ocassionally partly cloudy.  Temperatures will be a little above normal around 77 coast to near 80 inland. Lows a little above normal around 70 coast and beaches to near 60 well inland.

  Boaters lighter winds and seas this week with northwest winds on Monday then turning east to southeast by Wednesday with no advisories or rough seas anticipated right now. Rip Currents are always present so make sure lifeguards are present when you head in the water.

 TRAFFIC AND WEATHER TOGETHER WEEKDAYS  EVERY 10 MINUTES 4:30-7AM ON  CBS 12 !

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Improving Trend Ahead

12/01/13

Wow, what a miserable end to the holiday weekend!

Check out the rain totals below. Both West Palm Beach and Vero Beach set new daily rainfall records for Dec. 1st.

An "unforseen" trough of lower pressure set up just off our coast. Converging air along this trough and no movement meant heavy rain for many parts of our area.

The good news..this weather system shifts East. A weak "cool front" with dry mild air behind it moves in for Monday. This means a return to sunshine for South Florida with pleasant highs in the upper 70s.

No major changes ahead. That dry air will stick around for much of the upcoming week. Expect some sunshine each day with only a 10 or 20% shower chance.

Enjoy!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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FEW FRIDAY SHOWERS... WARMER WEEKEND

11/29/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with some Friday showers and warmer weekend temps too! 

  The NE winds 15-20 will blow some clouds and scattered showers onshore this Friday with the rain chance at 40%. Highs today will be a little warmer near 75 and lows tonight still cool near 50 inland to near 65 at the coast.

  Saturday and Sunday will be sunny to partly cloudy and the winds will turn more East. That means slightly warmer highs near 75 coast to near 80 inland. Lows near 65 coast to 55 well inland. Rain chances will remain low only near 20% for an isolated shower through the weekend.

  Boaters Small Craft Caution through Saturday with NE winds 15-20 and 5-7 foot seas. Winds and seas decreasing late this weekend on Sunday.

                                       HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND! 

 

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Holiday Forecast

11/27/13

Happy Thanksgiving from the CBS12 Weather Center.

In the wake of a cold front, High Pressure will deliver dry but chilly air our way for the holiday! Expect a chilly start to the day with early morning lows in the 40s and lower 50s. During the day we'll have a mix of sun and patchy clouds with highs only near 70.

That High Pressure area will continue to bring us NE-E winds through the weekend. This will blow in patchy clouds from time to time and the chance for a spotty shower here or there.

With winds blowing in off the water our temperatures will gradaully warm.

We'll get back to near or above average readings by the weekend and early next week.

No major rain is expected.

Have a great holiday!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WIND... RAIN... AND THEN A COLDER THANKSGIVING DAY AHEAD!

11/25/13

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... The coldest air of the season coming Wednesday!

  Monday... a cloudy and windy day with gusty East winds 20-30 mph with gusts to 35 at the coast! The rain chance 40% for scattered showers. Highs near 78 and lows near 70.

  Tuesday... cloudy and windy! Rain and thunderstorms likely! Rain chance 60%. Gusty SE/S winds winds 25-30 mph.  Highs near 82.

  Wednesday... morning showers then turning windy and MUCH COOLER! Temperatures falling during the day Wednesday in the 60s!  Gusty strong NW/N winds 20-30 mph. COLDER WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS NEAR 45 INLAND TO 55 COAST!

  Thanksgiving Day... sunny and windy and cool with highs near 70! Lows near 50!

     GET ALL THE WEATHER FIRST THING WEEKDAY MORNINGS 4:30 AM!

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Roller Coaster Weather

11/24/13

 

Cold Front #1 pushed through on Sunday. I'm sure you're noticing those gusty winds and cooler temperatures behind it. Winds will likely gust past 30 mph at times through Monday. Expect lots of clouds and a few scattered showers with temperatures in the normal upper 70s for highs.

Ahead of the next cold front we'll experience Southerly Winds and warmer temperatures on Tuesday. With plentiful moisture and instabilty, showers and thunderstorms are likely Tuesday and especially Tue Night and early Wed. At that time a squall line will likely move in as the cold front passes sometime early Wed.

Behind this front will be the coldest air of the season thus far. Overnight lows on Turkey Day morning will be near 50 in many areas!

With gusty winds expected for much of the week, the seas will be rough with high waves and beach erosion a distinct possibility.

Thanks for reading!

Best Regards,

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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FRIDAY WEATHER BETTER... SATURDAY NICER... SUNDAY COLD FRONT!

11/22/13

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with drier skies Friday and Saturday... but a Sunday cold front bringing more wind and showers!

  Friday: will start with isolated showers and then become partly to mostly cloudy with the rain chance only 30% for isolated showers. Gusty east winds 15-20 mph with higher gusts to 25 at the coast. Highs near 80 coast to 83 inland.

  Saturday: will be mostly sunny to partly cloudy and warmer with highs near 83 and only a 20% chance of an isolated shower. 

  Sunday: a stronger cold front moving in with scattered showers and cloudy skies and gusty stronger NW/N winds 25-30 mph! The rain chance Sunday is 40%! COOLER highs on Sunday only near 75! Lows near 65.

  Boaters: Small Craft Advisories for this Friday with East winds 20 knots and 4-8 foot seas. Saturday winds and seas will decrease SE 10-15 with 3-5 foot seas. Sunday rougher winds and seas! Small Craft Advisories for NW/NE winds 20-25 knots and seas 6-8 feet!

  HAVE A NICE WEEKEND! I'LL SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM!

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2 Fronts Ahead

11/19/13

Our warm November weather continues! Today's high temperature in West Palm Beach reached 87! This is only 1 degree shy of the record high for this date.

A stalled front to our North will gradually sag into our area by Thursday. The nearby front and high moisture values will combine to give us a 40% chance of scattered showers the next few days. This front will gradually dissipate with lower rain chances later in the week. At the same time winds will pick up and become NE-E 15-30 mph for Thu into Fri. this will increase our seas and cause rip currents and some minor beach erosion.

Looking further ahead, the best weekend day looks to be Saturday. The next cold front is scheduled to pass sometime Sunday. This front can be accompanied by some scattered showers.

Some cooling is expected behind this front, although computer models are differing as to how much. Check back later in the week for more details.

Thanks for reading our blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS 12 Meteorologist

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NEAR RECORD HEAT.... COLD FRONT COMING...NEW TROPICAL STORM TOO?

11/18/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with lots of weather changes ahead!

  First... a nice Monday with near record heat! The record highs for West Palm Beach and Vero Beach are 87º.  Sunny to partly cloudy skies will get us near those records with a 30% chance of isolated showers.

  Next... a cold from coming in Tuesday morning will bring clouds and rain and more wind! Tuesdays rain chance is 60% with gusty NE winds winds blowing in at 20-30 mph! The front becomes stationary and that means Wednesday and Thursday the rain chance is 50% with gusty NE winds 20-25 too! Rough seas and beach erosion likely too as the winds last through Thursday!

  Finally... area of clouds 750 miles ESE of Bermuda has a 90% chance to develop into new Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm! The next name is Melissa!  Computer models show anything developing moves ENE into the Atlantic and away from the U.S.

  START YOUR DAY WITH NEWS-TRAFFIC-WEATHER WEEKDAYS 4:30 AM!

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This Week's Weather

11/17/13

 

Our weather will be changing this week. No surprise, it is after all November!

Monday will feature another warm day. Light S-SE winds will boost our afternoon high temperatures into the mid and possibly upper 80s in a few spots. Mixed sun and clouds will prevail with a 20% chance for a PM Shower.

The next cool front on the map moves into South Florida Tuesday and stalls just to our South. With the front so close, its moisture will give us lots of clouds and the chance for spotty showers on both Tue and Wed. Later in the week, that front will fizzle. Drier air working in means increasing sunshine and lower rain chances for Fri and Sat.

Most of the cool air with this front stays away from us! In fact afernoon high temperatures will stay near or above average right through the week.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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LIGHTER WINDS... BUT CLOUDS AND SHOWERS TOO... FULL MOON SUNDAY

11/15/13

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with increasing clouds and showers too!

 There is a Full Moon Sunday night.. it's called the "FROSTY MOON" because many areas across the United States get their first frost during the late weeks of November!

  The front that moved through and brought the winds is now moving back north from the south! This weather system coming north out of the Gulf of Mexico will bring clouds and increasing rain chances for Friday afternoon... into Friday night and Saturday too. Rain chance Friday is 30%.. Friday night 50% and Saturday 40%. Weekend highs near 80 and lows near 70.

  Boaters... Surfers... Beachers...  winds will finally be decreasing East to Southeast 15-20 on Saturday and lighter 10-15 on Sunday. Seas will gradually decrease this weekend too. Boaters execrcise caution on Saturday and Sunday.... and remember Rip Currents are very dangerous so stay near lifeguards!

  Next week... another front may move through on Wednesday bringing more wind and rain again Wednesday and Thursday!... UGH!

   HAVE A NICE WEEKEND AND I'LL SEE YOU FIRST THING MONDAY MORNING 4:30 AM!

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Cold Front Coming

11/12/13

A big change is coming to our weather.

A cold front will blast through South Florida early Wednesday. Strong High Pressure behind the front will create a tight pressure gradient. This means strong and gusty N-NE winds up to 35-40 mph.

Those winds will really crank up the seas. A Gale Warning is in effect. Expect Seas 9-12 feet and even higher in the Gulfstream. Pounding waves and surf means it's a good idea to watch but not get in!

Temperatures behind this front will only cool off a bit. The winds will quickly veer into the Northeast off the water. This will greatly modify the potential chill. Expect highs in the 70s for Wed into Thu. By the weekend we're back into the 80s.

Saturday features the chance for some showers as an upper level disturbance heads our way. Right now it looks like the "nicer" weekend day will be on Sunday

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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MONDAY-TUESDAY NICE... WEDNESDAY STRONG COLD FRONT

11/11/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with two warm days of above normal highs in 80s!

 Nice Veterans Day Weather! Sunny to partly cloudy skies and warmer than normal high of 81... closer to 85! A few very isolated showers with the rain chance only 20% through Tuesday.  Winds NE/E only 10-15 mph.. some gusts to near 20 at the coast. Boaters winds NE 15-20 knots this afternoon with seas 3-5 feet. 

STRONG COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY WITH WIND NE 30-35 mph... CLOUDS.. AND SHOWERS... COOLER HIGHS AND VERY ROUGH SURF TOO!

  On Wednesday.. a very strong cold front will blow in with cloudy skies and gusty NW/N winds 25-30 mph... with gusts to 35 mph! Highs on Wednesday and Thursday will be near 75 and lows near 65! The rain chance will be near 40% Wednesday through Saturday! Very rough surf with Small Craft Advisories Wednesday too!

 

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Changes this Week

11/10/13

Warm temperatures will continue into Monday and Tuesday. Winds out of the East will bring in warmer than normal temperatures along with humid conditions. Both days feature a mix of sun and clouds with a scattered shower possible, especially on Tuesday.

The next "cool" front is forecast to move into South Florida by Wednesday Morning. With it, some clouds and scattered showers are possible. Behind the front we're in line for another wind episode Wed PM into Friday. NE Winds up to 30 mph will make the ocean quite rough. Beach erosion, rip currents and pounding surf will once again make for poor boating and beach conditions.

Behind the cool front we'll enjoy a few days of below average temperatures.

By the weekend it warms up once again.

Thanks for reading!

Best Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WEEKEND WIND.... CLOUDS... AND SHOWERS TOO!

11/08/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a windy and cloudy weekend!

                            ROUGH WEEKEND WIND AND WAVES TOO

  Another cold front moving through this Friday will bring wind and clouds and scattered showers too! Expect the wind to increase from the N/NE 15-20 late this morning, then increase 20-25mph this Friday afternoon! The rain chance is 30% for scattered showers too! Highs will be near normal around 82 and lows near 73.

  The weekend weather will be cloudy and windy! Strong NE/E winds 20-25 Saturday and Sunday with cloudy skies and the rain chance near 40% for scattered showers. Highs near 83 and lows near 75.

  Boaters, surfers very rough seas again with waves averaging 5-10 feet through the weekend. Rip currents, small craft advisories and beach erosion during high tide 12-2pm this weekend!

          HAVE A NICE WEEKEND AND I'LL SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM!

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ROUGH WINDS AND ROUGH SURF!

11/04/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... rough winds and seas the first part of the week!

  Strong high pressure means rough NE winds 20-30 with gusts to 35 mph at the coast through Wednesday! Rough surf will be between 5-7 feet near shore to 8-10 feet offshore! HIGH SURF ADVISORIES ... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES... RIP CURRENT ADVISORIES ... BEACH EROSION ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH DURING 9-10 AM and 9-10 PM HIGH TIDE through Wednesday! Temperatures will be mild with highs near 82 coast and lows near 72 coast.. inland aeras will be warmer with highs near 83-85 and cooler lows near 60-65. 

  Finally lighter winds can be expected Thursday through Saturday with seas decreasing too.  Warmer highs near 85 and the chance of rain increasing 30-40% Friday and Saturday as another cold front approaches.

  GET YOUR FIRST LOOK AT WEATHER WITH CBS12 NEWS THIS MORNING BEGINING AT 4:30 AM WEEKDAY MORNINGS

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Windy Days Ahead

08/01/14

Gusty Winds will continue into mid-week.

Checking the weather maps we find strong high pressure located to our North. Lower pressure resides in the Caribbean. This "Pressure Gradient Force" forces the wind to blow and blow it will! We can expect sustained winds over 20 mph with gusts past 30 mph in many areas.

This means rough surf, pounding waves and beach erosion. A high surf advisory and small craft advisories are in effect.

Seas can be as high as 10 feet offshore with large breaking waves at the beaches.

The Northeast wind, when it blows this strong typically produces more clouds than sunshine. This will be the case each day with a brief sprinkle or downpour not out of the question.

Late week features lighter winds, more sunshine and warmer temperatures.

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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HOT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY... COOL AND WINDY SUNDAY!

11/01/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here

                     TURN THAT CLOCK BACK SATURDAY NIGHT!

 Friday... Sunny to partly cloudy skies with above normal highs near 87-90 and a 30% chance of scattered showers.  Friday night lows will be near 70.

  Saturday starts partly cloudy then becomes mostly cloudy with hot SW winds 10-15 mph... high near 90 and a 40% chance of afternoon showers!

  Sunday will be windy and much cooler! Highs on Sunday only near 80 with gusty strong NW/N winds 20-25 mph! Rough surf 3-6 feet and Small Craft Advisories for boaters and rip currents too!

                                            HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

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Heating Up

10/29/13

We're slowly heating up this week. Clockwise winds around High Pressure will turn from Northeast to East to Southeast by Friday. This will draw in warmer and more humid air. By Friday and Saturday expect highs close to 90 in many areas. The sun stays out most of the time with only an isolated shower here or there.

The next cool front will move into Florida on Saturday. Ahead of it we're hot. Scattered showers are possible as the front moves through later Saturday into Saturday Night.

Behind this front winds will freshen out of the Northeast early next week. This will draw down air that is a bit cooler and drier. Expect a 10 degree drop in high temperatures. (See graph below).

Thanks for reading our weather blog!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NICE QUIET WEEK AHEAD.... CLOCKS BACK THIS WEEKEND!

10/28/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell...a nice week of weather ahead and extra sleep too!

   No major weather systems for a few days so we see mostly sunny skies and near normal highs Monday and Tuesday.  Highs will be near 83 coast to 85 inland and lows will be near 63 inland to 68 coast.  Warmer southeast winds will blow later in the week Wednesday through Friday and that means warmer than normal highs near 85-87 and lows near 68-72. 

  Our next cold front will move through on Saturday with highs near 87 with cloudy skies and a 30% chance of scattered showers.  Sunday will be mostly sunny and quite breezy with NE winds 20-25 and cooler highs near 78-82 and lows near 63-68.

                          THIS WEEKEND WE FALL BACK ONE HOUR!

TURN YOUR CLOCK BACK ONE HOUR SATURDAY NIGHT ENDING DAYLIGHT SAVING TIME!

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Trending Warmer

10/27/13

A very gradual warming trend is in the offing this week.

High Pressure to our North will continue to give us a clockswise NE-E flow of air through Wednesday. This will keep temperatures and humidity levels on the tolerable side.

Dry air coming in means rain chances stay at only 10%.

Later in the week the high pressure ridge will slip off to the East. Winds around this system will eventually veer out of the Southeast. This is a warmer and more humid wind direction. Afternoon highs will creep into the high 80s by the end of the week along with muggier conditions.

The next "cool" front approaches Saturday with some scattered showers possible. Behind this front we'll likely feel another drop in temperatures and humidity.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Pleasant Days Ahead

10/25/13

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

A reinforcing front moves through today bringing with it increasing sunshine. As high pressure builds across the SE states it will pump dry and comfortably mild air our way. The pressure gradient behind this front means gusty NE Winds Friday and Saturday 15-25 mph. This will cause the seas to churn a bit along with a high risk of rip currents.

The forecast looks decent for moonfest on Saturday Night (Check graphic below). Skies will be dry with mild 70s expected.

Overnight lows will drop into the pleasant 60s into early next week and then creep back above average by the middle of the week.

We stay mainly dry with the chance for some scattered showers not returning until the middle of next week.

In the meantime, enjoy the weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NEAR RECORD HEAT.... NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION.... COOL FRONT AHEAD

10/21/13

I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell...  BUSY WEATHER MAP THIS WEEK!

  The heat stays on with high temperatures near 90 the next several days.  The record high is 91 on Monday and 91 on Tuesday! We could come close!  Finally a cool front blows in Wednesday with highs near 85 and a 40% chance of showers.

  Thursday through Sunday highs will be near normal around 82-84 with lows near 62 inland to 72 coast! Breezy NE winds at 20+ mph and rougher seas too from Thursday through the weekend ahead... Caution Flags are likely for boaters!!

  New Tropical Depression no.13 could become Tropical Storm Lorenzo! But don't worry, it is over 1,700 miles out in the Atlantic and will fade there in a few days. 

                   CBS12 NEWS WEEKDAY MORNINGS 4:30 TO 7 AM!

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Changes Ahead

10/20/13

It's been feeling like summer lately and that will continue into mid-week.

A moist S-SE flow of air directly out of the tropics is responsible. Temperatures reached 90 on Sunday in West Palm Beach which is only a degree shy of the record high for that date.

This moist flow of air will keep a 20 or 30% chance for spotty showers or thunderstorms in our forecast into Wednesday. Adding to rain chances will be an approching "cool" front on Wednesday. Behind this front winds will shift into the N and then NE for Thursday into the weekend. This draws in more comfortable drier air. Temperatures for later in the week will get back to norma.l Many areas away from the coast will fall into the 60s for early morning lows.

Something to look forward to!

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Quiet Week Ahead

10/14/13

It looks like the start of our dry season has unofficially gotten underway. When dewpoints drop below 70 for a string of several days our daily thunderstorms typically shut down. This trend of lower dewpoints started late last week.

What it means for us is that more comfortable weather we've been experiencing will stick around for quite awhile. Other than the chance for a random shower here or there..rain chances stay low right into the weekend.

It's still too early to expect any substantial cold fronts. The jetstream this week will continue to hold the fronts to our North. The latest front gets no further South than North Florida later this weekend.

So, get out and enjoy! It looks great for beach, pool, boating, golf or whatever your interest out of doors.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS Meteorologist

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LATE WEEK COOL FRONT BRINGS CLOUDS... FULL MOON FRIDAY!

10/14/13

I'm CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell... a late week cool front will increase rain chances by the weekend and a Full Moon this week too!

  Skies will be sunny to ocassionally partly cloudy this week with only a 20% chance of isolated showers each day. High temperatures will be near normal at the coast about 84 and inland near 87. Lows will be near normal around 72 at the coast to a cooler 68 well inland west of I-95.

  Our next cool front will slowly approach on Saturday and Sunday and become stationary in central Florida this weekend. That means an increase in weekend clouds and rain chance increasing to 40% for Saturday and Sunday too.

  The next Full Moon is Friday! The Full October moon is the "Hunters Moon".  It will rise at 6:40 Friday evening.

  GET YOUR FIRST LOOK AT WEATHER AND NEWS WEEKDAY MORNINGS BEGINING AT 4:30AM WITH WEATHER AND TRAFFIC TOGETHER EVERY 10 MINUTES!

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PERFECT WEEKEND WEATHER!

10/11/13

   CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with.... PERFECT WEEKEND WEATHER!

  Nice dry and mild Fall air in place brings us sunny skies and perfect weekend weather! Near normal highs 85 coast to 88 inland. Near nomal lows of 70 at the coast to a cooler 65 inland!  Columbus Day is Monday and a holiday for some... nice weather continues!

  The weekend on the water looks nice too with light winds and seas.  Winds Northeast to East at about 10-15 mph... seas will be 2 feet near shore and 3 feet offshore! No advisories... but always stay near lifguards and beware of Rip Currents too!

   HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND... SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM

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A Touch of Autumn

10/09/13

A weak cool front pushes through and brings us more comfortable air in the days ahead.

Behind this front winds from the North will bring drier and slightly cooler air our way.

In fact low temperatures by Friday Morning will reach the lower to mid 60s on the Treasure Coast to near 70 in Coastal Palm Beach County. (See graphic below)

Afternoon high temperatures will be near the average for early October with highs in the mid 80s. This combined with drier air will make it feel a bit more comfortable out of doors.

Enjoy the better weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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ABOVE NORMAL HEAT... with afternoon thunderstorms too!

10/07/13

 STILL NO COLD FRONTS.... MORE ABOVE NORMAL HEAT THIS WEEK!

  CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here....  another weak cool front is moving slowly through north central Florida.  This means light and hot southwest winds for us with highs above the normal 86... closer to 90! The record high is 93 and we probably won't get quite there...but still way above normal!  

  The slow moving cool front will become stationary across central Florida and bring a 50% chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms this Monday and a 40% chance again Tuesday afternoon too. By Wednesday we will get a wind shift to the northeast and the chance of rain will decrease to 20% for Wednesday through Friday.

    Highs will stay above normal near 88 and lows above normal near 75.

                   Tropical weather map remains quiet... for now!

 

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This Week's Weather

10/06/13

Karen fizzled out on Sunday and is now just a remnant low. Its remains will hook up with a cool front as that front moves into Florida on Monday. What this means for us is Southwest winds ahead of the front which will drive hot moist air in our direction.

As the air destabilizes scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop and move from SW to NE during the afternoon and evening. Locally heavy rain and gusty winds are possible.

That front will linger in Central Florida Tuesday and then fizzle out over South Florida thereafter.

Winds will turn Northeast for Wed-Fri. That means slightly drier air with lower rain chances for the later part of the week.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Tropical Storm Karen

10/04/13

Tropical Storm Karen weakened a little on Friday. Strong upper level wind shear and dry air are the culprit. Karen has top winds of 50 mph.

The storm is still expected to churn toward the North and make landfall in SE Lousiana and then again near the Panhandle of Florida on the weekend. Because of this, tropical storm watches/warnings and a hurricane watch stretch from Louisiana East to the Florida Panhandle.

We'll feel little if any effects from this storm.

Both Friday and Saturday look nice with plenty of sun and very low rain chances. (Check the graphic below)

By Sunday a slight increase in moisture from the SE and S will bump up our rain chances. This continues into early next week.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Watching the Caribbean

10/01/13

We continue to watch a disorganized low pressure trough in the Caribbean. This system has had trouble getting organized due to dry air and wind shear. These conditions should relax somewhat and during the next 5 days the Hurricane Center gives it a 50% chance of developing into a tropical depression or Tropical Storm Karen.

Take a look a the tracks below. The computer models are in decent agreement taking this sytem into the Central Gulf of Mexico with landfall somewhere between the Florida Panhandle and LA.

On these tracks, most of its moisture will stay well to our West.

Bottom line: only 20 or 30% rain chances as we head into the late week and weekend.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WEEK STARTS NICE... RAIN BY MID-WEEK... TROPICS BUSY TOO

09/30/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... NICE AND DRY TO START THE WEEK BUT RAIN CHANCE INCREASING BY WEDNESDAY!

   The tropical weather map is busier! Area of clouds south of Jamaica has a 30% chance of developing in the next 5 days.  Computer models show no indication that anything developing would move near our SE Florida coast, but the clouds will be moving north  to northwest into the south or central Gulf of Mexico and increasing our chance of rain here Wednesday...Thursday and Friday. 

  Also, new Tropical Depression No.11 is way out in the Atlantic 2000 miles away from West Palm Beach, Florida.   It is forecast to become the 10th named storm of the season....Tropical Storm Jerry, but remain well away from any land area.

 

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Words on our Weather

09/28/13

Quiet pattern followed by changes

High Pressure will continue to ridge across our area into Tuesday. As winds turn from Northeast to East this means a mild ocean flow. Isolated showers are possible in this regime, however they should be brief. Rain chances into Tuesday hold at 20%.

Things are getting somewhat interesting in the tropics. A broad low pressure trough stretches across the Southwest Caribbean sea. Computer models want to slowly develop this and move it into the NW Caribbean early next week and possbily the SE Gulf of Mexico later in the week. Tracks differ at that time period (meaning uncertainty)

There is the chance we see at least some rain from this system if it were to track close to us.

Check back for the latest!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NICER WEEKEND WEATHER AHEAD... rougher surf too!

09/27/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... FINALLY FRIDAY AND NICER WEATHER AHEAD TOO!

  A weak little "Fall Front" has moved through... bringing "slightly drier & less humid" Fall air! Skies will be mostly sunny to partly cloudy with a few isolated coastal showers.  Highs will be a little milder near 85-88 ( no more 90s!)   This weather pattern should last through the weekend.  NE winds will increase a little at 15-20 mph.

  Boaters expect rougher seas with Small Craft Caution flags through the weekend... and Rip Currents too! Winds NE/E 15 - 20 and seas 3-5 feet. Stay near Lifeguards if you head into the water! 

                                    HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

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Weather Changes Ahead

09/25/13

Weather changes are coming our way!

Deep Tropical Moisture continues to hang tough here in South Florida. What this means for us is a continuation of scattered showers and thunderstorms for just one more day. Rain chances on Thursday are 40%. Thereafter a weak frontal trough slips through the state. This means our winds shift into a Northeast direction. Initially, that Northeast wind brings in some low ocean clouds and spotty showers for Friday and Saturday.

The beginning of next week we'll see more sunshine and dramatically lower rain chances. It will actually feel a bit more tolerable out of doors with drier air and the temperatures just a few degrees lower.

Enjoy!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WEEK STARTS WET...ENDS SUNNIER AND DRIER!

09/23/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... WET START TO THE WEEK!

A stationary front across north Florida will help produce clouds and rain for the next several days as it drifts slowly south! The rain chance will be high on Monday at 70%... Tuesday and Wednesday 60%! Mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs will still be near 87 and lows near 73.

The front will eventually drift through SE Florida late this week but, will only bring gusty NE/E winds by Friday and the coming weekend. So no cool Fall air yet.  Boaters the wind increase late this week could bring rougher seas for the weekend! The tropical weather map remains quiet with no tropical development expected the next 3-5 days!

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Changing Weather

09/21/13

We'll squeeze our one more decent day on Sunday before a wetter pattern returns.

A cool front to our North will slowly sag into North Florida by Monday and then stall. A rich supply of deep tropical moisture will flow into Florida ahead of this front on S-SW winds. This means increasing rain chances for Monday into Wednesday (60%). Locally  heavy rains are possible on these days with some computer models forecasting in excess of 1-3".

Keep the umbrella handy!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NICER... DRIER... SUNNIER SKIES AHEAD!

09/20/13

I'm CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell... NICE FRIDAY AND WEEKEND WEATHER TOO!

  Drier air moving in on breezy Ne winds will keep skies mostly sunny through Friday and the weekend too! The rain chance will stay at 20% for Friday and Saturday and be slilghtly higher  Sunday at 30%.  Highs will be near normal around 87 and lows near normal at 75.

  Boaters Small Craft Caution flags are up for Friday with NE winds 15 knots and 3-5 foot seas. But winds will decrease for the weekend and seas will decrease too. The tropical weather map is quieter... with only two areas of slight possible development... nothing that would affect Florida at this time.

                                       HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!

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September Weather

09/18/13

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

September is typically the wettest month of the year in South Florida. We're drying out somewhat for the next few days. However, moisture will come back at us early next week with our rain chances going up once again.

That will be due in part to moisture now lingering over the Southwest Caribbean. In fact, this "low pressure" system has an 80% chance of developing into either a tropical depression or storm during the next five days. Some of the computer models (see below) want to turn it back toward the general direction of Florida by early next week.

Will it develop? How close will it get? These are questions that remain to be answered.

At a minimum..some of its moisture could impact our weather next week with another round of soggy weather. Stay Tuned!

Best Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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MORE HEAVY RAIN... WATCHING TROPICS TOO!

09/18/13

I'm CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell... more flooding rain throughout the area!

 

  CBS12 Stormtrac radar showing lots of rain across Palm Beach county with a Flood Watch in effect until 12:45 Wednesday afternoon.  Additional flood watches are possible today in the local area too!  Rain chance remains at 70% throughout the day and into the evening.  A break in the rain Thursday-Friday with the rain chance 50%.

  Tropical development is possible in the SW Gulf of Mexico the next few days with a new Depression and possible new Tropical Storm (Jerry) developing too. Computer forecast models show any movement will be slow and erratic... SO WE WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS TROPICAL AREA THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND!

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WET START TO THE WEEK... FULL MOON THURSDAY

09/16/13

   I'm CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell the rain chance will be high most of the week!

   Check out the water vapor image below... an upper level low over the Gulf of Mexico will pull lots of clouds, moisture and rain north for the first 3 days this week.  That means lots of clouds and the rain chance will be quite high 50-70% through Wednesday!  Clouds will keep high temperatures down to 86-88º through mid week with overnight lows near 75-80º The Full Moon will be this Thursday night and it's the "Harvest Moon"!  Boaters winds will be a little rougher this week east at 10-15 with seas 2-3 feet through Wednesday!

  Area of clouds in the NW Caribbean has a 20% chance of developing now, but that could increase later this week.  We want to watch this area for development or movement to NE late this week and weekend

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Wetter Days Ahead

09/15/13

Tropical Moisture will continue to feed into Florida from the South and Southeast. What this means for us is elevated rain chances for the beginning of our week. Rain chances Monday are 50% and 60% for Tuesday. Downpours, Lightning and gusty winds will be possible with storms during the next few days. Look for lowering rain chances by the end of the week.

Meanwhile, Hurricane Ingrid will move into Mexico on Monday. 10-15" of rain will cause flash flooding, mudslides and likely loss of life. Fringe effects in the form of 1-3" of rain and coastal flooding will reach all the way up to South Texas.

Meanwhile, their continues to be no tropical threat for the time being for South Florida residents.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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FRIDAY THE 13TH... GOOD LUCK WITH WEATHER!

09/13/13

              CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here on FRIDAY THE 13TH!

  Pretty nice Friday and weekend too! Drier air is working it's way into the state and that means less clouds which of cousre means less rain! And more sun means... that's right... more heat! Highs will be closer to 90º today through the weekend too! 

  Saturday and Sunday will sunny to partly cloudy with a 30% chance Saturday of afternoon shower-thunderstorms and 40% chance on Sunday afternoon.  Boaters nice light and variable winds 5-10 and seas only 1-2 feet through the weekend too!

                                     HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

 

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WATCHING TROPICS CLOSELY

09/09/13

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... watching tropics closely!

  New Tropical Storm Humberto is 4,000 miles away and NO THREAT TO ANYONE! The next 5 days Humberto has a track staying over 3,000 miles out in the Atlantic. And little chance of affecting any land area through the next 7-10 days!

  BUT... the area of clouds in the SW Gulf of Mexico has a 30% chance of developing the next 5 days... ALSO... many reliable forecast models are showing "something developing" in the SW Gulf of Mexico late this week and moving North to Northeast in the Gulf late this week and into the weekend!

            STAY TUNED  AND WATCH THE SW GULF THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD!

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New Tropical Depression

09/08/13

Tropical Depression #9 has formed in the Eastern Atlantic.

T.D. #9 is over 4100 miles to our ESE! Top Winds are currently 30 mph. TD #9 is moving toward the West at 10 mph.

T.D. #9 is forecast to become the seasons first hurricane by the middle of this week and will be named Humberto.

The good news is the forecast track. it will quickly turn toward the Northwest and then North and stay over the open waters of the Eastern Atlantic..far far away from the United States.

It's possible we break the record for the latest "first" hurricane of a season. This record in the modern satellite era is 8 AM Sep 11th. If "Humberto" doesn't become a hurricane by then..we'll have a new record.

What a quiet season!..the ACE Index is only 1/5 of normal. The ACE Index computes the total wind energy of all storms in the Atlantic.

The main reason for the quietude is thought to be a high amount of African Dust (SAL Layer) which has choked off the development of tropical storms this season so far.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NICE FRIDAY AND WEEKEND TOO!

09/06/13

I'm CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell ..... GREAT WEATHER AHEAD!

   Nice Friday weather with mainly sunny skies and only a slight chance for a coastal shower or inland afternoon thunderstorm.  Highs will still be above the normal 89... closer to 90-92 through the weekend! Above normal low of 76 closer to 77-80!  Boaters expect light E/NE winds 10 knots and seas 1-2 through the weekend!

  Tropical weather map shows the remnant low Gabrielle near Puerto Rico with a 30% chance of development.  Another area of clouds in the western Gulf of Mexico near Mexico has a 50% chance of development.

                              HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

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OH THAT LIGHTNING

09/05/13

Chief Meteorologist John Matthews sharing a great photo from our viewer George Tanguay. His patience to catch a bolt last night was worth it. This isolated rain cell was just offshore and very random. A good example of a dry night with an isolated stormcloud always hanging around. Normal summer pattern for sure.

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New Tropical Depression

09/04/13

Tropical Depression #7 formed late Wednesday in the Northeast Caribbean. It's forecast to quickly become a tropical storm (Gabrielle). Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Puerto Rico and the North Coast of the Dominican Republic. The forecast track takes it Northwest and then North. This track is safely well East of Florida and the United States. Current thinking is that an upper level trough (jetstream dip) will block it from the United States and take it on its forecast path well to the East. Wind shear is forecast to increase and as a result, Gabrielle will likely not strengthen into a hurricane.

We'll keep you posted!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NICE LABOR DAY MONDAY... WATCHING TROPICS!

09/02/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here on a nice Labor Day!

 

  Pretty nice and normal weather this week with sunny to partly cloudy skies. Highs near 90 and a 30% chance for a coastal shower in the morning.  Inland areas can expect sun in the morning, then clouds in the afternoon with the rain chance at 50% for afternoon thunderstorms.

  Boaters nice weather too with light SE winds at 10 with seas only 1-2 feet. No advisories... but always stay near Lifeguards!

  Tropical weather... watching an area of clouds in the far eastern Caribbean where the chance of possible tropical development is 50%.  Computer models show movement of anything that develops will be most likely WNW through Saturday.

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Watching the Tropics

09/01/13

After an unusually quiet August, things are slowly getting more active in the tropics. A low pressure system located over 1500 miles to out Southeast has our attention. Currently, it remains disorganized with limited thunderstorm activity stretched out. It is fighting dry air and modest amounts of wind shear. However, the hurricane center gives it a 50/50 chance to develop in the next 5 days. Forecast models bring the system toward Florida late in the week. Chances are it stays weak. However, considering the time of year..approaching the hurricane season peak, we need to keep watching it.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Your Holiday & the Tropics

08/30/13

Our Labor Day Holiday Weekend looks decent. You can expect typical summer weather. That means hot sunshine each day. Expect some spotty showers and thunderstorms to pop up, mainly each afternoon and evening. Rain chances are low enough to ensure most of the weekend being rain free. However, do watch for those storms and head indoors if the sky turns dark.

Meanwhile, still nothing big going on in the tropics!

There are two systems out there. A weak tropical wave will continue to march toward the Caribbean over the weekend. This system likely stays weak with only 20% odds of development. More robust Low Pressure will emerge off the African Coast. This system has more favorable upper level winds to allow for development into either a depression or storm on the weekend.  Computer Forecast Models indicate this system likely staying out in the Atlantic, far from the U.S. We'll keep you posted.

In the meantime, have a great Labor Day Holiday Weekend!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Active Weather

08/28/13

Upper level low pressure over extreme South Florida gradually lifts North the next day or two. This will lead to an unstable atmosphere giving us a good chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms. (especially Wednesday).

This weather system will gradually weaken late in the week. As a result our rain chances head down with only scattered showers and storms for Friday into your weekend.

Meanwhile, I've got a close eye on a couple of tropical waves in the Eastern Atlantic.

The Western most wave has seen a diminishing of showers and thunderstorms. Both systems will be fighting dry air and wind shear the next few days with little chance for development. Early next week conditions will become a bit more favorable for either system to become either a depression or our next tropical storm (Gabrielle).

We'll keep you posted!

Thanks for reading today!

Best Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Weather this Week

08/26/13

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

The start of our week looks fairly typical for late August. Spotty showers will be most likely near the coast this morning. Scattered thunderstorms will form and move well West this afternoon and this evening. (Check out our RPM hour by plot below).

Overall, today gets a "7" on a scale of 1 to 10. Expect some sunshine along with a 30% chance for those scattered showers.

Drier air works in form the North and East for much of this week! A spotty coastal morning shower and scattered mainly inland storms will be the rule. (Rain chances only 20-30% each day).

Expect highs near 90 along with at least some sun each day.

Best Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NICE FRIDAY AND WEEKEND TOO

08/23/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here.... great weekend weather ahead!

  NO major weather systems coming our way this weekend.  So normal weather ahead.  That means a few isolated morning coastal showers... then sunny to partly cloudy skies with a few inland afternoon thunderstorms.  Rain chance will remain slight 30% at the coast and beaches to 50% for the inland areas in the afternoon.

  TROPICAL WEATHER... an area of clouds in the northern Gulf of Mexico has a 10% chance of developing the next 3-5 days.  Anything developing would move north and not affect SE Florida. 

                                             HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND

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Quiet Summer Weather

08/20/13

Thanks for reading our weather blog.

We're looking at a quiet weather pattern for the rest of this week. The E/SE flow around high pressure to our North will continue to bring in scattered coastal late night and morning showers. That E/SE flow will blow those showers into thunderstorms mainly West of Lake Okeechobee. Every so often higher amounts of moisture move in. That's why Wednesday's rain chances are slightly higher at 40%. (See graphic below).

Boaters will continue to experience slightly elevated seas (2-3'). Rip currents will still exist at the beaches.

Meanwhile, all is quiet in the tropics with no named storms and none expected at least for the next several days.

Enjoy the weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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BACK TO SCHOOL WEATHER IS... NICE

08/19/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a nice weather week for back to school!

  Tropical weather map is quiet and we look near normal for the week ahead.  Light SE winds 10-15 with higher gusts will blow mainly dry air throught the area thorugh the week.  Expect the normal random coastal showers... and isolated inland afternoon thunderstorms.  But rain chances are slight near 30%.

  Highs still near 90 at the coast and 95 inland. Lows near 80 at the coast and 75 inland. Boaters winds E/SE 10-15 with higher gusts and seas 2-4 feet..   RIP CURRENTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY... STAY NEAR LIFEGUARDS!

    HAVE A GREAT WEEK AND CHECK IN TUESDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM!

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Tracking the Tropics

08/18/13

There's two weak systems in the Atlantic.

Erin's last advisory was issued by the hurricane center late Sunday.

Erin is now a post tropical remnant low. This is just a swirl of clouds with some spotty showers and thunderstorms nearby. What's left of Erin moves West in the middle of the Atlantic and will likely gradually diminish.

Meanwhile, a disorganized tropical wave is located off the African Coast (Invest 94L). We'll watch this system in the days ahead slowly march West. In the next 5 days the hurricane center only gives it a 20% chance of developing.

Check out the forecast graphics below.

Thanks for reading our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NO TROPICAL TROUBLE.... WEEKEND LOOKS NICE!

08/16/13

I'm CBS12 meteorolgist Chris Farrell... NO TROPICAL TROUBLE AND THE WEEKEND LOOKS GOOD TOO!

  Tropical Storm ERIN is 3,300 miles away in the far eastern Atlantic.  Erin is no threat to any land area and conditions are not favorable for it to strengthen, in fact it may weaken and fade all together this weekend or early next week.

  The area of clouds in the Gulf of Mexico has a 50% chance of developing the next 5 days... and any development would move towards Texas or Mexico.

  Our skies will improve this weekend with mostly sunny skies and light winds. Rain chance will be low near normal 30% for a coastal showers and 50% for an inland afternoon thunderstorm.  Highs near 90!

                                        HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND... SCHOOL STARTS NEXT WEEK!

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Tracking the Tropics

08/14/13

We have our eye on two developing low pressure areas in the tropics.

The first one is located in the Northwest Caribbean.  Thunderstorms are concentrating near the center. There's a good chance this becomes a depression or storm at any time. The next named storm is Erin. Computer Models are in wide disagreement. A cluster of models bring it to the Central Gulf Coast on the weekend. Wind Shear values should stay in the low to moderate range with very warm ocean temperatures. This is favorable for slow strengthening.

The other area of concern is over 3000 miles to our Southeast. This Low Pressure/Tropical wave has a window of opportunity to strengthen. However, it will move over water temperatures that are borderline for supporting tropical development. Right now the computer models march this system WNW into the Central Atlantic.

We'll keep you posted.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Tropical Wave and our Weather

08/13/13

Chief Meteorologist John Matthews watching the latest Tropical Wave, now south of Cuba. Upper air winds likely to pick out a chunk of moisture from it as it goes NW toward the Yucatan. That moisture really bumps up rain chances for us, after tomorrow. Enjoy a brilliant but hot Wednesday before we increase the clouds and rain for the rest of the week. That Wave has a 30% chance to organize...maybe more after tomorrow. Not a threat to Florida at this time.

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METEOR SHOWERS AND MORE HEAT!

08/12/13

CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... LOOK TO THE SKIES TONIGHT!

  The annual Perseid meteor showers will peak this Monday night.  Look up in the sky between 10pm and 4am for an easy view of lots of meteors!

  Sunny skies today with highs near 90 coast to 94 inland and "heat index" feels like temps near 100-105! In this kind of heat, heat stroke, heat exhaustion real possibility! Slow down drink plenty of water and stay out of direct sun, also wear a hat! Rain chance only 20%.

  Next few days are sunny...hot and dry! The rain chance increases on Thursday as an upper level low moves in from the east.  Rain chance Thursday-Friday-Saturday near 50%

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Dry Stretch

08/11/13

After a beautiful sun drenched weekend it looks like little change ahead for the first part of our week. Deep High Pressure will continue to control our weather, anchored to our North. This high will produce sinking air and a lack of rainfall through at least the middle of the week.

Actually, we need a break in our rainy summer. Check out the graphic below. Since the beginning of June we're almost 5" on the plus side of normal. Since the year began we're over 11" above the average. The dry spell is welcome!

Late in the week that high will shift south and break down. This means a return to southerly flow. That flow will bring bring deeper moisture back into Florida. This means a return to higher rain chances and the normal scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thanks for reading our blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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FRIDAY SHOWERS... WEEEKEND SUNNY

08/09/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... finally.... FRIDAY AND NICE WEEKEND TOO!

  An upper level low over the Keys will bring more clouds and a few scattered showers for our Friday. The rain chance at 40% for coastal showers but a higher 50% chance for inland afternoon showers and thunderstorms.

  The upper low moves away this weekend and drier air moves in for a sunny Saturday and Sunday with the rain chance decreasing to only 20%. Highs this weekend near 90 coast and beach to 93 well inland.

  HEAT INDEX "feels like" temps this weekend near 100-105º! Slooooowww Dooowwwn! Drink plenty of water and don't overdo it! Heat exhaustion and heat stroke are a real possibility and consquence of too much sun and outdoor activity. So mow the lawn in the early morning or late afternoon!

                                     HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

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Changing Weather

08/07/13

Our mostly dry weather pattern persists through Thursday. Skies look decent with plenty of sunshine and only a 20% rain chance. So, I'm rating the day an "8". Pretty good for the middle of August in South Florida!

The reason for the low rain chances is due in part to a mid-upper level low East of the Bahamas. As this low nears, subsident (sinking) air ahead of it will squelch our rain chances for Thursday. As the low moves in Friday, it's cooler air aloft will lead to more instability and higher rain chances (50%).

That low moves into the Gulf just in time for the weekend with drier air moving back in. This means a return to mostly rain free days.

Thanks for reading our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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HOT START... STORMY FINISH

08/05/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here....

  On this Monday expect sunny skies through the morning with light west winds bringing more above normal 90s this afternoon!  There is a 50% chance of scattered afternoon thunderstorms developing after 2pm and they will drift towards the coast too.  Some will be locally heavy and strong too!

  Highs above the normal 91... closer to 93 before the afternoon thunderstorms start!   The hot west winds will blow again on Tuesday for another round of hot 90s and mid-afternoon thunderstorms too! 

  The Tropical Weather Outlook is quiet with no tropical development expected the next 3-5 days anywhere in the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean Sea. Boaters can expect light winds and seas too, just watch for the afternoon thunderstorms moving towards the coast in the late afternoon!

 

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Typical Summer Weather

08/04/13

We're in the hottest part of summer now. Between now and the early part of September the average high temperature is 90+.

The 93 temperature on Sunday will be matched on Monday. This is because we'll have a light SW Flow most of the day. This land breeze delays the onset of cooling sea breezes just long enough to boost temperatures warmer than the average. 

Showers and thunderstorms will likely form and move toward the coast in the afternoon and evening hours. Gusty winds, torrential downpours and strong wind gusts are always a possibility.

Little change is expected for the rest of the week.

Phew! This is summer in South Florida

Thanks for checking our blog.

Regards,

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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DORIAN Reforms, But....

08/03/13

DORIAN HAS REFORMED.... 

It's now a "Tropical Depression" with winds of 35/gusts to 50... about 150 miles NNE of West Palm Beach.  The strongest winds associated w/ the depression are well offshore and expected to stay there.  Therefore, no watches or warnings have been posted nor are any anticipated.

  Over the next day or so, Dorian will slowly push North and then eventually Northeast (out to sea) as it gets absorbed by a front diving down from the southeast.

The bottom line is, we'll see minimal impacts that come in the form of increased tropical moisture which leads to a mostly cloudy sky & better chances for showers / storms throughout your Saturday.

Sunday looks better as Dorian pulls away.

 

Meteorologist Craig Gold

AMS

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Dorian to fly by Florida, not a threat

08/01/13

Here comes Dorian....just clouds and some rain chances for south Florida Friday...not as a tropical storm. Chief Meteorologist John Matthews forecasting the leftovers from Dorian. They're  caught in the wind pattern that drives the rain over the Bahamas and affects our area as it brushes by. The rest of the tropical Atlantic is quiet at this time.   @jmatthewscbs12

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First big rain chance for August and tonights moon

07/31/13

Chief Meteorologist John Matthews with a look at our rain chances ahead. Friday and into Saturday, remnants of Dorian will move over south Florida. It's not organized, just bringing the first main rain of August.  Further,overnight we stay dry and the 30% crescent moon rises after 1:30 in the morning. Early risers can enjoy it to start Thursday.

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Weather Changes Ahead

07/30/13

Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg here with your weather blog.

Our dry pattern will likely last for at least one more day. Easterly Winds will blow a few coastal showers our way on Wednesday Morning. That East Breeze will develop those showers into scattered inland thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening. Overall a decent day with a fair share of hot sunshine!

I"m still watching what is left of Dorian. This Tropical System is getting sheared apart by an upper level low to its west. There may not be much left of this system when it gets absorbed into an upper level trough near Florida later in the week.

The combination of the 2 will bump up our rain chances somewhat beginning on Thursday and lasting into the weekend.

In the meantime, try to stay cool and carry that umbrella...just in case!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WATCHING FORMER DORIAN FOR SIGNS OF REDEVELOPMENT

07/29/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here...

  New satellite photo (see image below) of Dorian at 10:15 this Monday morning, better organized and watching for redevelopment. LIVE update on CBS12 News at noon!

  Still watching the former Tropical Storm Dorian for redevelopment.  (see image below)The cloud pattern looks a little better organized and the hurricane center says there is a 40% chance of redevelopment. They will send a plane out later this Monday afternoon to see if it has regenerated.  If it does redevelop it will keep the same name... Dorian.  

The computer models still show the cloud area moving in the direction of Florida in the coming days later this week. (see image below)  Whether it develops or not, the cloud area will still come close to the Bahamas and could have an affect on our weather this Wednesday or Thursday and Friday with an increase in clouds and rain chances, and possibly a stronger more breezy southeast wind 15-20 mph on Thursday and Friday.

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Dorian Not Dead

07/28/13

The remnants of Dorian are not going away!

A hurricane recon. plane investigated on Sunday afternoon and did not find a surface circulation. However, the satellite presentation looks very circular. If it can get enough convection to re-fire and organize just a little, we'll have a depression or storm on our hands once again.

Computer Models now track the system in the general direction of Florida. It's mostly likely to impact us beginning Wednesday Night into Thursday Night. Of course, it's still way to early to tell what kind of impacts we'll feel. (How much rain and/or how much wind).

We'll keep you posted on CBS12 and at CBS12.Com.

You can also download the WPEC Wx App or click here for the latest on anything tropical that develops: www.cbs12.com/hurricane.

Best Regards,

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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2 views of Florida clouds to storms

07/26/13

Chief Meteorologist John Matthews with a view on our quickly changing summer weather. I'm posting 2 satellite views of Florida late today...a couple of hours apart. Those easy little fair weather clouds of the day soon erupted to thunderstorms. They are a good example of the heat of the day helping to generate storms. Look for this pattern often this summer.

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DORIAN WEAK... WILL IT LAST...TRACKS AND MODELS!

07/26/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... all eyes on Dorians track this weekend!

  The track will continue mainly west at 15-20 mph through the next 5 days.  The best forecast model is the LGEM which was excellent the past few years with the 120 hour position. The 120 hour position is the 5th day of the forecast track. (See model tracks below) The LGEM, the TVCA and the AEMI are the best models and they all show a position for Dorian near the SE Bahamas or Eastern Cuba on Wednesday.

  Dorian is weak and has to make it through many obstacles to survive the next few days! (see images below). There is dry air ahead of it that will keep it weak. Then there are strong SW winds that will shear it too. The hurricane center models just don't do well forecasting strength 5 days out, but all the obstacles should keep it weak!  If Dorian moves over or near the land areas of Hispanolia, Cuba or the Turks-Caicos, SE Bahamas could weaken the storm. 

  It is possible Dorian could fade all together, remain a weak Tropical Storm, weaken to Tropcial Wave, or become a hurricane.  It is just to hard to know right now.

Right now, if Dorian were to affect SE Florida it would be Thursday-Friday next week. BUT that is too difficult to say right now.  This weekend, by Saturday and Sunday and certainly by Monday we will know more accurately whether Dorian will affect us directly, indirectly or miss us all together next week!

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School Visit

07/24/13

Michael Ehrenberg with you on our blog sight.

Well,  I had a fun day today! I had the opportunity to visit Grassy Waters Elementary School in West Palm Beach. The reason..to talk to the summer school students there about all things weather and TV! (Check the Pics Below)

This has always been rewarding to me. I've always felt fortunate to be able to go to a job that I love. Weather has always been my hobby. To teach students about weather, television and what we do is always fun to me!

Meanwhile, all eyes are on Tropical Storm Dorian. Dorian will temporarily weaken as she encounters some cooler water and dry air. If she can overcome that, the storm could become a threat to the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico or the Bahamas by next week.

It's way too early to tell if and when she'll threaten the U.S. Check back for the latest.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Sun and heat...but record rain just to our south

07/23/13

Chief Meteorologist John Matthews on duty tonight. We made it to 93 degrees today, another hot one for tomorrow too. The heat is the trade off for all the cloudy rainy days we've had recently...5.52 " of rain this month. Ft Lauderdale has received 14 inches of rain this month. More rain likely late tomorrow for south Florida after lots of sunshine.

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Typical Summer Weather

07/22/13

Typical summer weather is expected for our week ahead.

Some drier air works in for your Monday. This means a little more sunshine with many areas not seeing rain today. Check out the late day plot from our RPM Model. It shows the best chance for rain (40%) along the Treasure Coast or well inland in Palm Beach County. This will be the case for the evening hours as well.

Rain chances this week go up slightly from the mid to late week and then back down some for the weekend.

Bottom line, make sure the umbrella is nearby and try to stay cool indoors!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Tropical Wave..no worry with this one.

07/20/13

Chief Meteorologist John Matthews on duty on a cloudy weekend. Our weekend clouds and rain are brought to us by a tropical wave, the normal seedling for a hurricane.  This one is not organized, just keeping us in the gloomies until after your weekend. We normally seed dozens of tropical waves in the Atlantic during the summer, few develop. It's an attention grabbing name for a lots of clouds and rain. Here's the beach today courtesy of the Jupiter Inlet District.

 

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Changeable Weather

07/19/13

Thanks for reading our weather blog!

We have a temporary break in our soggy weather pattern! Rain chances for Friday are only 30%. According to the RPM Model, the best chances for rain on Friday will be during the late afternoon and evening hours along the Treasure Coast. (See Graphic Below)

I've got my eye on a weak tropical wave, now over Hispaniola. This wave will add some moisture to our air on Saturday, upping the rain chances a bit. (Check the graphics below.)

With unfavorable upper-level winds, there's no chance for development.

In fact, rain chances head lower for the beginning of next week.

Enjoy the weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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RAIN CHANCES DECREASING THIS WEEK.....

07/15/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with better weather news... drying out this week.

  The weather pattern is changing back to near normal which means only morning coastal showers and inland afternoon Tstorms.  The rain chance will also be decreasing too down to 30% for coastal showers and 50% for inland afternoon Tstorms!

  Water Vapor image shows the dry air east of the Bahamas moving into air skies gradually over the next few days.  So we will be more partly cloudy with scattered coastal showers and inland afternoon Tstorms.  Highs near 90.

  Not too much wind with breezes from the east to southeast daily at 10-15 mph... and seas 2-3 feet for boaters.

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A Break from the Rain

07/14/13

Hello and thanks for checking our weather blog!

After a rather cloudy and at times soggy weekend, we're about to undergo a weather change.

High Pressure will build to our North. This will give us more of a drier Easterly Flow the next few days. Yes, there can always be a passing shower or inland storm. However, with lower moisture levels throughout the column...rainfall should be limited.

Check out the rain chances below at 30% for both Monday and Tuesday. Later in the week rain chances go up slightly.

Bottom Line: We'll have a fairly typical  July Pattern with steamy sunshine and the normal  scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Regards,

Michael  Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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INCREASING RAIN CHANCE INTO THE WEEKEND

07/12/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... Finally Friday!

  Clouds from the former Tropical Storm Chantal will be brushing our SE Florida coast this Friday increasing the chance of rain to 60% for mainly afternoon showers and Tstorms. 

  For the weekend... more clouds and showers will move through and another weather system across north Florida will also move south increasing the SW winds and showers and Tstorms moving through each afternoon!  Rain Chance Saturday is 70%.... rain chance Sunday is 50%.

  Boaters light winds and seas Friday... but increasing SE/S winds Saturday 10-15 with seas 2-4 feet.  Sunday winds South at 15 with 3-4 foot seas.

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Chantal close to Florida

07/11/13

Chief Meteorologist John Matthews watching the remnant of TS Chantal tonight. The Hurricane center may fly a hunter aircraft in to recheck the storm on Friday. Chantal has a 30% chance to redevelop, at this time. It's likely to stay in the area with deep tropical moisture and enhance our rain chance through the weekend. Check out the sat photo I got earlier today.

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Watching Chantal's Remains

07/10/13

 

Chantal has had quite the battle. Dry Air, hostile wind shear, rapid forward movement and interaction with mountaineous terrain finally took its toll on the 3rd named storm of the season. 

Chantal was downgraded to a tropical wave late this afternoon. What does this mean? The remnans of Chantal are now just a big disorganized rainmaker. Computer Models widely disgree where this sytem goes. However, they all lift it NNW in the general vicinity of Florida for Friday and Saturday.

What this means for us is dry air ahead of the system will bring lower rain chances on Thursday. We'll likely see partly sunny skies with just a passing shower or two.

Friday into Saturday brings rainy, breezy periods with some locally heavy rain possible. 1 to as much as 4 inches can fall in that time period.

Moderate to high wind shear will continue in the tropical wave's path. As a result there is only a small chance that Chantal will regenerate into a depression or storm.

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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INCREASING RAIN CHANCE AND.... NEW TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL TRACK....

07/08/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... increasing chance for rain this week... and watching the track for Tropical Storm Chantal approaching the Bahmas late this week!

  A busy weather week ahead... an upper level low will move over south Florida increasing our chance of rain Tuesday to 40% and Wednesday to 60%... and Thursday to 50% with mostly cloudy skies!

  Tropical Storm Chantal is presently 2300 miles to our Southeast and moving west at 25 mph... the 5 day forecast track at this time brings the Tropical Storm near the southern Bahamas on Friday and over the eastern or central Bahamas on Saturday.

  Right now it is not forecast to reach hurricane strength... moving over the land areas of Hispanola and eastern Cuba would keep it from increasing in strength.  It is too early to say what effects... if any... we will feel from this storm this coming weekend.  Stay tuned to CBS12 for the latest new track Monday on CBS12 News at Noon.... and online at CBS12.com

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Development in the Tropics

07/07/13

 

A Tropical Wave almost 2000 miles away from us is destined to become a tropical depression and/or tropical storm Chantal soon.

Satellite Imagery indicates increasing curvature and convection. The computer models take it toward the WNW. It passes into the Northeast Caribbean and then makes a run at Cuba, the Bahamas or points East. It's too early to tell what if any impact this sytem will have on South Florida. We'll need to keep a close eye on it. If we do get impacts, it would be at the end of the week.

In the meantime, an upper level low will influence our weather through mid-week. Ahead of the low, sinking air will bring sunny skies and little rain on Monday. As the low treks across South Florida on Tue/Wed, Cooler air aloft will destabilize our atmosphere. This means more frequent showers and thunderstorms will return.

 

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

 

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

 

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Holiday Weekend Weather

07/05/13

Our weekend weather will continue to be dominated by a High Pressure Ridge centered off the Southeast US Coast. This high will combine with lower pressure over the Gulf to keep our gusty winds through the weekend. (ESE 15-20 kts). Small Craft are Cautioned for 3-5 foot seas. Rip Currents will continue to be a concern at the beaches.

There will always be the chance for daily scattered showers or downpours. A few thunderstorms will pop-up and move inland during the afternoon hours. Highs will be within a few degrees of 90 with lows in the mid to upper 70s.

Enjoy your weekend!

Regards

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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FRIDAY HERE... BREEZY WEEKEND WINDS... FEW SHOWERS TOO!

07/05/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here....one word...FRIDAY... or WEEKEND... your pick!!

   Look at the images below and you can see the Water Vapor showing the dry air is trying to move in from the east... but we still have the deep Tropical Mositure moving up from the south. We are going to stay right on the edge of these two air masses through the weekend. So more partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of scattered showers at the coast and a 50% chance for inland showers and Tstorms.

  Staying breezy too with southeast winds 20 and gusty! Small Craft Caution for boaters this weekend and Rip Currents likely at local area beaches... so stay near Lifeguards or out of the water!

                                  HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!

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Rainy days...way too much!

07/03/13

Chief Meteorologist John Matthews checking out the rain pattern ahead for July. I'm posting the latest from the NOAA Prediction Center. It indicates near normal rain for July, which is about 6 inches rain. That would be less than half the amount we got in June. 12.73 inches was measured, 4.43 inches above normal. Let's look for a lot less rain and normal temps about 90 degrees.

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Holiday Weekend Weather

07/03/13

 

Hello and thanks for checking our Weather Blog!

Independence Day (July 4th) is a big holiday with lots of outdoor activities planned. It looks like the weather will be very typical for this time of year. Expect clouds and sun mixed with the possibility of a random shower or quick downpour. Check out the hour by hour snapshot for July 4th. This is what we mean when we call for scattered or spotty showers.

What about Fireworks Time? Most showers should be well West of the area with rain chances down to 20%. (Check out the graphic below).

For the rest of the Holiday Weekend we'll have a slightly higer rain chances on Friday and a bit lower on Saturday and Sunday.

You can expect the usual high heat and mugginess along with steamy sunshine too.

So, no need to cancel your outdoor plans. Just be ready to dash inside quickly if the skies darken.

Enjoy your Holiday!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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JULY STARTS WET... BETTER ON THE 4TH!

07/01/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a wet start to the week!

  Lots of deep tropical clouds and moisture will continue to stream up from the Caribbean and the SE Gulf of Mexico and move North across Florida for the next 3 days thorugh Wednesday.  The chance of rain will remain high near 50-70% through Wednesday. 

  Starting Thursday the Fourth of July... winds will return to SE and drier weather will begin to move in for all of SE Florida and the area with only a 20% chance of isolated coastal showers and a few inland afternoon Tstorms.

  Boaters can expect winds to increase from the SE at 15-20 on Thursday thorugh the weekend and that will mean rougher seas too for the week ahead.

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SUNNY MORNINGS... STORMY AFTERNOONS!

06/28/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... FRIDAY IS HERE.... AND THE WEEKEND TOO!

Our Friday and weekend weather won't be too bad... as long as you get out early!  The weather pattern is changing to a west-southwest wind. These light steering winds will push the Tstorms to the coast each afternoon! Expect a sunny start each day ... then clouds will build and afternoon Tstorms can be expected from around 1pm through the early evening! 

You can track the Tstorms with our FREE WEATHER APP at http://cbs12.com/inside. You can also track them on our interactive radar

The rain chance each day will be near 50-60% for the afternoon Tstorms.  High temperatures will be near 90-93 before the Tstorms start!  Boaters can expect light winds and seas through the weekend and Tropical weather is quiet too!

                                     HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!

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More rain ahead for the weekend

06/27/13


Chief Meteorologist John Matthews with details on our weather ahead. Our winds are changing around to steer storms closer to the coast for the next days. Winds are light so storms will form in the sunshine and heat then move. Our water vapor satellite shows dry air surrounding the state, but over land much more moist. Be aware of rapidly changing storms through the weekend. We have now exceeded normal June rain by nearly 2 inches, total so far 9.36".

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Don't get zapped by our lightning storms

06/25/13

Chief Meteorologist John Matthews with some lightning facts. Did you know that a lightning bolt is about as wide as a quarter,can reach  a temperature of 50,000 degrees and in Florida a leading cause of death. It has killed 52 Floridians in the past 10 years. The bolts reach far from our storm clouds, as much as 10 miles from the storms.So be aware of those rising clouds developing our classic Tstorms this summer, the lightning reaches far out from them. Lightning occurs somewhere on the planet 40 to 50 times every second. Photo from George Tanquay of Singer Island.

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NEAR NORMAL WEATHER WEEK!

06/24/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... NEAR NORMAL RAIN CHANCES AND HEAT!

  East to Southeast winds 10-15 mph will be with us through much of the week.  Those winds will blow a few coastal showers onshore each day and allow for a few inland afternoon Tstorms too.  The rain chance will remain at about 30%.

  Temperatures near normal with highs near 88-90 at the coast and beaches to near 92-94 well inland and around the lake. Overnight lows near 78-80 coast and beaches to near 73-75 well inland.

  Tropical weather remains quiet with only minor Tropical Waves passing through the Atlantic and Carribean with NO Tropical Development expected through Thursday!


 

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Weather this Week

06/23/13


The Tropical Wave we've been advertising pushed through on Sunday. It brough us a few more showers but nothing major. In it's wake high pressure will build in across North Florida and the SW Atlantic to our North. The clockwise flow around it means a persistent E-SE flow for much of the upcoming week. Initially, drier air will work in keeping our rain chances at only 20% for Monday and Tuesday. Those days look decent for outdoor plans with plenty of hot sunshine and just a passing shower or PM Inland Thunderstorm.

Later in the week higher moisture levels will work back in meaning a higher probability of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

I hope you enjoy the week ahead!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Weekend Weather

06/22/13


I hope you're enjoying the weekend so far.

Our Saturday looks partly to mostly sunny, hot and...mainly dry. Check out the hour-by-hour forecast below. It shows only isolated afternoon thunderstorms with those being mainly west of the Turnpike during the afternoon hours.

A weak tropical wave located over the Central Bahamas will move into Florida on Sunday. This system has limited moisture with it. It will slightly bump up our rain chances on Sunday with a 30-40% chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms. There will be some sunshine too.

Rain chances stay fairly typical for June with scattered showers and storms through the upcoming week along with the normal June heat.

Try to stay cool and thanks for reading our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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SUMMER IS HERE! WEEKEND WEATHER HAS SHOWERS!

06/21/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here.... It's the First day of Summer and a Tropical Wave will bring added weekend clouds and showers.

  Nice and sunny and hot for our First Day of Summer! Highs today near 90 but heat index "feels like temperatures" will be near 100-105! Drink plenty of water and slow down in the heat. The rain chance only 30%.

  A Tropical Wave moving west over the SE Bahamas will move near SE Florida on Saturday and Sunday increasing the chance of rain on Saturday and Sunday.  Boaters can expect  increasing SE winds 15 knots and seas 2-4 feet.

  The seven day forecast shows near normal highs and lows with near normal rain chances through early next week!

                                                  HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!


 

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Weekend Rain coming..and Tropical Wave

06/20/13


Chief Meteorologist John Matthews on duty. That tropical wave way down to the SE in the Bahamas is drifting closer to south Florida. It will enhance our weekend rain chances, especially Saturday. Forecast models keep it just a lot of storms but not intensifying into anything tropical.Sunday looks fine, so does Friday, with lots of coastal sun and inland storms.

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NEAR NORMAL WEEK... WATCHING TROPICS... SUMMER STARTS FRIDAY

06/17/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here...

NEAR NORMAL WEATHER THIS WEEK... WATCHING TROPICS TOO!

Normal rainfall pattern with morning coastal showers and then a few inland afternoon Tstorms.  Rain chance is near 30% each day.  Highs near normal 88 coast and beaches to near 92 well inland west of I-95.. around the lake near 95!  Overnight lows near normal around 74 coast to near 72 well inland.

Tropical wave in western Caribbean has 40% chance of developing. Forecast computer models show any movement would be west to west-northwest across the Yucatan Peninsula and into the SW Gulf of Mexico.

Later in the week towards Friday some drier air and possible Saharan dust may move into our skies bringing hazy conditions and above normal heat for the First Day of Summer... Friday June 21 at 1:04 EDT!

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The Week Ahead

06/16/13

Thanks for reading our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

After a sunny and hot Father's Day Weekend it looks like the dry weather pattern will linger for another day or two. Rain chances stay at 20% as upper level high pressure continues to suppress our atmosphere. Later in the week we trend back to the normal scattered shower and thunderstorm regime as that high pressure area weakens.

Meanwhile, in the tropics I've got a close eye on a tropical disturbance in the lower Caribbean. Wind Shear remains high and it is interacting with land. This means it will likely not strengthen much. However, there is a moderate chance of it becoming a depression if it can get over water during the next day or two. Computer Models keep this system far to our South. Nothing to worry about as far as we are concerned!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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HOT..... "FLAG DAY" FRIDAY... GREAT FATHERS DAY WEEKEND!

06/14/13

CBS 12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... FLAG DAY... AND FINALLY FRIDAY!

HOT today with light SW winds. The West and SW winds are the hottest for us. The 90+ heat builds in the inland areas every afternoon... but normally the E and SE winds blow onshore from the cooler ocean and keep that heat inland. BUT... any West or Southwest wind and ... that heat blows towards the coast!  That's the set up for today and Saturday. The rain chance Friday is 30%.

  Saturday still hot with 92 and only a 20% chance of an afternoon Tstorm. Fathers Day Sunday... the wind will turn more NE to E and it won't be as hot with highs near 88 coast and 92 inland and the rain chance only 20%.  GOOD BOATING WEEKEND! Boaters will find winds light west and flat seas Friday and Saturday.. then a little more NE to East wind on Sunday with seas 2-3 feet.

                             HAVE A GREAT FATHERS DAY WEEKEND!

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FINALLY NEAR NORMAL WEATHER WEEK....

06/10/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... the sun has returned with near normal hot and humid weather ahead this week.

    Near normal ESE winds at 10-15 mph will allow for 20-30% chance for a few isolated coastal showers and inland afternoon Thunderstorms the early part of the week.  Then a Tropical Wave passing to our south will increase the chance for scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms mid to late week.  Highs back to near 87 coast to 92 inland!  Boaters light SE winds and seas are ahead this week. 

    FLAG DAY is Friday!

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Break in the Rain

06/09/13

 

We've gotten more than our share of rain recently. Since the beginning of June, Rainfall is almost 4" above the average at PBIA. Since the year began we've been drowned by 10" more than the average. (Drought...What's That?)

The beginning of the week features a brief break in the rain with chances only 20% each day of a quick shower or thunderstorm. Our wind flow from the surface up to 10,000 feet will be from the E-SE around High Pressure to our North. This is a drier pattern and also tends to blow the rain well West of the area during the afternoon and evening.

Later in the week the high will break down with rain chances going back to the normal daily scattered showers and thunderstorms.

More sun means more heat with highs 90+ for mid to late week.

Check the graphics below.

Thanks for reading the weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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RAIN CHANCE THROUGH SATURDAY... SUNDAY BETTER

06/07/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farell here..  chance of showers and tstorms through Saturday.

NO WATCHES...  NO WARNINGS...  NO ADVISORIES...  BUT THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE  FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS.

  Track thunderstorms.. get the latest weather advisories... get tropical updates and for FREE with our weather app at cbs12.com/inside!

  Tropical Storm Andrea moving well north of Florida and away from the area... but SW winds will keep scattered showers and Tstorms moving through our area Friday and Saturday afternoons.  The rain chance is 50% Friday and 60% for Saturday.   Drier air moving in Sunday with the rain chance only 30%!

  Boaters Small Craft Caution flags continue for gusty SW winds 20+ Friday... winds and seas decreasing Saturday and Sunday. 

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3 Confirmed Tornadoes

06/06/13

The National Weather Service sent a survey team to inspect the damage from early morning storms associated with Tropical Storm Andrea.

3 tornadoes were confirmed:

The first one occurred at 3:20 AM near Belle Glade.
This was a confirmed EF0 tornado with winds between 65-85 mph.
There was minor damage to trees and power lines.

The second twister occurred at 6:45 AM in the Acreage.
This was a confirmed EF1 tornado with winds up to 100 mph (See Graphic Below)
One person was reported injured. Trees and Power Poles were snapped and downed. The path length was 2 miles and the path width 50-100 yards.

The third tornado occurred at 8:10 AM near the Broward Line.
This was an EF0 tornado that occurred in a remote part of SW Palm Beach County.


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Watching a Tropical Low

06/04/13

We're continuing to monitor a weak area of low pressure stretched out across the Gulf of Mexico. Upper level winds are blowing most of the rain well to the East of the center of circulation which is North of the Yucatan. Environmental conditions will become a little more favorable to allow the system to develop. There is a medium chance it becomes the season's first depression or storm. Computer Models take this system into the Florida Panhandle. The heaviest of the rain should ride along with the storm and pass to our West and North through Friday.
We can still see 1 to as much as 4 inches of additional rainfall in that time period with occasional downpours and isolated thunderstorms.
Download our CBS12 Weather App for updates on our weather anywhere/anytime.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WATCHING FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.....

06/03/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here.... LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THIS WEEK!

  Check the latest computer models and 7 day forecast below.

  Also get the FREE CBS12 weather app to Track The Tropics and rain at cbs12.com/inside.

  An area of clouds over the SE Gulf of Mexico has a 20% chance of Tropical Development in the next 2 days.  Even if the area does not develop... all the clouds and rain will still move north to northeast towards South Florida the next 3 days! That means locally heavy rain developing over South Florida Monday afternoon... and lasting through Friday!

  Locally a total of 4-8 inches of rain is possible between Monday afternoon and Friday. Flood Watches and advisories might be needed this week too.

  GET OUR FREE WEATHER APP AT cbs12.com/inside AND TRACK THE TROPICS!

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Wet Week Ahead

06/02/13


Thanks for reading our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michaell Ehrenberg.

Deep Tropical Moisture will continue to feed in from the Caribbean this week. This, courtesy of an elongated area of disturbed weather to our Southwest. There is a small chance that this system organizes into a tropical depression the next few days as it slowly drifts into the Gulf of Mexico. Look for rain chances at 60% for Monday. Most of this occurs during the afternoon and evening. (Check the RPM Model below). Frequent Lightning, downpours and gusty winds can occur with some thunderstorms.

Total rainfall through Friday Night will range from 3 to 6" with locally higher amounts possible. This would depend on the possible organization of the Gulf System.

We'll keep watching it for you!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WEEKEND WIND DECREASING... WEEKEND RAIN CHANCE STAYS HIGH

05/31/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... The weekend will finally have a break in the wind... but clouds and showers will stay around!  Weekend rain chances will remain at 50%... with deep tropical moisture streaming out of the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean.  The rain chance at 50% for Saturday and Sunday.

  Boaters... Small Craft Caution flags again for Friday with gusty East winds 20-25 knots and 3-6 foot seas. Finally a break in the wind this weekend! Gusty winds from the East will decrease to 10-15 Saturday and Sunday and seas will decrease too.

                                  HAVE A NICE WEEKEND

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Wet Pattern Persists

05/29/13

 

More wet days ahead for us!

Moisture will continue to stream in at the upper levels of the atmosphere from the South and West. Meanwhile, the flow around persistent high pressure located to our North will bring in low-level moisture. This means above average rain chances into Friday. A flood watch is in effect for Palm Beach County where an additional 2-4" of rain can fall on already saturated ground.

We're within 1 1/4" of breaking a rainfall record for the month of May!

Weekend rain chances will fall back to average (40%). Hopefully, there will be a little more sunshine then too.

In the meantime, try to stay dry!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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FLOOD WARNING PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 11 AM

05/29/13


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
815 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 1100 AM EDT

* AT 811 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS WITH VERY HEAVY
  RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY.  RADAR ESTIMATES
  AND RAIN GAGES INDICATED BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
  FROM BOYNTON BEACH TO THE ACREAGE.  BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED
  FLOODING IN HOMES IN THE ACREAGE...AND OTHER REPORTS OF FLOODING
  HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM BOYNTON BEACH.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  BOYNTON BEACH...DELRAY BEACH...LAKE WORTH...WEST PALM BEACH...
  GOLDEN LAKES...GREENACRES CITY...HAVERHILL...LION COUNTRY SAFARI...
  OCEAN RIDGE...PALM BEACH...ROYAL PALM BEACH...VILLAGE OF GOLF AND
  WELLINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.




WINDY WEEK AHEAD... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING TOO!

05/27/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here....

  IT'S MEMORIAL DAY... PARADES AND CEREMONIES WILL BE BREEZY!

  Strong high pressure will continue to produce breezy east winds 15-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph! That means Rough Surf... Rip Currents and Small Craft Caution for boaters probably the entire week ahead! 

  The rain chance will be increasing Tuesday to 40 percent and then up to 40 to 50 percent Wednesday through Thursday too.  Winds will remain strong and gusty through the week too... and could increase even more Thursday and Friday!

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Holiday Week Weather

05/26/13

Great Weather Timing.

You must admit, the timing for this drier and slightly cooler weather was ideal...just in time for the Memorial Day Holiday Weekend. We'll have one more day of this with mixed sun and clouds on Monday. Expect a high in the low 80s at the coast to the upper 80s inland.

The only "issue" are those pesky rip currents. Whenever you have onshore winds greater than 10 mph there is always that risk and that will continue until at least mid-week. With seas 3-5 feet Small Craft are also cautioned. Be safe if you'll be out on the water!

Moisture will begin to stream into our area at a deeper and deeper level beginning Tuesday. Notice the RPM Model below. It shows green (scattered showers and storms) returning on Tuesday.

Thereafter the normal daily scattered showers and storms will be with us for the rest of the week.

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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NEAR RECORD HEAT... THEN..... NICE BREEZY WEEKEND!

05/24/13

I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell... NICE ... BREEZY ... MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND AHEAD... FULL MOON TOO!
    Expect a hot Friday with highs near 90 and near the record high 94 in Vero Beach! Only an isolated afternoon thunderstorm with rain chance at 30%.

A late Spring cool front will pass through Saturday and bring breezy and gusty NE/E winds at 20-25 mph! Weekend skies will be mostly sunny too with temps below normal high of 86... instead a little milder around 83. Saturday night will be the Full "Flower" moon!

 Rough weekend surf with Rip Currents and Small Craft Caution flags for boaters.  Stay near lifeguards and beware of dangerous rip currents.  The NE/E wind will stay strong through early next week too!

                                  HAVE A SAFE HOLIDAY WEEKEND!

 

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Long weekend..big changes

05/23/13


Chief Meteorologist John Matthews with the weekend update. Get ready for a 90 degree day to start the weekend....then windy on Saturday. The winds will moderate our heat but raise the waves on the Atlantic, still looking for sunshine through the period and a nice dry trend too. Full update on CBS12 at 11.




Changeable Weather Ahead

05/22/13


Our Rainy  Season is now officially underway. I'm sure you've noticed this the last few days with our showers, thunderstorms and flooded streets in many areas.

We will temporarily dry out on Thursday and Friday. The sun returns with only a scattered passing shower or thunderstorm. The rain chances however are much lower.

On the Memorial Day Weekend, believe it or not a weak  "cool" front is forecast to pass through. This  front will drop our temperatures by at least 5 degrees with noticeably lower  levels of humidity, especially Sunday and Monday.

Don't expect it to last long, Tue and Wed of next week you'll notice the humidity creeping higher along with the chance for showers and storms. (The normal Rainy Season Stuff!)

Thanks for Reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WEEK STARTS WET.... ENDS DRIER...

05/20/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here with a wet start to this last week of May.

  A stationary upper level low over the SE states will draw deep tropical moisture across Florida for the next 3 days Monday through Wednesday. Rain chances will remain quite high near 50-60% for locally heavy showers and afternoon tstorms.  Rainfall totals will be near 3-5 inches over the next 3 days too!

  Towards the end of the week... Thursday through Sunday the rain chance will decrease to 20-30% through the long Memorial Day weekend.


 

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Wetter Days Ahead

05/19/13

The average start of our rainy season is around May 20th. We will likely start it this week with higher rain chances and daily scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Colder temperatures at cloud level means a more unstable atmosphere on Monday and Tuesday. This means there is a chance for locally strong storms with frequent lightning, downpours and strong wind gusts.

One of our Computer Models predicts between 1 and 3 inches between now and Wednesday.

Keep those umbrellas handy!

Thanks for reading!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Isolated showers in your weekend

05/17/13


Hotter days and higher rain chances ahead. Chief Meteorologist John Matthews posting the clouds that stuck to our coast today. The rest of the entire state was in super sunshine today. This higher moisture still around Friday night in some areas, Delray to Boca. Look for morning coastal clouds, isolated showers, a mixed sky for Saturday and afternoon showers likely. We'll get sunshine...but better chances of some showers as well.   @jmatthewscbs12

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Quiet Weather Ahead

05/15/13

 

We've got a very nice stretch of weather ahead for Mid May. Have you noticed how comfortable it's been? That's due to lower levels of moisture in our air. By the weekend as High Pressure shifts offshore, our winds will turn more out of the SE. This will creep both our temperatures and humidity higher. Look for us to get back to average May levels by the weekend. The higher moisture means that you can see a scattered shower or two.

BTW, if you're looking for something fun to do, why not come to the Treasure Coast Square Mall Hurricane Fair? The complete weather team will be there to answer all of your questions regarding the upcoming hurricane season.

Come out and meet us!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Great days...but heating up soon

05/14/13


Meteorologist John Matthews posting the temperature trend ahead. We were in the upper 70s most of the day today and ended up hitting 80. Wednesday nearly the same but warmer and warmer into the weekend. Enjoy some unusually milder days this week before the heat returns.

 

 

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GETTING A BREAK FROM THE HEAT

05/13/13

Better weather ahead. Chief Meteorologist John Matthews forecast keeps you dry and in the sunshine. A cool front, very rare this time of the year, passed through our area. Clouds out and sunshine is back. However, gusty winds to follow as we go through the day. Sea waves increasing with the winds from the NE 15-20.  Enjoy the change in temps and drier days too.




COOL FRONT COMING LATE MONDAY.... NICE WEEK AHEAD!

05/13/13

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell.... another Spring cool front moving through this Monday afternoon!

 Highs once again quite warm and humid near 85!  Only a few isolated late morning showers and afternoon Tstorms with the rain chance 30%.  The cool front will bring sunny skies and cooler... drier... less humid air and breezy NE winds 15-20 mph Tuesday through Thursday.

  BELOW NORMAL COOLER LOWS! Normal low is 70 and excpect lows near 60 inland to 65 coast this Monday night and into the rest of the week too.  Highs will be a little below the normal 85 and closer to 80-82.

  Boaters... rougher seas Tuesday through Thursday with the NE/E winds increasing 10-15 and gusty to near 20 at times.

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Drier Pattern Ahead

05/12/13

An unusual May Cool Front will sweep through Florida Monday. Ahead of this front there is the chance for some scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm. The front will sweep off the coast Monday Night as High Pressure builds to our North. This high brings us N-NE Winds for Monday Night and Tuesday. Expect lows by Tuesday Morning in the low 60s on the Treasure Coast to the mid to upper 60s in Eastern Palm Beach County.

Highs will be a little below average for the following 4 days. With lower humidity it will feel quite nice out of doors.

Enjoy!

Regards
Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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RAIN CHANGES...AND HOT TOO

05/09/13


Lots of sunshine today...followed by clouds inland, pushed by the seabreeze. A few storms formed on the cloud line and continue late into our evening. Look for a nice sunny Friday but more isolated storms likely to form in the hot temps ahead. Meteorologist John Matthews says temps up near 90 inland areas, mid 80s coastal.

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More Nice May Weather

05/08/13

What a week of weather so far! I hope you've been able to enjoy some of it outdoors.

Unseasonably dry air will continue to filter our way around a large upper level low lifting through the Northeast U.S. However, starting Thursday afternoon, high pressure will move off the East Coast of Florida. The return SE-S flow will gradually creep up our moisture levels. With slightly higher temperatures it will start to feel quite warm during the afternoons as we head into the weekend.

Rain chances likely stay low into at least Saturday with plenty of sunshine and only an isolated shower chance.

Beginning Sunday (Mom's Day) the next front will approach. This will increase the chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms both Sunday and Monday. Behind this front we'll likely be in for another period of drier and slightly cooler air for the middle of next week!

Thanks for reading our weather blog.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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MONDAY COOL FRONT... MORE COOL NIGHTS-WARM DAYS AHEAD

05/06/13

CBS12 AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell here... more cool fronts ahead!

  Look at the water vapor image and you'll see more "dry air" moving towards the state! Also, a few cool fronts moving in this week too!

  This Monday afternoon a cool front moving through will bring us partly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of an isolated afternoon shower.  Highs near 83...BUT COOL LOWS TONIGHT near 55 inland to 60 coast! 

  Another cool front moving through on Wednesday with little if any rain.  That will keep the nights cool near 55 inland to 60 coast and the days stay warm near 80!

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Comfortable Weather

05/05/13

Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

A comfortably warm and dry stretch of weather is ahead this week. A large upper level low pressure (seen on the water vapor below) will move slowly through the SE US. The counterclockwise flow around this low will mean a W-NW flow of mainly dry air. A couple of weak surface troughs (reinforcements) will rotate through. One of these troughs can touch off a brief shower on Monday.  The RPM hints at this.

Low Humidity will make it feel pleasant out of doors, particularly in the evening and early morning. In fact, low temperatures will run several degrees below average through Friday.

Enjoy it while it lasts!

Regards,

Michael  Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Weekend weather better

05/03/13


Chief Meteorologist John Matthews tracking the system that brought our cloudy rainy week. It's forecast to pull away through early Saturday, bringing improved conditions this weekend.We still have rain chances but very scattered compared to recent days.Catch my TWITTER storm updates  @jmatthewscbs12




RAINY DAYS

05/01/13


Chief Meteorologist John Matthews checking out our rain ahead for May. We're already off to a wet start. Nearly an inch of rain for our first day....we look for much more in the next two days. Today Okeechobee picked up more than 7 inches...the video from there looks like it too.In the month ahead, look for at least 5 1/2 inches of rain. It's back for Thursday and Friday.




STORMY... WET WEATHER DAYS AHEAD THIS WEEK

04/29/13

I'm CBS12 AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... get ready for some rainy days!

  A cold front will be moving slowly into North Florida this week and that will help to draw clouds and deep tropical moisture into our SE Florida skies.  Scattered to numerous showers and Tstorms will be developing EACH AFTERNOON .... THROUGH THURSDAY!

  Rainfall totals could be quite heavy the next 2-3 days with amounts of 1-3 inches in some local areas... and up to 2-4 inches total for the next 3 days!  Rough surf continues with RIP CURRENTS LIKELY! STAY OUT OF THE WATER OR... NEAR LIFEGUARDS if you do enter the water!

  SUNFEST could start a little wet... and the chance for showers could remain for the rest of the week and into the SUNFEST weekend too!

  FOLLOW ME ON TWITTER @chrisfarrellcbs

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Wetter Days Ahead

04/28/13


Hasn't the weather been great lately?
April Sunshine, low humidity and a refreshing ocean breeze has made it very pleasant to be out of doors.
It's time for a change though. Winds will turn into the SE-S the next few days. This will increase our moisture. In addition upper level energy will aid to lift the air. This will increase our rain chances to 40% Monday and 60% Tuesday.
Our RPM Model forecasts between 1 and 2 inches of rain during the next 3 days. (72 hours ending Wednesday Evening).
Very unstable air will move across. This means we'll need to watch for locally severe thunderstorms each afternoon. We'll keep you posted on this!
Our wetter pattern can affect the first few days of Sunfest.
The better Sunfest weather occurs at the end of the week with drier air working in.
(Check the graphics below).

Keep those umbrellas handy!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Increasing rain chances

04/27/13


Chief Meterologist John Matthews looking ahead into next week. Forecast models increasing our rain possibilities by Tuesday....and extending through Thursday. No real organized system affecting us...but look for those afternoon storms to pick up the rain chances...about 40 to 60%.  Enjoy the sunny nice weekend we're having.




NICE FRIDAY .... AND WEEKEND TOO!

04/26/13

CBS12 AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell here... GREAT WEEKEND WEATHER... except for one thing!

  Nice weekend weather with mostly sunny skies and near normal highs 82 and lows near 68. 
The rain chance is low this weekend only near 20 percent.  A weak cool front over central Florida will move south and increase our weekend winds.  Boaters will  find seas a little rougher at 3-6 feet with ENE winds 15-20 and there could be Caution Flags for boaters this weekend!

  Next week the rain chance begins to increase 30 to 50 percent by Tuesday... Wednesday and Thursday!

  HAVE A NICE WEEKEND! 

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Full moon night...super viewing

04/24/13


Meteorologist John Matthews says.....Great full moon viewing night tonight. Mild temps in the 70s, light breeze. It looks nearly full for Friday night too, and the weather also super to enjoy it. It rises about 9PM on Friday evening.

 

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The greatest Radar

04/23/13


Chief Meteorologist John Matthews back from Melbourne after meeting with the Meteorologists the the National Weather Service today. Cool meeting, lots to discuss for the upcoming storm season. Here's a photo of their new radar which went operational earlier this year. Actually you just see the dome, radar inside. It takes an hour and a half to drive there by Corvette, red one in the parking lot. Yet that radar sees every storm we have here, instantly.Cool huh?

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WET MONDAY MORNING THEN ...STORMY AFTERNOON

04/22/13

CBS12 AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell here... GET OUR NEW FREE WEATHER APP TO TRACK THE STORMS AT www.cbs12/search "WPEC WX"

  A stalled cool front will bring morning showers this Monday... then HEAVY STRONG AFTERNOON TSTORMS! Storms this afternoon will be locally heavy with hail, gusty winds frequent lightning! The rain chance is 80%!

  The front finally moves through late tonight wth cooler to milder lows near 62 inland to 68 at the coast! So slightly cooler.  BREEZY and sunny Tuesday through Wednesday with NE winds 15-20 mph... then partly cloudy Thursday through Friday!

  Boaters watch for increasing NE winds 15-20 and rougher seas Tuesday and Wednesday!

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Weather Pattern Change

04/21/13


Thanks for checking our weather blog.

Our active weather pattern has one more day left in it. A stalled front will interact with high moisture and unstable air to produce more scattered showers and thunderstorms on Monday. Rain chances is at 50%. Storms can be locally strong with downpours, frequent lightning, gusty winds and even small hail.

So, make sure you have the umbrella  handy and hold off on those beach or pool plans.

Drier air will work back in beginning Tuesday. This will return us to a drier April pattern with more sunshine and very low rain chances for the rest of the week.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Rain Coming

04/19/13


Check out our rainfall this year. In both Palm Beach County and the Treasure Coast the rainfall is 5-6" short of average so far this year.

If you haven't already heard, there's a good chance we'll make up some of that deficit on the  weekend. Increasing moisture over our area will combine with a stalled  front and instability to produce scattered showers and t/storms.

There can be locally heavy rainfall, gusty winds and strong winds in some of the storms.

Rainfall totals can vary widely with some parts of the area receiving over  1" and perhaps more.

Thanks for reading our weather blog.

I'm CBS12 Meteorologist  Michael Ehrenberg

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Why on the weekend?!

04/19/13

Sorry to be the bearer of bad news (please dont shoot the messenger :/ ) but we're looking at the prospect for showers and storms spiking over the weekend.

A cold front (relax.... it won't be getting cold-  it's just bringing moisture & clouds) swings in from the north and "stalls" over us.  Now I'm not saying both Saturday and Sunday will be wet ALL day, but with afternoon heating... it's a pretty good bet storms will fire up. 

As is usually the case with this setup, your best chance to get outdoor activities in will be late morning/early afternoon.

Highs will reach the middle to upper 80s with overnight lows around 70.

Drier weather will return by Tuesday.  Have a nice weekend and stay dry!

Craig Gold

CBS12 StormTrac Meteorologist




Dry Then Wet

04/16/13


Our weather this week will feature a few dry days as a high pressure ridge located to our north and an upper level high to our West keep the shower chances low. (Sinking Air)

Wed-Fri will feature a mix of sun and clouds with only an isolated shower or thunderstorm.

By the weekend an upper level trough and cold front will enter the state. This will help to destabilize the atmosphere. With increasing moisture returning on Southerly Flow this will lead to an increase in our  rain chances for both Saturday and Sunday.

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UGH! TAX DAY.... MORNING SHOWERS....AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO...

04/15/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... it's tax day... but weather is still free!

 A good chance of morning showers and then afternoon tstorms developing on this Monday. The rain chance at 60%.  Highs still near 85-88 inspite of the clouds and afternnoon storms!  Tuesday through Thursday nicer and drier weather with highs near 85 coast to near 90 inland.  OH NO... OH YES...The next best chance of rain comes Friday and the weekend with another front coming close... but all the way through we could get rain chances near 50% Friday through Sunday......

 

 Boaters... you are good to go with light SE winds 10-15 and seas 2-3 feet through Wednesday...on Thursday and Friday SE/S winds increasing 15-20 and rough seas. 


 

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Warm Week Ahead

04/14/13

Thanks for reading our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Our Monday Forecast features a warm muggy day with the 30% chance for spotty showers and PM Thunderstorms. It's been feeling a bit like summer these days and Monday will be no exception. Expect highs in the mid to upper 80s with partly sunny skies.

As drier air works in we see rain chances down to 10% for Tue-Thu. Towards next weekend there are some indications of increasing rain chances as an upper level trough heads toward Florida.

Highs each day will continue above the April Average (in the mid 80s).

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HIGH RAIN CHANCE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY

04/12/13

     SLOW MOVING FRONT BRINGS GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS-TSTORMS

  I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...  If you need something to do this weekend.. join me on Saturday in Belle Glade on Main Street at 10 am... for the 34th Annual Black Gold Jubilee Parade and then the cookout at Torry Island Rec Center!

 A slow moving cold front will only get to about central Florida and Orlando before stalling! This will increase our SW winds and the steering currents will move showers and Tstorms NE towards our coast today and Saturday! The chance of rain is 50% for showers and Tstorms this Friday and 60% for Saturday.  Sunday's rain chance will be only 30% with lighter SE winds.  Highs will still be near 85 and very warm lows near 75. 

  Boaters... rough winds and seas on Friday... but deceasing SE winds and seas for the weekend

              HAVE A NICE WEEKEND...  AND SEE YOU AT THE PARADE!

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2013 Hurricane Season Outlook

04/10/13

The Colorado State Team of Klotzbach and Grey issued their outlook for the 2013 hurricane season. They are calling for a busy year with 18 named storms, 9 of which are expected to become hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. There's a 48% chance that somewhere along the East Coast of the US (including Florida) a major hurricane will hit.

Why so busy? El Nino is forecast to be a no-show. This means vertical wind shear won't be inhibiting Tropical Development. In addition favorable wind patterns and lower pressures across the Atlantic are forecast by various computer models. Ocean Temperatures have been warming this year and are above average. This will likely continue into the peak of hurricane season. The warm ocean's latent heat of condensation which turns moisture into wind energy is a main driver for hurricane development.

Here's the bottom line for us. We can't tell whether a storm is going to hit us this year (more than  a week ahead of time). However, the more storms that do form, the higher the chance that any one location will get hit.

So, it's always best to be prepared. Remember, it only takes the one storm that blows over your house to make you think it was a bad year.

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WEEK STARTS NICE... LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCE GOING UP!

04/08/13

WEEK STARTS NICE AND DRY - THEN INCREASING RAIN CHANCE LATE WEEK!

  I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...  lighter winds and sunny skies the next several days with near normal highs of 80 and lows near 65.   Boaters finally lighter seas and winds through Tuesday ... but increasing SE winds and seas on Wednesday.

  A slow moving cold front will approach on Friday increasing the chance of rain Friday.  The front may not push all the way through and that could mean higher rain chances again on Saturday and Sunday!

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Weather this Week

04/07/13


There's little change for the first part of our week. High Pressure won't  move much and remain situated to our North. The clockwise flow will  deliver us an Easterly Breeze. With stable air in place expect it to stay mostly dry with some sun each day and only an isolated shower.

By Wednesday our wind turns SE which will bump our temperatures up a few degrees.

By late week a cold front will approach Florida. This will increase our rain chances a little with scattered showers  in the plan. Computer Models differ in the exact position of the front on the weekend. Right now we don't  expect a whole lot of cooling with the front. We'll  keep you posted.

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael  Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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RAINY FRIDAY.... NICE WEEKEND!

04/05/13

I'm AMS CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell..

   MORE RAIN AHEAD FOR FRIDAY... BUT A MILDER AND SUNNY WEEKEND!

Expect periods of locally heavy rain and showers this morning and isolated tstorms into the afternoon too. The rain chance remains at 70% througout the day.  A cold front will finally move through late this afternoon and early this evening.... clear and cooler tonight with lows near 60!   Weekend weather is nice and sunny.. a bit breezy with NE winds 15-20.  Highs near 77 and lows near 65 coast to a cooler 60 inland

Boaters... rougher NE winds 15-20 and rougher seas 3-6 feet through the weekend with Caution Flags and Rip Currents!

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The Weather Ahead

04/03/13

Thanks for reading our weather blog today. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Our Wednesday weather looks decent for anything you might have planned outside. We'll see sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs in the lower to mid 80s. Expect SE Winds to average 10-15 mph.

A developing low pressure system and it's associated cold front will move East across the Gulf of Mexico on Thu/Fri. Upper level energy will be robust. This means a good likelihood of much needed rain for Thu Night into Friday. In fact there is the chance for isolated strong storms. We'll keep you posted on that!

Behind the front skies clear and temperatures get nice again...just in time for your weekend.

Check out the graphics below.

Enjoy the weather!

Michael  Ehrenberg/CBS12  Meteorologist


 

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Weather this Week

04/01/13


An upper level disturbance and trough will move across Florida today. You can see the added moisture in the water vapor loop below. What this means is some scattered showers and PM thunderstorms in the forecast for today (Rain Chance 40%).

Behind this feature some drier air will move in for Tuesday and Wednesday. This means lots of sunshine for both days with highs near 80 or in the lower 80s.

Towards week's end a low pressure system will develop and drag a weak cold front into Florida on Friday. This will once again increase our rain chances on Friday.

Right now next weekend looks decent with sunshine and pleasantly mild temperatures.

Thanks for checking our weather blog today!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Easter Weekend Warm-Up

03/29/13


Warming Trend Upcoming

Our chilly weather this week will gradually become a thing of the past. High Pressure gradually slips offshore. The counter-clockwise flow around this High means more of a NE flow on Friday afternoon. This blows in some patchy clouds but, all in all we're looking at a nice day with plenty of sunshine..highs in the low to mid 70s.

On the weekend our winds turn toward a southerly direction by Sunday. This means gradually warming temperatures with highs by Easter Sunday close to 80. That wind direction will increase our moisture. As a result there is a 20% shower chance on Easter.

Early next week we're back to 80s for daily afternoon highs.

Other than a random shower, it looks like we'll stay mostly dry with sunshine each day.

Enjoy your Easter Weekend!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Another cold night and big moon

03/27/13


Meteorologist John Matthews with a big wow for our night tonight! Great moon again tonight. It was officially the full moon last night, but looks full again tonight. Our clear sky tonight gives us the benefit of super clarity. We're chilly for Lunar adventures with the temps back down into the 40s overnight. Thursday should see a nice warming...but only the low 70s. Enjoy it before we get to next weeks mid 80 high temps.

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Warm Up in our Future

03/27/13


Our unseasaonably cold temperatures are brought to us courtesy of  a big dip in the Jetstream. This dip allows cold air from Canada to sink far to the South. High Pressure at the surface is delivering the chill on a Northwest to North wind.

If you're not a fan of the cold, just be patient, warmer air is coming. As the surface high moves to our North and East for Thursday and Friday the wind direction will change around. The cold Northwest flow veers to Northeast by Friday. This will warm us back into the 70s. By the weekend our winds turn East and then Southeast. This will warm those temperatures back to the average this time of year which is around 80.

In the meantime, enjoy those lower A/C bills and keep that extra blanket handy at night!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Big Cool Down Ahead

03/22/13


Thanks for reading our weather blog today!

A Spring Cold Front passed through and behind it Northwest winds will drive increasingly cooler air our way. You'll notice a big change in our temperastures today (Monday). Instead of highs near 90 that we experienced on Sunday, we'll only reach the mid 70s.

With plenty of sunshine it looks like a great day for outdoor plans. (Check the graphic below)

Temperatures for the rest of this week will be well below the long term average for late March. Average Lows are in the low 60s with highs near 80. Check out our 7-day forecast below. We'll be some 10-20 degrees below these averages!

In fact, we'll likely challenge if not break the record lows at some locations Wed and Thu Morning. Expect lows on those mornings 38-43 on the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee County to 44-49 from Jupiter south to Boca Raton.

I hope you still have that extra blanket handy!

Regards,

Michael  Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Warmer Days Ahead

03/22/13

 

It looks like our chilly temperatures will rapidly become a thing of the past! Wiinds will rapidly veer into the Southeast to South on Friday and into your weekend. This change in the wind will bring in much warmer air and increasing moisture.

It looks decent for the Palm Beach Boat Show on Flagler Drive in West Palm Beach. (Check the graphic below). We'll see partly sunny skies with highs back into the 80s. There is the chance for a passing shower or two with gusty Southerly Winds.

Our next cold front approaches late in the weekend. This could trigger some showers Sunday and Sunday Night. It gets much cooler again behind this front for much of next week.

Enjoy the Weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Cold Front Coming

03/20/13

Hi and thanks for reading our weather blog today!

Your Wednesday weather will feature some warm sunshine with afternoon highs reaching the lower to mid 80s.
Check out our Rapid Precision Model below. It shows showers and thunderstorms for many areas. They'll occur this afternoon and evening. Some storms could be locally strong with gusty winds, downpours and lightning. The rain is courtesy of a cold front which will pass through overnight tonight. Behind the front our winds will shift into the North delivering drier and cooler air for Thursday and Friday.

It won't last long. By the weekend we're back in to the 80s.

Follow the rain on our interactive radar: www.cbs12.com/radar

Thanks again for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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First day of Spring

03/19/13


Meteorologist John Matthews with your first day of spring update. A sunny start,,,but increasing clouds and a high chance of rain after lunch...and into the evening. Our normal high for this time of the year is 79...but we'll feel like summer in the low 80s. So our Vernal Equinox day will be quite changable, with temps cooler after tomorrow feeling more springlike for the rest of the workweek.




Rainy night, rainy days ahead

03/18/13

Meteorologist John Matthews looking at rain totals from today. About a 1/2 inch most coastal zones...but big downpours central and western sections of Palm Beach County. 2 1/2 inches south of the lake. Lots of rain still in the Gulf and tracking east...most should dry up before hitting the coast overnight. Tuesday looking good, but another chance for some scattered showers tomorrow and also Wednesday.




WINTER ENDING SOON... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING SOON

03/18/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... two days left in Winter! Spring begins officially at 7:10 am Wednesday!

  A weak cool front approaching the state will be increasing the chance of rain Monday 40%, Tuesday 30% and Wednesday 50%!  High temps will stay in the 80s this week and overnight lows in the 60s.

  The front becoming stationary near the area COULD MEAN HEAVIER RAIN ON WEDNESDAY... we will have to watch for that possibility!  Meanwhile boaters... no problems winds and seas will remain below any advisory level!

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Warmer Days Ahead

03/16/13

Hello and thanks for reading our weather blog this weekend!

After some chilly days it looks like we have a warming trend to look forward to!
High Pressure slides off to our East. The return "clockwise" flow means winds from the South or SE the next few days. This is a warmer and moister wind direction.
Your St. Patty's Day features the luck of the Irish with abundant sunshine and warm dry conditions.
Looking ahead we'll have temperatures mostly above average (highs in the 80s). There is the chance for some scattered showers Tue or Wed. as a fizzling front moves across.

Enjoy the weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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LAST WINTER WEEKEND IS WARMER... NICE BEACH & BOATING TOO

03/15/13

I'm CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell...

    It's the last Winter Weekend! Spring starts next week on Wednesday March 20th!

   A warmer weekend with highs near 77 on Saturday and 80 on Sunday! Overnight lows will be near 55 inland to 60 coast! Lighter SE winds 10-15 mph.  Skies sunny to partly cloudy.

  Boaters... FINALLY... GOOD NEWS... light SE winds 10-15 and lighter seas at 2-3 feet so you are good to go on the water!

  Have a great weekend and I will see you first thing Monday morning at 4:30 am.........

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Rough Boating...but not for long

03/14/13


Meteorologist John Matthews with better news about the beach and boating. Winds will stay relaxed for Friday and light into the weekend. That means the waves will settle, the temps warmer and the weekend great for boaters and beach visitors. There is still an advisory for tonight and early Friday as the Atlantic calms down. Enjoy a great weekend!

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Brief Chill Down

03/13/13


Thanks for reading our weather blog today!

It looks like some unseasonably cool air for this time of year will be pushing in on Northerly Winds tonight. Check out the lows expected on Thursday Morning. They'll range from the 40s on the Treasure Coast and West of the turnpike in Palm Beach County to the low 50s right along the coast.

High Pressure controls our weather with those Northerly winds bringing in fresh dry air. By the weekend our winds turn into the East.  This will warm it up to near average and above by early next week. Expect plenty of sunshine each day.

Throughout it all there is little chance for rain.

Enjoy those weather changes!

Regards,

Michael  Ehrenberg/CBS12  Meteorologist

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Atlantic still rough these days

03/12/13


Meteorolgist John Matthews checking conditions for boaters tonight. No favorable, for Wednesday as the waves are still very high. The wind on Wednesday will also aide to the problem for boaters. Look for a strong north wind with gusts greater than 20 knots.For the rest of us on land, nice day, mostly sunny with temps in the mid 70s

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RAIN THIS AFTERNOON.... COLD FRONT TONIGHT

03/12/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here....  AFTERNOON RAIN AND COLDER TONIGHT!

  CBS12 StormTrac radar shows showers moving west at 20 mph. The satellite photograph shows the front and clouds moving through Tampa.  The rain chance is 50% this afternoon for mostly showers... only an isolated tstorm is possible.....and then COLDER tonight!  Forecast model lows put the Treasure Coast in the upper 40s tonight and Palm Beach county in the 50s.

  SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ...  and rough surf 5-7 feet continue through Tuesday and into Friday!  Rougher NE winds 15-20 Wednesday and Thursday will keep advisories and rip currents up at local beaches!  Waves finally decreasing Saturday!

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Colorado Ski Adventure

03/09/13


Weather has always been a passion for me. Anyone that knows me knows that I have a need for a little cold and snow each winter season. After all this is what fueled the passion for weather at an early age!

Skiing is one of my favorite sports from childhood.
This year I was fortunate enough to take a ski trip to Vail, CO. Vail is the nation's largest ski resort with over 5000 acres of slopes and back-bowls. The scenery and skiing are great! Lucky me the first day out on the slopes we received 6" of the white stuff!
It sure made for an enjoyable trip.

After skiing hard all day it's imperative that you stretch out your muscles, soak in the hot tub and relax. A stay at the Antlers in Lionshead Village certainly helped matters. (Check out the last picture below)

I don't know when the next ski trip will be. However, it's always nice to come back to the West Palm Beach area to thaw out and appreciate our sunshine.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
CBS12 Meteorologist

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Colder tonight than last night

03/06/13


Meteorologist John Matthews forecasting our temps to drop at least 10 degrees colder tonight.We're also very dry these days, the drought index reflecting the lack of rain, missing more than 3 inches in the past 2 months. The ocean looked great today, but sea swells expected to roll in later this week from the big snowstorm over the mid-Atlantic tonight.

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Cold front on track for Wednesday

03/05/13


Chief Meteorologist John Matthews tracking out next cold front, coming through town for our Wednesday morning. Expect clouds and some random isolated morning showers. Then it moves out to get us back to a sunny day. The wind will be strong behind it,NW 15-20 mph... beware boaters.Temps will be mild for the day, but we're back to the 40s at night tomorrow.




COLDEST MORNING OF THE WINTER!

03/04/13

IT WAS THE COLDEST MORNING OF THE WINTER AT PALM BEACH INTERNATIONAL TODAY! The official low at Palm Beach International airport was 38. The record low is 37! VERO BEACH was down to 31 and the record low is 28!

  It's the first time Palm Beach International has been in the 30s this winter!  Vero Beach has been in the 30s six times including 31  this Monday morning!

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here...  a sunny and chilly day with highs near 65.  Tonight not as cold with lows near 50 coast to 40 inland. Warmer S/SW winds on Tuesday and Wednesday will bring highs to 75-78!

Our next cold front moves in Wednesday night with one cold day on Thursday...  then warmer highs Friday through the coming weekend!

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Another 24 Hours of "Not So Florida-Like" Weather....

03/03/13

A mixture of sun and clouds with a stray sprinkle south... highs remaining on the cool side only reaching the lower to middle 60s.

About as cold as we get during this stretch of prolonged unseasonably chilly weather comes Monday morning.  Treasure coast will dip down into the middle 30s with patchy frost.  Upper 30s for West Palm and Lower 40s for south county.

Slightly warmer on your Monday.... back to the upper 60s.

FINALLY back to the 70s for Tuesday and close to 80 for Wednesday!

 

Have a great Sunday!

Craig Gold-StormTrac Meteorologist




March begins chilly ..weekend outlook

03/01/13


Meteorologist John Matthews checking the weekend ahead. A series of cool front continues for the weekend, bringing in colder air for nights. Saturday and Sunday night get way down on the thermometer....low 40s, upper 30s inland. We're stuck with a lot of cloudiness too, but some sunshine periods. Daytime highs in the cool 60s, way below the normal upper 70s for this time of the year. I captured a satellite today to show the cloud potential ahead. Happy weekend.

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COLD... CLOUDY WEEKEND DAYS AND NIGHTS AHEAD!

03/01/13

MARCH... IN LIKE A  LION ... OUT LIKE A LAMB!

  CBS 12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here AND A VERY COLD WEEKEND AHEAD! Skies will stay mostly cloudy this Friday through Saturday and Sunday.  Normal high temps is 76 and the weekend highs will be about 10 colder than normal high.... near 64-66! 

  Overnight lows will be colder too!  Near the coast and beaches expect about 40-45... inland areas especially north of lake Okeechobee and western Treasure coast counties expect some lows in the mid 30s!  Some  "pockets of colder freezing temperatures" are possible Sunday morning in extreme northwestern areas.

  HAVE A NICE WEEKEND AND I'LL SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT... 4:30 AM! :)

  Boaters... expect Caution Flags through the weekend with gusty NW/N winds 15-20 and seas 3-5 feet.


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Chilly Trend Begins

02/27/13


We're off to our new colder weather trend, beginning tonight. Chief Meterologist John Matthews checking the temps ahead. 50s by morning and each night cooler and cooler as a series of cold fronts influences our temperatures. Daytime highs beginning this weekend will only be in the 60s, and cloudy cold for Saturday. No more 80s in sight for the immediate days ahead as we end February and begin March. I hope you like the cooler air, it's with us awhile.

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Cooler Weather Coming

02/27/13

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

Did you feel the change in temperatures today? Instead of 80s we had highs only in the mid 70s during Wednesday Afternoon. That's because the first of 3 cold fronts passed through last night. In it's wake were cooler temperatures.
Thursday looks like a drier, more pleasant day overall. We get rid of the rain showers and increase the sunshine. Expect afternoon highs in the 70s. (Check out the Zone Forecast below).
Two more fronts will pass through later in the week. It gets progressively colder each time.
The big chill is on this weekend with morning lows in the 40s (some 30s North and West).
You'll have to break out the jackets/sweaters and extra blankets once again!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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LOTS OF CHANGES THIS WEEK... RECORD HEAT.. RAIN... COLDER AIR TOO!

02/25/13

CBS12 Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... FULL MOON THIS MONDAY NIGHT... AND .....LOTS OF WEATHER CHANGES AHEAD THIS WEEK!

  Near record heat this Monday afternoon with the record high in Vero Beach 85 and the record high in West Palm Beach 90!  Normal highs are 75-77!

  A slow moving cool front will bring a good chance of rain and thunderstorms on Tuesday with the rain chance at 50%!   Wednesday a cool front brings cooler highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s for Thursday through Friday!

  A stronger cold front Friday wil bring a sunny  and windy and much colder weekend with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s!

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Temperature Roller Coaster

02/24/13

Noticeable weather changes will occur this week.

If you liked our tied record high Sunday (88 in West Palm Beach!) you'll love the next couple days. Monday and Tuesday will feature more Southerly Flow bringing very warm air our way from the Caribbean. Expect highs in the mid to upper 80s both days.
A cold front approaches Tuesday. Ahead of it scattered showers and thunderstorms will affect some of us (mostly Tuesday Night and Wednesday).
Once the front swings through our temperatures begin a steady tumble. Another stronger front will bring a noticeable chill our way for the first few days of March. (Check out the graph below)

Thanks for reading our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Friday great...checking the weekend too.

02/21/13

Meteorolgist John Matthews forecasting a sunny Friday with temps climbing into the low 80s. Expect the breeze to increase with the afternoon and an isolated shower, but only limited rain possibilities. The weekend temps even warmer into the mid 80s or hotter in the treasure coast. Rain chances increasing by late Sunday or Monday. Three sunny days should ease the cloud situation we expect by early next week.

More weather at http://cbs12.com/blogs/weather?wap=0

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Hurricane Cone to Change

02/20/13


The Hurricane Center is updating it's forecast cone for the season ahead. They've been working on improvements and requested input recently from some of us Broadcast Meteorologists. They're planning to tighten up the cone of error track. That's due to their improved forecast skills. You can read more in the Thursday edition of the Sun-Sentinel, where you can also find my daily forecast in their weather section.

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Warmer Pattern

02/20/13


It looks like another warming trend is on the way. Surface High Pressure will gradually move to our East and Northeast. The clockwise flow around this high will change our wind direction from East to Southeast to Southwest the next few days. This will blow some warmer air our way. Check out those 80s in the graph below.
Meanwhile, there are plenty of things to do this weekend. The weather will likely cooperate with only a 10% rain chance both Saturday and Sunday.
At the Daytona 500 there's a 20% chance for a shower. Up there highs will only reach the 70s on Sunday.

Thanks for reading our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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A cool front without the cool

02/19/13


A few showers around tonight to smudge up our evening sky and viewing the big 70% moon. A weak cool front heading to town. No cool with it, but look for some cloudiness and possibly a few showers. Then we begin our warming trend for 80s.

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COOL-BREEZY-MONDAY... Warmer Winds-Days Ahead

02/18/13

The cold snap is almost over! I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... those cool gusty NE winds 15-20+ mph are blowing lots of clouds onshore this Monday afternoon.  Highs will stay pretty cool near 68-73.  Lows tonight will be cool near 60 coast  to near 50 well inland!

The wind will turn more SE on Tuesday and the rest of the week and those will blow warmer air into the area! Highs will return to near 77 coast to 80 inland... overnight lows will warm up too.  Near 60 coast to 50 well inland.

Boaters... rough surf and Small Craft Caution flags will stay up unitl Wednesday when winds and seas decrease.  NO MORE COLD FRONTS THIS WEEK.... WARMER HIGHS NEAR 80 Thursday through Sunday!

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Weather this Week

02/16/13


After one more cold night with lows in the 30s and 40s, a warming trend comes our way.

Monday will feature winds veering form the NE to E. What this will do is warm our temperatures but also bring some ocean clouds our way. With partly cloudy skies our highs on Monday reach into the upper 60s.

By Tuesday our flow veers to the SE-S. Under partly cloudy skies expect highs reaching well into the 70s.

The next front will push through on Wednesday. Unlike the last cold front, there's little cold air behind it for South Florida. As a result we'll be back over 80 by the end of the week.

Thanks for reading our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WET FRIDAY... COLD WEEKEND!

02/15/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... another wet day.. then a colder weekend!

  A stationary front continues to produce clouds and showers for the entire area this Friday! The rain chance is 50% and highs will only be near 73! Rainfall totals will be near 1-2 inches in the next 24 hours!  Expect the rain to last through this Friday night too.

  Cold air begins to move in Saturday with partly cloudy skies and gusty colder north winds 15-20 mph...and highs near 73.  COLDER SATURDAY NIGHT with lows near 35 inland areas to near 40 at the coast! Wind chills will be near freezing Sunday morning too!  Sundays highs will be near 65 and lows will be near 45!  Warming up on Monday to near 75 and near 80 on Tuesday!

  HAVE A NICE WEEKEND AND I'LL SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING!

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Weather Variety

02/13/13


Big Weather Changes Coming!

Are you ready for some rapid weather changes? It looks like a "cool" front will pass through our area on Thursday and then stall to our South. With the stalled front nearby, warm air gliding over cooler surface air will produce rain. The rain will be most likely from Thursday Afternoon into Friday. If you check out our total rainfall graphic below, you'll see that some areas could receive in excess of 2 inches!

Another stronger "cold" front blasts through  on Saturday. Behind this front our temperatures will plummet to lows on Sun and Mon in the 40s. You on the Treasure Coast could see lows in the upper 30s or  low 40s. Get that jacket ready!

The sun will return on the weekend. Highs Saturday will reach the 70s but won't get past the 60s on Sunday.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
CBS12 Meteorologist

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Hot and Cold in the next 5 days

02/12/13

John Matthews watching the rise of temps for tomorrow with a cold front moving towards south Fla. Big heat and strong southern winds will take us into the mid-80s. Clouds and showers likely for Thursday and Friday. Another cold front heading to our weekend with cooler temps, especially by night, into the 40s.

More on CBS12.com/weather?wap=0

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Warming then cooling way down

02/11/13


John Matthews watching the weather trend this week. Enjoy your sunny warm Tuesday and Wednesday. Next chance of rain Thursday with a fresh cool front. Temps behind that much more seasonal. Chilly nights...in the 40s by the weeekend.

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LOTS OF WEATHER CHANGES AHEAD... WARM... WET... COLD

02/11/13

Lots of weather changes ahead this week...from warmer than normal... to cooler and rainy.. to colder than normal!

I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell... mostly sunny and warmer than normal 80s through Wednesday.  The the first cool front moves in with clouds and showers for Thursday and Friday with highs near 75 and lows near 60.  The rain chance 40-50 percent for Thursday and Friday.

The second cold front moves in Saturday and Sunday with even colder air blowing in! Weekend highs near 68-70 and lows near 40 inland to 50 at the coast!

BOATERS ... Small Craft Caution now... but winds and seas decreasing Tuesday through Thursday!

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Weather Changes This Week

02/10/13

Thanks for reading out weather blog!

For the first part of our week our temperatures will be getting on the warm and more humid side. High Pressure slides to our East. It's return SE-S wind flow will draw in warmer and slightly more humid air. Expect highs in the low to mid 80s under a mix of sunshine and clouds.

By Wednesday Night a cold front moves through and then proceeds to stall to our South later Thursday and Friday. The temperatures behind this front gradually cool down. With the front nearby, expect more clouds and the chance for some scattered showers both Thursday Night and Friday.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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WARM FRIDAY... NICE BREEZY WEEKEND!

02/08/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here... hey check me out catching a fish below! Boaters rougher waves and NE winds this weekend mean you might have to fish from shore... like me!

Above normal highs this Friday! The normal is 74 in Vero Beach and in West Palm Beach 76... today closer to 82-84! Breezy southwest winds will peak at 15-20 mph... occasional gusts to 25.

A weak cold front pushes through tonight and brings us gusty Northeast winds this weekend near 15-20... with gusts higher to 20+ on Sunday.  Temperatures stay warm this weekend with highs near 77 and lows near 60.

HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND... SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM....

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Subtle Changes Ahead

02/06/13


Thanks for reading our weather blog.

It looks like we have a couple more days of warmer temperatures. SE-S Winds will increase a bit and this will transport warmer air our way. Expect highs on Thu and Fri to be in the lower 80s. With this warmer flow will come a bit more moisture. As a Cold Front approaches Friday we have our best chance for scattered showers then. Our seas will go from almost flat to 2-4 feet the next few days. The weak cool front will fizzle out as it moves through Friday Night. Behind this front our winds quickly shift from NW-NE on the weekend.

Don't expect much cool air behind the front. Our temperatures will drop only 3-5 and continue to stay above average.

Regards!

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Rain chances increasing

02/05/13


Meteorologist John Matthews looking at our rain chances ahead and where we've been. We missed a lot of rain since November 1st, only getting 23% of the average. While we all love our sunny cool days, it's good to water the grass and trees...and then get back to the sunny stuff.  We have a chance toward the end of the week as I check the futurecast models. They will adjust each day but for now it looks like some showers in the plan before the weekend. Let's track it together and see if the models verify.

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Early February days, warming

02/04/13

Meteorologist John Matthews looking ahead for you this week...and it should be a great one! High pressure in charge of keeping our sky very clear and our temps near normal...then above normal. Average high these days should be in the mid 70s...but the trend takes us warmer and warmer.  We're staying very dry too. Enjoy the days.

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COOL START THIS WEEK... WARMER 80s SOON

02/04/13

Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... sunny skies and cooler than normal highs Monday through Tuesday!  Highs near 73-75 and lows near 45 inland to 55 coast.  Cool N/NE winds 10-15 mph.

BUT... warmer SE/S winds Wednesday through Saturday mean warmer highs near 77 coast to 80 inland ... and lows near 55 inland to 65 coast!

No major weather systems head our way until our next cold front late Saturday! So light winds and seas for boaters and perfect sunny warm days and cool nights ahead!




Pleasant Week Ahead

02/03/13


Thanks for reading our weather blog!

It looks like a chilly night ahead for us. A re-inforcing "cool" front moved through today. In its wake an area of high pressure slides across the Gulf and across Florida. The clockwise flow around the high will funnel in some chilly air overnight. We'll all wake up to 40s by early Monday Morning.

Keep that extra blanket nearby and a jacket or sweater might be a good idea as you head out the door on Monday.

The High Pressure gradually slips off to our Northeast this week. This will shift our winds into a E-SE direction. This means a quick warm-up. Expect highs to once again head above average from Tuesday onwards.

There's little chance for rain with our dry pattern persisting.

Enjoy!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist

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Cold Front Coming

01/30/13

A cold front will cross the area on Thursday Morning. This means some quick weather changes for us. Scattered showers are possible with the front during the morning hours. As drier air works in we could see some sunshine returning during the afternoon hours. Temperatures won't budge much with the cooler air filtering in. Expect highs to stay in the 60s on most of the Treasure Coast to the lower and mid 70s for  Palm Beach County.
The "chilliest" morning occurs Friday. Expect lows to range from the upper 30s in Okeechobee County, to the lower 40s on the Treasure Coast, to the low 50s from Jupiter South to Boca Raton.
The high pressure behind the front quickly scoots off the Southeast Coast by Saturday. The clockwise flow around the high brings us Northeast Winds. This will pick up some ocean clouds and make our weekend partly cloudy with the chance for a random shower.
More seasonable temperatures will linger for many days.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Next Cold Front

01/29/13


We have one more warm day ahead of us before a cool front jolts us back to normal. Wednesday will feature partly to mostly sunny skies with a low rain chance. S-SE winds 12-24 mph will boost our temperatures into the low to mid 80s!
The "cool" front will approach Thursday Morning with clouds and a 30% chance for scattered showers. Behind the front NW-N winds will drop our lows into the 50s by Friday Morning. Subtle re-inforcing fronts will keep our temperatures in the "normal" range for early February through the beginning of next week.

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/CBS12 Meteorologist

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Temperature Swings Ahead

01/27/13

WEATHER CHANGES THIS WEEK

Our beautiful weather continues this week with a slow warm-up. We have high pressure to thank for our nice weather. This high will gradually move off the Carolina Coast and scoot to our Northeast through mid-week. As it does so it will keep our skies at least partly sunny. As winds turn into the SE-S by Tuesday and Wednesday our temperatures warm back into the 80s!

Our next cold front approaches and moves through early Thursday. Ahead of the front scattered showers...behind it we cool down a bit for later in the week!

Check out the graphics below for more!

Thanks for reading our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist

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PERFECT SUNDAY FOR BEACH... GOLF... TENNIS... ANYTHING!

01/27/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here....

PERFECT SUNDAY WEATHER... FOR EVERYONE... EVERYWHERE!

Vierwer photos from me (Chris Farrell) and Barbara from Highland Beach. I was hitting balls at the driving range in Boca Raton Saturday afternoon.  Hit balls with a bunch of other nice people. Barbara's picture is of her little doggie "Sushi" taking a walk on Highland Beach.        Perfect sunny skies, low the normal 72-74 and near 80 and lows near 60! Our next cold front comes in Thursday with a few showers and highs near 72 and lows near 52!

 SEE YOU MONDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM!

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Spectacular Weather!

01/26/13


Thanks for checking our weather blog this weekend. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

We have a great stretch of weather ahead! Skies on your weekend will be mostly sunny with afternoon high temperatures topping out in the uppers 70 to near 80. Nights will be mainly clear with patchy late night and morning fog. Lows in the 50s most areas.

The next cold front to our north will "fizzle out" before it reaches here. This means a gradual warm-up. Back to 80s for much of the upcoming week!

For you mariners and beach goers, conditions look good on the water as well. Expect North winds 6-11 knots on Saturday and NE 9-14 knots on Sunday. Seas will generally roll in at 2-4 feet.

I hope you can get outside and enjoy it !

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

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PERFECT WEATHER DAYS AHEAD....FULL MOON TOO

01/25/13

CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell here...

PERFECT FRIDAY AND WEEKEND TOO... FULL MOON SATURDAY!

Light winds and sunny skies for Friday and the weekend! No major weather systems coming our way. So sunny days and nice cool nights! Highs near 75 to 78 and lows near 53 to 58.

  The full January moon rises at 5:47 on Saturday evening. It's called 'THE WOLF MOON", because in the early days the indians and settlers would hear wolf packs growling around outside their tents and cabins looking for food in the cold winter snow!

Boaters .. expect light winds and seas through Saturday, then a slight increase in NE winds and seas on Sunday!

   HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

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Cycling Adventure

01/23/13

We've got a great stretch of weather ahead! As a result, I couldn't resist and decided to take another ride on the ole' bicycle. I'm trying to find some new routes. Today I parked the car just south of Okeechobee Blvd on Flagler Drive in West Palm Beach. I put some air in the tires and was on my way!
This tour took me south on Flagler Drive along the gorgeous Intracoastal Waterway (check out the pics below). I rode down to Lake Ave in Lake Worth, hung a left and proceeded over the bridge to Lake Worth Beach. Plenty of people were out on the beach. I then rode North past Sloan's Curve to the main beach in Palm Beach. From there the ride took me over the Okeechobee Blvd Bridge and back to the car.

This was a 17 1/2 mile ride and with some stops along the way, it took about 2 hours.

On my ride I saw plenty of cyclists out enjoying the nice weather.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

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This Week's Weather

01/20/13


Thanks for checking our weather blog! Michael Ehrenberg here.

It looks like our temperatures this week will trend a lot closer to normal than the first few weeks of January. If you have plans to head to the South Florida Fair on the MLK Holiday you should be okay. Expect a partly cloudy day with a 20% shower chance. You can always duck inside the Expo Center if the sky gets dark!

On Tuesday the next cool front swings through. Behind this front the wind once again shifts to the NW-N which will cool us down. Highs Tuesday will struggle to reach the lower 70s.

There are some indications by our Computer Models of a much stronger front blasting through here by next weekend. Be sure to check back for further updates on this one.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist

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COLDER FRIDAY... WEEKEND CLOUDY-MILDER-SHWRS TOO

01/18/13

FINALLY FRIDAY... FINALLY THE WEEKEND... FINALLY SOME WINTER WEAHTER TOO!

...Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... IT'S COLDER!  Morning lows were in the 40s and 50s across the area! West Palm Beach morning low was below the normal 57 dropping to 51! Vero Beach also below normal 52 droping to 46!  Cool and cloudy on this Friday with highs near 70... normal high is 74! Friday night lows will be cool near 60 coast to 55 inland. 

  WEEKEND WEATHER... mostly cloudy with a few showers the rain chance at 30%. Highs near 75 and lows near 60. Ne winds this weekend 20+ mph.

 BOATERS... ROUGH WINDS AND SEAS! SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WINTH NE/E WINDS 20 AND SEAS 3-5 FEET!


 




Changes Headed Our Way

01/16/13


Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

It looks like the long overdue change to "colder" weather will be occurring later this week. A strong cold front will enter the state on Thursday. Ahead of this front you can expect a warm and breezy Thursday with partly sunny skies. Scattered showers will likely form for some of us as the front gets closer Thursday afternoon. The Cold Front sweeps off the coast in the evening hours. Behind it NW Winds will drive much cooler air our way. Lows on Friday Morning will range from the mid 40s on the Treasure Coast to the lower 50s for Jupiter south to Boca Raton.
Gusty NW winds will veer around to the NE for Friday late into the weekend. This will be a wind off the water which typically means lots of  low level ocean clouds along with the chance for a few showers on both Saturday and Sunday.
Expect very rough seas (5-9') with rip currents and beach erosion.

A Eastern US upper level  trough will assert itself for next week. This means repeated shots of colder air which will likely last through the end of the month.

Thanks for reading!

Michael  Ehrenberg

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Appreciating our Weather

01/15/13


I'm always a big proponent of getting outside to enjoy our weather in South Florida and appreciating some of the beautiful scenery.
I'm sure you've noticed how warm and dry it's been this month. Well, one of my favorite things to do this time of year is cycling.
Last week I wrote about one of my expeditions.
This week I hauled the bike up to North County to Juno Beach Park. From there I  headed North along the ocean to the Jupiter Lighthouse. (Check out the  pics I  took below).
Enjoying the ride I decided to get ambitious and set a goal of 25 miles for that day.  This took me North into Jupiter Island. I figured I'd  go halfway and then turn around. There were plenty of cyclists on this day enjoying the large homes and beach scenes (blowing rocks preserve) along the route!
By the time I got back to the car, my legs were rubber.  However there was a certain satisfaction in what I had accomplished that day!

Enjoy the weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

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April in January

01/14/13

Hi, I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg. We appreciate you reading our weather blog and welcome your feedback!

Our unseasonably warm January continues. So far this month the temperature at PBIA has been running 8.5 degrees above the 30 year average! With an upper level  ridge anchored in the SE US this will continue to block cold fronts from getting near us. Surface high pressure stays to our Northeast. It's clockwise flow continues to feed in a warm SE wind flow. Highs for the rest of the week will run 80 or better each day.
There's always the chance for an isolated shower with those chances increasing to 20% later in the week.

That onshore flow will mean the chance for rip currents each day with seas running 2-4 feet.
(See graphics below).

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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NICE WEEKEND AHEAD... NEAR RECORD HIGHS!

01/11/13

RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND and HERE ARE THE RECORDS FOR:                                                FRIDAY SATURDAY  SUNDAY

WEST PALM BEACH                      83               84                   83

VERO BEACH                                  84                85                   84

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... on this Friday sunny to partly cloudy skies with breezy SE winds 15-20.  Lighter winds through Saturday and Sunday. The rain chance only 20% Friday through Sunday.  BOATERS CAUTION FLAGS FRIDAY... then lighter winds-seas Saturday through Sunday. More above normal heat next week too!

HAVE A NICE WEEKEND ... SEE YOU TUESDAY MORNING AT 4:30 AM

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Enjoying the Weather

01/09/13


Thanks for checking our weather blog, I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Today, I decided to write about one of my favorite things to do in South Florida..cycling.

A few years ago I got a bike, and let me tell you, it's been quite enjoyable! Today, I took a 23 mile ride into the Grassy Waters Preserve. This area includes Apoxee Park in the Western outreaches of West Palm Beach, West of Jog Road and further North to Northlake Blvd in Palm Beach Gardens (near IBIS). Take a look at the pictures below. (A helmet of course is important for safety..do I look safe or what!)

Out in this wilderness area, you never know what you'll run into. Today I came upon a yellow rat snake. It seemed innocent enough so I got real close to take a picture! Fortunately, the slim fella slithered away and was never much of a threat. (phew!)

There are some stunning landscape views to be had out here. This only adds to the enjoyment of our sunny and unseasonably warm weather of late. Of course, there's more where this came from.

Thanks for reading!

Regards,

Michael E.

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Above Normal Temperatures

01/08/13


If you like warm temperatures then the next week is for you!

An Upper Level High Pressure Ridge will build toward the West into South Florida from the Bahamas. Underneath this weather system the air will sink, warm and dry. What this does for us is keep our high temperatures much above normal in the lower 80s. (Normal highs are in the mid 70s). Rain chances will be almost non-existent.

If you're looking for something to do this weekend, you may want to check out the Stuart Boat Show. The weather looks good for this fun outdoor event (See graphic below).

Thanks for checking my weather blog!

Best Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

StormTrac Meteorologist

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CLOUDY DAY....RAIN CHANCES... ABOVE NORMAL WEEK TOO!

01/07/13

Meteorologist Chris Farrell here... ABOVE NORMAL HEAT THIS WEEK!

A weak stationary front will keep skies cloudy this Monday with a 50% chance of showers and Tuesday a 40% chance of showers.  Highs will stay above normal... near 80 too with overnight lows near 65 inland to 70 at the coast!

Above normal highs near 80 Wednesday through Sunday with no cold fronts coming! Lows will be above normal too near 70 at the coast to 65 inland.

Boaters... light NE/E winds and seas through Tuesday... Increasing NE/E wind and seas Wednesday through Friday. 

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Warm Days Ahead

01/06/13

Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

If you like warm temperatures, this is the week for you!
A Cool Front will move into our area on Monday. This front will produce some scattered showers with a 30% chance for rain where you live.
However, the front never really makes it through here with the cooler air staying in North and Central Florida.
Later in the week an upper level high pressure ridge will build westward from the Bahamas. This ridge will effectively block any weather systems (i.e. cold fronts) from getting near us. With the Jetstream displaced far away we'll stay mainly dry with temperatures well above average.

Time for the Beach or Pool!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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WEAK COOL FRONT BRINGS WEEKEND CLOUDS... FEW SHOWERS TOO

01/03/13

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... THE WEEKEND IS FINALLY HERE!

  A weak cool front will drift into SE Florida bringing cloudy skies Friday afternoon. Through the weekend skies will be partly cloudy Saturday, then mostly cloudy on Sunday.  There is little cool air, but the winds will shift from SW to N/NE through Saturday and shift SE on Sunday.     

  Weekend  Highs will be a few degrees above normal near 77-80.... and lows near 65 inland to 70 coast.  The rain chance will increase to 30% on Friday and Saturday.. and 50% on Sunday!

  HAVE A NICE WEEKEND AND I'LL SEE YOU AT 4:30 MONDAY MORNING!

  Boaters... light E/SE winds and seas this weekend... you are good to go on the water!

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COOL AND CLOUDY... THEN WARMER HAPPY NEW YEAR!

12/31/12

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... cool and cloudy for this last Monday of 2012... then a warmer 2013!

NEW YEARS EVE FORECAST TONIGHT :CLEAR TO P.CLOUDY- COOL 60 COAST 50 INLAND... Midnight near 60!

  Our week ahead starts cloudy and breezy on this Monday with highs near 73 and cool SE winds 15-20.  Then warmer SE to SW winds for Tuesday through Friday with highs near 77-80 and lows near 60 to 65.  The chance of rain increases on Friday to 40 percent with our next cold front approaching!

Boaters... rough seas agin this Monday with SE winds 15-20 and seas 3-5 feet.  Lighter winds and seas ahead Tuesday through Friday!


 

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ABOVE NORMAL NOW... NEXT COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT

12/25/12

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies for Christmas Day and above normal highs near 80 too! Christmas night lows will be near normal around 55 at the lake to 60 at the coast.

A cold front approaching Wednesday with breezy SW winds 15-20 mph... highs near 82 and a 40 percent chance of afternoon showers.   Colder Wednesday night with lows near 45 inland to 50 at the coast!  

A couple of cool days Thursday through Friday with highs near 70 and lows near 50.  Then another cold front coming through on Saturday with a 40 percent chance for showers.  Overall pretty nice weather and near normal days and nights through the weekend!  Boaters the winds and seas will increase slightly Wednesday night and Thursday.

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Warm Up Ahead

12/23/12

 

Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

The warm-up has begun. As high pressure moves off the Florida Coast our winds will veer around to the SE-S through mid-week. This warmer wind direction will boost our highs to above average for Christmas Day and the day after.

Our next cold front will approach on Wednesday. Ahead of it we'll warm back to the spring-like mid 80s. Scattered showers are possible with the front. Behind the cold front the temperatures will drop, but not nearly as much as the last cold front.

Enjoy the weather....and BTW Have a Very Merry Christmas!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

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Cold for a few days

12/21/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Get ready for some cold temperatures overnight into Saturday Morning. Overnight lows will range from the 30s on the Treasure Coast and Inland Palm Beach County to the lower 40s from West Palm Beach South to Boca. A Wind Chill  Advisory is in effect. NW winds 10-15 mph will make it feel like the mid 20s to lower 30s.

Our cold weather is only temporary. By Sunday winds turn around to the East followed by SE on Monday. This will warm the temperatures up fast. By Christmas we'll be back over 80!
Skies will stay partly to mostly sunny for the next several days.

Regards,

Michael  Ehrenberg

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A STRONG COLD FRONT TODAY... FREEZING WIND CHILLS TONIGHT!!

12/21/12

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... Winter begins officially today.. AND IT WILL FEEL LIKE IT!!  Highs for today...UNDER SUNNY SKIES this Friday... ONLY NEAR 62-67... and gusty NW winds 20-25 mph... with peak gusts to 30 MPH!

WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR TONIGHT! NW/N winds 10-15 mph... and wind chills near freezing from 11pm until 9 am Satuday morning!  Weekend skies will be sunny, but cool highs near 63-68 and lows near 35 inland around the lake to 38 near the Treasure coast. Palm Beach County lows near 45 at the coast to 38 inland

ROUGH SURF FOR BOATERS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND TOO!

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Strong Cold Front Coming

12/19/12


The last of the warm days will occur on Thursday. Expect partly sunny skies with afternoon highs in the balmy lower 80s. This occurs as SE-S winds transport warm air our way on the backside of high pressure.

A strong cold front will sweep through Florida late Thursday night and Friday. It's arrival here will bring some scattered showers for the first part of Friday. Behind this front gusty NW winds will usher in the chilly temperatures. Check out the 7-Day forecast below.

The core of the cool air will be here Saturday Morning. Lows will range from 35-40 near the Lake to 40-45 in Eastern Palm Beach County.

Expect lots of sunshine with the drier air behind the front.

Get those jackets ready!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist

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Temperature Roller Coaster

12/18/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

Well, cold front number 1 passed through tonight. You may notice it a bit cooler as you head out the door on Wednesday morning. Overnight lows will range from the 50s on the Treasure Coast and near Lake Okeechobee to the lower and mid 60s in Eastern Palm Beach County.

By Thursday high temperatures will go back over 80 again with a brisk S-SW Wind.
Cold front number 2 is slated for Friday. Ahead of this front there will be some scattered showers.

Behind the front the wind picks up out of the Northwest. This will usher in cooler air. Weekend high temperatures will barely reach over 70s.
Overnight lows will range from the 40s on the Treasure Coast to the lower and mid 50s near the coast.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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WEAK COOL FRONT TUESDAY... STRONG COLD FRONT FRIDAY

12/18/12

MUCH COLDER AIR COMING THIS WEEKEND!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... a weak cool front passing through Tuesday afternoon and evening will drop temps about 5 degrees and turn warm sw winds to the nw and north 10-15 mph.  Tuesday night lows near 55 inland to 60 coast.  Wednesday and Thursday will be sunny to p.cloudy and warm with highs near 80 and lows near 60.

MUCH COLDER AIR MOVING IN FRIDAY! Expect a stronger cold front on Friday with clouds and a few showers the rain chance 40%.  Friday night lows near 53 coast and 48 inland. Weekend weather will be breezy and quite cool with highs near 70 caost and 73 inland... much colder lows near 53 coast but 43 inland!

BOATERS expect rougher weekend seas with stronger nw/n winds 15-20 knots and small craft advisories and caution flags likely.

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Temperature Changes This Week

12/16/12


Thanks for checking out the weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

In case you haven't noticed, December has been warm. Did you know that every single day this month our temperatures have been warmer than average? In fact at PBIA we are running 5.7 degrees on the plus side of normal.

Expect more of the same for the next several days. S-SW winds will continue to transport those balmy temperatures our way. The next "cool" front will pass through on Tuesday. However, all of the cool air with this front passes north of us. That front may touch off a shower or two as it passes, but nothing major. High Pressure quickly moves to our North which will mean a nice day behind the front on Wednesday with slightly drier air working in.

Later in the week a stronger cool front passes through. This will likely drop our temperatures and make it noticeably cooler for the weekend before Christmas.

(Check out the graphics below)

Enjoy!

Michael Ehrenberg

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Weekend Looking Good

12/15/12

Other than a few passing coastal showers, above normal temperatures and just a few clouds will be the name of the game here.  Expect highs once again near 80 for both days.  Shower chances, while slim, are most likely overnight/early morning.  Patchy fog may pose an issue during the overnights as well, especially inland/treasure coast.

No "major" changes in the long term.....Slightly warmer with a south wind on Monday.  That'll get us into the lower 80s.   We'll see our next cold front push through on Tuesday.  That will bring us scattered showers and drop us back into the middle 70s for highs by Wednesday.  Overnight lows by then will return to the 50s.  So.... slightly cooler, but nothing too drastic.

Have a great weekend!

Craig Gold- CBS12 Storm Trac Meteorologist, AMS




FRIDAY CLOUDS & SHOWERS... WEEKEND WARMER... SEAS ROUGHER

12/14/12

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND!

On this Friday a slow moving cool front has left us with clouds and scattered showers and breezy NE winds 15-20+.  We will have a 30% chance of showers with highs near 77 and cool lows near 67 coast to 57 well inland.

Weekend weather will be warmer with highs near 80 and lows near 65 with only a 20% chance of an isolated shower.  SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES for Boaters... rougher NE winds 15-20 knots and seas 4-7 feet through the weekend too.

NEXT WEEK... MUCH COLDER AIR BLOWING IN ON TUESDAY WITH LOWS IN THE 40s and 50s TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY!


 

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ABOVE NORMAL HEAT... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING

12/10/12

I'm AMS CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell.... The normal high is 77 and we will be closer to 85 the next few days through Wednesday!  Normal lows are near 60 and we will be closer to 70 at night!

The skies will become mostly cloudy Tuesday -Wednesday and the rain chance will be increasing to 50-60% for Tuesday and Wednesday as a weak cool front approaches south Florida.  Scattered showers and tstorms possible with some heavy rain too.

The front moves through Wednesday night ... Temperatures stay in the 80s through Wednesday, the slightly cooler highs in the mid 70s Thursday through Sunday with breezy and cooler N/NE winds 15-20+ mph.

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Warm and a little Wetter

12/09/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

After a fairly decent weekend it looks like some changes are heading our way. Check out the forecast map below. It shows a weak surface trough (dashed yellow line) moving into North and Central Florida. Combine this with moisture continuing to get pumped into South Florida. The two will help to enhance our rain chances Monday and Tuesday. By Wednesday the Cool Front gets closer.
The bottom line is a higher chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms from Monday into Wednesday.
That "Cool Front" passes through South Florida after Wednesday. However, just like with the last front, most of the cool air associated with it stays away from us.

Enjoy your week ahead!

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Warm Pattern

12/07/12


Thanks for checking our weather blog.

Unseasonably warm temperatures will be sticking around for quite some time.
A weakening weather system to our East (Surface Trough) may kick off some scattered
showers today and Saturday. Most of the time we'll have partly sunny skies with afternoon high temperatures in the lower 80s. Rain chances head lower for Sunday with scattered showers returning early next week.

For you beach-goers and boaters, our seas will run 2-4 feet today and gradually weaken further on the weekend.

Enjoy the nice weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
Meteorologist

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Weather Changes Coming

12/05/12

 

Our rain chances will be going up a little the next few days. Check out the water vapor below. It shows a vigorous spin in the atmosphere over the NW Gulf Coast. This represents atmospheric energy which will head into North Florida later Thursday. In combination with this a weak area of low pressure and cool front swing into the state as well. Both features will enhance rising air leading to higher rain chances (40% on Thursday). This means scattered showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm for Thursday.

After that the front will sweep through bringing drier air and only isolated showers on your weekend. No cold air behind this front. In fact our temperatures will likely run a little higher than average for the next several days. (Check the graph below).

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

StormTrac Meteorologist

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Dry December Days

12/03/12


Thanks for checking our weather blog...Michael Ehrenberg here..

We have a pretty nice stretch of weather coming up this week. Water Vapor shows deep layer dry air in place throughout the sunshine state. This will limit our rainfall potential. High Pressure will meander to our north. It's clockwise wind flow means a continuation of those  easterly winds. This can always blow in a random shower here or there. However, there's only a 10 or 20% chance for rain this week at any given location.

Speaking of those winds, as the high to our North weakens and moves a little closer, the winds will relax a little each day. Today they'll blow East 10-20 mph but weaken to 10-15 mph from Tuesday onwards. This means 3-6 foot seas with the possibility of rip currents at the beach today. Expect slightly lower seas later in the week.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
Stormtrac Meteorologist

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BREEZY WEEKEND AHEAD....MARATHON WEATHER!

11/30/12

 GUSTY WINDS... ROUGH SURF... PALM BEACH MARATHON TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...gusty strong east winds through the weekend will mean rough surf and Small Craft Caution/Advisories too! Seas 4-7 feet and Rip Currents so stay near Lifeguards if you go in the water at all!

The 9th Annual Palm Beach Marathon will be starting officially this Sunday morning at 6:30 am... temps will be near 70 and gusty east winds 15-20 mph will blow throughout the race.  There is a 20% chance of an isolated shower.

Above to near normal temperatures will continue through much of next week too with seasonable highs near 77-80 and lows near 60-65.

                                                   HAVE  A GREAT WEEKEND!

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Winds to Return

11/27/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

The next cool front will pass through on Wednesday. Most of the cool air will  bypass us to the North. However, the front will stall across the Florida Keys. High Pressure will build across the Carolinas. The Pressure Gradient between the two systems will force the wind to pick up. Winds on Thu-Sunday will be NE-E 15-25 mph with higher gusts. This means our seas will pick up to 5-7 feet and higher as we head toward the weekend.

Otherwise we'll have partly cloudy skies with the chance for a few spotty showers. Expect highs in the upper 70s with lows in the 60s.

Best Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

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Nice November Weather

11/25/12


Hey There!

Michael Ehrenberg here with your weather blog today..

Our weather this week will likely continue the dry and mild pattern that we had last week.

High Pressure will scoot off to our East. The return "Clockwise" flow around this high means Easterly Winds and milder temperatures. Expect Highs in the upper 70s Monday and 80 or better on Tuesday. The next "cool" front moves through on Wednesday. Don't get too excited. Most of the upper level support for this next front lifts out to the Northeast. This means the front will lose a lot of it's cool punch by the time it gets to South Florida.

Bottom Line: Our temperatures stay near the average this week with only an isolated shower possible. Each day will feature some sunshine too!

Enjoy the Weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist

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HAPPY THANKSGIVING WEEKEND! Cooler Than Normal Temps!

11/23/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell...

MUCH COOLER THAN NORMAL HIGHS & LOWS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
Several cold fronts moving through will keep highs well below the normal 78.. instead near 70-74! Overnight lows will also be well below the normal 64.. instead near 48 inland around the lake to near 53 at the coast!  Cool gusty NW winds 10-15 will make it feel cooler too!  Skies will be mostly sunny through the weekend too!  Finally warmer next week with highs near 77 Monday through Tuesday and near 80 by Wednesday!

ROUGH SURF HIGHER TIDES AND MINOR BEACH EROSION! Small Craft Advisories and High Surf Advisories in effect.  Also minor coastal flooding can be expected at high tide 4-7 pm through Saturday and Sunday!

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Thanksgiving Week Weather

11/18/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog, I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

It looks like a comfortable and mainly dry week ahead for us. It should be easy if you have any travel plans across most of the sunshine state. Other then a random shower, rain chances remain low. Afternoon highs will be near or slightly below the later November average. (Check the graphics below).

Low Pressure offshore and its associated winds will continue to churn up our seas. Look for 4-6 foot seas Monday with seas increasing to 6-8 feet behind the next cool front later Wednesday into Thursday.

I hope you have a very enjoyable Thanksgiving Week!

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WEAK FRONT BRINGS CLOUDS... FEW SHOWERS TOO

11/16/12

                  FRIDAY AND SATURDAY CLOUDS... WITH SOME SHOWERS TOO!

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... a weak cool front drifting slowly through the arae is bringing clouds and scattered showers this Friday.  The front will be moving slowly through on Saturday too... meaning more clouds and scattered showers Saturday.  The rain chance Friday is 40% and the rain chance saturday is 30%.  Highs will be near 77-80 and lows will be near 60-65.  Boaters.. Small Craft Caution through Sunday!

Next week for Thanksgiving expect mild highs near 80 on Monday through Tuesday... then another cool front passing through Wednesday and cooler highs near 75 for Thanksgiving Day!




Minor Weather Changes Ahead

11/15/12


Thanks for checking our weather blog today. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Well, it looks like some rather "boring' November weather will continue into the weekend! Now, I'm certainly not complaining about this. Here's the set-up. If you check the graphics below you'll notice the water vapor. This shows a fair amount of high level moisture streaming across us. This is the reason we've had periodic cloud cover the last few days.

Later in the week a very "wimpy" cold front will "limp" south through the state and shift our winds into the Northeast and North. This will drop our temperatures and humidity just a bit..making it more comfortable for your outdoor plans! Until this front passes we still run the chance of some spotty showers.

So, temperatures will trend a little below average on the weekend and early next week.

Enjoy the Weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg/StormTrac Meteorologist

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MORE WIND... ROUGH SEAS AND WARMER WEEK AHEAD TOO!

11/12/12

                    WARMER WEEK AHEAD WITH NO MAJOR FRONTS!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lots of rough winds with gusts 20-25+ and that means rough seas 6-8 with Small Craft Advisories in effect through Tuesday. Dangerous Rip Currents are likely too! Gradually winds will decrease a little Wednesday through Friday.  Seas remain rough through Thursday.

  High temperatures finally back to near normal too with highs near 80... BUT  lows will be a little above the normal 63... and closer to 70 with the warm winds off the Atlantic water.

   A weak cold front will approach on Wednesday but will have little effect on our temperatures and rain chances.

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No Big Weather Changes

11/11/12

Hi. Thanks for checking out our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

After almost 2 weeks of below average temperatures we've returned to a normal November weather pattern. Daytime highs this week will be within a few degrees of the average (81-80).

High Pressure centered off the Carolina Coast will weaken somewhat. What this will do is slightly reduce our winds. (It will still be rather breezy especially at the coast)

The next cold front moves into Florida during the middle of the week. The upper level trough associated with this front lifts away from us. This means the front will weaken and not be a big player in our weather later this week.

Enjoy the weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

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Its Snowing!!..... (out west)

11/10/12

The picture below shows one of the 1st "dumps" of snow out west across the rockies and this excites me...    As I mentioned last weekend, for those of us here in South Florida that enjoy the rush of hurling our bodies down a mountain in powdery snow... things are looking promising this year.  In fact, another burst of snow is possible by next thursday as well.  This is SO important early on in the season because it builds up a good "base."  Last year was SO dry out there that seedlings and rock were exposed....  no bueno for skiers and snowboarders.

Meanwhile for those who prefer the only ice they encounter to be in their drinks, it's a mild and windy Vets Day weekend.  Look for a breezy mix of sun and clouds and highs in the upper 70s Saturday.  Closer to 80 on Vets day and quite windy with an onshore wind kicking the seas up to around 6 feet at times.

Have a good one & happy Veterans day!

Craig Gold, CBS12 Stormtrac Meteorologist, AMS

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NICE WEEKEND WEATHER.... BREEZY AND WARMER

11/08/12

                                      NICE BREEZY AND WARMER WEEKEND!

                                         STUART AIR SHOW THIS WEEKEND!

INDIAN RIVER FIREFIGHTERS CHILI COOK OFF SATURDAY 5-9 PM RIVERSIDE PARK... I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell.... JOIN ME THERE!

Nice ... mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies this weekend with highs near 75-78 and lows near 55-65. Gusty NE weekend winds mean rough surf for boaters! Small Craft Advisory flags up this weekend and choppy inland waters too!

Warmer temps next wek too with highs near 80 through Wednesday and  lows near 65. Our next cold front moves through on Wednesday night!

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Chilly Temperatures Ahead

11/07/12

 

Thanks for checking out our weather blog, I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg. Are you ready for some more chilly temperatures? Well, we'll be getting them tonight. Check out the maps below. Much of our area will be sinking down into the 40s by early Thursday morning. The record low in West Palm Beach is 44. This will likely go unchallenged.

Still...keep those jackets and sweaters handy. You'll need them!

The winds will gradually veer around to the Northeast Friday and then ENE on the weekend. This always warms it up for us. It should stay dry and we'll get back to near normal by early next week.

Enjoy!

 

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COOLER THAN NORMAL DAYS AND NIGHTS AHEAD!

11/07/12

                MUCH COOLER THAN NORMAL HIGHS AND LOWS!

I'm Meteorologist Chris Farrell a few cold front passing through bringing much cooler than normal highs and lows! Normal high is 82 and we will be 10 degrees below normal around 72! Overnight normal low is 67 and we will 10 degrees below normal around 57!

Veternas Day weekend.... warmer and breezy with highs near 80 and lows near 65.  NE winds 20+ mean rougher seas and caution and advisory flags are likely for boaters! 

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - COOLER THAN NORMAL DAYS AND NIGHTS AHEAD! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - COOLER THAN NORMAL DAYS AND NIGHTS AHEAD!


Delightful week ahead

11/06/12


John Matthews looking over the rest of the week. We have a cool front to thank for the milder temps we expect. Daytime highs in the 70s and night lows into the cool 50s. Also, we're forecasting sunny days all the way into the weekend. Early November, no major storms expected, but on the breezy side starting Wednesday. Enjoy the good weather.




CLOUDY MONDAY... ELECTION DAY RAIN!

11/05/12

               A COLD FRONT APPROACHING WITH RAIN ELECTION DAY!!

I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell... cloudy skies this Monday but there is little chance of any rain... highs today near 77-80 and lows near 63-68. Tuesday a cold front approaching with cloudy skies and a 50% chance of rain!

Starting Tuesday night ... COLDER air blowing in for the rest of the week! Highs will be near 73 and lows near 53 Tuesday through Friday!

VETERANS DAY WEEKENDS... partly cloudy and breezy with warmer with highs near 80 and lows near 65.

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The Week Ahead

08/01/14

Thanks for checking out our weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Wow, what a nice weekend huh? It doesn't get much better than this. Sunny warm days and clear cool nights made it ideal. You can expect one more day somewhat similar to that on Monday.
After that, get ready for some quick weather changes. Low Pressure will dive down into North Florida on Tuesday. It's attached cold front will lift the air and lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms Tuesday PM.  Behind this front we get cool again. Temperatures will drop down to normal levels for January on both Wed and Thu.
Increasing winds behind this front will once again whip up our seas. Check out the forecast below for seas up to 6 feet on Wednesday.

I hope you have an enjoyable week!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

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These chilly nights can only mean one thing.....

11/03/12

Ski Season's just around the corner!!

Yes, I'm well aware of the fact that we live in South Florida, and the only thing that resembles a mountain around these parts are landfills... But I'm jonesing for a trip out to Colorado, or maybe Utah ... ESPECIALLY since I skipped my yearly ski trip last year.

The good news is , my fellow skiers, an EPIC (see, I even have the ski lingo down) winter is expected for both New England AND the Colorado Rockies with above average snowfall expected.  Now for those that don't ski, our winter outlook here in South Florida looks to be a bit cooler/wetter than the average (not that we need anymore rain, eh?). 

So...  what are YOUR favorite ski resorts, and why?  I personally LOVE Breckenridge, CO and the Park City, Utah area.  Would love to hear about yours on facebook.  It may even influence where I hit the slopes this winter ... Just "like" my facebook fanpage and tell me:  www.facebook.com/CraigGoldWeather   

Have a great weekend and enjoy the beautiful weather-  Highs around 80, plenty of sunshine and clear/cool nights with lows in the 50s (north/inland) and 60s (metro Palm Beach Co).

Craig Gold- CBS12 StormTrac Meteorologist, AMS

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - These chilly nights can only mean one thing.....


Perfect Weekend

11/02/12


John Matthews forecasting a perfect weekend for you this weekend. Temps cool and the wind light by night. Both Saturday and Sunday full of sunshine and temps near 80. That's great stuff following a windy weekend last weekend and wild weather up north. We're looking for a new cool front early next week, unfortunately attached to a big storm that will evolve into a Nor'Easter with another impact over the mid Atlantic and the Northeast. Stay tuned for updates and keep your concern for our Northeast people who are facing the post hurricane problems and very cold nights ahead. God bless them.




NICE FRIDAY AND ... PERFECT WEEKEND!

11/02/12

                            PERFECT FRIDAY AND WEEKEND TOO 

        TURN THE CLOCKS BACK ONE HOUR THIS SATUDAY NIGHT TOO!

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell...nice Friday and weekend too! Mainly sunny skies with highs near 77-80 and overnight lows near 55 inland to 60 at the coast.  Expect light weekend winds NW Saturday at 10-15 to NE Sunday at 10-15 mph.

  Boaters nice weekend water with seas 2-3 feet Saturday and 2-4 feet on Sunday. No advisories and really nice weekend weather all the way around! Our Next cold front moves through on Tuesday with a 30% chance of rain.

                                                     HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

 

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICE FRIDAY AND ... PERFECT WEEKEND!


NO RECORD COLD... BUT WELL BELOW NORMAL

11/01/12

                                   I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...

            LOWS THIS MORNING 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL!

Normal low in West Palm is 68 and this morning down to 57! Vero Beach the normal low is 65 and this morning down to 54!

  Warmer highs ahead near 77-80 today and near 80 on Friday! Perfect weekend weather with temperatures a little warmer with highs near 80 and lows near 60!  The Normal high is 83!

  Great water this weekend for the boaters with NE winds 10-15 Saturday and seas 2-4 feet....  Sunday winds SE 10-15 and seas 2-4 feet.

                  TURN CLOCKS BACK ONE HOUR THIS SATURDAY NIGHT!

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RECORD BREAKING COLD THIS MORNING... More Below Normal Temps Ahead!

10/31/12

                    RECORD BREAKING COLD WEDNESDAY MORNING!

  West Palm Beach broke the record low of 54 dropping to a new record 53 this morning! Vero Beach broke the record low of 48... dropping to 46!  Both records were set in 1973.

  I'm AMS meteorologist Chjris Farrell...  Sunny skies and very cool highs again today near 72-74... The normal high is 83!  We will stay cool with highs in the mid to upper 70s through Friday... then finally reach 80 this weekend.  Lows will stay in the mid 50s inland to near 60 at the coast through the coming weekend too!

         TURN THE CLOCKS BACK ONE HOUR THIS SATURDAY NIGHT!




Seas Settling Down

10/30/12

After days and days of a very rough ocean battering our beaches, we've begun to see some improvment. By later Wednesday the seas are expected to come down to 3-5 feet. There will still exist the chance for rip currents at the beaches so, swim with care and stay at a guarded beach.

By Thursday our seas should come down to 1-3 feet.

The lowering trend is due to Sandy's swell and wind no longer being a factor as the storm continues to weaken and move into Canada.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

StormTrac Meteorologist

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NEAR RECORD COLD AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT!

10/30/12

VERO BEACH BREAKS RECORD LOW OF 46.... DROPS TO 45... . more near record cold air this Tuesday night too!  I'm meteorologist Chris Farrell.

 West Palm Beach low temperature this morning was 51... that 18 degrees below normal! The record for West Palm Beach Wednesday morning is 52 and that could be broken! Vero Beach has a record low Wednesday morning is 48 and could also break or tie that record!

  The rest of the week will be sunny and cooler than normal with highs near 78 and lows near 60.  Weekend weather looks nice with highs near 77 and lows near 60.

                 TURN CLOCKS BACK ONE HOUR THIS WEEKEND!

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We finally get some cold air

10/29/12

The days we've been waiting for have arrived, and it gets cooler overnight. Early Tuesday morning we should see our first 40's of the Fall season. The record low for both West Palm and Vero is 46 degrees. There's a good chance we'll get close to that. This cool air is being delivered by winds from Superstorm Hurricane Sandy now impacting the NE.  More later. John Matthews in the CBS12 weather center.




CHILLY DAY AND NEAR RECORD COLD NIGHT!

10/29/12

I'm meteorologist Chris Farrell and we are in the 50s!!! What a chilly morning! It's the first cold front of the season!   Sunny and windy and quite cool today with highs near 70! 

COLDER TONIGHT WITH NEAR RECORD LOWS! The record low for West Palm Beach is 46 and the record low for Vero Beach is also 46!  Both of those records were set in 2008!  Lows tonight near 45 inland to 55 at the coast!

ROUGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOOD WARNINGS! Higher than normal tides at 9 am and 9 pm can bring some coastal flooding to A1A with water and sand and beach debris spilling into the areas of A1A from Sebasitan all the way south to Boca Raton!

A chilly week ahead with highs near 75-79 and lows near 55-60 through Friday!

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October Chill on the Way

10/28/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Are you ready to turn off your A/C? It looks like you'll have the opportunity during the next few days. The coolest air since last spring will be moving our way. In the wake of Sandy, gusty NW winds will continue to bring much cooler and drier air into South Florida. Overnight lows this week will dip well below normal (see graphic below). Record lows are possible both Tuesday and Wednesday morning.

Swells from Sandy will continue to impact our beaches. Seas will run 6-10 feet on Monday and won't return to manageable levels until the latter part of the week!

So, grab those jackets out of your closet and watch (but don't swim) in those waves this week!

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Sandy Skips Town, Big Time Problems For Northeast/Mid-Atlantic

10/27/12

As Sandy continues to pull away from South Florida, our weather gradually improves....  The sun makes a return this weekend.  One thing we'll still have to deal with however, the wind & rough surf.  Surfers, you've GOT to be loving this-  Offshore winds and nearshore waves up to 10 feet.  But let me caution this:  If you're not a VERY EXPERIENCED surfer, these next few days are a no-go for you.

Okay, now where were we....  Ah, yes... that's right-  Sandy!  MAJOR problems headed for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.  Not only will Sandy have a larger windfield than Irene (remember that one?), but the duration of those winds (on the order or 60+ mph with gusts to 80) will last 18-30 hours!  Coastal flooding and beach erosion are one of many issues this storm will bring Late Monday through Tuesday.  Flooding rains will help to soften the soil up.  That... combined with high winds will undoubtedly lead to downed trees.  Downed trees=downed power lines=power outages. 

Did I mention this system could also bring 1 foot plus of snow to the mountains of West Virginia, Western Pa?!  With cold air in place, a stalled out front ... and moisture from Sandy feeding well inland, it's a perfect setup for an early season monster snowstorm.

Btw, I still refuse to call Sandy "Frankenstorm."  Just saying........

 

Craig Gold

CBS12 StormTrac Meteorologist

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Sandy Skips Town, Big Time Problems For Northeast/Mid-Atlantic


TROPICAL STORM WARNING TODAY... NICER WEEKEND...COLDER NEXT WEEK!

10/26/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell.....A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE  ENTIRE COASTAL AREA from Sebastian Inlet south to Boca Raton.
Winds 40 to gusts at 60 mph at the coast to inland areas where winds ar 25-35 mph.

HURRICANE SANDY WAS LOCATED ABOUT 210 MILES EAST OF  WEST PALM BEACH. The tropical storm winds of 40 mph extend 275 miles from the center.

AT THE BEACHES...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT,  THE MAIN IMPACTS WILL BE MAJOR BEACH EROSION ALONG WITH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AT HIGH TIDE 7AM AND 7PM.

THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON WILL MOVE IN NEXT WEEK WITH LOWS NEAR 50 AT THE COST AND BEACHES TO 40s WELL INLAND... NEAR RECOR DLOWS ARE POSSIBLE!

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Watching Hurricane Sandy

10/24/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog.  I'm meteorologist Michael  Ehrenberg

Tropical Storm Warning in effect

We continue to keep a close eye on Hurricane Sandy. Sandy is expected to lift to the North and pass roughly 200 miles to our East during the day Friday. What this means for us is strong winds Thu Night through Fri Night. Winds will be from the NE-N at 30-40 mph with some gusts past 50 at times. These kinds of winds can blow small trees and large branches down. Scattered power outages are also likely.
Since we'll be on the "weaker" or "drier" side of the storm we expect occasional squally rainbands to drop mostly 1-2" of rain with locally higher amounts. Most of this will occur near the coast.

After that get ready for a rapid improvement on the weekend. Saturday still looks quite windy with only isolated showers. Much cooler air arrives for the end of the month next week!

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COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN EFFECT ... WINDY DAYS AHEAD!

10/24/12


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...COASTAL PALM BEACH.....A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS.

ALTHOUGH TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE NOT IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...INLAND PALM BEACH...METRO PALM BEACH......POSSIBLE IMPACTS FROM RELATED HAZARDS ARE STILL A CONCERN.

SITUATION OVERVIEW...TROPICAL STORM SANDY IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE BAHAMAS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. AS THE WIND FIELD EXPANDS, TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS
BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY
FRIDAY.

THE MAIN CONCERN WITH SANDY IS HIGH WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE
WATERS OFF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST AS WELL AS STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS,
BEACH EROSION, MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
ATLANTIC COAST. ALSO, RAINBANDS COULD AFFECT SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL A POSSIBILITY.

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...REGARDING THE COASTAL WATERS UNDER A WATCH...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD RETURN TO PORT OR SEEK SAFE HARBOR.

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STRONGER WINDS & ROUGHER SURF AHEAD... NEW 5 DAY TRACK

10/23/12


 I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... Tropical Storm Sandy will track through the SE and East Bahamas Thursday through Saturday. This will be hundreds of miles to our east. BUT winds will increase here 20-25 mph this Tuesday and Wednesday... then increase Thursday through Saturday 30-35 with gusts to 40!  The rain chance will remain about 30% through that time with variably cloudy skies.

  ROUGH DAMAGING SURF, BEACH EROSION AND POSSIBLE COASTAL FLOODING possible during high tide Thursday through Sunday!

  COOLER AIR MOVING IN Sunday night and into next week!

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Tropical Storm Sandy

10/22/12

T.D. #18 was upgraded to Tropical Storm Sandy as of 5 PM Monday Evening.
Tropical Storm Sandy is forecast to strengthen and move to the NNE across
Jamaica and Eastern Cuba. On it's current forecast track it will increase our winds
as it interacts with high pressure over the Southeast U.S. Winds from Thu-Sat will
increase to 25-35 mph with higher gusts. This will cause seas in excess of 10 feet,
rough surf, beach erosion and rip currents. If the storm tracks more to the left then we'll
have an increased chance for rain.
Check back, as you know that forecast track will change!

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT... WINDY... ROUGH SURF WEEK AHEAD TOO!

10/22/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... possible tropical development in the Carribean "may affect us later this week"... rough gusty winds at 20-25 mph today through Wednesday... then rougher winds 30-35+ possible Friday through Sunday! Beach Erosion... Rough Surf all inncreasing into the week ahead! Mostly Sunny skies and quite breezy Monday through Wednesday...  highs near 85 and lows near 75 coast to 65 well inland!
    Area 1...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF JAMAICA IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. 

A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT... DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS  WELL TO THE SOUTH OF JAMAICA.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

Area 2...SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE  ATLANTIC ABOUT 750 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE CARIBBEAN SOME DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.




Watching the Tropics

10/21/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

The tropics are heating up once again!
I've got a close eye on developing low pressure in the central Caribbean Sea. The hurricane center gives this "blob" a good chance of developing into a depression or perhaps Tropical Storm Sandy during the next 2 days. Computer Models want to track this Low into the Central or Western Bahamas by late week. It's effects here will be most noticeable offshore. Strong gusty winds will cause seas by Thursday to be 8-12 feet.
If the low gets closer we could get some rain from it.
We'll keep you posted!

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Weekend Cool Front

10/19/12

Thanks so much for checking out our weather blog.

A weak cool front will move through Saturday. Behind this front the winds will kick into the NW-N. This will filter drier into South Florida. You'll surely notice it getting more and more comfortable as we head through the weekend. Drier air means rain chances going down dramatically. So, no more of those scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Early in the week the winds pick up from the Northeast. This means rough surf, rip currents and beach erosion for those heading to the beach.

Enjoy your weekend!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

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WARM FRIDAY... NICE WEEKEND... A LITTLE COOLER SATURDAY NIGHT!

10/19/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... NICE WEEKEND WEATHER AHEAD! Starting this Friday sunny to partly cloudy and warmer than normal with highs near 87 and a 40% chance of afternoon shower-tstorm.  Saturday a weak cool front will move through with highs Saturday near 87 ... A LITTLE COOLER SATURDAY NIGHT... NEAR 63 INLAND AROUND THE LAKE TO 68 COAST... Sunday back to partly cloudy with highs near 84 and lows near 70!

BOATERS... NICE WEEKEND WATER.. Light NW/N winds 10-15 and seas 2-3 feet... slightly stronger NE/E winds and seas Sunday night then... BREEZY WINDS AND ROUGHER SEAS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY!




NO RAIN YET... MORE AFTERNOON SHOWERS-TSTORMS

10/18/12


  I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... starting sunny to partly cloudy then afternoon showers and storms possible the rain chance at 40% today. Friday and Saturday will be mostly sunny and warmer with highs near 87.  Only isolated showers Friday and Saturday with the rain chance 30%.

  Stronger winds begin to blow in Sunday and boaters can expect Small Craft Caution Flags by Sunday afternoon. Gusty strong east winds 15-25 mph will probablY last through Wednesday next week!

  STILL NO COOL AIR!




CLOUDY SKIES.... AND AFTERNOON RAIN... STILL QUITE WARM

10/17/12

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... look for cloudy skies today as another weak cool front heads our way.  The rain chance today is at 60% for "afternoon" showers and thunderstorms ... decreasing to 30% for Thursday and Friday. Still too warm with highs near 85 and lows near 75.... and still no cool air in our forecast through the coming weekend!

Boaters... swells from distant hurricane Rafael will begin arriving along our coast so expect wave heights to increase 3-6 feet.  The waves will remain higher through Friday.




Changes Coming

10/14/12

Thanks for checking on our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
That gusty wind we had all weekend is rapidly diminishing. Winds on Monday will blow from the NE at only 10-15 mph. Spotty downpours will blow into a few locales from tonight into Monday.
On Tuesday another one of those wind shifts/dry fronts will  pass through similar to what we had last week. This will lower our dewpoint temperatures into the 60s. The dewpoint is a good measure of moisture in the air. Whenever it gets below 70 we usually feel a bit more comfortable.Rain chances will go down to only 10 or 20% for the rest of the week. Overnight lows may fall into the 60s along the Treasure Coast and away from the coast in Palm Beach County.

Enjoy your  week!




Busy in the Tropics

10/12/12

Thanks so much for checking our weather blog today. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Tropical Storm Patty continues to meander a little less than 500 miles to our East. Strong wind shear over Patty will likely tear her apart..turning into a remnant low at anytime.
That wind you've been experiencing is due to the interaction of Patty with a strong High to our North. The difference in pressure between the two will force the winds to blow during the next few days. This will cause rough surf and beach erosion with seas as high as 10 feet offshore. Be careful if you plan to spend some time on the ocean this weekend!

Dry air will continue to move our way with low rain chances for quite awhile.

Enjoy your weekend!

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What's Up with our Weather?

10/10/12

Thanks so much for checking out our weather blog. I'm meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
That drier weather pattern we've been talking about will gradually filter our way the next few days. High Pressure located to our North will continue to give us a N-NE flow. This air is coming from drier locations. The bottom line is low rain chances the next few days. The best chance for scattered showers will be Wednesday.
Meanwhile, I've got my eye on a tropical wave located well to our East. This system is getting sheared right now. It does have a 30% chance for slow development the next few days. Computer Models curve it away from the U.S.
We'll keep you posted!

Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg

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Waterspouts....

10/07/12

Over the last few days.... we've seen waterspouts develop just offshore of our beaches (specifically Palm Beach County).

I want to take a second to discuss the differences between these fairly benign, yet spectacular to look at "spin ups and their much more violent sibling.... tornadoes.  While both look similar in appearance...  Waterspouts usually form at the base of developing "cumuloform" clouds and last up to 20 minutes.  Their winds are typically clocked at 60mph or less.  These... keep in mind are the "benign" waterspouts.  There are also "Tornadic" waterspouts.  Those are the type we'll see here in South Florida with any landfalling tropical storm or hurricane because of the twisting of the winds in the atmosphere.  These form due to the same conditions present as say a supercell thunderstorm in the great plains (tornadoes), and if they come onshore can be dangerous.   9 times out of 10, a waterspout offers a wonderful opportunity to snap a memorable picture without anyone getting harmed in the process, but.... mariners should always keep an eye out since their gusty winds can capsize smaller boats.

So there you have it.... waterspouts!

 

Craig Gold, CBS12 StormTrac Meteorologist

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Waterspouts....


Today's Topic: "Stay-cations"

10/06/12

So here's the thing.  It's about that time for a little "me" time.

I've got a solid 2 weeks of Vacation stocked up, but.... want to do something close... AND, on a budget.  PLUS, come on, we live in South Florida where there's TONS to do.  Many people have made suggestions like taking a trip west to Sanibel Island, or South to Miami.   Apparently, you'll find good deals on Groupons/Living Social.  So, now... I turn to you!  All suggestions welcome on my fanpage:   www.facebook.com/CraigGoldWeather

Be sure to "like" my fanpage while you're at it.  Thanks everyone and enjoy your weekend!

Craig Gold- StormTrac Meteorologist

 

 




Saturday....Fun day

10/05/12


Here comes the weekend...you know it is soooo welcome..and lookin' good.   Sure, we'll have the chance of a "few" storms popping up here and there (especially inland, you know who you are), but it should be a splendid day at the beach and coastal areas. There are some "minor" changes in the days ahead.  As our winds change direction around to the Northeast on Monday, "slightly" drier air will work in so our rain chances will be pretty slim!

Enjoy your weekend and thanks for watching CBS12 News and blogs.  John Matthews




Persistent Summer Pattern

10/05/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog today!

It looks like a persistent Easterly Flow will push most showers and thunderstorms well West of the Turnpike today and likely the weekend as well.
A weak "frontal  trough" (yellow dashed line on graphic below) pushes through Monday. What this will due is shift our winds to a more NE direction. This will filter dry air into South Florida and drop our rain chances to 20%.

There's little cool air behind this "trough". We'll drop a few degrees back to normal and with the drier air, you'll likely feel a bit more comfortable out of doors!

Enjoy your weekend!

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Gloomy days are done for now

10/03/12


John Matthews with an update on this day. We took the transition well, got blazing sunshine for a change and only a light shower chance for awhile. High pressure does the trick! West coast Florida has our cloudy rainy conditions for the rest of the week. Lookin' good sunshine.




Drier Pattern and New Depression Forming?

10/03/12

Thanks for reading our weather blog! I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.
High Pressure will build West from the Atlantic and begin to dry us out today.
This means rain chances heading down to 30% for the rest of the week.
Meanwhile, it looks like a tropical depression is forming in the Eastern Atlantic.
It could become our next named storm (Oscar). No worries though. Computer Models
are in good agreement keeping this system far from us!

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RAINY DAYS

10/02/12


John Matthews with an update on our rainy days. We're still in a soggy sandwich of rain over Florida and dry air to our east. High Pressure still struggling to get control over Florida. Once is does, we smooth out this rainy pattern. Models say better days ahead...but still respectable rain chances. Look for better days in the second half of the work week.




Wetter Pattern Returns

10/01/12

Thanks for checking or weather blog. I'm Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Weather ingredients will come together to increase our rain chances for the next
few days. Deep Tropical Moisture will stream in from the Caribbean on a Southerly
Wind Flow. Meanwhile, a weak cool front will press eastward across the Gulf of Mexico.
This front fizzles out and stalls in Florida on Tue and Wed. This will "squeeze" out the
moisture and bring our rain chances to 70% today and 60% on Tuesday.

Keep your umbrella handy!

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TROPICAL WEATHER in your backyard

10/01/12

FROM CBS12.com senior web producer Scott T. Smith:  We've had a nice respite from record rainy summer weather, but today through Wednesday we're looking at a lot of tropical moisture feeding us with thunderstorms. (WATCH THE VIDEO FORECAST)

A radar snapshot is below, (LATEST INTERACTIVE RADAR) showing storms already forming to our south mid-morning on Monday. Today, if the sky to your south darkens, you're likely to see some potentially heavy rains and gusty winds from a thunderstorm.

The pattern continues at least through Wednesday with a 60-70 percent chance of thunderstorms daily.

Also, we've got a new tropical wave in the Atlantic to keep an eye on. Good news is it looks like it will steer into the eastern Atlantic in a few days, FAR FAR away from Florida.

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MORNING SHOWERS... WEEKEND WEATHER "SUNNIER & HOTTER"!

09/28/12

I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell.  MORNING SHOWERS... THEN SUNNIER SKIES! The weak stationary front that gave us all the clouds this week is moving slowly away! That means sunnier skies and less chance of rain later today and into the weekend. 

Expect some morning showers each day, but then sunny to partly cloudy skies Friday through the weekend with rain chance at  30% Friday and Saturday and 40% on Sunday! Highs will be above the normal of 87... near 90!  Overnight lows above normal 75... near 77!

Boaters... light E/SE winds 10 and seas 2-3 feet through the weekend too... so good to go on the water!  HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!




MORE CLOUDS...A FEW SHOWERS... HOT AND HUMID TOO!

09/27/12

I'm CBS12 meteorologist Chris Farrell... The stationary weather front remains in place so.. another cloudy day with a 30% chance of scattered showers! Highs are still quite warm and humid near 88... the heat index "feels like" temp will be near 100!  STILL NO FALL AIR!    The weekend weather pattern will be a "little drier" with partly cloudy skies and highs near 90 and a 30% chance of rain each day...


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MORE CLOUDY SKIES... AND SHOWERS AHEAD THROUGH FRIDAY!

09/26/12

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... a stationary front continues to bring clouds and showers the next several days! This little "fall front" will remain near our area through Friday... so the clouds and showers remain too!  The rain chance will be near 40-50% through Friday too with the best chance for rain in the afternoon hours.  Highs will be near 88 and lows near 78.

 The weekend will be slightly better as the front finally moves north and we return to partly cloudy skies with the rain chance at 30% for the weekend.

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CLOUDY SKIES... FEW SHOWERS... WARM AND HUMID!

09/25/12

LOTS OF CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS... STILL QUITE WARM AND HUMID!I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell

Today: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Lows in the mid 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent. Lows 73 to 77. 

Thursday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.  Lows in the mid 70s.

Friday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.  Lows in the mid 70s.

Saturday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid 70s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.  Lows in the mid 70s.

Monday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s

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NICE... SUNNIER... DRIER... WEATHER WEEK AHEAD!

09/24/12

A NICE FALL WEATHER WEEK AHEAD.... SUNNIER AND DRIER... I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell! A weak Fall front has passed through bringing drier air, sunnier skies and near normal highs and lows for the week ahead with little chance of any rain expect the normal isolated coastal shower!

Today: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers in the morning...then isolated showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. North winds 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.


Friday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Saturday: Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.


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Autumn Begins

09/21/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog today!

Well, Autumn starts on Saturday and for South Floridians it means something different than the rest of the U.S.
We don't get a break from the heat until the latter part of October usually. At about that time our daily showers and thunderstorms "shut off" heralding the start of the Dry Season and more comfortable weather.
At PBIA the first time the low temperature falls below 60 averages November 3rd.

We still need to watch the tropics. Half of our Hurricane Hits have occurred from around this date forward into October.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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Soggy Pattern Continues

09/19/12

Thanks for checking our weather blog. I'm StormTrac Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Our weather pattern favors high rain chances the next few days. A slow moving upper level trough in the Gulf of Mexico will transport lots of moisture our way on SW winds ahead of it. Meanwhile, a cool front will sag into Central Florida and gradually fizzle out. This will act to "pool" the surface moisture and keep our low-level flow from the S-SW. Bottom line, scattered showers and storms in the  plan each afternoon and evening.

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Weather Check

09/17/12


Thanks for checking our weather blog, I'm Stormtrac Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg.

Our rain chances remain on the high side intoWednesday with scattered showers and
thunderstorms possible at any time. Deep tropical moisture is in place and will continue to feed in from the SW at upper levels and S-SE at low levels of the atmosphere.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Nadine will continue to move further away and slowly weaken this week. A weak disturbance crossing the Windward/Leeward Islands shows no immediate signs of development. However, we'll keep a close eye on it for you.

Regards!

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LIGHTER WEEKEND WINDS... SUNNIER SKIES TOO!

09/14/12

LIGHTER WINDS AND SUNNIER SKIES FOR THE WEEKEND....DECREASING SEAS TOO!
Today: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Saturday: Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Sunday: Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs 85 to 89. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

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MORE WIND... MORE SHOWERS... MORE WAVES TOO!

09/13/12

MORE GUSTY ENE WINDS 20-25 MPH... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TOO! ....WINDS AND SEAS DECREASING SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
Today:
Partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent
Friday: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Saturday:
Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast around 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
Sunday:
Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

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GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SURF... FEW SHOWERS TOO!

09/12/12

ROUGH SURF... SMALL CRAFT CAUTION FLAGS THROUGH FRIDAY!
Today:
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers in the morning...then partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Friday: Partly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 30 percent. 
Sunday: Partly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 30 percent.

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FALL FRONT TUESDAY... BRINGS 'GUSTY MILDER WINDS"... ROUGHER SURF TOO

09/10/12

WEAK FALL FRONT BLOWING IN TUESDAY WITH STRONGER NE WINDS AND MILDER HIGHS.. ROUGHER SURF TOO!
Today:
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. West winds around 5 mph becoming around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning... Then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Wednesday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Breezy. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
Wednesday Night Through Saturday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 70s. Highs in the lower 90s.

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Weather Changes

09/08/12

Hi. This is Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg with a quick weather blog for you!

High Pressure will help us to squeeze out a mostly rain free but hot Sunday. High
temperatures, with SW Flow will reach the lower 90s in most locations. Expect a 20% chance
for a PM/Eve shower or thunderstorm in a few locales.
Thereafter an early season cool front and upper level trough will move into Florida. This will help to pool moisture and unstabilize our  atmosphere. Bottom line..higher rain chances for  Monday & Tuesday. Increasing NE flow for the middle of the week should dry us out a bit.

We all know that Leslie and Michael will stay far from us. A new tropical disturbance off the coast of Africa will likely become our next depression or storm sometime during the week. Computer  models hint at a recurvature into the open Atlantic.  However this is far  from certain  and  bears close watching.

I hope you  enjoy the rest of your weekend!

Regards,
Michael  Ehrenberg

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FEW AFTERNOON STORMS... DEVELOPING ROUGH SURF THROUGH WEEKEND!

09/06/12

FLOOD WARNING STILL IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 10:30 AM THURSDAY...(areas in and around Loxahatchee Groves and Lion Country Safari still have standing water in some roads).

LARGER OCEAN SWELLS... ROUGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS LIKELY THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.. (hurricane Leslie 1000 miles to our east will produce rough surf through the weekend with wave heights near 3-6 feet).
Today: Partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. South winds around 5 mph.
Friday: Partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Light winds.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday: Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

FORECAST WAVE HEIGHTS BELOW

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Rain Totals and Weather Ahead

09/05/12

Hi, Michael Ehrenberg here with your weather blog..

Some of you got tropical downpours today. Check out the rain totals of up to 3" in a
few spots. Winds gusted past 35 mph in parts of our area too!
Look for scattered PM Storms the next few days with even higher rain chances on the
weekend.
Meanwhile, a distant ocean swell from Hurricane Leslie will impact our waters on the weekend.
Seas will be 3-6 feet both Saturday and Sunday.

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FLOOD WARNING PBC.... ROUGH SURF DEVELOPING... WEEKEND RAIN?

09/05/12

FLOOD WARNING CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 10:30 WEDNESDAY MORNING! RIP CURRENTS AND ROUGH SURF DEVELOPING THROUGH THE WEEKEND!  I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell...
Today: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs 86 to 90. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
Thursday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Friday: Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. South winds around 5 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s.
Sunday: Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s.

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FLOOD WARNING CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY...SWELLS INCREASING TOO

09/04/12

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...  CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...* UNTIL 1030 AM EDT WEDNESDAY ROADWAYS IN LOXAHATCHEE  GROVES AND LION COUNTY SAFARI AREAS WHERE STILL FLOODED EARLY   THIS MORNING...AND EVEN PORTIONS OF DEER RUN BLVD WERE STILL  IMPASSABLE.

Today: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. South winds 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. South winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Thursday: Partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon.

Friday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

 

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Tropics Busy

09/03/12


The peak of the Hurricane Season comes up in one week (September 10th). This is historically the point where tropical storm genesis reaches its peak. Thereafter, activity gradually declines.
We have a brand new tropical depression..number 13. This small cyclone is over 2300 miles from us. It  may briefly become the next tropical storm (Michael) before weakening due to wind shear in its path. It poses no threat to any land areas.
Meanwhile, Leslie is forecast to become a hurricane and possibly head toward Bermuda by week's end. A 1-2 foot  ocean swell could impact the Treasure Coast Tue and Wed.
Locally, moisture will gradually be on the increase this week. What this means is a gradual increase in our  daily scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thanks for checking out our  blog!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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Subtle Weather Changes This Week

09/02/12

We've been fortunate. Our Labor Day Weekend so far has featured plenty of sunshine and slightly lower moisture and temperature levels. As a result, you may have notice it was just slightly more comfortable? Expect this to be the case on Labor Day. We'll have mixed sun and clouds with only an isolated shower or storm in a few locations. Rain Chances only go up to 30% and remain there through the week.

Meanwhile, in the tropics Kirk has become a cold core low and no more concern. Tropical Storm Leslie will continue to slowly move NW-N the next 5 days and stay well to our East. It may throw a 2 to 3 foot ocean swell our way both Tue and Wed. (Surfs Up!)

A small low pressure area in the Eastern Atlantic shows little promise to cause any trouble any time soon.

Thanks for checking out our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael  Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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NICE LABOR DAY WEEKEND!

08/31/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell...*** FLOOD WARNING FOR...  CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...UNTIL 830 PM EDT FRIDAY...A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.***Today: Partly sunny. A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday: Partly sunny. A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Labor Day: Partly sunny with a 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90.

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FLOOD WARNING CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY... NICE LABOR DAY WEEKEND!

08/30/12

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...  CENTRAL PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...* UNTIL 830 PM EDT THURSDAY... EXTENSIVE FLOODING ACROSS EAST CENTRAL PALM   BEACH COUNTY. THE NATURE AND EXTENT OF THE FLOODING IS SUCH THAT   IT WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO AT LEAST THURSDAY EVENING AS   IT WILL NOT RECEDE QUICKLY.
Today: Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 87 to 91. Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming around 10 mph in the afternoon. 
Friday: Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph. 
Saturday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. East winds 5 to 10 mph becoming 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday: Partly sunny. A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning. Highs in the upper 80s.
Labor Day And Monday Night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid 70s.

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Local Weather and the Tropics

08/29/12

Michael Ehrenberg here with some good news! We started to dry out today. During the next several days we'll have only a 20-30% chance for scattered showers or t'storms. This likely lasts into the Labor Day Holiday Weekend.
The tropics continue active. As Isaac continues to cause major flooding on the Gulf Coast, we look to the East in the Atlantic. Tropical Storm Kirk...2000 miles away could  become a hurricane. The track forecast keeps it well East of the U.S.
Invest 98-L will likely become a depression/storm. This storm needs to be watched. Currently, Models re-curve this system as well.
We'll keep you posted!!

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FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES PALM BEACH COUNTY... DRIER DAYS AHEAD

08/29/12

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR EASTERN PALM BEACH ...REPORTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY CONTINUE TO INDICATE EXTENSIVE FLOODING ACROSS EASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY.  IT WILL CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST WEDNESDAY EVENING ...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.



Today: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Southeast winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Thursday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Friday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Saturday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Labor Day: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 30 percent.

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FLOOD WATCH PALM BEACH COUNTY... LESS WIND... RAIN CHANCE STILL HIGH

08/28/12

 PALM BEACH COUNTY ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...FOR COASTAL PALM BEACH....INLAND  PALM BEACH... AND METRO PALM BEACH. WITH POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY OVER PALM BEACH ..A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

Today: Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening...then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Southeast winds near 5 mph in the evening becoming light and variable. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds near 5 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Light winds.

Thursday: Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning...then chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent.


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HIGH WIND ADVISORY... FLOOD WATCH...TORNADO WATCH TREASURE COAST ONLY

08/27/12

TORNADO WATCH TREASURE COAST ONLY UNTIL 11AM

HIGH WIND WARNING  UNTIL 6PM FOR WINDS 25-35 MPH

FLOOD WARNING UNTIL MONDAY EVENING ALL AREAS


Today: Cloudy with rain likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Windy. Rain may be heavy at times. Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Gusts in excess of 40 mph in rain bands. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Breezy. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph becoming south 10 to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.

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Tropical Storm Isaac Update

08/27/12

Here is the 11 PM Forecast track for Tropical Storm Isaac.
Even as Isaac pulls away it will continue to affect our weather.
A Tropical Storm Warning and Flood Watch remains in effect for Palm Beach County.
A Wind Advisory is effective for the Treasure Coast.
A Tornado Watch is in effect for the entire area until 9 AM Monday.
Bands of Heavy Rain will continue to impact our area. These will cause local street and
highway flooding. Over 8" has been recorded in parts of Western Boynton Beach.
The stronger rain bands can spin up quick tornadoes.

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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Tropical Storm Isaac 5PM Update

08/26/12

Michael Ehrenberg here with the latest on Isaac.
The 5 PM advisory puts Isaac over 200 miles SW of West  Palm Beach.
The track should take Isaac over the Gulf and into either the Panhandle of Fla, MS, or  AL
during the midweek period. It will arrive there as a category 2 likely.
We'll continue to get gusty E-SE winds 25-30 mph with gusts past 40 overnight.
Bands of Heavy Rain will cause local street and highway flooding.
Monday features plenty of  clouds. Frequent showers and storms will likely continue.
Winds: SE 20-30 with gusts to 40 still likely.

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TORNADO WATCH....TROPICAL STORM WARNING... WINDS 40-60 TODAY... FLOOD WATCHES

08/26/12

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT ALL AREAS UNTIL 5PM... ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS.....

TROPICAL STORM WINDS WILL BE FELT TODAY 39 MPH... WITH  GUSTS TO 60 MPH! LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL 4-8 INCHES... HIGHER TIDE 1-2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL


Today: Tropical storm conditions expected. Mostly cloudy in the morning with rain likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Rain and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Rain may be heavy at times. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds 20 to 25 mph becoming east 35 to 40 mph in the afternoon. Gusts up to 60 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

Tonight: Tropical storm conditions expected. Cloudy. Rain and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening...then rain likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain may be heavy at times. Lows in the lower 80s. Southeast winds 35 to 40 mph decreasing to 25 to 30 mph. Gusts up to 60 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.

Monday: Cloudy with rain likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning...then mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Windy. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall in the afternoon. Rain may be heavy at times in the morning. Highs around 90. Southeast winds 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

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LATEST UPDATE ON ISAAC

08/25/12

StormTrac Meteorologist Craig Gold checking in with your latest Isaac Update.....

a TROPICAL STORM WARNING remains in effect for the entire area through Monday AM

Here's the thinking right now....

-Palm Beach County will begin to see "Tropical Storm conditions" by Sunday late morning.  Sustained winds of 30-40 mph and gusts to 60 in some of the stronger bands of rain will be possible.  This will spread to the TREASURE COAST by mid afternoon.

Here are the Threats:

Wind:  Minor wind damage possible.

Rain:  4-8 inches areawide with localized flooding possible.

Isolated Tornadoes:  Most likely Sunday afternoon-night.  Quick to form and difficult to see (rain-wrapped) so pay attention to warnings that are issued.

Marine:  Seas building 11-13 feet with locally higher seas reaching 17 feet.  Beach erosion is possible especially in the afternoon as high tide occurs.

Stay with CBS12 for the latest updates at and track the storm using our "hurricane tracker" here on the website!

Further updates to follow......

Craig


 

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TROPCIAL STORM WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR ENTIRE VIEWING AREA!

08/25/12

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ALL AREAS! Tropical storm winds 39-60 mph are likely on Sunday with locally heavy rainfall of 5-10 inches POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY!

Saturday night: Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Windy. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Lows in the lower 80s. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph becoming 20 to 25 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Sunday: Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Highs in the mid 80s. Northeast winds 25 to 30 mph with gusts to around 60 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.

Sunday Night: Tropical storm conditions expected. Cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms in the evening...then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Lows in the lower 80s. East winds 35 to 40 mph

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ISAAC STAYS WEST... BUT EFFECTS STILL TO BE FELT HERE!

08/24/12

.......... TROPICAL STORM ISAAC ... expected to continue for the next couple of days WNW.. on the forecast track...the storm should move into the SE gulf on Monday...and be west of Tampa on Tuesday... ...we will still have fringe effects from the storm with gusty winds on sunday 20-30 mph.. and monday 25-35 mph... with showers likely both days. Rough surf too!  SUNDAY... WINDY! SE winds 20-30 mph and cloudy with a 70% chance of showers Highs near 85. MONDAY... Cloudy and windy! Rain likely! MARINE FORECAST.... NO ADVISORIES.... Winds S/SE 10-15 ....Seas...1-2 feet... ROUGH WEEKEND SURF WITH WIND INCREASING SE 20-30 KNOTS AND SEAS 5-10 FEET! ..... I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell

800 AM EDT FRI AUG 24 2012
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT ISAAC IS A LITTLE
STRONGER...SUMMARY OF ...INFORMATION-----
LOCATION...16.0N 70.3W
ABOUT 175 MI...SSW OF SANTO DOMINGO DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 220 MI...SE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH......DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
----------------------THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.3 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH.... A TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC
WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA TODAY...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN CUBA ON SATURDAY.... AND MOVING INTO THE SE GULF ON MONDAY.


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ISAAC FORECAST TO BE NEAR SOUTH FLORIDA MONDAY!

08/23/12

Isaac is forecast to be near Key West as a possible category 1 hurricane monday morning... this would give SE Florida strong gusty winds and heavy rain all day Monday... possible flooding too with rainfall totals of 4-8 inches... stay tuned for updates.  Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings are possible for our SE Florida area late this weekend.  Strong gusty winds and heavy rain may be possible as early as Sunday... and any preparations should be completed by Sunday at the latest.

800 AM AST THU AUG 23 2012
...ISSAC MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
SUMMARY OF INFORMATION---------------
LOCATION...15.4N 64.8W
ABOUT 225 MI...SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST  AT 13 MPH ......DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC HAS
REFORMED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...  SOME ERRATIC MOTION
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST COULD OCCUR THIS MORNING...BUT A STEADY MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD PASS TO THE SOUTH OF
THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND APPROACH THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH......WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS....AND
ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY BEFORE IT REACHES
HISPANIOLA.

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - ISAAC FORECAST TO BE NEAR SOUTH FLORIDA MONDAY!


NEW TRACK FOR ISAAC... COULD APPROACH SOUTH FLORIDA AS HURRICANE MONDAY!

08/22/12

ISAAC COULD APPROACH SOUTH FLORDIA AS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE MONDAY MORNING!


...ISAAC GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...SUMMARY OF ...INFORMATION
LOCATION...15.5N 57.3W ABOUT 280 MILES EAST OF CARIBBEAN ...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST AT 18 MPH...

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK--------------
AT 500 AM AST......THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.3 WEST. ISAAC IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH....AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISAAC SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS EVENING...AND MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH.....WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
ISAAC COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...FROM THE CENTER.

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NEW TRACK FOR ISAAC... COULD APPROACH SOUTH FLORIDA AS HURRICANE MONDAY!


NEW DEPRESSION FORMS... 5 DAY TRACK HERE!

08/21/12



...NINTH DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED...
SUMMARY ...15.2N 51.2W
ABOUT 715 MI...E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST  AT 20 MPH..DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CYCLONE SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...AND EMERGE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY THURSDAY
MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.


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Tropics Getting Busy

08/20/12

Michael  Ehrenberg here in the StormTrac Center.

The Tropics are certainly looking interesting!
We've got our eye on a developing Low  Pressure area approximately 900 miles  East of the Windward Islands. This system has a very good chance of becoming a Tropical  Depression or  Storm at any time. Computer Models take this system across Haiti and Cuba. There are possibilities for some impacts in our area by the beginning of next week. Still too early to tell what exactly.
Meanwhile, we continue with a normal August weather pattern. Steamy Sunshine will dominate most of the days.  Afternoon and evening thunderstorms  will be a daily threat. Rain chances may be  higher early next  week  if the tropical system threatens.
Stay tuned!

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HOT 90s... LATE AFTERNOON TSTORMS... WATCH FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT

08/20/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny and hot the next few days with highs near 92-95 and scattered afternoon tstorms... the rain chance 50% for Monday and Tuesday afternoon.   Wednesday through Friday only a 30% chance of isolated coastal showers and inland afternoon tstorms with highs near 90.

TROPICAL WEATHER NOTE!  AREA OF CLOUDS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES EAST OF THE CARIBBEAN... CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THIS LARGE DISTURBANCE MOVES WESTWARD AT 20 TO 25 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY FOR ANY DEVELOPMENT AND FUTURE MOVEMENT...

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Active August Weather

08/18/12

Michael Ehrenberg checking in from the StormTrac Center.

It looks like a normal August Weather Pattern for us.

Each day starts with Hot Sunshine and ends with scattered showers and thunderstorms for some of us (40% chance each day).

Storms can contain gusty winds, downpours and frequent lightning.

The tropics are heating up. Hurricane Gordon, now a Category 2 threatens the Azores with Hurricane Conditions.

SW of the Cape Verde Islands a tropical wave will likely become tropical storm Isaac over the next few days. This system needs to be watched. Many Computer Models move it into the Caribbean by late week.

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NORMAL SHOWERS & STORMS.... NEW STORM GORDON NO THREAT

08/16/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... expect sunny to partly cloudy skies with the normal scattered late morning showers and isolated afternoon Tstorms with the rain chance at 40% for the day.  Weekend weather will be a little bit drier with  the rain chance decreasing to 30% for Saturday and Sunday.

TROPICAL STORM GORDON... well out in the Atlantic and no threat to Florida.  It is moving northeast away from the United States and in a few days will be in the north Atlantic and possibly a Hurricane... NO THREAT TO FLORIDA OR THE UNITED STATES.

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Rain Totals and Tropics Check

08/14/12

Rainfall has been quite variable across the CBS12 Viewing area this month. We've gotten soaked in Eastern Palm Beach County with rainfall almost 6" above average so far. Meanwhile those of you on the Northern Treasure Coast have had little rain (Vero Beach).

We'll have the normal scattered showers and storms each day. (30-40% chance on average)

Two areas in the tropics pose no threat to us.

An Eastern Atlantic Low may turn into a depression during the next few days.

The remains of T.D. 7 will push into Central America causing those folks lots of rain and some wind.

Michael Ehrenberg

StormTrac Meteorologist

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MORE SUN AND LESS RAIN AHEAD...

08/14/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will be partly cloudy then mostly cloudy on this Tuesday with a 40% chance of afternoon showers and tstorms. Highs will be near 90.  The rian chance will be decreasing to 20% at the coast and 30% inland starting Wednesday through Sunday with highs near 90.  Light Se winds at only 5-10 knots and seas near 1-2 feet through Sunday. 

The tropical weather map continues quiet... with a few disturbances with small chances of developing the next few days.

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Drier Days and Tepid in the Tropics

08/12/12

Michael Ehrenberg is keeping an eye on the weather for you tonight in the CBS12 StormTrac Center.
Well, we've had a pretty soggy weekend across parts of our area! Parts of West Palm Beach have received over 5 inches of rain!.
Afternoon Soakers will again affect many parts of the area on Monday.
As High Pressure and drier air builds back in from the East and SE...this will lead to fewer showers and more sunshine as we progress through our work week.
Meanwhile,  the tropics are looking rather anemic. Both the remains of Tropical 7 and an Eastern Atlantic Low show little promise to develop. The track on the Caribbean System will likely be similar to what happened to Ernesto...bringing it into the Yucatan by late week.
The Eastern Atlantic Low is  likely to recurve out to sea well East of Bermuda.

Enjoy the weather!

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WEEKEND RAIN CHANCE ... NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND TRACK

08/10/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... a tropical wave moving into SE Florida will bring increased clouds and showers Friday and through the weekend too.  The rain chance increasing Friday to 60% and 50% for Saturday and Sunday.

NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION NO.7... 2,500 miles away from Florida in the Atlantic... forecast to become Tropical Storm Gordon.  The 5 day forecast track keeps the tropical weather system well to our south and in the Central Caribbean through Monday... Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.  Follow the track closely to be sure it remains well to our south next week!

HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

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RAIN CHANCE INCREASING... NEW TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT?

08/09/12

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... A Tropical Wave will move into the area on Friday  increasing the rain chance Friday and into the weekend! Rain chance Friday is 50% and the weekend rain chance could be higher... near 50-60% too!  Expect mainly cloudy skies this weekend with highs near 88 and scattered to numerous showers and tstorms possible.

TROPICAL WEATHER... a disturbance 1700 miles east of the Caribbean could become a new Tropical Depression or storm (Gordon) in the next few days.  The area has a 70% chance of developing.

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Tropics Check and Our Local Weather

08/08/12

We're still keeping a close eye on a slowly organizing Tropical Wave/Low out over the Eastern Atlantic. This system now has a 50/50 chance in the next 2 days to organize into a Depression or Named Storm (Gordon). Computer Models track it across the open Atlantic. It's still way to early to tell where this storm will ultimately end up.

Meanwhile, we've got one more mainly dry day ahead for us. After that Moisture will increase. This will bring back our normal daily scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Enjoy the Weather!

Michael Ehrenberg

StormTrac Meteorologist

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DRY DAYS AHEAD... WEEKEND RAIN CHANCE HIGHER

08/08/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... Nice and dry weather ahead for the next several days.  Only a 20-30% chance of an isolated shower or inland tstorm.  Highs will be near 90 coast to 95 inland.  The weekend weather will be a little more cloudy with a higher chance for scattered showers and isooolated tstorms.  TROPICAL WEATHER... Ernesto made landfall in Central America and is no threat to Florida.  Another disturbance 3000 miles in the East Atlantic has a 30% chance to develop and become Tropical Storm Gordon.

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DRIER SKIES NEXT FEW DAYS... WATCHING TROPICAL WEATHER

08/07/12

  I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will be mainly sunny the next few days with the rain chance for a coastal shower at only 20% near the coast and 30%  for an inland afternoon thunderstorm. Highs near 90 coast to 95 well inland.  Light Se winds for boaters 10-15 and seas 2-3 feet.

  TROPCIAL WEATHER... a tropical wave continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles southwest of the cape verde islands. the circulation associated with the wave remains elongated...and upper-level winds are only currently marginally conducive for development. this system has a low chance...20 percent...of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at about 10 mph.

2. shower activity has increased this morning near the post-tropical remnant low of florence...located about 1000 miles east of the northern leeward islands. however...environmental conditions are not conducive for redevelopment...and this system has a low chance...10 percent...of again becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at about 20 mph.



 

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Checking the Tropics

08/06/12

Michael  Ehrenberg with you in the StormTrac Center...

Things are changing in the Tropics. Ernesto continues to gain strength and will likely become a hurricane at any time. Hurricane Warnings are in effect for Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula. The forecast track takes Ernesto through these areas and then briefly back out over the Southern Gulf of Mexico before moving back inland over Mexico.
Florence has disappeared! All deep convection is gone. The remaining swirl of clouds will track to the WNW out over the open waters of the Central Atlantic.
Closer to home, our rain chances are going down. The rest of the week features mixed sun and clouds with the normal scattered shower or thunderstorm.

Enjoy the Weather!!

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WET MONDAY... TROPICAL SYSTEMS NO THREAT

08/06/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... LOTS OF HEAVY RAIN ON THIS MONDAY!   The rain chance for this Monday is 70% for all areas!  Locally heavy rainfall totals of 1-2 inches possible. Cloudy skies will keep highs to only near 85.  Tropical Sorm Ernesto is no threat as it moves towards Central America.  Tropical Depression Florence is 3000 miles out in the Atlantic and also no threat. In fact Florence may fade altogether and completely dissipate in the next 24 hours!

  Locally... heavy rain for this Monday, then Sunny to partly cloudy skies with rain chances decreasing Tuesday through Friday to only 30% with highs near 90.

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Tropics Get Busy!

08/04/12

Michael Ehrenberg is watching your weather in the StormTrac Center....

I'm keeping a close eye on 3 Tropical Systems. A Weak Tropical Wave/Low Pressure System is moving through Florida. Because of land interaction no development is expected. However, it will add moisture to our atmosphere and keep our rain chances high the next few days (50-60%).

Tropical Storm Ernesto will likely gain strength as he moves across the Caribbean. Light Wind Shear and Hot water will aid in its future intensification. Ernesto stays safely South of us.

Finally, Tropical Storm Florence. Only 2 other times in Hurricane History has the 6th named storm formed so early in the season!
As Florence gains latitude she'll  encounter a hostile environment of Saharan Dust, Dry Air and increasing vertical wind shear. She'll likely weaken as she moves WNW-NW over the open waters of the Eastern and Central Atlantic.

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WEEKEND SHOWERS...WATCH TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO TRACK

08/03/12

TROPICAL WAVE... near Bahamas has 10% chance of Tropical Development. The wave will move into SE Florida with clouds and showers this weekend.  The rain chance will increase to 50% for Saturday and Sunday with variably cloudy skies and highs near 88.  Weekend Boating will have a slightly rougher seas at 2-3 feet as winds increase SE 10-15 with higher gusts through Sunday.

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO...The Official National Hurricane Center 5 day forecast track keeps Ernesto to our south through the weekend and into Wednesday.  HOWEVER... watch the track closely through the weekend for any changes that might bring the track further north... we always follow the track closely for any changes!

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LATEST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 5

08/02/12

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ...LOCATED 2000 MILES ESE OF WEST PALM BEACH. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...  A
WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BE NEAR THE CARIBBEAN ON FRIDAY. SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION IS POORLY
ORGANIZED... AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.

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Tropical Depression 5

08/01/12

Tropical Depression 5 was born late this afternoon. This system will likely strengthen into Tropical Storm Ernesto shortly. The official forecast track moves this system into the Caribbean over the weekend. It's  possible that it will turn into a hurricane by early next week. It's too early too tell where this system will ultimately move.

For the very latest on this storm and future storms check out our Hurricane Tracker link:

http://www.cbs12.com/weather/features/hurricane-tracker/

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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WATCH FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT....

08/01/12

Area of clouds 1100 miles east of the Caribbean has become better organized and could become a Tropical Depression in the next few days.  The chance of develpment now is 60%.  Computer models move the possible Tropical system west into the Caribbean early next week.  MONITOR THE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS TROPICAL WEATHER SYSTEM....

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Hot Week and Tropics Getting Active

07/30/12

Michael  Ehrenberg blogging with you this evening in the StormTrac Center.

We're in for some fairly normal Late July/Early August Weather. Each day starts with steamy hot sunshine. Scattered Storms will fire along the sea-breeze...mainly away from the coast during the afternoon and early evening. Rain chances do go up a little into the weekend.
Meanwhile, in the  tropics we've got our eye on a tropical wave halfway across the Atlantic.
Light Wind Shear in its path and warm ocean temperatures will favor slow development  of
this system. Some of the Computer  Models take it into the Caribbean by Saturday.
Check back for  further developments as the week progresses!

Regards!

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MORE HOT 90s... TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...TWO FULL MOON IN AUGUST

07/30/12

  I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... More heat ahead this week with highs near 92 coast and 95 well inland. The rain cahnce at 20% for coastal showers and 40% for an inland tstorm through Friday.  TROPICAL WEATHER...  area of clouds about 1000 miles off the coast of Africa has a 20% chance of development next 48 hours... but a better chance of development mid to late week towards Thursday and Friday.  No threat to any land area.

  The month of August begins Wednesday with a full moon Wednesday night! That full moon is the "Sturgeon Moon" after the Great Lakes fish caught during the month... the next full moon is August 31st... and the second full moon of any month is always called the "Blue Moon"!

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Dry Pattern Continues

07/28/12

Michael Ehrenberg checking in from the StormTrac Center.
It  looks like our dry weather pattern should linger for another few days. African dust and dry air  will keep our rain chances between 10-20% into Tuesday.
Thereafter, we'll get back into our normal routine of scattered mainly PM showers and thunderstorms.
The nearby tropics are virtually cloud-free with very little activity.

Enjoy the weather!

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Drier Days and a Tropics Check

07/25/12

July and 2012 have been very wet in many parts of our area. We deserve a break and we're getting one. A High Pressure Ridge will remain anchored near and to our South during the next several days. This will give us a Southerly Flow of very warm and humid air. In the upper levels African dust will continue to suppress convection. The bottom line...very low rain chances with only isolated showers and thunderstorms through the weekend.
In the tropics we see a cluster of thunderstorms in the Northeast Gulf of Mexico. In addition a Non-Tropical Low North of Bermuda continues to head further away from the U.S. Neither system shows much promise of development.

Thanks for checking our weather blog!

Regards,

Michael  Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist.

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The Week Ahead

07/23/12

Michael Ehrenberg in the StormTrac Center...

We'll have another wet day today. Morning Rains will yield to scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This is due to a slow moving trough of Low Pressure (formerly a tropical wave) moving through. This feature will move away as high pressure builds in for Tuesday and the rest of the week. Lower Rain chances can be expected then as our atmosphere dries out!

Enjoy the Weather!

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Drying Out

07/18/12

Michael  Ehrenberg here in the StormTrac Center.

Looks like our weather pattern will be undergoing a transition. The Upper Level Low that made it so unstable around here is lifting away from South Florida and weakening. Drier air air will advect in from the E and SE. This dry air has some African Dust in it. As high pressure builds in from that  direction, the sinking air and African Dust will help to suppress convection and increase our heat.
Afternoon highs will hike back into the low 90s with the Heat Index reaching 105+ in a few areas away from the coast.

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CLOUDY TUESDAY... RAIN CHANCE HIGH... DECREASING WEDNESDAY

07/17/12

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... mostly cloudy skies and a good chance of rain again! The rain chance Tuesday is 50% for Palm Beach County and 60% for the Treasure Coast area.
High temperatures will be in the mid 80s.  Southwest steering currents will move storms towards the copast in the afternoon!

  Wednesday expect some more sun and less rain and drier air moves in... the rain chance at 30%.  Saharan African dust will move into our skies... making the sky appear hazy Thursday through Friday... with less rain and mainly sunny skies and only a 20% chance of showers or isolated thunderstorms. Highs will be in the low 90s!

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Unusual Weather Moving our Way

07/16/12

Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the StormTrac Center tonight.


An unusual weather phenomenon is heading our way. It's called the SAL (Saharan Air Layer).

What's that you ask?! It's a large area of suspended dust and sand coming all the way from the African deserts. You'll notice the water vapor picking it up and being shown as the black and reddish colors. An upper level high will build west and continue to push this dusty air in our direction.

Fortunately it poses little health risk to us because most of the dust is well above the ground by a mile or more. You will notice though a hazy/brownish look to the sky from Wednesday into Friday. Along with this, the upper level high will generate strong subsidence (sinking air). This will dry out the air and heat us up. Expect highs well into the 90s with Heat Indexes getting into the very uncomfortable range (over 105 in some interior areas)

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WEEK STARTS WET... ENDS DRIER.. HOTTER TOO!

07/16/12

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... the chance of rain at 70% for this Monday with deep SW winds and tropical moisture moving through... highs near 87! Tuesday still deep SW winds and the rain chance at 50% and highs near 90.  Wednesday through Friday dry air and Saharan  Desert Dust moving through the atmosphere will give us sunnier skies skies, hotter highs near 92... and only a 20% chance of rain!  The coming weekend will see a return to partly cloudy skies with an increasing rain chance to 50% for Saturday and Sunday.  Tropical Weather outlook... no tropical storm development expected through Wednesday!

 

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Any Rain Ahead?

07/14/12

Hi Michael Ehrenberg in the StormTrac Center!

July has been very dry in parts. At PBIA there's been less than an inch of rain. However, were still running above the average for 2012 so  far.
Can we expect some rain? The Water Vapor loop shows two upper level lows. They are helping to push dry air away and draw in higher moisture values to South Florida.
The bottom line is more frequent showers and  thunderstorms during the next few days. Thereafter rain chances go back down from Tuesday on.

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NORMAL WEATHER PATTERN... WEEKEND WEATHER OK

07/13/12

OUR NORMAL WEAHTER PATTERN HAS RETURNED... MORNING COASTAL SHOWERS... INLAND AFTERNOON TSTORMS... TROPICAL WEATHER QUIET!

  I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...  TODAY and SATURDAY...a 30% chance of morning coastal showers then a 50% chance of isolated inland afternoon thunderstorms for ... then SUNDAY... a 50% chance of rain for all areas.  BOATERS...  a slight increase in E/SE winds 15 knots will bring seas up to 2-4 feet Friday and Saturday... but no advisories expected. TROPICAL WEATHER.... no tropical weather development is expected next 2 days!

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RAIN CHANCE AT 50% AGAIN... DRIER WEEKEND WEATHER

07/12/12

THE RAIN CHANCE REMAINS NEAR 50%  UNTILTHE WEEKEND... TROPCIAL WEATHER MAP QUIET TOO!  I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will become mostly cloudy this Thursday with a 50% chance of scattered late morning showers and afternoon Tstorms.  Friday will be similar with a 50% chance of scattered showers and Tstorms.  Weekend weather will be drier with only a 30% chance of coastal showers and a 40% chance of inland Tstorms.  TROPICAL WEATHER MAP... quiet no disturbances.. no development expected!

RAINFALL CHANCE GRAPHICS BELOW

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Rainy Days

07/11/12

Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the StormTrac Center. It was quite a rainy morning for much of Palm Beach County. Rains were heaviest in South County with Boca Raton reporting more than 1". This caused some local street and highway flooding. (Check out the totals below). Thursday not likely as wet with rain totals forecast to be mostly under 1/4". The moist E/SE flow is expected to continue with near average chances for rain each day (30-40%)

Enjoy the Weather!

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VERY WET DAY... RAIN CHANCE HIGH

07/11/12

TROPICAL WAVE BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND TSTORMS... I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lots of showers and storms moving through the area on this Wednesday!  The rain chance at 50% for the coast and 60% inland.  Locally heavy rain possible with 1-3 inches in some areas. Highs only near 87. The rain chance remains high for Thursday with another 50% chance for showers and storms... then decreasing rain chances to 30% for Friday and into the weekend!

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Normal July Pattern

07/10/12

Our weather pattern looks very normal the next several days. A deep High Pressure Ridge will remain anchored to our North. With plenty of moisture in place (as noted on the Water Vapor) daily showers and storms can be expected. Coastal areas have the best chance during the late night and morning hours. The E/SE flow around the High will push storms into the Inland areas during the afternoon and evening.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg

StormTrac Meteorologist

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RAIN CHANCE INCREASING THROUGH WEDNESDAY

07/10/12

RAIN CHANCE INCREASING TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY... TROPICAL; WEATHER MAP QUIET!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... the chance for rain increasing the next few days as a Tropical Wave moves through the area.  Skies partly to mostly cloudy with rain chances increasing to 50%  for scattered showers and Tstorms Tuesday and Wednesday.  Highs near 88 coast to 93 inland.  Boaters... light E/SE winds and seas through the week ahead with no major increase in winds or seas through Friday. Tropical Weather map is quiet with no disturbances or development expected.


 

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Increasing Rain Chances

07/08/12

We'll squeeze out another dry day on Monday as High Pressure and an Easterly Flow pushes what few coastal showers develop into the inland areas during the afternoon.
Water Vapor shows copious amounts of moisture to our South. This will lift  into our area beginning on Tuesday. As a result our rain chances head back to near normal (40-50%) for the rest of the week.

Keep those umbrellas handy!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologiost

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Typical July Weather

07/07/12

Michael Ehrenberg with you this weekend in the CBS12 StormTrac Center.

A weak tropical wave is passing to our South this weekend. It's influence here will be little.
We'll continue to be under the effect of a High Pressure Ridge across Central Florida and
stretching out into the Atlantic. This means an E/SE wind flow. The sea-breeze will ignite some
scattered Showers and T'Storms. The E/SE flow will tend to push any activity out West during the afternoon and evening hours.
Moisture may increase some by Tuesday which will bring our rain chances back to normal.

I hope you enjoy the rest of your weekend!

Regards,

Michael E.

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FINALLY FRIDAY... WEEKEND WEATHER OK ...

07/06/12

NORMAL WEATHER PATTERN NEXT FEW DAYS...  FEW COASTAL SHOWERS AND INLAND STORMS... NORMAL HEAT TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... only a 20% chance of a coastal shower and  40% chance of an inland afternoon tstorm.  Otherwsie skies mostly sunny to partly cloudy with highs near normal 90 at the coast and 95 well inland.  Boaters, light SE winds 10-15 and seas 2-3 feet throught the weekend too!  

Watching a tropical wave near Hispanola and eastern Cuba with little chance of development... moving west 20 mph... it could bring an increasing chance of rain Monday and Tuesday next week!  HAVE A NICE WEEKEND!

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RAIN CHANCE SMALL... JULY HEAT LARGE... TROPICS QUIET!

07/05/12

QUIET WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND

LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS... TROPICS QUIET TOO

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... The rain chance remains small at 20% for a few coastal showers each day... then a 40% chance for a few inland afternoon Thunderstorms.  More July heat with highs near 90 coast to 95 inland... but heat index "feels like" temps will be near 100-105...  STAY HYDRATED... HEAT EXHAUSTION... HEAT CRAMPS ALL POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON HEAT! Weekend weather will change little with light winds and seas for boaters too through Sunday.


 

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Subtle Weather Changes

07/04/12

Michael Ehrenberg is in the CBS12 StormTrac Center on this Fourth of July.
I hope you've enjoyed a sunny hot Holiday!
Over the next few days we'll have a slight increase in moisture due to a couple of tropical
waves passing near or just to our South.
The wave currently over the NE Caribbean will track rapidly westward and move south of us
on the weekend.
With deep Easterly Flow, however, the best chance for scattered showers will be near the coast in the late night or morning. This shifts well inland during the afternoon or early evening;.

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4TH OF JULY... FEW SHOWERS... LOTS OF HEAT!

07/04/12

FEW SHOWERS FOR THE FOURTH ... TROPICAL WAVE PASSING BY...TROPICS STILL QUIET!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... The 4th of July will have a  20% chance of a few isolated coastal showers and a 30% chance of an isolated inland afternoon thunderstorm. Highs will be near 90 at the coast and 95 inland with heat index "feels like" temps near 100!  Expect little change in the weather through the next 5 days and into the weekend!

WEATHER GRAPHICS BELOW

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MORE HEAT... RAIN CHANCE ON 4TH... TROPICAL WEATHER

07/03/12

MOSTLY SUNNY HOT DRY WEATHER.... 4TH OF JULY FORECAST... LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS...TROPICAL WEATHER MAP QUIET.

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... mainly sunny and hot.... only a 20% chance of an isolated inland afternoon shower or tstorm. Highs near 90 coast to 95 inland... HEAT INDEX "feels like" temperatures near 100-105... slow down... find some shade... drink plenty of water!  4TH OF JULY... sunny to partly cloudy with a 30% chance of isolated coastal showers or inland afternoon tstorms with highs near 90-95.

WEATHER GRAPHICS BELOW


 

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Improved Water Situation

07/02/12

Our Water Situation here in South Florida has improved a whole lot during the last several months.
Taking a look at rainfall at PBI you can see we've been well above average for the last 3 months. (See graphic below)
The Kissimmee River Valley has also benefited from plentiful rain. The result is that Lake Okeechobee is only 0.27 feet below the average for this time of year. It had been much lower earlier in the year.
The upcoming  week will feature a small increase in our daily rain chances with scattered mainly PM Showers and Storms slowly returning.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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Dry Pattern Sticks Around

06/30/12

Michael  Ehrenberg here in the CBS12 StormTracCenter...

It look like our mainly rain-free weather continues the next few days. A strong upper level high pressure ridge is in control of our weather. Under these weather systems there is strong "subsidence" or sinking air. Sinking Air squelches the normal upward motion needed to produce clouds and t'storms. The bottom line is low rain chances for us into the early part of the week.
Thereafter, that High Pressure Ridge will weaken. As a result you'll see a few more storms popping up each day.
Of course, the normal July heat will be sticking around.

Enjoy the Weather!

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FINALLY ... NICE WEEKEND WEATHER!

06/29/12

SUNNY SKIES WITH LITTLE CHANCE OF ANY RAIN THIS WEEKEND... GREAT WATER FOR BOATERS... AND WATCHING ONE AREA OF TROPICAL CLOUDS!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies and dry for the weekend! Finally a nice weather weekend! Nice light east winds this weekend 10-15 mph... with seas only 2-3 feet for boaters. The rain chance only 20% for the weekend... and highs near 90 at the coast... to 93 well inland!  Nice dry weather pattern into next week!

TTOPICAL WEATHER... AN AREA OF CLOUDS ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE CARIBBEAN WITH ONLY A 10% CHANCE OF DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND DEVELOPMENT SLOW TO OCCUR!

GRAPHICS... RAIN CHANCE...TROPICAL WEATHER BELOW

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MORE WIND... MORE CLOUDS... MORE SHOWERS... NO DEBBY!

06/27/12

ROUGH GUSTY WIND AGAIN TODAY SOUTHWEST 25-35+ MPH.  LOTS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS... AND DEBBY IS ABOUT GONE!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... winds are rough and gusty from the SW at 25-30+ mph.  Expect cloudy skies and we have scattered showers too with the rain chance at 70% and highs near 90.  The winds will graduallty decrease on Thursday.  The rain chance will drase on Thursday through Sunday with sunnier skies and highs near 92!

RAIN CHANCE-WIND FORECAST-DEBBY TRACK BELOW

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE WIND... MORE CLOUDS... MORE SHOWERS... NO DEBBY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE WIND... MORE CLOUDS... MORE SHOWERS... NO DEBBY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE WIND... MORE CLOUDS... MORE SHOWERS... NO DEBBY!


MORE CLOUDS... WIND... SHOWERS... TSTORMS

06/26/12

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY IS WEAKER AND NO THREAT TO SOUTH FLORIDA. MORE GUSTY WINDS 20-30+ AND A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN TOO.

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... another windy day with S/SW winds 20-25 mph... gusts to 30 mph! Bands of showers will occasionally move through too with heavy rain and isolated tstorms.  Rain Chances through Thursday 50-70%!   Highs near 87.  This pattern will continue through Thursday.. and finally winds and the rain chance will decrease Friday through Sunday.  Expect Small Craft Caution flags to remain up for the next few days through Thursday.

GRAPHICS BELOW....RAINFALL CHANCE-WIND FORECAST-DEBBY TRACK

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TORNADO WATCH... DEBBY STATIONARY... GUSTY WINDS...

06/26/12

TORNADO WATCH FOR ENTIRE VIEWING AREA UNTIL 11PM

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY NO THREAT TO SE FLORIDA!        

                      WINDY DAYS AHEAD... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell ... cloudy skies and gusty SE/S winds 25-30+ mph this Monday with a rain chance at 60% for scattered showers and tstorms.  The rain chance will remain high near 50% each day this week with gusty S/SW winds 15-25 mph too.  Highs near 87 and lows near 78.

TORNADO WATCH... WIND FORECAST....DEBBY TRACK... BELOW

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - TORNADO WATCH... DEBBY STATIONARY... GUSTY WINDS... WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - TORNADO WATCH... DEBBY STATIONARY... GUSTY WINDS... WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - TORNADO WATCH... DEBBY STATIONARY... GUSTY WINDS...


HIGH WEEKEND RAIN CHANCES... WATCHING TROPICS TOO!

06/22/12

HIGH WEEKEND RAIN CHANCES AT 60-70% ... BREEZY WEEKEND WINDS... ALSO WATCHING CLOUDS IN THE GULF FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT!

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... The rain chance for the weekend remains high at 70% for Saturday and 60% for Sunday.  Gusty winds will be developing Saturday and Sunday S/SE 15-20 and gusty with rougher seas for boaters too.  

Tropical weather.. a 70% chance clouds in the couthern Gulf of Mexico will develop into either a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm (Debby) over the weekend.  Right now computer models show whatever develops moving slowly north through the weekend.

GRAPHICS BELOW

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CLOUDY THURSDAY... MORE RAIN AHEAD... TROPCIAL DEVELOPMENT IN GULF?

06/21/12

THE CHANCE OF RAIN REMAINS HIGH 50-60% THROUGH WEEKEND... TROPICAL CLOUDS IN GULF OF MEXICO COULD DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell ... cloudy skies for our Thursday with the rain chance at 50%... Friday and Saturday the rain chance at 60% each day!  Boaters will find lighter winds and seas 2-4 feet with no advisories... Rip Currents alaways possible so stay near lifeguards.

TROPICAL WEATHER... A BROAD AREA OF CLOUDS OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ...AND SOME GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

GRAPHICS/RAIN CHANCE/TROPICS BELOW

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - CLOUDY THURSDAY... MORE RAIN AHEAD... TROPCIAL DEVELOPMENT IN GULF? WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - CLOUDY THURSDAY... MORE RAIN AHEAD... TROPCIAL DEVELOPMENT IN GULF? WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - CLOUDY THURSDAY... MORE RAIN AHEAD... TROPCIAL DEVELOPMENT IN GULF?


FLOOD WATCH... WET AND WINDY WEDNESDAY! ROUGH SURF TOO!

06/20/12

FLOOD WATCH PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 10 PM... 2-4 INCHES OF RAIN LOCAL FLOODING SOME STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS! GUSTY WINDS... PERIODS OF RAIN... TROPICAL WEATHER AND MORE RAINY DAYS AHEAD TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... Lots of rain today witht he rain chance at 80%. Gusty E/SE winds at 25-35 mph too! Rough surf with waves 4-6 feet and Small Craft Advisories in effect too!

The wet weather pattern will continue with rain chance at 50-60% through Thursday and Friday too.  The weekend weather will also continue the chance of rain at 40-50% through Saturday and Sunday!

TROPICAL WEATHER: Tropical Storm Chris 800 miles NNE of Bermuda no threat to land. Area of clouds in the Caribbean, Bahamas and Keys will move into the Gulf of Mexico Friday and Saturday with a slightly better chance 20% chance of tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend.

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - FLOOD WATCH... WET AND WINDY WEDNESDAY! ROUGH SURF TOO! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - FLOOD WATCH... WET AND WINDY WEDNESDAY! ROUGH SURF TOO! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - FLOOD WATCH... WET AND WINDY WEDNESDAY! ROUGH SURF TOO!


SUNNY BREEZY TUESDAY... RAIN WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY.. WATCHING TROPICS

06/19/12

NICE NOW WITH GUSTY WINDS 20-25+ MPH.... SUNNY SKIES AND ROUGH SURF... BUT CLOUDS AND RAIN MOVING IN WEDNESDAY... WATCHING TROPICAL CLOUDS TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies on this Tuesday with gusty East winds 20-25 mph...gusts to 30 possible.  Little chance of any rain.  Seas increasing 4-6 feet with Caution Flags... Rip Currents too... stay near Lifeguards!

Tropcial clouds to the south over Cuba will be moving north on Wednesday and Thursday bringing a good 60% chance of heavy rain .  This cloud area has little chance of Tropical development now... only 10%.  But as the area moves into the Gulf of Mexico Friday and Saturday the chance of development could be higher... we will see!

GRAPHICS FOR RAIN CHANCE...WAVES...TROPICAL WEATHER BELOW

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - SUNNY BREEZY TUESDAY... RAIN WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY.. WATCHING TROPICS WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - SUNNY BREEZY TUESDAY... RAIN WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY.. WATCHING TROPICS WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - SUNNY BREEZY TUESDAY... RAIN WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY.. WATCHING TROPICS


This Week's Weather

06/18/12

Michael Ehrenberg here  in the StormTrac Center  today.

It looks like another couple of dry days ahead for us. We'll have Sunny to Partly Cloudy Skies with only isolated showers. Expect a high in the mid to upper 80s. With East Winds 10-15+ kts we can expect seas of 3-5 feet. Tuesday Winds will be more like 15-20 kts.
Midweek..moisture across the Caribbean will gradually lift North...aided by the development of a Low Pressure area in the Western Caribbean or South Gulf of Mexico. This will increase our rain chances back to Normal for the latter part of the week. Check out the grapics below.

I hope you have a great weather week!

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Gradual Weather Changes This Week

06/17/12

Michael Ehrenberg in the StormTrac Center Tonight.

Happy Father's Day to all you Dads!

What a nice weekend! NE-E winds continue to pump in dry air with only an isolated
sprinkle here or there. The high won't move much into Wednesday. This means more of the
same. The breeze will continue to generate 3 to 5' seas into at least mid-week.
Thereafter moisture down South of us in the Caribbean will gradually creep northwards. Computer Models generate some form of Low Pressure in either the West Caribbean or the Bay of Campeche later this week. The circulation around this will also aid in bringing the moisture North.
Bottom Line...Scattered Showers and storms return for later in the week.

Enjoy the Weather!

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Community Visit and our Weather

06/16/12

One of the favorite parts of my job is to make weather presentations in the community. Today I had the pleasure of speaking to the folks of ROLOH (Residents of  Lake Osbourne Heights).
We talked about the upcoming hurricane season, the predictions and the risk to South Florida.
I  then shared some pictures of one of the Hurricane Hunter Planes that flies into hurricanes.
The residents enjoyed it when I showed "behind the scenes" pictures of CBS12. These included the infamous "green screen" amongst other things.
As far as our weather is concerned, we'll be getting another break from our daily afternoon thunderstorms. Drier air will filter in on NE-E winds the next few days. This keeps our rain chances at only 20% through Tuesday. Moisture will increase beginning Wednesday. You know what that means..scattered storms once again enter the picture!

Regards,
Michael Ehrenberg
CBS12/AMS Meteorologist

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NICE FATHERS DAY WEEKEND... BREEZY

06/15/12

FATHERS DAY WEEKEND WEATHER NICE... A LITTLE BREEZY... ONLY A FEW SHOWERS... SOME ROUGHER SURF... TROPICS QUIET!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...  mainly sunny skies through the weekend with only a 30% chance of a scattered coastal shower or inland afternoon Tstorm Saturday and Sunday.  Highs will be near 87 coast to 92 inland.  Winds will be a little stronger from the NE/E 15-20 mph... that means rougher surf for boaters... and Small Craft Caution flags may be needed Saturday and Sunday.

RAIN CHANCE AND WAVE HEIGHT GRAPHICS BELOW

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HOT DAY... AFTERNOON STORMS... Fathers Day Weekend!

06/14/12

ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS IN THE 90s ...AFTERNOON STORMS LIKELY... FATHERS DAY WEEKEND A LITTLE BREEZY WITH INCREASING SEAS... TROPICS QUIET FOR NOW.

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell.... sunny through the morning, then becoming cloudy with a 40% chance of scattered afternoon tstorms.  The rain chance 40% on Friday too.   Fathers Day weekend will be a little breezy with NE/E winds 15-20 and a little rougher surf too...  the weekend rain chance only 30% .

FORECAST WAVES AND TROPICS BELOW:

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HOT DAY... AFTERNOON STORMS... Fathers Day Weekend! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HOT DAY... AFTERNOON STORMS... Fathers Day Weekend! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HOT DAY... AFTERNOON STORMS... Fathers Day Weekend!


Weather Changes Ahead

06/12/12

After a few rare June Days with little cloudiness and no rainfall our weather will undergo slow
changes for the rest of this week.
A deep High  Pressure Ridge over Florida will gradually break down and weaken. This will allow sea breezes to develop. In addition a frontal trough and weak cool front will slide into the Sunshine State. It all means a more unstable atmosphere which will gradually increase our shower and storm chances to normal for this time of year.
Check out the graphics below.

Enjoy the Weather!

Michael Ehrenberg

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NICE...SUNNY... WARM AND DRY... LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCE!

06/12/12

LIMITED CHANCES FOR RAIN THE NEXT FEW DAYS... TROPICAL WEATHER MAP IS QUIET... LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will remain mostly sunny the next few days with very little chance for rain through Wednesday.  Light east to southeast winds at 10-15 and highs will be near normal 87 coast to near 90 inland.  The tropical weather map is quiet with no chance for any tropical development expected through Thursday.

The rain chance will begin to increase Friday through the weekend with warmer southwest winds and steering currents moving thunderstorms towards the coast this weekend.

TROPICAL WEATHER MAP AND WIND AND WAVE GRAHPICS BELOW 

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICE...SUNNY... WARM AND DRY... LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCE! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICE...SUNNY... WARM AND DRY... LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCE! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICE...SUNNY... WARM AND DRY... LATE WEEK RAIN CHANCE!


Drier Pattern Changes by Week's End

06/11/12

Hi Everybody. This is Meteorologist Michael Ehrenberg in the CBS12 StormTrac Center.

Well, I've certainly enjoyed our weather the last few days! No T'Storms to deal with and some slightly drier air enabled us Meteorologists to take a few breaths and relax for a change. With Deep High Pressure parked over Florida through Tuesday we'll have another dry day. Our  in-house Microcast Hour-by-Hour Forecast Model shows no rain for us again!
The High will gradually weaken and move into the Gulf.  As a front sags into North Florida our rain chances gradually increase through the week. Look for our normal June T'Storms to be popping up on the weekend.

Enjoy the Weather!

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NEAR NORMAL RAIN AND TEMPS THIS WEEK...

06/11/12

NO TOO  MUCH RAIN THIS WEEK... NEAR NORMAL HIGH AND TROPICAL WEATHER IS QUIET TOO!

I'm AMS Meteorologist Chris Farrell... mainly sunny skies and near normal highs of 88 coast to 92 inland... expect only a 20-30% chance of a coastal shower through Wednesday.  Thursday and Friday the rain chance goes up to about 30-40% for an afternoon shower or Tstorm. Boaters expect light winds se 10-15 and seas 2-3 feet through most of the week ahead too! Tropical weather is quiet no disturbances and nothing develolping through Wednesday!

GRAPHICS BELOW...

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NEAR NORMAL RAIN AND TEMPS THIS WEEK... WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NEAR NORMAL RAIN AND TEMPS THIS WEEK...


Drying Out a Bit

06/09/12

Hi. I'm Meteorologist  Michael Ehrenberg in the CBS12 StormTrac Center.

After daily rains it looks like we're due for a bit of a break.
High Pressure will build across the state of Florida. This will tend to suppress
the atmosphere and lead to lowering rain chances.
Monday and Tuesday most of us will escape rain altogether.
By mid to late week look for just scattered PM and Evening showers or storms.
Check out the graphics/explainers below.

Regards!

Michael  E.

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HIGH RAIN CHANCE THORUGH SATURDAY... DRIER SUNDAY!

06/08/12

CHANCE OF RAIN REMAINS QUITE HIGH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY TOTALS OF 2-3 INCHES POSSIBLE..... SUNDAY DRIER!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... cloudy skies again with a 70% chaance of rain this Friday and Saturday a 50% chance of showers!  Cloudy skies will help keep high temperatures to near 85-88.  Boaters... very light winds and seas the next several days with ony 1-3 foot seas through Sunday and smooth intracoastal waters too!

RAIN CHANCE GRAPHICS BELOW

 

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HIGH RAIN CHANCE THORUGH SATURDAY... DRIER SUNDAY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HIGH RAIN CHANCE THORUGH SATURDAY... DRIER SUNDAY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HIGH RAIN CHANCE THORUGH SATURDAY... DRIER SUNDAY!


MORE RAIN THORUGH FRIDAY... DRIER WEEKEND!

06/07/12

MORE RAIN COMING OUR WAY THIS THURSDAY... AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.. THEN A DRIER WEEKEND COMING!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... CBS12 Stormtrac radar showing a large area of rain moving in from the west for another rainy day!  The rain chance at nearly 70% everywhere! Between Thursday and Friday a total of 2-3 inches possible in some areas!

Saturday expect a 40% chance of rain and Sunday the rain chance down to 30%.    Boaters will find winds and seas remaining light through the coming weekend too! 

NO TROPICAL WEATHER DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED EITHER!

GRAPHICS AND RAINFALL CHANCE BELOW!


 

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE RAIN THORUGH FRIDAY... DRIER WEEKEND! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE RAIN THORUGH FRIDAY... DRIER WEEKEND! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE RAIN THORUGH FRIDAY... DRIER WEEKEND!


WET DRIVE WITH HEAVY RAIN... MORE WET DAYS AHEAD TOO!

06/06/12

CLICK FOR CBS12.com INTERACTIVE RADAR

A VERY WET WEDNESDAY.... AND A  DISTURBANCE MOVING OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO IS BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND STORMS ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... very high rain chances the next three days... with morning showers... then afternoon thunderstorms likely and locally heavy rain with gusty winds too!  Locally heavy rainfall totals of 1-3 inches are possible each day.  BUT... the final 3 day total could be 3-5 inches in some areas!

Weekend weather will be a little drier, but generally cloudy skies will continue and northeast winds and scattered showers too with the rain chance Saturday and Sunday at 40%!

GRAPHICS AND RAINFALL TOTALS BELOW

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CLOUDY-WARM DAYS... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING LATE WEEK

06/05/12

ABOVE NORMAL HEAT... CLOUDY DAYS...  DISTURBANCE IN THE GULF MOVING IN LATE WEEK WITH CLOUDS AND RAIN!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... mostly cloudy skies but the chance of rain still low for a few days through Wednesday!  Expect highs near 90 and lows near 75.  The chance for rain increasing Thursday through Saturday.  

Light SW winds will keep seas nearly flat for a few days through Friday, with little change for the coming weeekend too.  Tropical weather map remains quiet too with NO TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT FORECAST THE NEXT 2 DAYS!

CLICK: Watch the latest CBS12.com video weather forecast

GRAPHICS BELOW SHOW RAIN CHANCE AND TOTALS NEXT 5 DAYS

 

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - CLOUDY-WARM DAYS... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING LATE WEEK WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - CLOUDY-WARM DAYS... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING LATE WEEK WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - CLOUDY-WARM DAYS... RAIN CHANCE INCREASING LATE WEEK


HOT 90s AHEAD... LATE WEEK AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO!

06/04/12

THE NORMAL HIGH IS 88 AND WE WILL BE CLOSER TO 92 THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS THROUGH FRIDAY!  THE CHANCE OF AFTERNOON TSTORMS WILL INCREASE LATE WEEK... AND THE TORPICAL MAP IS QUITE!
I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies and above normal highs near 90-92 through Friday.  The chance of afternoon thunderstorms will increase from 40% on Tuesday and Wednesday to near 50-60% for Thursday and Friday!

The Tropical Weather outlook is quite!

RAIN CHANCE AND TROPICAL GRAPHICS BELOW!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HOT 90s AHEAD... LATE WEEK AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HOT 90s AHEAD... LATE WEEK AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HOT 90s AHEAD... LATE WEEK AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO!


Drier Pattern Takes Hold

06/02/12

The persistent upper level trough which made for a very wet May will shift to our East for
the next few days. This means mostly sunny skies are on tap for Sunday with highs close to 90.
Monday and Tuesday will be mainly dry too.

Moisture increases and the rain chances head higher for the mid-late week period.

Enjoy the Weather!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
Meteorologist

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FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY PALM BEACH COUNTY... NICER-DRIER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY!

06/01/12

FLOOD WATCH FOR PALM BEACH COUNTY THIS FRIDAY FOR 1-3 INCHES OF RAIN CAUSING SOME MINOR LOW LYING AREAS TO FLOOD. HEAVY RAIN THROUGHOUT THE DAY.... NICE AND DRIER FOR THE WEEKEND!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... the rain chance this Friday is near 100%!  Locally heavy rain periods could produce 1-3 inches in the next 24 hours!  Highs only near 80 in the clouds and rain!

Watch my video forecast by clicking here ...

Track the rain on our interactive radar ...

Saturday and Sunday will be nicer! Saturday partly cloudy with a 30% chance of rain and highs near 87. Sunday mostly sunny with a  20% chance of rain and highs near 90!

FLOOD WATCH AREA AND RAIN CHANCES BELOW!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY PALM BEACH COUNTY... NICER-DRIER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY PALM BEACH COUNTY... NICER-DRIER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - FLOOD WATCH FRIDAY PALM BEACH COUNTY... NICER-DRIER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY!


HEAVY TROPICAL RAINS MOVING INTO SOUTH FLORIDA

05/31/12

A large area of tropical moisture is moving north into South Florida from the Caribbean, bringing with it heavy rains that will stick with us possibly through Saturday morning.

Rains should begin to arrive late Thursday morning and early afternoon. Embedded thunderstorms are possible, particularly around Lake Okeechobee and in Palm Beach County where daytime heating is most likely. Widespread cloud cover will keep a lid on most thunderstorm development, however.

Track the rainfall on CBS12.com's interactive radar!

The area of unsettled weather has no tropical characteristics and is not being watched currently for possible development into a tropical cyclone. We'll keep our eye on it though!

Look for a bit of drying out Saturday and Sunday.

Watch our latest video forecast by clicking here.

Images below, from left to right, show the probability of precipitation Thursday, Friday and Saturday in our region.

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AFTERNOON STORMS AGAIN... AND MORE RAIN FRIDAY-SATURDAY!

05/30/12

WET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES WITH MORE AFTERNOON STORMS THROUGH THURSDAY... THEN RAIN LIKELY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies start sunny Wednesday and Thursday with a 40% chance of tstorms each afternoon.  Highs will be near 90 before the rain.  Light SW winds will keep the afternoon storms moving east towards the coast each day. So far this May ... Palm Beach International airport has recorded 9.22 inches of rain  and that is 5.22 above normal!

Looking into Friday and Saturday a disturbance coming out of the Caribbean will bring even more clouds... moisture and increase the chance of rain to 60-70% for Friday and Saturday!

RAIN CHANCES AND GRAPHICS BELOW:


 

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - AFTERNOON STORMS AGAIN... AND MORE RAIN FRIDAY-SATURDAY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - AFTERNOON STORMS AGAIN... AND MORE RAIN FRIDAY-SATURDAY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - AFTERNOON STORMS AGAIN... AND MORE RAIN FRIDAY-SATURDAY!


Active Pattern

05/29/12

Our active weather pattern likely persists for the rest of the week.
Check out the charts below. The first one shows tomorrow's "steering winds"
out of the Southwest across Florida. The third one is a forecast for Friday.
Similar set-up here.
Southwest winds typically bring storms to the Coast along with hot temperatures.
So, the rain chances each day where you are, are 40% for Wed and Thu and
increasing to 50% for Fri and Sat.

Keep that umbrella handy!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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MORE STRONG AFTERNOON STORMS AHEAD

05/29/12

A WEATHER PATTERN WITH STRONG AFTERNOON STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK!  TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL STILL RAINING ON NORTH FLORIDA TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will start sunny each day through Friday with highs near 90 before locally strong and heavy afternoon lightning storms each afternoon.  The rain chance each afternoon through Friday will be 50%!!

Rainfall totals for Palm Beach International Airport for May so far... 8.23 inches of rain and that is 4.30 above normal!  Vero Beach rainfall total is 4.17 inches and that is 1.30 inches above normal too!  And more rain ahead each afternoon too!

Rain chance grahphics below:

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Tornado Strikes the Treasure Coast

05/28/12

Wow! Check out the picture sent in from one of our viewers this afternoon.
While I was on the air broadcasting a Tornado Warning...for a change...the warning confirmed!

Sheriff Officers, Citizens, and Emergency Managers all saw the tornado touch down. It carved a 200 yard long path near Port St. Lucie about mid-afternoon.

Most tornadoes in South  Florida are weak. This one registered an EF0 on the Enhanced Fujita Scale.

Luckily,  no injuries reported.

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
AMS CBM StormTrac Meteorologist

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MEMORIAL DAY... SUNNY MORNING SKIES THEN AFTERNOON STORMS!

05/28/12

MEMORIAL DAY STARTS SUNNY, THEN MORE AFTERNOON STORMS LIKELY... TROPICAL STORM BERYL MAKE LAND IN JACKSONVILLE!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunny skies through the morning hours... then a 50-60% chance of afternoon storms!  Light winds and seas this morning will gradually increase this afternoon.  SMALL CRAFT CAUTION from Jupiter Inlet north where seas will increase 5-7 feet.  Palm Beach County coastal waters have waves the2-4 feet.  RIP CURRENTS likely in water near shore.. so...  STAY NEAR LIFE GUARDS!

RAIN CHANCES BELOW

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Beryl's Indirect Effects in South Florida

05/27/12

Michael Ehrenberg writing from the StormTrac Center..
Beryl will be pushing ashore Sunday Night with near Hurricane Force Winds (65 mph).

The counter-clockwise Flow means a West to East Wind down here. Some added moisture has produced some locally heavy downpours.  Check out some of the WeatherBug totals in the graphic below.

Meanwhile, we can expect typical rainy season weather this week with daily scattered mainly PM showers and storms. It will be hot and muggy each day.

The 3 foot sea swell from Beryl will gradually die down overnight.

Regards,

Michael E.

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Tropical Storm Beryl

05/26/12

Hi! Michael Ehrenberg in the StormTrac Center Tonight...

It looks like Sub-Tropical Storm Beryl will move into extreme NE Florida or South Georgia later Sunday. It's effects here include 4-7 foot seas with a chunk of that a NE Swell. This will cause rough surf and rip currents at area beaches into early Monday.
Added moisture will indirectly increase our rain chances. Scattered mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will make it wet for a lot of us for a portion of our Holiday Weekend.

Enjoy the Weather!

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NICER WEEKEND WEATHER... NEW TROPICAL STORM POSSIBLE TOO

05/25/12

AREA OF CLOUDS NE OF THE BAHAMAS HAS A 70% CHANCE OF DEVELOPING THE NEXT 2 DAYS...  NICER AND DRIER SKIES FOR US HERE!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... sunnier skies and drier skies he next few days with only a 30% chance of showers Friday, Saturday and Sunday... the chance of rain for Memorial Day Monday is 40%!  Highs will be near normal at 86 and lows near normal around 70. Boaters.. generally light winds NW/NE 10-15 and seas 2-4 feet through Sunday, but stronger SE winds and seas may develop by Memorial Day Monday.

Tropical weather... area of clouds NE of the Bahamas moving NE-15 mph has a 70% chance of developing into Tropical Depression no.2 or... Tropical Storm Beryl during the next 2-3 days.  Initial movement would be towards the northeast away from Florida, but it could move west back towards the Carolinas Sunday into Monday.

TROPICAL MAPS AND RAIN CHANCES BELOW

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICER WEEKEND WEATHER... NEW TROPICAL STORM POSSIBLE TOO WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICER WEEKEND WEATHER... NEW TROPICAL STORM POSSIBLE TOO WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICER WEEKEND WEATHER... NEW TROPICAL STORM POSSIBLE TOO


MORE CLOUDS & SHOWERS.... MEMORIAL WEEKEND DRIER... TROPICS TOO

05/24/12

CLICK FOR THE CURRENT CBS12 INTERACTIVE RADAR

THE RAIN CHANCE CONTINUES HIGH AGAIN... MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND SHOULD BE DRIER... AND THE TROPICAL MAP HAS 20% CHANCE FOR CLOUDS TO OUR SOUTH DEVELOPING!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... the rain chance for Thursday is 40-50% with clouds and showers likely... SOME RAIN LOCALLY HEAVY TOO!  Drier air moving in Friday and this weekend should give us rain chances of 20-30%. 

The clouds to our south continue to show little sign of development now... the latest National Hurricane Center summary says a 20% chance of development for this system  Sunday or Monday as it moves northeast into and near the Bahamas the next 2-3 days!

TROPICAL MAP... RAINFALL CHANCES BELOW

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE CLOUDS & SHOWERS.... MEMORIAL WEEKEND DRIER... TROPICS TOO WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE CLOUDS & SHOWERS.... MEMORIAL WEEKEND DRIER... TROPICS TOO WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE CLOUDS & SHOWERS.... MEMORIAL WEEKEND DRIER... TROPICS TOO


RAINY DAYS AHEAD.... WATCHING TROPICAL CLOUD AREA

05/23/12

THE RAIN CHANCE WILL REMAIN QUITE HIGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH A 50-60% CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN.... ALSO WATCHING AN AREA OF CLOUDS IN THE TROPICS!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lots of rain ahead the next two days.  The rain chance at 50-60% and some locally heavy totals of 2-3 inches can be expected the next 2 days.  The rain is being caused by a non-tropical low pressure area to our south over Cuba.  This system will be moving slowly north to northeast the next several days with no development right now.  Memorial Day weekend weather will be only slightly drier with rain chances Saturday through Monday at 40% with highs near 87.
RAIN CHANCE AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER "OFFICIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK" BELOW

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - RAINY DAYS AHEAD.... WATCHING TROPICAL CLOUD AREA WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - RAINY DAYS AHEAD.... WATCHING TROPICAL CLOUD AREA WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - RAINY DAYS AHEAD.... WATCHING TROPICAL CLOUD AREA


RAIN CHANCE INCREASING AGAIN!

05/22/12

TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH WILL BRING CLOUDS AND AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR RAIN THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will become cloudy this Tuesday with the rain chance increasing to 50% for Palm Beach County and 30% for the Treasure Coast.  Deep tropical moisture and clouds moving up from the south will kep the rain chance quite high near 50% for the next several days too!

RAIN CHANCES AND TOTAL RAINFALL NEXT 5 DAYS BELOW

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - RAIN CHANCE INCREASING AGAIN! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - RAIN CHANCE INCREASING AGAIN! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - RAIN CHANCE INCREASING AGAIN!


NICE MONDAY... MORE STORMS TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY

05/21/12

SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY ON OUR MONDAY, BUT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY THE RAIN CHANCE INCREASES AGAIN... TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO NO THREAT!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... mostly sunny skies with only an isolated shower or afternoon thunderstorm this Monday witht he rain chance 30%.  Tuesday increasing moisture will bring clouds and showers back... increasing the rain chance Tuesday to 50% and Wednesday to 40%.

Tropical Storm Alberto no threat to Florida... located 260 north of West Palm Beach.  The new forecast track below show it moving well into the Atlantic and away from the Unites States in 3 days.

NEW TRACK HERE

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICE MONDAY... MORE STORMS TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY


Alberto and our weather week ahead

05/19/12

Tropical Storm Alberto has weakend a bit. Top winds are now 40 mph.
No need to worry about the first storm of the season. Alberto will eventually make
a U-Turn and move out into the open Atlantic...well off the East Coast of the U.S.

Meanwhile, we have low rain chances on Monday with a few storms here or there.
Thereafter, our typical scattered afternoon and evening storms will be around each day.

Enjoy your Week

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Alberto and our weather week ahead WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Alberto and our weather week ahead


First named Storm of the Season

05/19/12

Michael Ehrenberg with you in the StormTrac Center.

The first Tropical Storm of the Season has been named in the Atlantic. His name is Alberto.
Fortunately, for us, Alberto will track away from Florida and stay weak. Residents of the Carolinas may feel some gusty winds and rain from him as he heads away. Check out the graphic below.
Our local weather should dry out a little. There is still a chance for daily afternoon scattered showers and storms. However, the rain chance goes down to 30% each day where you live.

Enjoy the Weather!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - First named Storm of the Season WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - First named Storm of the Season


Sunny Start, Storms By Afternoon

05/19/12

After a sunny morning, clouds will build in the afternoon and storms will fire up during the early portion of the afternoon.  Look for storms to first develop Inland and gradually push their way to the coast later in the day.  Highs in the upper 80s.  Light winds out of the southeast for the boaters, so unless you're caught under a storm .... waters will be smooth all weekend long.  

Overnight will bring an end to any shower/storm activity with partly cloudy skies, light winds and lows around 70 at the coast, 60s north and inland.

Sunday looking very similar to today-  Scattered storms firing by the afternoon and highs in the upper 80s.

Not much change over the next 7 days.  Each afternoon giving us a crack at storms-  otherwise partly cloudy.  Highs in the upper 80s at the coast , around 90 inland.  Overnight lows around 70.

Have a great weekend!

Meteorologist Craig Gold, AMS




DRIER AND SUNNIER SKIES INTO THE WEEKEND!

05/18/12

THE RAIN CHANCE WILL BE DECREASING  FIRDAY AND FOR THE COMING WEEKEND... LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS  TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... drier air moving in will help decrease the chance of rain and increase our sunshine!  The rain chance going down to 30-40% for Friday and Saturday and Sunday!  More sun means more heat too with highs near 87 coast to 90 inland!

Boaters... expect light SW winds and seas through Saturday then a SE breeze 10-15 developing on Sunday.  Seas will remain low at only 1-3 feet.

WEEKEND RAIN CHANCES BELOW!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - DRIER AND SUNNIER SKIES INTO THE WEEKEND! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - DRIER AND SUNNIER SKIES INTO THE WEEKEND! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - DRIER AND SUNNIER SKIES INTO THE WEEKEND!


HEAVY MORNING RAIN... AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO

05/17/12

VERY WET ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THIS THURSDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ON THE CBS12 STORMTRAC RADAR!  LOCALLY HEAVY STORMS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lots of rain again on this Thursday!  Lots of morning showers and then expect heavy afternoon tstorms too!  The rain chance today at 70% for the entire area!  Locally heavy storms can produce lightning strikes, gusty winds and small hail too.

The wet weather pattern will remain in place through Friday with a 50% chance of rain. The rain chance throught the weekend will be at 40% for Saturday and Sunday too!

FOR THE RAIN CHANCE FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS CLICK BELOW

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HEAVY MORNING RAIN... AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HEAVY MORNING RAIN... AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - HEAVY MORNING RAIN... AFTERNOON TSTORMS TOO


MORE CLOUDS & RAIN AHEAD... UNITL FRIDAY!

05/15/12

EXPECT  LOTS OF CLOUDS A HIGH RAIN CHANCE OF 50-60% THROUGH THURSDAY!  THE WEEKEND WILL BE BREEZY AND BETTER!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... lots of clouds this Tuesday with a 60% chance of showers and hevy afternoon thunderstorms.  The rain chance remains high all the way through Thursday with a 50-60% chance of rain each day!  Some rain will be locally heavy each afternoon too!

Boaters... light SE/SW winds 10 with seas only 1-3 feet though Friday. Starting Saturday the winds will be increasing through the weekend with Small Craft Caution flags possible for the upcoming  weekend!

Here is the forecast rain chance below for the next several days!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE CLOUDS & RAIN AHEAD... UNITL FRIDAY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE CLOUDS & RAIN AHEAD... UNITL FRIDAY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE CLOUDS & RAIN AHEAD... UNITL FRIDAY!


High Rain Chances Continue

05/14/12

Rain chances will remain high the next few days. A stalled front over Central Florida will combine with an upper level trough to give us a moist and unstable atmosphere. Scattered showers  and storms will be around primarily during the afternoons and evenings.  Any storm can have strong gusty winds, locally heavy downpours and frequent lightning. (Check out the graphics below).

The 7-Day forecast shows our rain chances heading lower by week's end.

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - High Rain Chances Continue WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - High Rain Chances Continue


WET WEEK AHEAD... RAIN CHANCE HIGH EACH DAY!

05/14/12

THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE 50% EACH DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... expect cloudy skies and a good chance of scattered showers and afternoon tstorms every day through Thursday!   A weak Spring cool front is going to be moving slowly down state most of the week.  That will be the reason for the increased chance of rain each day!

Boaters... light S/SW winds 10 knots and seas only about 2-3 feet each day through Friday.  Only isolated afternoon tstorms will be moving offshore form the inland areas to the coast and beaches each afternoon! 

Here is the chance of rain each day below:

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - WET WEEK AHEAD... RAIN CHANCE HIGH EACH DAY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - WET WEEK AHEAD... RAIN CHANCE HIGH EACH DAY! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - WET WEEK AHEAD... RAIN CHANCE HIGH EACH DAY!


Wetter This Week

05/13/12

Michael Ehrenberg with you in the StormTrac Center...

We still expect our rain chances to head higher for the first part of this week. An upper level trough will dig down into the Gulf of Mexico. The flow ahead of the trough will increase the moisture and instability over the Sunshine State. With lighter surface winds, the sea breeze will stay closer to the coast. Bottom line...showers and storms will be scattered around our area. The best chance will occur on Monday.

Have the umbrella handy!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Wetter This Week WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Wetter This Week


High Rain Chances

05/13/12

Rain chances will remain high the next few days. A stalled front over Central Florida will combine with an upper level trough to give us a moist and unstable atmosphere. Scattered showers  and storms will be around primarily during the afternoons and evenings.  Any storm can have strong gusty winds, locally heavy downpours and frequent lightning. (Check out the graphics below).

The 7-Day forecast shows our rain chances heading lower by week's end.

Michael Ehrenberg
StormTrac Meteorologist

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A day to appreciate the weather ... and Mom!

05/13/12

First & foremost .... Happy Mothers Day to all of you wonderful Mothers out there!

Moms... here's the deal -  Your brunch plans should be just fine as the morning showers are wrapping up and giving way to a partly cloudy, breezy day.  Same deal as yesterday, just a "touch" less wind.  Highs in the middle 80s... maybe a few showers or storms popping up with the heating of the day interior/near lake Okeechobee.

As a front pushes in and stalls out over the area, this upcoming week turns a bit stormy ......much like what we had last week.   Warm & humid with scattered storms developing each afternoon (especially Monday and Tuesday).

Oh, and get this -  A "non tropical" area of low pressure has developed out in the Eastern Atlantic and while it's nothing substantial at the moment, the National Hurricane Center will be watching it from a distance.  Right now, they give it a 40 percent chance to develop into either a non-tropical or tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.  Even if that were to happen, its in unfavorable waters for development...and heading in the opposite direction of the U.S.  Nevertheless, a great reminder that hurricane season is only 2 weeks away!!!

Have a great Sunday!

Meteorologist Craig Gold, AMS




Rain Chances Increasing

05/12/12

Michael Ehrenberg with you this weekend in the StormTrac Center.

We'll squeeze out a decent  day on Sunday. Expect a mix of clouds and sunshine with a 20% rain chance. Highs in the mid 80s at the coast  to the upper 80s  inland.

An upper level  trough will dig  into the Gulf  of Mexico and Florida by Monday. With WSW upper level flow and increasing moisture our rain chances will go up to 50% on Monday and 40% on Tuesday.
Check out the  Futurecast Graphic below.

Enjoy our weather!

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NICE FRIDAY AND MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND TOO!

05/11/12

MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND! MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRIER AND BREEZY DAYS AHEAD!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... finally a nicer weather patter for Friday and the weekend too!   A stronger area of high pressure moving in means stronger and drier NE/E winds 15-20+ blowing in Friday and through the weekend too!  Expect highs near 83 coast and 90 inland.

Mothers Day weekend will  be nice with oly a 20% chance of rain and breezy NE/E winds 15-20 .. there will be rougher surf waves near 3-5 feet.  Otherwise perfect and drier for mothers Day weekend ... wtih only a 20% chance of rain!  Have a nice weekend!

Below is the current map... forecast winds and seas for Saturday!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICE FRIDAY AND MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND TOO! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICE FRIDAY AND MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND TOO! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - NICE FRIDAY AND MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND TOO!


LAST STORMY DAY... BREEZY MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND!

05/10/12

ON MORE STORMY AFTERNOON AHEAD WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS, HEAVY RAIN, LIGHTNING, DAMAGING STORM WINDS AND POSSIBLE HAIL.

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... our last stormy afternoon with a 50% chance of thunderstorms for Palm Beach county and only a 30% chance for the Treasure Coast counties.

A weak cool front will pass through Thursday night and bring drier air and gusty stronger NE/E winds for Friday and Mothers Day weekend! Highs Friday and this weekend will be near 83 and lows near 70.  BOATERS... rougher NE/E winds 15-20 will mean rougher seas this weekend too!

See forecast weekend winds and waves below!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - LAST STORMY DAY... BREEZY MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - LAST STORMY DAY... BREEZY MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - LAST STORMY DAY... BREEZY MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND!


Weather Changes Ahead

05/09/12

Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the StromTrac Center Tonight.

It looks like we'll have one more active day of weather (Thursday) before things quiet down.
A weak cool front will approach on Thursday. This will combine with the persistent low-level trough overhead to produce scattered to numerous afternoon  and evening  showers and  thunderstorms. Highs will reach into the mid to upper 80s. Storms can contain downpours, strong gusty winds and frequent dangerous lightning.

The front passes Thursday Night. Behind it we'll have slightly drier and ever so slightly cooler air work in on an increasing Northeast to East  Flow. Rain chances drop to 20% for Friday into the  weekend. Winds will pick up out of the East on Friday into the weeekend. This  will increase our seas to 3-6 Feet with Rip Currents likely.

Enjoy the Weather!

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MORE STORMS AGAIN... WEEKEND BREEZY MILDER!

05/09/12

ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY LIGHTNING STORMS THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... BE PREPARED FOR GUSTY DAMAGING WINDS, HEAVY RAIN, HAIL AND POSSIBLE FUNNEL CLOUDS!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... starting sunny and ending stormy this Wednesday! Highs will be near 90 before the afternoon storms. Thursday we will expect more afternoon storms, but by Friday a weak cool fornt will pass through with a shifting NE wind!  Friday and the weekend will be nicer and breezy with NE/E winds 15-20 mph and highs near normal at 85... and only isolated showers. 

BOATERS TAKE NOTE... INCREASING NE WINDS AND SEAS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND!

FORECAST MAPS BELOW SHOW THE WEAK FRONT MOVING THROUGH FRIDAY AND STRONGER WEEKEND WINDS! 


 

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE STORMS AGAIN... WEEKEND BREEZY MILDER! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE STORMS AGAIN... WEEKEND BREEZY MILDER! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - MORE STORMS AGAIN... WEEKEND BREEZY MILDER!


Stormy Pattern

05/08/12

Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the StormTrac Center...

It's been a busy weather day.
Those of you in Northeast Palm Beach County were put under a Tornado Warning during the mid-afternoon hours. Fortunately, no reported  tornadoes. However, a Microburst Wind caused some damage to trees and other structures in the Jupiter area. Check the graphic below.
A Microburst or Downburst is an area of rain cooled air at cloud level which rushes to the surface due to a higher density than surrounding air. This air slams against the ground and is forced along the ground at a high rate of speed (strong winds). This caused the damage today.

With a weak low-level trough  in place the flow will continue out of the West for both Wednesday and Thursday. The trough means cooler temperatures aloft and lots of instability to trigger more afternoon  and evening thunderstorms.

Thereafter, a weak frontal trough (weaker than a cool front) will pass through sometime Thursday. Behind this trough the winds swing into the Northeast and East. This will bring in some drier air and drop our temperature a few degrees. This will be a nice change!

Enjoy the Weather!

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AFTERNOON TSTORMS ARE BACK... NEXT FEW DAYS!

05/08/12

EXPECT AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS EVERY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS THROUGH THURSDAY!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... above normal highs near 90 with a 50% chance for storms each afternoon through Thursday! Hot west winds will bring locally heavy storms with frequent lightning strikes, gusty winds, hail and possible small funnel clouds too!

This stormy pattern will last through Thursday... then for Friday and into the weekend a return to east winds and partly cloudy skies with near normal highs and only a few showers with the rain chance decreasing Friday into the weekend to 20%.


The images below show the probability of rain for today through Thursday.

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - AFTERNOON TSTORMS ARE BACK... NEXT FEW DAYS! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - AFTERNOON TSTORMS ARE BACK... NEXT FEW DAYS! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - AFTERNOON TSTORMS ARE BACK... NEXT FEW DAYS!


Wetter Weather Pattern

05/07/12

Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the Storm Trac Center...

Showers and thunderstorms rolled through parts of our area today. Check out what the radar
looked like during the evening hours (below).  During the later afternoon Vero Beach experienced a 52 mph wind gust along with 0.93" of rain. (A new record for the date)

With weak "troughing" in place and winds in the low levels of the atmosphere from West to East we have a good chance for scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms for the next few days.
Rain chances on the Treasure Coast are 50% and a little lower in Palm  Beach County.

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TEMPS GOING UP... AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCE TOO!

05/07/12

TEMPERATURES GOING UP AND THE CHANCE OF AFTEROON THUNDERSTORMS TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... skies will statrt mainly sunny on this Monday with highs near 90 and then... a 30% chance of afternoon Tstorms for Palm Beach county and a 40% chance of the Treasure Coast counties.  Over the next few days a weak cool front will move into central Florida on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  That will bring a higher 40-50% chance for scattered afternoon showers and Tstorms.

Boaters... nice light SW winds and seas only 1-3 feet through much of the week ... late in the week towards Friday and Saturday... winds will increase from the NE/E at 15-20 and seas will increase too!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - TEMPS GOING UP... AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCE TOO! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - TEMPS GOING UP... AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCE TOO! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - TEMPS GOING UP... AFTERNOON RAIN CHANCE TOO!


Gorgeous Weekend!

05/05/12

Michael Ehrenberg with your weather blog tonight...

It looks like our beautiful weekend weather will continue! High Pressure, surface and aloft will continue to exert its influence. This means sinking air and very little chance for rain (10% on Sunday.) If you're heading to Sunfest check out the graphic below.

During the week, an weak upper level disturbance will break down the High a bit. Add in some moisture and what it means is a slightly higher chance for scattered afternoon showers or storms. (20% Palm Beach County and 30% on the Treasure Coast.)

Otherwise, our daily highs will continue above the average for early May!

Thanks for checking our our Blog!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Gorgeous Weekend! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Gorgeous Weekend!


WEEKEND HEAT... FULL "SUPER" MOON TOO!

05/04/12

WEEKEND HIGHS ABOVE NORMAL HIGH NEAR 90 AND THE FULL "SUPER MOON" RISING SATURDAY NIGHT AT 7:43! THE MOON WILL 40% BRIGHTER AND 17% BIGGER AS IT IS CLOSER TO THE EARTH THAN ANY TIME THIS YEAR!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...  a nice Friday with partly cloudy skies and highs near normal 85.

Saturday and Sunday lighter and hotter southwest winds mean above normal highs near 87-90 with sunny to partly cloudy skies! The weekend rain chance only 20%. 

Boaters weekend winds will be lighter from the south-southwest and that means lighter seas too with light to smooth inland waters too!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - WEEKEND HEAT... FULL "SUPER" MOON TOO! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - WEEKEND HEAT... FULL "SUPER" MOON TOO! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - WEEKEND HEAT... FULL "SUPER" MOON TOO!


LESS RAIN... MORE SUN.... FULL WEEKEND MOON!

05/03/12

THE CHANCE FOR RAIN IS DECREASING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND HOTTER TEMPS INTO THE WEEKEND!   FULL WEEKEND MOON TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... the skies will be sunnier and drier from this Thursday into the weekend. The rain chance is decreasing to 20% for the next several days too.  Hotter southwest winds will blow Saturday and Sunday bringing highs to near 90 !

THE MOON WILL BE FULL SATURDAY NIGHT AND RISE AT 7:43 PM!

Boaters the winds and seas are still a little high... but gradually decreasing too... a Small Craft Caution flag is up for Thursday morning, but Friday and the weekend will have much lighter winds and flatter seas too!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - LESS RAIN... MORE SUN.... FULL WEEKEND MOON! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - LESS RAIN... MORE SUN.... FULL WEEKEND MOON! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - LESS RAIN... MORE SUN.... FULL WEEKEND MOON!


SOME SHOWERS... BUT IMPROVING WEATHER THROUGH WEEKEND!

05/02/12

STILL A FEW SHOWERS ON THIS WEDNESDAY... BUT DECREASING WINDS AND SEAS WITH INCREASING SUN INTO SUNFEST WEEKEND TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... for this Wednesday still a few showers with a 20% chance for rain.  The winds will decrease east at 15 with gusts to 20 mph.  Starting Thursday mainly sunny skies with less wind east at 10-15 mph and highs near normal.  

SUNFEST Thursday through the weekend will be mainly sunny and much warmer than normal with highs near 85 coast to near 90 inland!  The rain chance will be only 20% for isolated showers!

BOATERS... Small Craft Caution Flags for Wednesday and then expect lighter winds and seas heading into Thursday and the coming weekend.

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - SOME SHOWERS... BUT IMPROVING WEATHER THROUGH WEEKEND! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - SOME SHOWERS... BUT IMPROVING WEATHER THROUGH WEEKEND! WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - SOME SHOWERS... BUT IMPROVING WEATHER THROUGH WEEKEND!


Improving Weather

05/01/12

Michael and John blogging with you tonight in the StormTrac Center...

Our last rainy day occurred on Tuesday. Hereafter, the moisture gets shunted to our West into the Gulf of Mexico. High Pressure will build down the East Coast. The combination means a drying trend with more sun each day and rain chances down to 20% Wed and 10% the rest of the week.
This occurs just in time for Sunfest. The graphic below shows that when the gates open it will be dry with a gusty breeze from the East.
With more sunshine and High  Pressure over head, we're heating up. Highs will reach the upper 80s on the  weekend.

Regards!

WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Improving Weather WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Improving Weather WPEC-TV CBS12 News :: Blogs - Weather Center Blog - Improving Weather


APRIL RAINFALL ABOVE NORMAL! CLOUDS... WIND... SHOWERS CONTINUE!

05/01/12

RAINFALL TOTALS ABOVE NORMAL FOR APRIL ... ANOTHER CLOUDY  AND WINDY DAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS TOO!

  I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell...  The total rainfall for West Palm Beach for April was 5.32 inches and that was 1.66 above normal! Vero Beach rainfall was 4.14  and that was 1.42 inches above normal!

  Expect more clouds again, winds gusting east at 20-25 mph with gusts near 30 and scattered showers too!  The rain chance today is 50% for Palm Beach county and only 30% for the Treasure Coast. The surf remains rough with seas 5-8 feet and Small Craft Advisories!  Winds and seas will finally begin to decrease on Wednesday!

  The weather pattern will finally begin to dry out with lighter winds, sunnier skies and less rain starting Wednesday through Sunfest weekend!

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Soggy Weather will Dry Out

04/30/12

Michael Ehrenberg & John Matthews in the StormTrac Center tonight:

It's been a soggy few days...for a few of us..especially in South Palm Beach County.

Check out the graphic below.

The good news is that the upper level low and surface trough that have been giving us the gray skies the last few days will both slowly weaken and move away.

Tuesday features a 20-40% chance of rain (20% Treasure Coast; 40% Palm  Beach County) with the possiblity of limited sunshine, especially on the Treasure Coast.

As the week goes on our rain chances drop to 20 and eventually 10% along with increasing sunshine and warmer temperatures. See the 7-day below.

Enjoy the Weather!

 

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FLOOD WATCH Eastern Palm Beach County... RAINY & WINDY DAY

04/30/12

FLOOD WATCH FOR EASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY UNTIL 8PM THIS MONDAY EVENING!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... LOTS OF WIND AND RAIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS! The chance of rain today is 70% for eastern Palm Beach County and 20% for the Treasure Coast.  Winds will be strong and gusty from the east at 25 with to 30+ mph!

The weather system producing the calouds and wind and rain will not move away until late Tuesday and the weather will begin to improve Wednesday.

Rough seas can be expected the next 3 days through Wednesday with Small Craft Advisories and rough surf decreasing starting Thursday!


 

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Flood Watch into Monday

04/29/12

A Flood Watch continues through Monday for Eastern Palm Beach County. (East of 441).
Occasional Rain and some heavier downpours will deposit anywhere from 1 to as much as 4" (mainly in South Palm Beach County). This can cause localized flooding of streets and  highways.
This means large portions of our area (West of 441 to the Lake and all of the Treasure Coast) can just expect scattered showers with rainfall totals mainly under 1".
The winds will be gusting out of the East at 15-25 mph. This causes seas of 6-8 feet.
Not exactly great beach or boating weather!

Note the 7-day forecast keeps scattered showers in our forecast into Wednesday.
Thereafter, our weather gets drier.

That's just in time for Sunfest!

Regards,

Michael Ehrenberg
Stormtrac Meteorologist

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Flood Watch In Effect, Heavy Rains Through Monday

04/29/12

**FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY**

Plenty of moisture in place as a trough of low pressure slowly approaches from the Bahamas bringing with it heavy downpours.  High pressure to the north is JUST strong enough to prevent this heavy rain from creeping into the Treasure Coast, so look for more of a scattered shower threat there.  For Palm Beach County metro areas, 3-5" of rain with locally higher amounts by Monday evening is not out of the question.  Highs will be kept in the upper 70s for rain soaked areas.  Lower 80s for the Treasure Coast.  Gusty east winds on the order of 17 to 22 knots will rough our seas up on the order of 4 to 6 feet.  Rip currents will be an issue with that onshore wind.  With highs in the lower 80s through much of next week, we see the threat of wet weather extending all the way through Thursday, although it becomes more "scattered" by Tuesday so we'll see sunshine as well.

Have a great "Sun"day and stay dry!

Craig Gold-CBS12 Stormtrac Meteorologist, AMS

 

 





CLOUDS & RAIN CHANCE INCREASE FOR WEEKEND

04/27/12

WEEKEND WEATHER GETTING CLOUDY WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCE TOO....I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell....

This weekend.. an upper level low over the NW Caribbean will move either directly over South Florida ... or move just to the east of South Florida!  Regardless, skies will be cloudy Saturday and Sunday with a 50% chance of rain Saturday... and a 40% chance of rain Sunday!

Winds will increase late Saturday and Sunday so boaters can expect increasing seas 2-4 feet on Saturday and then 3-5 feet on Sunday.  The winds and clouds may continue into early next week too!

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Changes in our Weather

04/26/12

Michael Ehrenberg checking in from the StormTrac Center tonight....

We've got one more beautiful dry day in store. That would be Friday.
We'll have Mostly Sunny Skies, light East Winds (5-15 mph) with highs ranging from
near 80 at the Coast to some mid 80s well inland.

On the weekend there's some uncertainty. A large mass of clouds is lurking just to our South over the Caribbean and Cuba. Computer Models are differing on how far North this  moisture moves.
Some of it will reach our area. However, most of it should stay near or just South of us. That's the thinking right now.

So, our rain chances increase to 30-40% on the weekend. Those of you on the Treasure Coast may escape with little or no shower activity.

QPF ranges from 0.10 to 0.50" across our area.

Subject to change! We'll keep you posted.

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WARMER DAYS... SOME WEEKEND SHOWERS?

04/26/12

COOLER THAN NORMAL AGAIN THIS MORNING!  Normal low for West Palm Beach is 67 this morning it was 59! ....  Vero Beach normal low is 63 and this morning it was 56! 

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... finally warming up to near normal today with highs near 83.

Looking ahead to the weekend... increasing clouds and moisture coming in from the Bahamas will add clouds and increase the chance of  rain Saturday to 30% and mostly cloudy skies with the rain chance Sunday at 40%.

Also, increaasing winds Sunday will increase seas so boaters watch for larger waves 2-4 and even 3-5 feet by late Sunday and into Monday.

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April Weather Returns

04/25/12

Michael Ehrenberg and John Matthews in the StormTrac Center Tonight...

Well, it looks like our brief trip back to January type temperatures will quickly come to an end.
After dropping into the 50s away from the Coast tonight and the low 60s  near the coast...overnight lows will trend upward right into the weekend.  Check out the graphic below.

As we head into the weekend our rain chances go up to 20 or 30%. A gradual return of moisture from the Southeast is the reason behind this. All in all, the weather looks pretty nice!

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ONE MORE COOL NIGHT... THEN WARMER DAYS AND NIGHTS AHEAD

04/25/12

The low this morning at Palm Beach International airport was 54 and that was well above the record low 50.  The low in Vero Beach this morning was 45 and that almost tied the record low 44!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... the highs will be a little warmer today near 80 and into the weekend highs will be near normal 82-84.

The chance of rain will increase a little this weekend ... the 20% on Saturday and 30% on Sunday!

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RECORD LOW SET THIS MORNING... MORE COOL AIR AHEAD

04/24/12

RECORD LOW SET THIS MORNING IN WEST PALM BEACH WITH 53  AND VERO BEACH NEARLY TIES RECORD WITH 51 ... ANOTHER COLD NIGHT AHEAD TOO!

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell... WOW... what an April chill!  Sunny skies and lighter winds with highs today well below normal of 83... instead near 75!  Lows this Wednesday night will be near 55 coast to 50 well inland again.

Expect the cooler than normal air to last through Wednesday... then slowly warming up to near normal highs of 83 and lows near 65 Thursday through the coming weekend!


 

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NEAR RECORD LOWS... COOLER THAN NORMAL HIGHS

04/23/12

I'm AMS meteorologist Chris Farrell.... QUITE A CHILL IN THE AIR.... WITH NEAR RECORD LOWS TONIGHT!

Highs and lows will be below normal the next several days!  Most all areas will be in the 50s tonight!  The record low for West Palm Beach is 55 this Monday night and we will PROBABLY BREAK THAT RECORD! The low should be near 50-53!   The Vero Beach record low is 50 and we will at least tie that record and could break it too!  Some inland areas in Okeechobee county will drop into the upper 40s!

Highs will be about 4-5 below the normal 83 through Wednesday.  We will be near 77 and lows will be way below he normal 63... instead near 50 inland to 55 coast through Wednesday.

Late week will warm up with highs near normal by Thursday and through the coming weekend near 83 with lows near 65.

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Unseasonably Cool Air Heads Our Way

04/22/12

Michael Ehrenberg is in the StormTrac Center Tonight...

Big changes are heading our way in the temperature department. A cool front passed through during the day Sunday. A reinforcer is due sometime on Monday. High Pressure building down through the Southeast will combine with a deep upper level trough to bring us a flow out of Canada. Temperatures Tuesday and Tuesday night will be normal for January and February rather than the end of April.

We have the chance of breaking some records too!

In West Palm Beach the Tuesday Record Low Maximum is 75. We'll be right around that.
On Wednesday Morning the Record Lows is 50. I'm  forecasting 52.

In Vero Beach the Record Low on Wednesday is 44. The Forecast is for 47.

Of course, these forecasts could be ratcheted down further if Computer Model Trends Continue.

In the meantime, we'll keep you posted. You may want to turn off the A/C Too!

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Thunderstorm Potential

04/21/12


Michael Ehrenberg in the StormTrac Center says...

Our first chance at severe weather during the day Saturday was...frankly...a bust!
Storms firing in the Florida Keys robbed the energy further North that was needed for storms here. In addition our skies were cloudy all day with temperatures staying in the rather cool 70s. With the lack of daytime heating and lower energy, what little rain that occurred today was just that...little!

As of this writing..a line of storms was firing up in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. This is associated with a mid-level low which will move into and through Central Florida early Sunday. I do expect this line to move through here during the early Sunday Morning hours. There is a slight (or small) chance that these storms bring us severe weather (i.e. isolated tornado/damaging winds). However, the most probable scenario would be some heavy downpours and strong, gu